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meeeko

meeeko

@Sp9336

2017.12 参入のギリ璃子組。璃子が狂ったように踊るTVCMを見て、わいも狂ってしまったのかなぁ/(^o^)\

Katılım Nisan 2012
327 Takip Edilen233 Takipçiler
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vitalik.eth
vitalik.eth@VitalikButerin·
Some of my perspective on where the @ethereumfndn is going. First of all, this is only my own view. The board is not just me, and I have no extra special powers on the board that the other board members do not. @aerugoettinea is the one executing much of this transition. My input has been largely on technical questions. The board is in the process of expanding, and my own power within the org will continue to decrease, which is honestly what I want. The 2025 era brought many important improvements to EF and its ability to execute. Many issues were resolved, and EF continues to benefit from its improved efficiency and greater focus on concrete goals to this day. And so with those problems resolved, early this year, the largest remaining hole that I perceived was something different nagging at me: I would regularly spot people saying things like "vitalik says these beautiful things about ethereum needing to be decentralized, and have privacy, and be a sanctuary technology, but why do the EF's actions not reflect that?" Now, you may have been hearing something different. You may not have been sensing a feeling of crisis at all, and maybe were hearing people saying that finally we were taking execution and BD seriously and the main task for us is to keep going that way and be even better and faster. Then probably there is genuine difference between you and me, in what kinds of criticism I take most seriously, and what kinds of critics through their criticism are most able to make me feel pain. As an analogy, let's briefly switch over to a different domain. One belief you can have about Google is that it is a success story, and has brought a lot of good to humanity in organizing the world's information. Another belief you can have about Google is that they had a beautiful idealistic beginning, but at some point the corruption of mainstream corporate attitudes seeped in, and they slowly bit by bit completely abandoned the "don't be evil" slogan. My belief on Google specifically is probably somewhere between the two. BUT, if you had taken me back in time to ~2008, and offered me a button to press to make Google one or two standard deviations more "dogmatic", eg. give Richard Stallman permanent veto power over some key policies, I would immediately press it. Why? Because a choice for one company is not a choice for the world, or even one country. Google existed and exists in the context of a technology industry generally drifting away from early idealistic don't-be-evil roots and toward greed for financial gain, totalizing visions of accelerated superintelligence, infiltration by sociopaths, and craven capitulation to (or worse, active participation in) government pressure for ideological control, surveillance and war. And so *one company* doing something different, positioning itself to be what George Bernard Shaw calls the Unreasonable Man, resisting the trend of the times, would have been better for freedom, balance of power and stability of society as a whole, than *all* large companies bending to dominant trends. This is a part of my version of pluralism. This line of thinking is not just mine, but I also is not too far off from what Aya and others had in mind with the Mandate. Now how does this all get to the role of the EF? EF is not a "center of Ethereum", rather EF is "one node, with a defined purpose, alongside other nodes". We've always said that the EF should be the latter, but many in the Ethereum ecosystem (and even within the EF) wanted us to be the former. Now, we are taking