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@SpacsStocks

No shit coins, yes Bitcoin, Metaplanet opportunist! What happens in your wallet stays in your wallet. Swing trader of Spacs & Stocks

Metaplanet Katılım Aralık 2018
187 Takip Edilen8.2K Takipçiler
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professeur
professeur@SpacsStocks·
SPAC, #SpacSchool Welcome new traders to SPAC’s. Educate, read SEC filings, follow informative traders on Twitter. Good luck!!
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professeur
professeur@SpacsStocks·
@BTCBULLRIDER Just did it last week, took 5 business days to show up after calling broker.. Now is the time!
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Peter Duan
Peter Duan@BTCBULLRIDER·
As always, good detective work 💪 😤
THE BITCOIN PHARAOH@thebtcpharaoh

Metaplanet's US Strategy: What Metaplanet Is Building in the US — Connecting Every Dot Over the past couple of weeks, #Metaplanet management have been dropping clues that they are preparing something significant on the US side. We can all guess what it is (and there are several possibilities) but it’s becoming increasingly clear that something is in the works. Here’s what I’m seeing. The chronological US buildout A 13-month progression that doesn't look incidental when you line it up: → April 2025: Metaplanet Treasury Corporation (Miami) established — highlighted by COO Yoshimi Abe on May 7: "One year ago, we established Metaplanet Treasury Corporation in Miami, our first US entity." x.com/Yoshimi3350Abe… → July 2025: Establishment of US Holding Subsidiary and Share Transfer by Way of Contribution in Kind → September 17, 2025: Metaplanet Income Corp (US) established — specifically to operate the Bitcoin Income Generation business out of US jurisdiction → December 12, 2025: Form F-6 filed with SEC — registration of Sponsored ADR shares → December 19, 2025: SEC declares the F-6 effective. Sponsored Level 1 ADR launches under ticker $MPJPY with Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas as depositary and MUFG Bank as custodian. → March 12, 2026: Strategic-disclosure day. Three coordinated filings drop together: • Establishment of Metaplanet Asset Management (US subsidiary) • Establishment of Metaplanet Ventures K.K. (Japan venture arm) • Investment in JPYC Inc. via Metaplanet Ventures I want to pause here for a minute and share a excerpt from their own filing: contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/3350… This is the actual language from Metaplanet's March 12 filing announcing Metaplanet Asset Management: "The Company sees an opportunity to establish a dedicated asset management platform to serve this market, bridging Asian and Western capital markets." The same filing goes further. It explicitly names the product set: "perpetual preferred securities and related fixed income instruments, a category increasingly referred to as Digital Credit" — alongside "actively managed strategies… derivatives and structured positions, equity and credit strategies focused on Bitcoin treasury companies… index products and benchmarks." Then it commits to the rollout: "The Company intends to announce specific funds, managed strategies, and structured products as they are launched, spanning the full spectrum of Bitcoin capital markets from yield instruments and fixed income to actively managed equity, credit, commodity, and volatility strategies." This plan was disclosed two months ago in plain English in a filing on their website. This has been in the works for some time. A perpetual preferred ("Digital Credit") is the most likely first product IMO. But it's the first product in a platform, not a one-off raise. Metaplanet Asset Management is the operating engine for a multi-product Bitcoin capital markets business — issued out of US jurisdiction, designed from inception to bridge Tokyo-listed parent equity, US institutional appetite, and Japanese yield-starved capital into a single ecosystem. → March 16, 2026: Capital Allocation Policy revised. → April 13, 2026: Metaplanet opens a 60-day fee-free window (Apr 13 to Jun 12) for converting unsponsored $MTPLF shares into sponsored $MPJPY ADRs. Removes the standard $0.05/ADR fee. More on this later. → April 26, 2026: Metaplanet lights up the Las Vegas Sphere with "Secure the Future with Bitcoin" — ~$450K/day for premium US institutional visibility. dlnews.com/articles/marke… → April 27, 2026: High-tier sponsor of Bitcoin for Corporations at Bitcoin 2026 Conference (Venetian, Las Vegas) → May 7–13, 2026: Boston (and potentially other US cities) week-long institutional roadshow. Full senior team: Simon Gerovich (CEO), Dylan LeClair (Head of BTC Strategy), Yoshimi Abe (COO), Shinpei (IR). → May 13, 2026: Q1 FY2026 results filed. Same day, coordinated messaging: • Simon: Japan prefs listing "has taken longer than we initially anticipated… we appreciate that this has created