Simran sidhu

68 posts

Simran sidhu

Simran sidhu

@Simrans86631276

Katılım Kasım 2021
70 Takip Edilen36 Takipçiler
Simran sidhu
Simran sidhu@Simrans86631276·
@markminervini Thank you Mark @markminervini.I always working to improve my understanding of pivot points and VCP setups.Im learning a lot from you every day and I truly appreciate your guidance and insights
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
I'm ok wirh whatever works for you; I don't argue with success. But for most using ATR, OB/OS oscillators, etc... my advice is to learn how to read charts and you won't need all the formulas and calculations. Indicators can only be coincident or lagging, so why not just go to the source?
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
The best $29 you will ever spend. But only if you actually read it and apply it. Then, life changing! a.co/d/00t33wbE
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
When breakouts fail to gain traction, it’s often a signal that the market is crowded and retail activity is elevated. This helps explain why the vast majority of significant stock advances begin out of corrections and bear markets—periods that effectively wash out the noise. As a trader, your role is not to fight the market, but to interpret its message and adapt accordingly—minimizing losses during choppy, indecisive conditions. By doing so, you preserve both capital and flexibility, positioning yourself to capitalize when truly favorable opportunities emerge. Bottom line: Breakouts are timeless, but the results are cyclical. Just like with individual stocks, patience and discipline are required. No one has a crystal ball. Managing the downside puts you in position for the upside. That truly is the "secret." minervini.com
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
If you are living an angry life, feeling like a victim, and you think you are hurting or spitting others by being unkind or apathetic, you are only depriving yourself of the fullness of life and you are living a lonely existence. Forgiveness, gratitude and love will free you from the demons that haunt you and make you bitter. 😇🙏 Don't try it... live it and trust it.
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
With many leaders extended and fresh distribution in the major indexes, odds favor near-term pressure and consolidation. minervini.com
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Simran sidhu
Simran sidhu@Simrans86631276·
@markminervini You are a legend.These three books changes my life about trading and life.
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
To truly understand how I approach both trading and life, you should read all three of my books — including my mindset book, which is by far the most important. If you’ve read my second book and are wondering whether I consider fundamentals, the answer is yes. In fact, in my first book I go into fundamentals extensively. I consider my books a trilogy. For about $100, you’re getting my life’s work (all three) — decades of experience, research, and real-world application distilled into a complete framework. It’s one of the best risk/reward decisions you’ll ever make. amazon.com/s?k=mark+miner…
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
Stop overcomplicating trading! -Buy the breakouts. -Cut your losses short. -Get aggressive when trades are working. -Cut back when they are not. Is that so fu&^ing hard? If it is, your probkem is in your head... read my mindset book. a.co/d/0ieuMg4l
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
I thought this was a really great Q&A session with clients this morning, so I wanted to share it with you. Enjoy. I hope it brings insight and helps you better your trading. Private Client Q&A with Mark Minervini at Minervini Private Access using... youtu.be/yz0tcIMDYC0?si… via @YouTube
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
Today’s market strength was textbook. This is exactly what markets do during corrections when they get stretched to oversold levels. As I said just recently, "some of the biggest rallies occur during bear markets and corrections." Today was a perfect example. Traders rushed in after headlines hit that Iran’s president signaled a willingness to end the conflict with the U.S. The Dow exploded higher by 1,125 points. But let’s not confuse cause and effect. The news may have been the trigger, but the market was already set up for a rally. It was oversold and primed. Now comes the part where discipline matters. We ignore the first few days of a rally attempt. That’s potential noise. What matters is whether the market can follow through and whether leadership begins to emerge and proper setups develop. Technically, this is a classic snapback: Indexes that broke below the 200-day are rallying back toward it, while Indexes that held the 200-day are bouncing off it. That’s typical countertrend behavior until proven otherwise. Expect volatility to remain elevated. That’s not where low-risk money is made, but it's certainly where the risk is. Your job during corrections is simple: identify the stocks showing the best relative strength and the tightest price action. Those are your future leaders when the market finally turns. On the macro side, nothing has been resolved. Higher crude prices are still a problem. Yesterday’s rally did nothing to materially bring down oil. The bigger issue is still in play and the jury still out. Oil at these levels feeds inflation, pressures growth, and gives the Fed a reason to stay on hold longer. Yields stay elevated in that environment. To cut through all the noise, I look to the market itself, which has a much better track record of telling us the truth than the politicians, the analysts, the news, and the gurus. The four steps of the bottoming process are: 1. Oversold – The difference between an ordinary pullback and an oversold condition starts with price, but it does not end there. Poor breadth and and a lack of volume confirmed follow through describe a one-sided market, and one not to trust. 2. Rally – Inevitably, the market bounces from its oversold condition. A high-quality rally is broad-based. A low-quality rally is defined by short covering and driven primarily by the stocks that have declined the most. Again, the character of the rally is important to distinguish. So far, we simply don't have enough data to make a confident determination, so patience is the watch word while we wait. 3. Retest – After the rally, there is almost always a retest. The popular averages approach, and in some cases breach, their oversold lows. The key to a successful retest is less selling pressure, such as fewer stocks below their moving averages, fewer stocks, sectors, and markets making new lows, less total volume, and less downside volume. If the retest fails, the process reverts and we generally start looking for divergences during lower lows. In the event of unexpected news, it is possible for the market to recover in a "V" fashion with no retest. In that case, we look at breadth confirmation and participation. 