sinai

⭕️ Iran Has ~174 Million Barrels of Oil in Floating Storage. A Blockade Won’t Touch It. Before the war began, Iran pre-loaded tankers at three times its normal export rate. As of late March, approximately 174 million barrels of Iranian oil sat in floating storage — 158 million barrels of crude, the rest in petroleum products, per maritime intelligence firm Windward. Over 90% is bound for China, carried largely by ghost fleet tankers running dark. 129 tankers linked to Iranian crude are currently sailing dark, Windward reported. A U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports won’t intercept oil already at sea. Here’s where it’s located: 🔸 At least 15 Iran-flagged tankers were observed by satellite near Chabahar Port on Iran’s southeastern coast as of April 6, laden with crude, according to UANI, which tracks Iranian shipping. 🔸 At least 96 Iranian oil-laden tankers have been recorded at a ghost fleet anchorage approximately 70 km off Malaysia’s coast near Johor, UANI reported, where cargo is transferred ship-to-ship before heading to Chinese ports. 🔸 Dozens more are transiting the Malacca Strait and South China Sea toward China with tracking signals off. 🔸 Iran is also holding roughly 23 million barrels of crude east of the “US toll” line in the Gulf of Oman (a map circulating on Chinese social media)—according to TankerTrackers. Read Murtaza’s thoughts below ⬇️

I was sceptical so made a side-by-side comparison of Apple and Google Maps. @Apple has indeed erased Lebanese village names. This is unacceptable and I support any action to hold these criminals accountable.

This is a colonial war on Iranian modernity, a continuation of a decades-long economic war that seeks to erase the knowledge, the expertise, and the institutional memory that enables Iranian technological development", argues Eskandar Sadeghi-Boroujerdi. Must read.

For the same reason that they comfortably watched the destruction of Gaza.

💢 Israel escalates double-tap strikes on rescue crews in Lebanon this weekend Israeli forces carried out a surge of documented “double-tap” strikes targeting first responders over the weekend, even after Lebanese authorities formally pleaded against attacks on medical teams. A Lebanese Red Cross unit came under direct Israeli drone fire Sunday during a humanitarian mission on the road to Beit Yahoun, killing paramedic Hassan Badawi and wounding another, who was taken to Tebnine Governmental Hospital, according to Lebanon’s Red Cross. ➤ At least 3 double-tap strikes were reported Friday night, 2 more on Saturday, and at least 1 on Sunday. The numbers are likely a lot higher. ➤ Lebanese Health Ministry data shows at least 87 medical workers have been killed and 190 wounded since March 2

🇭🇺 Viktor Orbán Defeated, Bringing Down One of Trump and Israel’s Closest EU Allies 🔹Viktor Orbán, Hungary’s authoritarian prime minister and one of Donald Trump’s most loyal global allies, conceded defeat Sunday after 16 years in power, as opposition leader Péter Magyar’s center-right Tisza party took a commanding lead. 🔹With over half of precincts counted, Tisza stood at 52 percent to Orbán’s Fidesz at 38 percent. Orbán called the result “painful” but “clear.” Turnout was the highest in Hungary’s post-communist history, with nearly 78% of eligible voters casting ballots. 🔹Magyar is a former Fidesz insider who broke with Orbán in 2024 over a government corruption scandal. He ran on a platform of Christian-conservative politics but without what he calls Fidesz’s corruption — promising to restore EU ties, unfreeze billions in EU funds, and bring Hungary back into Western institutional norms. 🔹On Israel, a Magyar government would likely mark a shift from Orbán — who Netanyahu has called “a rock”: 🔸 Magyar is expected to reverse Hungary’s withdrawal from the ICC, which issued an arrest warrant for Netanyahu — before it becomes permanent on June 2 🔸 Hungary has been the sole EU member blocking sanctions on violent West Bank settlers; Magyar may lift that veto 🔸 Orbán repeatedly blocked EU joint statements condemning Israeli strikes, forcing the bloc’s foreign policy chief to issue them in her name alone — that firewall would likely end 🔸 Magyar is expected to distance himself from Netanyahu personally, while maintaining ties with Israel more broadly