uncertainty" — explicit admission of delay. Flagged monthly dividends as a structural feature that would also take time to build. x.com/gerovich/statu… • Dylan: "Transforming capital markets is patient work. We will continue diligently, tirelessly, and without compromise, in Japan and abroad." The "and abroad" is not a slip. Shoutout to @swissBTCmaxi for catching that x.com/swissBTCmaxi/s… Five US legal entities. Sponsored ADR with a major Wall Street depositary. Million-dollar Sphere/conference spend. CEO + COO + Head of Bitcoin Strategy + IR on a senior-roadshow tour. Coordinated same-day messaging. The fee-waiver window is not a coincidence Look at the calendar. The fee-free $MTPLF→$MPJPY conversion window runs Apr 13 to June 12, 2026. My projected announcement window for a US perpetual preferred (144A path) is mid-June to mid-July (more on this below). The waiver expires almost exactly when the announcement is expected to land. This isn't coincidence. Before issuing a USD-denominated perpetual preferred under the same parent, you want the sponsored ADR — Deutsche Bank-backed MPJPY — trading with consolidated, deep, institutionally-clean float. So management compressed the MTPLF→MPJPY migration into a 60-day sprint that ends right as the new product needs the ADR liquidity to launch on top of it. The pricing reality A 5-6% rate works in Japan because Japan is yield-starved. It does not work in the US, where the comparable BTC-treasury perpetual prefs already clear at much higher yields - let’s just call it anywhere between 10-14% depending on the instrument and issuer. If Metaplanet issues a USD perpetual preferred to clear at scale ($200–500M), the coupon almost certainly needs to be 12%+. The EDGAR reality check I went to SEC EDGAR to red-team this. Here's what I found: → Metaplanet Inc. (CIK 0002100603) has only TWO filings ever: the F-6 ADR registration and its EFFECT notice — both from December 2025. Zero filings in 2026. → Metaplanet Asset Management — no EDGAR registration. Not a filer. → Metaplanet Income Corp — no EDGAR registration. Not a filer. → Metaplanet Treasury Corporation — no EDGAR registration. Not a filer. → (Note: "Metaplanet AI Fund I, LP" exists on EDGAR with Estonian principals and AI focus — completely unrelated, just a name coincidence.) This rules out an imminent NYSE/Nasdaq listing or fully SEC-registered F-1 IPO — those require scaffolding that we'd already see by now. But it strongly supports a Reg S / 144A private placement path: 144A placements sell to qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) only Don't require SEC pre-registration Allow public marketing without quiet period (which is exactly what we're observing) Can close in 4–12 weeks from pre-marketing This is the same mechanism Strategy used for $STRC/$STRD/$STRF — initial 144A placement, eventual broader registration The most likely scenarios, ranked 1. US 144A perpetual preferred. Issued by Metaplanet Inc. or Metaplanet Asset Management, structured like a $STRC clone (or possibly convertible like MERCURY). Sized $200–500M. Targets QIBs initially; broader exchange listing later. 2. Metaplanet Asset Management product launch. Could be a US-domiciled BTC treasury fund or managed strategy that institutional allocators buy into. Distinct from issuing securities directly. Fees on AUM become a revenue line. 3. $MPJPY upgraded from Level 1 to Level II/III ADR. Common stock dual listing on Nasdaq. Simpler, faster, no new instrument. But EDGAR shows no F-3 yet, so this would push to Q4 2026 at earliest. Some of the scenarios may not be mutually exclusive. Timeline If 144A path (most likely): Roadshow start: May 7 ✓ Anchoring institutional orders: 3–6 weeks Announcement window: mid-June to mid-July 2026 Pricing and close: 2–4 weeks post-announcement 144A listing / QIB trading start: late July to early August 2026 Closing thoughts @Strategy is running the best capital markets playbook in financial history. @Strive is doing a fantastic job and punching above its weight. But the loudest stories aren't always the biggest ones. Metaplanet is building something none of the others have. Don't write off the dark horse just because there is a new flavor of the month. They've been training. And they're ready to sprint.

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professeur
professeur@SpacsStocks·
@orangeyield @RoaringRagnar Pure hopium on a business model even management couldn’t predict. Their speculation was a false perception they threw at early investors.
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Ace Ender
Ace Ender@orangeyield·
Faith is not an investment strategy. We have no idea if or when Metaplanet will launch MARS. MARS is not inevitable like Robotaxi, or STRC, or demand for AI infrastructure. MARS is completely dependent on approval by bureaucrats. Are you going to continue to pour money into a business tied up in red tape?
