Smittee

5.9K posts

Smittee banner
Smittee

Smittee

@Smittee

Building @ Kalshi | NYG • NYY • NYK • NYR • #COYBIG

Katılım Temmuz 2021
534 Takip Edilen5.1K Takipçiler
Smittee retweetledi
robertjdenault
robertjdenault@robertjdenault·
On Aliens, Survivor, and The Bachelorette (so far). TL;DR: Just because someone has a large position in a market or traders follow rumors online does not mean they’re insider trading. Aliens, Survivor, and Bachelorette markets - we’re investigating all of them, and so far, we have not found compelling evidence of insider trading or market manipulation. However, these markets are not closed, and our monitoring and analysis continues. Aliens A few weeks ago The Atlantic posted an article titled "This Looks Like an Insider Bet on Aliens." The story focused on trades by a user who is wagering that by the end of the year, the U.S. government will confirm aliens exist. According to The Atlantic, due to the size of the trades it might be someone with "insider knowledge." But we investigated this position, including document requests and an interview with the trader. (He gave us permission to make this post). There is no evidence the trader has insider information. He's tired of trading stocks; he doesn't feel they are accurately priced. While looking for markets he felt he had an edge on, he found Kalshi's alien market. He developed a researched thesis for why the U.S. government might be on the verge of confirming alien existence (including recent document releases, new comments by President Obama, President Trump's response to those comments, etc.) and felt the position was underpriced. He doesn’t know whether the government will confirm anything or not, but based on public information and research, he considers his position a good one. Survivor and The Bachelorette Pre-taped shows mean that people have knowledge of what happens before the show airs - including contestants and production staff. But they typically sign legal documents preventing them from telling people - otherwise, shows would constantly be spoiled for everybody. Using that information for profit is not allowed. This week there was a New York Times article titled “People Are Making Money Betting on Pretaped ‘Survivor’ Episodes” that suggested insider trading is happening with our Survivor markets. We’ve investigated and, so far, have not found definitive evidence of that. We’ve been checking backgrounds of traders in this market and have not identified anyone with any connection to Survivor. After reviewing the trading activity, it appears the likeliest explanation is that traders are following public rumors, following other traders who placed trades in the opening hours of the market, or just trading based on research and conviction. Same scenario for The Bachelorette, and same conclusion thus far. It seems that Reality Steve’s site posts spoilers that tend to be right. People can look at those predictions, then place trades on prediction markets. That’s not insider trading. Still, we are continuing to monitor these markets and analyze trading patterns, and we will take action if we find anything anomalous.
English
7
8
42
15.3K
Smittee
Smittee@Smittee·
Gentle reminder that Aaron Judge will likely finish his career as the greatest right-handed hitter in MLB History
Smittee tweet media
English
37
25
425
38.5K
Smittee retweetledi
Mark Feinsand
Mark Feinsand@Feinsand·
Aaron Judge had a 1.273 OPS in the 2025 postseason. He had a .798 OPS with 3 HR & 9 RBI in the ALCS/World Series in 2024. Has he had his share of struggles at times in October? Yes. Most players who have annual opportunities do at some point. 29 other teams would gladly take him.
English
107
146
1K
92K
Smittee
Smittee@Smittee·
@WadePlem Is this the first baseball game you’ve ever watched
Smittee tweet media
English
5
2
40
1.9K
Wade Plemons
Wade Plemons@WadePlem·
Don’t ever tell me Aaron Judge is on the level of any elite hitter ever again. Complete choke artist man
English
131
93
1.3K
91.1K
Smittee retweetledi
Mike Selig
Mike Selig@ChairmanSelig·
The Arizona Attorney General today filed criminal charges against one of our registered exchanges related to prediction markets. This is a jurisdictional dispute and entirely inappropriate as a criminal prosecution. The @CFTC is watching this closely and evaluating its options.
English
33
49
327
84.7K
Smittee retweetledi
Oasis
Oasis@oasis·
☘️🇮🇪
QME
122
1.6K
14.4K
406.9K
Smittee
Smittee@Smittee·
The impossible is possible. Still don’t know how the 2011 Giants did this 😂
Smittee tweet media
Kalshi@Kalshi

The $1 Billion Kalshi Perfect Bracket Challenge $1 Billion for a perfect bracket $1 Million guaranteed to the top scoring bracket $1 Million to charity and scholarships See the full rules and submit your bracket: kalshi.com/billion-dollar… No purchase or deposit required. SIG Parametrics, LLC, a member of the Susquehanna International Group of Companies, is financially backing this promotion.

English
1
0
25
2.7K
Smittee
Smittee@Smittee·
Aaron Judge is the favorite to win World Baseball Classic MVP. Would add to an already legendary trophy case.
Smittee tweet mediaSmittee tweet media
English
0
0
27
896
Smittee
Smittee@Smittee·
Terrified for the DR to walk it off in the bottom of the 9th
English
0
0
6
273
Smittee retweetledi
Variety
Variety@Variety·
#KevinOLeary says he bet $1,000 on Kalshi on Timothée Chalamet winning Best Actor before walking onto the #Oscars red carpet: “I know the voting stopped long before that controversy happened. That kid is a great kid.” Watch now on CNN and TBS or stream on the CNN app.
English
291
167
3.5K
2.4M
Smittee retweetledi
Keaton
Keaton@KeatonInglis·
@kevinolearytv “Undisclosed ad” Nope. Competition in shambles learning that Mr. Wonderful is a Kalshi user No compensation was made for the post, he just used the default X social share feature
English
2
3
51
2.7K