action to ensure that we will be the latter. This is particularly important because EF is a limited organization, with limited resources and limited organizational capacity. The EF has only ~0.16% of all ETH (less than many other individual ETH holders), whereas among other blockchains it's common for "the central foundation" to have 10-50%. Fiscally, the EF was originally designed to fulfill a limited work scope defined in the token sale docs and other pre-launch materials (building the chain software; getting through Frontier, Homestead, Metropolis, Serenity), which was fully completed in 2022; it was not designed to be an eternal steward. And so today, the EF is choosing to use its remaining resources to pursue longevity over breadth (yes, this means we sell less ETH). The EF focuses *specifically* on those activities critical to the success of ethereum as a censorship/capture-resistant, open, private and secure system, that would not happen otherwise. This means making hard choices, and in some cases even activities that we highly approve of and people that we highly respect becoming outside of the EF. People of great technical talent, public respect and even alignment with the mission and CROPS being outside of the EF is in fact necessary if we want important tasks to be able to attract outside capital. This also means the EF taking opinionated stands culturally. This is all intended in cooperation with all other parts of ethereum. We recognize that many other parts of the ethereum world highly respect CROPS and related values. But highly respecting is not the same as choosing to specialize and totally dedicate to a domain (Compare in a different domain: I think reducing animal cruelty is important, and I like vegan food, but am not full unconditional vegan myself) EF is still in a transition period, and we expect its new long-term form to stabilize over the next few months. What are the guiding principles of this new form? Again, I am only one person, but I can give my answer from a technical perspective (there are also critical non-technical aspects). At the core, *Ethereum must be impressive*. We are living in an age of highly intelligent AI and all kinds of other technological acceleration. "Status quo EVM, with a hard fork or two a year to optimize for short-term needs of users" is not interesting. To some, "impressive" means: 250ms latency and 1M TPS. I think Ethereum trying to go that route is a mistake. Being as fast and as scalable as possible, and only a small epsilon more decentralized than the others, is a route to mediocrity, and if we try it we will lose. I think Ethereum should scale. But I think Ethereum should strive the hardest to be deeply impressive in a different dimension: the CROPS dimension. This means things like: * Provably bug-free Ethereum. This is a goal that all cybersecurity researchers would have thought is absurd and impossible, up until roughly 6 months ago. Now, it's on the cusp of being possible, thanks to AI-assisted formal verification. So we should be frontrunners in doing this. * Available chain consensus. Ethereum is, and with lean consensus will cotninue to be, the ONLY chain that has both (i) traditional-BFT style properties that it's safe under asynchrony up to a high level of fault tolerance, and (ii) the bitcoin PoW-style property that under synchrony it's safe up to 49% attackers. As far as I can tell, literally no other chain has this or is planning for it; bitcoin goes for (ii) only and most other chains go for (i) only. Some will remember I fought hard for this, Unreasonably insisting that it is not OK for ethereum to rely on social consensus and hard forks to rescue ethereum from 34% of nodes going offline. It's OK for chains like hyperledger, bnb, solana, tempo, etc. It's not OK for bitcoin or