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Ragnar
Ragnar@RoaringRagnar·
Now my hope is that my other rockets $CIFR, $IREN, and $ASST launch early. Why? Because I want to accumulate a lot more $MPJPY shares before they launch MARS. It‘s now mid May. Imagine if they are able to launch it until the end of the year. These upcoming 6 months would potentially allow for some glorious rotations. The faithful shall be rewarded.
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professeur
professeur@SpacsStocks·
@gerovich @phil_geiger Basically saying, the original investors who believed you from day one and have held are fucked till who knows when…
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Simon Gerovich
Simon Gerovich@gerovich·
There is a limited universe of listed preferred shares in Japan today. Upon listing, our preferred would be only the seventh in the market, and the first perpetual preferred. We view this as a meaningful contribution to the development of Japan's capital markets, but it is also why the path to listing is necessarily deliberate. In the Japanese market, dividends on preferred shares are expected to be supported by sustainable cash flows generated from underlying operations. The listing review accordingly assesses dividend-paying capacity based on projected financial performance over a multi-year period, including scenarios across different market environments. Metaplanet already has a six-quarter track record in its Bitcoin Income Generation Business, and we believe it is important to continue demonstrating that the business can generate stable, recurring cash flows across both strong and weak Bitcoin market conditions. We are also continuing to articulate the scalability and long-term viability of our related operating businesses that support this cash flow profile. A second consideration is dividend operations. Listed companies in Japan have historically paid dividends once or twice per year. The structure we are designing contemplates more frequent distributions, including monthly dividends. Implementing this requires careful work on record-date procedures, shareholder identification, dividend calculation, and recurring shareholder notice operations. We are working closely with our partners to build and modernize this infrastructure in a manner consistent with Japanese regulatory and market practice. The process has taken longer than we initially anticipated, and we appreciate that this has created uncertainty. We are deliberate about this work because Japan today is one of the most yield-starved major capital markets in the world, and we believe a preferred equity product supported by credible operating cash flows, robust operational infrastructure, and a long-term growth strategy can meaningfully address that need. We are deeply committed to bringing this product to market, and to doing so in a form that earns the long-term trust of investors and market participants.
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keila amania
keila amania@keilaaman·
i need friend fun
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Altcoin Daily
Altcoin Daily@AltcoinDaily·
In 10 years 10,000 $ADA may buy you this.
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Fenix
Fenix@fenixeleventwo·
@HermesLux It’s either going up or down!
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Hermes Lux
Hermes Lux@HermesLux·
$84k on BTC is a strong support level, which means we could be chiseling away at it for a few weeks before reestablishing it as a base—but also I could be wrong.
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m u s e
m u s e@shiryohost·
china girl goes viral… you’ll see why in 2 seconds
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✨ Jess ✨
✨ Jess ✨@Wee_Welshie·
Sisterhood is dead. The world is already hard enough and you’re encouraging a man pile on? Not cool. We all have different tastes and preferences. Just try keeping it to yourself instead of encouraging a load of 🤢 she’s vile posts. I think she’s stunning personally. And out of the gym will look amazing in anything. She’s not overly muscled up.
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Shawnee Gregorio
Shawnee Gregorio@GregorioSh64773·
I feel like the underboob is a thing, but that’s about the only feminine thing about her body. Am I wrong? Where is the softness and the curves? She’s all edges!!! It isn’t pretty to exercise and diet the womanly figure off your body. I can’t be alone in thinking this way or am I? 👇🏼👇🏼
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professeur
professeur@SpacsStocks·
@GregorioSh64773 I respect the work and discipline, it’s sexy as fk when both partners are ripped and smashing. She will soften with age, let her show off her work ethic without bashing her. Chill the fk out!
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professeur
professeur@SpacsStocks·
@NitherDither @RoaringRagnar @DylanLeClair Oh, the one thing that destroys all the possibilities ! This is how this shit show began, destroying investors that supported Metaplanet early on. Management choosing to repeat this is not something you should ignore when writing all the hopium and financial wonders. 1.01 mNav
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The Ni (f. Obsequious Knight of the Realm of ...)
You ignore the singular, overarching factor that will negate all the hopeful things you have listed - the crushing issuance programs that is live. It is a disservice to shareholders to omit the fact that price is programmatically cursed to hug 1.01 mNav for the foreseeable future.