Regarding Trump's threat/decision to impose a naval blockade on Iran, color me a skeptic. 1. Taking more oil off the market, particularly the only oil that is now getting out from the Persian Gulf, will drive oil prices further up, and the paper price of oil will get closer to the actual price, which should be around $150 per barrel. A dramatic increase in inflation in the US will ensue. Avoiding this is precisely why Trump was stuck in a position where he had no escalatory options out of this conflict before the ceasefire. He still doesn't. 2. Stopping tankers carrying Iranian oil wouldn't just be an escalation vis-à-vis Iran, but also against the countries that are buying Iranian oil, which includes China, India, and other Asian countries. I doubt Trump is ready for that escalation, particularly given the upcoming summit in Beijing. 3. This is also true for punishing countries that have negotiated a toll with Iran for the Straits. That includes Pakistan, which hosted the negotiations. 4. The naval blockade escalation will make the closing of the Red Sea more likely by the Houthis. That would take another 12% of global oil flow off the market. We would now be looking at oil around $200 per barrel. There are nine or so days left of the ceasefire. Since neither side has explicitly stated that talks won't resume, or that the ceasefire is dead and over with, all these moves should be treated as tactics and threats within the negotiations. It wouldn't be surprising if these threats are walked back soon (perhaps before markets open on Monday) and a new round is announced. HOWEVER, there is a time for brinkmanship, and there is a time for serious negotiations. If the US truly was insisting on zero enrichment in Islamabad, which was not Trump's red line at first but rather Israel's, then the next talks will be rendered a failure - just as the talks in May 2025 were killed by Trump shifting to the Israeli red line. Still, I don't think that necessarily will lead to a return to war. A more likely scenario is a new non-negotiated status quo in which Tehran retains control over the Straits but doesn't get any sanctions relief, while the US pulls out of the war, and the question becomes whether Israel will continue the war on its own.

عمليات هدم وتوغل إسرائيلية.. سيناريو غزة يتكرر في الجنوب اللبناني

Slowest genocide prevention mechanism ever @IntlCrimCourt

Did you know Britain signed a military agreement with Israel in 2020 and we're never allowed to know what's in it? It may commit us to "mutual self-defence" It may explain the spy missions we flew for Israel during its genocidal campaign in Gaza We need to know what's in it

A UK military Voyager KC2 aerial refuelling - and transport - plane flew from RAF Akrotiri on Cyprus to Megiddo Airport in Israel yesterday It landed at 11pm Why was the transponder turned off, @Keir_Starmer?

“Withdraw and lift the siege, and then we will discuss the issue of handing over weapons”

New analysis looking at the demographics of Palestinians killed in Gaza by Israel finds that it most resembles infamous indiscriminate massacres such as in Rwanda and Cambodia under Pol Pot.

"People Against Genocide"

🇵🇸💥Activists break into Keysight Technologies facility in Hampshire, UK, over weapons supply chain At 5am GMT, three activists from 'People Against Genocide' broke into a facility belonging to Keysight Technologies in Hampshire, the US-owned company that "supplies radar and electronic warfare systems for the US military and Israel's biggest arms firm," stated activist media @The_Aftershock_ Keysight supplies UK-based drone manufacturer UAV Tactical Systems (U-TacS), which is a subsidiary of Elbit Systems, Israel's largest weapons maker. Keysight also works with Lockheed Martin on 5G military technology. and has an established sales facility in Israel. In addition to supplying Israel's military, Elbit made a $2.3 billion deal with the UAE in November 2025. The country has been the chief external backer of the Rapid Support Forces which have committed genocide in Sudan’s Darfur region according to leading rights groups, with a case filed at the International Court of Justice (ICJ) by the Sudanese government in March 2025. 🎥 Videos by @The_Aftershock_

Breaking: A paramedic with the Lebanese Red Cross was killed after sustaining critical injuries when a drone targeted their vehicle in the town of Beit Yahun.

Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the U.A.E., some of America’s best customers for weapons systems, now are looking to South Korea, the U.K. and Ukraine to restock defenses against Iranian drones on.wsj.com/48r8BEW

@shawajason He wasn't. He's a trickster. For example: Judge rules Donald Trump defrauded banks and insurers while building real estate empire ( apnews.com/article/donald… )

How on earth was Dumbo Trump ever a successful businessman???

The U.S. was so anxious to defray the economic impact of the war that it actually unsanctioned not just Russian but Iranian oil to help stabilize global markets. Now its apparently going to impose a blockade on that same oil which will accelerate the crisis and may even trigger an even more devastating Red Sea blockade. This won't even affect Iran in the short-term since they still have large numbers of tankers already offshore that can sell oil for the next 40 days but it is going to extend the blockade on all the other Persian Gulf states while annihilating every other country on earth that relied on maritime energy shipping from the region. The whole U.S.-led international order based on protecting maritime transit is going to be a smoking crater at the end of the massively unforced error that was this war, and for what purpose exactly?

BREAKING: Oman's FM calls for an extension of US-Iran ceasefire to create further opportunity for talks 🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/x545rk?update=…