4. Breadth thrusts – In the final phase, not only do benchmark indices rally sharply with few pullbacks, but they do so with an extremely high percentage of stocks, sectors, and markets participating, or what technical analysts call breadth thrusts. In rare cases, the market has skipped step 3. With strong enough breadth, retests are not necessary. The Covid bottom is an example of a pretty powerful V-shaped recovery. Bottom line: This was an oversold rally, sparked by headlines—but not defined by them, and certainly not confirmation of a reliable bottom. Now we watch: --Quality of follow-through --Emergence of leadership --Market internals and model health If the rally lacks quality, if economic pressure builds, or if leading stocks begin to deteriorate, then this remains what it likely is—a rally within a correction. Stay objective. Let the market prove itself. If you are going to trade, do so incrementally. minervini.com
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
Back to the market. Oil is surging, volatility is expanding, and sentiment is quickly turning bearish—that’s your first clue. When fear spreads wildly, you have to start thinking contrary. But let’s be clear: Powell has signaled he’s on hold until there’s clarity out of the Middle East. That means uncertainty remains the dominant force—for now. After last week’s meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that further evidence of easing inflation is required before additional policy easing is considered: “If we don’t see that progress, then you won’t see the rate cut.” Market expectations have shifted. In just a week, bond traders moved from anticipating rate cuts to pricing in roughly a 50.0 percent probability of a rate hike by October. In Europe, markets are now pricing in as many as three ECB rate hikes by year-end. Recession risk is rising as the Iran conflict prolongs and oil prices are elevated. A slowing U.S. economy could hurt corporate profits and also exacerbate emerging stresses in the private credit market. At some point, we’re going to get a sharp snapback rally. That’s inevitable. But don’t confuse a reflex rally with a new uptrend. Some of the most powerful rallies happen inside bear markets and major corrections—they trap the impatient and reward them with whipsaw action. The market is news driven. If this conflict resolves quickly and favorably, we could see a classic V-shaped recovery. If not, the market is going to likely need time to repair to establish a durable bottom. Oil will eventually present a good shorting opportunity. Equities will bottom. But timing is everything—and for the low-risk trader, volatility is the enemy. That's why I’m never concerned with buying at the lowest price—I want the right price. I want alpha, and I want it fast and efficient. Grinding for pennies in chaotic conditions is for gamblers and action jumkies. Those are hard-penny environments—and that’s where amateurs get chopped up. Professionals have what I call sit-out power—the discipline to wait for easy-dollar conditions, when the odds are clearly in your favor. How long do they wait? As long as it takes. That's where the discipline comes in. minervini.com
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
My wife and I had a great time today at the Palm Beach Boat Show. Spent time with friends; some who came from as far as London to be with us. One friend who flew in from LA, many of you know - @irusha. Blessed and thankful for the beautiful day with wonderful people. 🙏 😇
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
The market's character is still one of a bear market or cyclical correction; strong open, fade into close and major average living below the 200-day line. Before a reliable bottom can be established, we need to see better price and volume action, including better action from breakout names forming bases. We are clearly NOT out of the woods yet. The market backdrop is one where sentiment has improved with rising pessimism, but not a full capitulation. The VIX has reached bear warning levels, but remains below true washout extremes. A volatility washout is not required for a bottom, but would add conviction. Bullish Scenario --The war ends --Oil prices recede --Stagflation concerns ease --Central banks continuing their easing trajectory Under this scenario, we would expect: -A broadening market advance -Emergence of new leadership from sound bases -A Follow-Through Day (FTD) on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ confirming institutional buying with little in the way of immediate distribution -Significant drop in volatility Bearish Scenario --The war persists or escalates --The Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted --Oil prices make new highs --Stagflation becomes evident in hard economic data This would likely result in: -Limited general market rally attempts with most breakout stocks failing -Lack of follow-through from breakout names -Further deterioration in breadth and leadership -Dearth of setups in buyable position -Continued elevated volatility and distribution In that case, sentiment would likely need to reach higher levels of pessimism before a durable market bottom could form. In its absence, and end to the factors that are pressuring the market could cause the market to bottom in less dramatic fashion.
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Simran sidhu
Simran sidhu@Simrans86631276·
@markminervini One of the best book I have ever read changed all my mindset and way of thinking
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
You have the power to choose. It's one of the wonderful gifts of being human. What will you decide? To keep doing what hasn't worked? Or embrace new ideas, move out of your comfort zone, and explore your true potential? The first step is deciding to decide.
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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
I haven’t had a serious drawdown since the 1980s—just a few single-digit down years in over three decades. How? A deep respect for risk and unconditional patience. A few key rules: 1. Always cut losses short - no big losses. no exceptions! 2. Only trade large on the heels of smaller trades working 3. Always trade progressively smaller when trades aren't working 4. Never average down 5. Never let a good-size gain turn into a loss 6. No forced trades - no style drift
Ivo@IvayloPashov