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Ragnar
Ragnar@RoaringRagnar·
Exactly one year ago today I started to accumulate Metaplanet for around 344 Yen per share. I remember how @DylanLeClair reached out proactively and took the time to answer my questions. I appreciated that a lot. As I deepened my research, I kept buying more shares over the next days and weeks. 6 weeks after my initial purchase, we hit an all-time high of 1,930 Yen. I've never seen such a steep rise in anything I ever bought. This rise caught me by surprise, as I'm a long-term investor and haven't even finished my research yet. I think in years, not weeks. Over time, I used my famous MSTR ATM to rotate most of my MSTR into Metaplanet. Today, I control 2+ million shares and am as bullish as I ever been. The winter was hard, not gonna lie, but we're mostly through it now. So many people gave up and sold the bottom. Not me. I kept accumulating over the past 6 months. Here's my current thesis for Metaplanet: - Metaplanet will soon be the #2 Bitcoin Treasury company in the world, and will stay there - I expect them to reach 500K+ Bitcoin over time, growing their stack by 10x - Japan has a population of 122 million people, ranking as the 12th most populous country in the world - This month, Japan’s Cabinet approved landmark legislation to reclassify Bitcoin as a financial product / financial instrument. This will reach full operational status by January 2028 - Metaplanet currently owns ~87% of all the Bitcoin held by public companies in Japan. I expect this share to grow over time, making Metaplanet the Strategy of Japan (and possibly whole Asia) - Japan's population owns $14.8 trillion in household assets, of which $7.2 trillion in cash & deposits - Cash held in ordinary bank accounts (savings/checking-style deposits) in Japan currently yields around 0.30–0.32% per year - Typical money market funds yield 0.45–0.65% per year - That's exactly the opportunity for Metaplanet's upcoming preferred shares. By offering yields of 4-8% they tap into this vast pool of household assets, which will be the engine of Metaplanet's growth - I see the chance of a successful MARS and MERCURY IPO at 80%. Japan is conservative and slow, but I expect the IPOs to eventually be approved - Until then, we have ample time to accumulate shares for an undervalued price. Remember Warren Buffett who said "be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful" - When the pref IPOs are approved, it will be too late to buy at this hugely undervalued price - Metaplanet runs a sophisticated derivatives operation, generating regular and growing income - This income will be enough to buy the pref dividends, eliminating the need to sell common stock to fund the dividend payments - Metaplanet will build other operating businesses with the goal to build, operate, or invest into the Bitcoin infrastructure of Japan - Metaplanet will develop Bitcoin-focused capital markets products, bridging Asian and Western institutional capital flows - Metaplanet has the #2 team in the space (after Strategy), and in some respects they are the leading company (e.g. running a derivatives book) - I expect their mNAV to expand once Bitcoin's growth returns, fueling their growth by juicy common stock sales, as they did in the first 6 months of 2025 - I bought a large stake in MSTR in early 2023 for ~$15 per share, riding it until ~$450 per share. I expect to repeat this with Metaplanet That's just a short summary, and I'm sure I forgot a few points. I can't wait to see what @gerovich and his team will cook in the months and years to come. Bullish on this Japanese hotel company.
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professeur
professeur@SpacsStocks·
Something for everyone: bulls and bears.. 🤷🏼‍♂️
Blake@LogicalBitcoinr

The "why hasn't Metaplanet filed the MERCURY listing application yet" question is everywhere right now. Most people are reading the silence wrong. Here's my take. The TSE listing process has 5 phases. Charter amendment is done. Then comes pre-consultation with JPX, which is invisible to the public, no filings, no 8-K equivalents, nothing observable. Then formal application, JPX-R review (3-6 months typical), then approval. So when people look at the surface and see nothing happening, they may be looking at a phase that doesn't generate any visible signal at all. My probability of MERCURY listing by Dec 2026 sits at 15-40%. The mechanical reality: if no application is filed by September 30, the December put deadline becomes impossible. So why no filing yet. Here's how I rank the drivers, which compound, not mutually exclusive. Biggest at ~50%, they're waiting for the FIEA amendment to pass the Diet. The JFSA's proposed amendment reclassifies Bitcoin from a "crypto-asset" under PSA to a "financial product" under FIEA. Diet passage looks ~85-90% probable in Q2 2026, effective spring 2027, with a 20% capital gains rate effective Jan 2028. File before that passes and JPX-R has to rule on a BTC-backed preferred while Bitcoin is still legally a crypto-asset, which is a fight no regulator wants. File after passage and they have political cover. Application clock starts Q3 2026, decision lands Q4 2026, surgical timing right under the put deadline. ~30% compounding, pre-consultation is happening, we just can't see it. Saylor met Gerovich face to face in February and