ethereum or eg. zcash. * Intermediary minimization. The fact that smart contract wallets, protocols like railgun, etc have to send transactions through intermediaries to get included onchain is honestly embarrassing, and it's a constant point of fragility. Hence the work on FOCIL and EIP-8141 (and 7701 and years of work before) to make transaction sending intermediary-minimized with public mempool and strong inclusion properties, in a truly general-purpose way, that covers not just eg. secp256r1, but also privacy protocols and much more. Kohaku is pushing intermediary minimization at the user layer, pulling Ethereum away from the dystopian status quo world where our wallets don't even verify the chain, send our private data out to a dozen third-party servers, and toward a brighter CROPS future. Some of these goals are Unreasonable - maybe Ethereum would be "fine" getting only 50% of the way - what if we depend on intermediaries, but make it easy to switch? But going 50% of the way would not make Ethereum Deeply Impressive in the CROPS way. So we push for 100%. Fortunately all these goals are compatible with high TPS, this is a major focus of research (esp. on scaling the state). Well-designed L2s can also help, especially L2s optimized for specific applications (eg. high-volume trading, privacy...). These goals are even compatible with significantly lower slot times, thanks to Raul's work on erasure-coded P2P, and many other optimizations. The most high-value "product" of the ethereum blockchain, financially speaking, is ETH the asset. Ethereum secures $250 billion of ETH. The types of properties of Ethereum that I mentioned above are very good for ETH the asset. Nearly 90% of my net worth is in ETH, and most of the remainder is ~$40m of onchain fiat of which every dollar has already been allocated for some open-source biotech or software or hardware initiative. That said, there are aspects of supporting ETH the asset - *necessary* aspects even - that are outside the scope of the EF. This is where we need other heroes (some of whom hold more ETH than the EF does) to step in and help. EF has been recently thinking more about how it will relate to other such organizations, and give them needed initial support. EF will be a smaller ship than in previous years, a more opinionated one - in some cases more opinionated in ways that might be difficult to comprehend - but a longer-lasting one, and one suited to making sure that ethereum brings something meaningful to the world. We are grateful to all those inside and outside the EF who are helping to make this happen.
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
この、国を跨いだプロレスによって双方インサイダーで無限に稼げるので、続けることに経済合理性が生まれてしまってるのでは?SNSが普及する前ってどんな感じだったんだろう
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
選択肢としての分散化ツールを手に入れても、経済合理性のもとに自由競争した結果として巨大な中央に支配されていくのなら、人類にはまだ早かった或いは遺伝子レベルで馴染まないというしかないわな。
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meeeko retweetledi
Kurihei : くりへい
自分は、51%攻撃とか量子コンピュータとかより、米国の支配下のマイナー割合増えてイランのTXとかは通らなくなるとかの方がよっぽど今そこにある危機って感じだけど
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
AIさん曰く 「The Graphは実際にオンチェーンエコノミーの基盤として重要度を増しています。特にRWAが本格化(トークン化された株・債券・リアル資産の価格・所有権・イベントデータを効率的にクエリする必要性)すれば、SubstreamsやHorizonなどのアップグレードでクエリ需要が跳ね上がる可能性は十分あります。アクティブSubgraph数も過去最高水準で推移しており、根本的なユースケースは健在です。ただ、市場は「将来の必然性」ではなく「現在の経済的吸引力」で価格を付けているのが現実です。HYPEのような「即時・強力・目に見える還元」がない限り、たとえ「絶対に必要」でも大幅に買われにくい構造になっています。要するに、仕組み自体は悪くないけど、還元の「直接性・規模・即時性」がHYPEに比べて圧倒的に劣っているのが最大の理由です。RWAの本格拡大でクエリ手数料が跳ね上がれば状況は変わる可能性がありますが、現時点ではそれがまだ「価格に織り込まれていない」状態と言えます。」
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meeeko retweetledi
Joe Miyamoto
Joe Miyamoto@joemphilips·
江添さんは話の通じる方だと思うのでマジレスしますと、BitcoinのPoW以上にCheapな方法は存在しません。 なぜならビットコインはこの世で唯一通貨発行権と決済手数料が自由市場にあるからです それが価値の源泉です。計算資源の浪費は源泉そのものではなく自由市場にあることの避けられない帰結です。
江添亮@EzoeRyou