@gfc4 curious to hear what @markminervini has to say, i would assume he is one of those

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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
The market has been discounting higher oil prices and geopolitical uncertainty. Sentiment is finally turning more bearish, which from a contrary standpoint is a step in the right direction. However, in the short term, volatility is likely to remain elevated as bullish sentiment unwinds and bearish sentiment approaches an extreme. As noted, this is likely a cyclical correction within a broader secular bull market. Patience and vigilance will be key to identifying the next leaders in the coming advance. Oil will ultimately present a compelling opportunity on the short side, and equities will eventually find a bottom. That said, I don’t play guessing games or try to catch falling knives. One of the most difficult lessons for traders to internalize is that the right price is not necessarily the lowest price. In the near term, remain defensive. Keep exposure tight and highly selective. Focus only on the highest-quality setups and demand confirmation with meaningful follow-through before committing additional capital or increasing exposure to aggressive levels. The market is offering very little margin for error—discipline and patience are essential. minervini.com
Mark Minervini@markminervini

Oil just saw one of its biggest surges in 45+ years—driven by geopolitical shock, NOT structural change. Higher prices risk fueling inflation and weighing on GDP mildly. Not likely to fuel a SECULAR bear market in stocks, but with sentiment still elevated, a cyclical reset may be needed before the next sustainable move to the upside. It doesn't have to take months to unfold. Seasonal/cycle headwinds aren't expected until May through October.

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Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
Back in January, when I was heckled for this tweet on selling $SLV, it only convinced me more that my analysis—and bearish view—was right. Today, bottom fishers are getting slammed as we hit fresh new lows down over 11% this morning and over 44% since my Tweet.
Mark Minervini@markminervini

For those fortunate enough to own $SLV, it’s time to start selling into strength. Could it go higher? Maybe. But it’s clearly gone parabolic and is entering a climax run. That’s your best opportunity to sell into strength and avoid the sharp volatility that always follows.

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