Backtesting Arena

If you think about it, central banks are the most ruthless capitalists EVER They forced us to use their product by threatening anyone who proposes an alternative with death They used governments to eliminate competition But today, with Bitcoin, they face real competition - Bitcoin doesn't steal 10-15% of your purchasing power each year - You don't need permission to use Bitcoin - Bitcoin can't be censored - You can send and receive Bitcoin without third parties - You can't kill the Bitcoin network Central banks will either need to change or they will die

CME closing at $79.100. Will we get one of the last new CME-gaps for $BTC? Currently the price sits sandwiched between two CME-gaps, the one below from 78.200-78.600 and the one above from 83.200-84.600. And another tiny one (not every gap is closed) from 67.200.67.600 Enjoy while they last!

@APompliano but if you had invested $10.000 in every potential Amazon on the day it went public? One thing is to have conviction, another is to just sit on your one profitable high risk pile and never sell. Survivors bias!

If you had invested $10,000 in Amazon on the day they went public, you would have $35 million today. Crazy.

@MerlijnTrader but a good time to buy is not within the band, but below it. Some people wait for confirmation and miss out on the first 2x. Others take the offer and just sit it out.

DON'T CELEBRATE UNTIL THE BAND IS RECLAIMED. Weekly Bollinger Band. Simple rule. Below it: bear market. Every time. Back inside: bear market ends. Every time. 2015: -43% below. Reclaim. Bull run. 2018: -40% below. Reclaim. Bull run. 2022: -55% below. Reclaim. Bull run. 2026: -21% below. Fake out. Last Dump. Bull run. One signal. Zero exceptions. Band reclaimed means lift off.

Where to find it: 🌡 tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/aren… Free, no login. Score + 8 components + 30-day trend + methodology. Daily update at 07:55 UTC. Feedback welcome in Improvements — we read every submission.

The computation is open-source. Pure-function code in `src/lib/arenaPulse/scoreCalculator.ts`. No LLM, no black box, every threshold is a code constant. You can rebuild it, critique it, fork it — the methodology lives in GitHub.

We're launching **Arena Pulse** today. A single number from 0 to 100 that tells you where the crypto market is right now. Sounds like Fear & Greed. But it's built from 8 market indicators instead of one. Free, no login, daily update. 🌡 tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/aren…

Where we are: $SATA at par ✅ $ASST debt-free ✅ Top-10 BTC holder in 4 months ✅ Daily dividends launch June 16 ✅ The point isn't whether Strive wins. It's that BTC-Yield has competing implementations now. That's how narratives go mainstream. #Bitcoin #BTCYield

isks, because one-sided threads are dishonest: • 13% is HIGH — Strive must outpace via BTC or burn NAV • Q1 2026: $295.8M unrealized BTC loss • If $SATA breaks par, issuance stops • Not every copycat has Saylor's discipline • SEC stance on retail perpetuals untested

Six months ago, one Bitcoin treasury company mattered. Today there's a template — and the copycats are shipping faster than expected. The newest one is a top-10 corporate BTC holder built from zero in 4 months. A thread on $ASST, $SATA, and what comes next 👇