@joemphilips The computational and power resources are better be spend on something more fruitful.

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meeeko retweetledi
The Graph
The Graph@graphprotocol·
The Graph Gateway now supports x402 payments. Any agent or application can query Subgraph data by paying per request in USDC. No API key, no account, no session. Here's what that means and how to use it 🧵
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
またここから減り続ける資産を眺めるのかと思うと、いい加減ぶん投げたくなるね笑 ほんとチャートが全てを物語ってる。
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
完全にこれです NASがATHし続けてるうちは意味もなく横横、NASが1%調整すればBTCは5%調整して、そんなことを繰り返しながらいずれはチャネル下抜けトライが始まる。とにかく今のBTCは下げる理由=株価の調整待ち。チャネルブレイクはできない。確信した。
meeeko@Sp9336

$BTC このチャネルを完全にブレイクするまで上目線にならないんだけど、NAS100が歴史的な高騰をしてる中でこのあり様なので、多分株がどこまで伸びてもまだブレイクはできないと思う。そしてひとたび株が調整に入れば一気にチャネル下抜けを試すくらいの下落を開始すると思う。上抜けてほしいけど。

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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
BTCに関しては量子コンピュータやら中間選挙やら性犯罪やら、4~50k台の流動性を狩りにいくのに十分なネタが揃ってるわけで、それをしないまま上にいくとは思えないんだよな。そして今のチャートをみるとますますその思いが強くなる。
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
$BTC このチャネルを完全にブレイクするまで上目線にならないんだけど、NAS100が歴史的な高騰をしてる中でこのあり様なので、多分株がどこまで伸びてもまだブレイクはできないと思う。そしてひとたび株が調整に入れば一気にチャネル下抜けを試すくらいの下落を開始すると思う。上抜けてほしいけど。
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
ビットコインドミナンス 今回も2020年末頃みたいな発作で揺さぶってきそうな気配。それがBTC急騰によるものかは分からないけど。
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
【資産推移】2026年4月は米株が連日ATH、正直クリプトの存在感は日に日に弱くなっている。AIと相性がいいはずのクリプトが、AIでハッキングされまくるという皮肉。悲観を通り越して無関心フェーズに移行してきていると思えば…相変わらず暫く強気にはなれない。
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
【資産推移】2026年3月は中東情勢懸念からの株安が進む中でクリプトは辛うじて先月の安値を割らずにレンジ形成中。他アセットクラスとの比較で相対的にクリプト(特にアルト)が強く感じるけどチャートからは底打ちの気配は感じない。まだ耐える時間は終わっていない。
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
今年度から定期的な金融資産額の記録を始めたんだけど、資産構成がクリプト民あるある過ぎる。これ始めてよかったことは、下げ相場でも強制的に資産の減り具合を直視できるところ。まともなメンタルの人なら資産管理アプリごと消去して現実逃避したくなる惨状と正面から向き合えます。助けて下さい。
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
BTC、上がる気はないけど、米株が強すぎて下げるに下げれないから、中途半端な位置でよくわからないコマ足つくっちゃった みたいな昨日の日足
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
Baseの意味分からん匂わせがいい加減ウザくなってきてミュートする5秒前
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
日足でトレンドラインに実体を残している割にボラも出来高もない。やはりチャネルだね。ただ、こういう局面で出来高も増えず上髭つくってる時点で全然やる気がなさそうに見える。少し前も似たようなこと言った記憶あるけど、NASが調整に入れば一気に崩壊しそう。
meeeko tweet media
meeeko@Sp9336

$BTC 対数軸のトレンドラインへのトライ。ただ、今はどちらかというとチャネルの方が意識されてるっぽい。あちこちで似たような描画を見かけるようになってきたし、こうなってくるといよいよ上方へのブレイクに期待がもてるようになってくる。でもまずはトレンドライン。

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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
$BTC 対数軸のトレンドラインへのトライ。ただ、今はどちらかというとチャネルの方が意識されてるっぽい。あちこちで似たような描画を見かけるようになってきたし、こうなってくるといよいよ上方へのブレイクに期待がもてるようになってくる。でもまずはトレンドライン。
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
$BTC 100日平均線・フィボ0.382を踏んで一目雲を見下ろす位置に。大分調整が進んできた感はあるけど、ローソクはまだチャネル内。つまり下方向に優位性があることに変わりはなく、株指数の強さに比べて煮え切らない動きなのにも納得。底打ち宣言がちらほら聞こえてくるのは1/14と同じ。冷静になろう。
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meeeko
meeeko@Sp9336·
やはり昨年11月安値はほぼ機能せず。今日の日足か明日決まる週足で最低でも81kあたりまで戻せなければ実体でチャネル半値割れ、62kがより現実的に。6月頃まで時間をかけて下落圧を弱めながら落ちるのが理想だけど、1週間で到達してもおかしくない。
meeeko@Sp9336

このどっちかのルートは既定路線だろうね 赤いチャネル部分の反発の弱さを見ると、昨年11月の安値で耐える見込みは相当薄いと思われる。逆にここを下抜けずに(下抜けたうえでも)再び今の水準に戻ってくることがあれば目線は一旦フラットになる。

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