didn't push back on the timeline publicly. Mild evidence of a non-public plan still on track. ~20%, underwriting infrastructure isn't ready. Japanese underwriters, market makers, and retail distribution channels (SBI, Rakuten, Nomura) for a brand-new asset class is multi-quarter work. ~15%, put extension leverage. File and get rejected, the put fires automatically. Don't file and you preserve negotiation leverage to extend at sweetened terms. Original holders are sophisticated foreign funds, they'd rather extend at higher coupon than force a $154M cash redemption requiring BTC sales at depressed prices. ~15%, JPX investigation overhang on Bitcoin treasury companies as a category. Filing a novel listing application during active regulatory review is high-risk. Bear case at ~15-20%, informal pre-consultation feedback already came back saying it won't fly on current terms, and management is quietly preparing for put extension rather than burning credibility on a public rejection. Consistent with what we observe. Can't dismiss it. Where most bear takes go wrong, they link "BTC went down" or "Strategy hasn't proved the model" to "Japanese preferred appetite is muted." That's conflating two separate questions. Regulatory approval is independent of BTC price, it depends on FIEA classification, TSE listing standards, and the JPX investigation resolution. Demand absorption after listing is somewhat price-correlated, but driven more by Japanese yield desperation than Bitcoin narrative. You can't use BTC price action to predict JPX-R approval. Different clocks. The other thing people miss, if MERCURY lists, the demand pool isn't existing MTPLF holders (who have been brutalized, fair point). It's $7 trillion in Japanese deposits earning 0.10% and $13B/month in NISA flows. There are six listed preferred instruments in Japan worth $4.5B combined. MERCURY at 4.9% would be the highest-yielding listed preferred in the country. Relative yield vs deposits is 49-61×, orders of magnitude more demand desperation than STRC faces in the US. What would change my mind: if FIEA passes the Diet in Q2 2026 and Metaplanet still hasn't filed by July, the FIEA-wait thesis is dead and silence starts to mean something much darker. On the other side, any leaked Phase 2 signal (Nikkei reporting, JPX informal acknowledgment, Gerovich on a Japanese podcast referencing JPX dialogue) pushes me toward higher conviction. Speculate is the right word for any of this. The honest version just needs to be calibrated to what actually drives the timeline, the Diet, the JFSA, and JPX-R, not the BTC chart.

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Simp Police🚨
Simp Police🚨@SimpPolice911·
Long-distance couples meeting after years. Who's gonna tell bro?
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Manang Mustang🇳🇵🌍
Manang Mustang🇳🇵🌍@ManangMustangX·
What's will happen to Metaplanet when the market opens on Monday? ☺️
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Anon LaserEyes
Anon LaserEyes@AnonLaserEyes·
I got mixed feelings. $MPJPY is my largest holding by far and I can’t help but feel overexposed to Japanese regulators and hope that MARS gets approved. The stock has under performed the last half year relative to other TCs and its future performance hinges on MERCURY & MARS. Otherwise it’d just be a BTC ETF, which is fine too. I’ve already sustained the downside move, no point selling now.
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dRisk Dave
dRisk Dave@dRiskDave·
$MTPLF: Metaplanets team has not revised their 210k BTC goal. Dylan and Simon have been leaving breadcrumbs everywhere, especially the last couple weeks. Most recent raise could be to increase collateral prior to launching MARS. I can smell it in the air... MARS is coming.
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professeur
professeur@SpacsStocks·
Attn: Japanese holders (in Japan) .. all this hopium without one bit of knowledge, evidence or fact to back up that MARS is just delayed. If I remember when they announced it , it was a 3-4 month process. Any insight from Japan and this delay. Something is not adding up..
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professeur
professeur@SpacsStocks·
@HikaruJuro Maybe because Saylor knew that MARS will not pass Japan regulations. Preferred is not a given…
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Hikaru Juro 光
Hikaru Juro 光@HikaruJuro·
There may be a possibility of launching the prefs in the US markets with our new America Metaplanet subsidiary, while we wait for Japanese regulatory approval. However, we would be stomping on MSTR grounds, and Saylor has been kind enough to not launch anything in Japan.
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Hikaru Juro 光
Hikaru Juro 光@HikaruJuro·
Mars prefs will happen. I believe it's tied up due to strict Japanese requirements around public offerings of complex financial instruments. My concern: Will OTC-BTC liquidity soon dry up as STRC/MSTR along with Goldman, Morgan Stanley ETFs are in a rapid accumulation phase?
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professeur
professeur@SpacsStocks·
Over the last month: $ASST has run up 64% from $10.54 to $17.29 1.38x EV mNAV $MSTR has run up 28% from $139 to $180 1.27 EV mNAV $MTPLF has run up 7.8% from $2.02 to $2.18 0.97 EV mNAV
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