Spleenface

4K posts

Spleenface

Spleenface

@Spleenface

I tweet about magic, mostly Co-Host @IntoTheNorthPod https://t.co/kt4JANBOWG

Toronto, Ontario, Canada Katılım Ocak 2014
110 Takip Edilen958 Takipçiler
Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@gfodor Your vote is equally likely to make the difference either way. If the outcome is close, the odds that you win by voting blue increase, but so do the odds that blue wins even if you pick red. What actually matters is the utility of the outcomes.
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gfodor.id
gfodor.id@gfodor·
@Spleenface the degree to which you should feel inclined to vote blue should be proportional to how uncertain you think the outcome would be without your vote. in other words, vote blue if you think it will be close, red if you doubt your vote will make a difference.
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
When I first saw the question, I was a firm red buttoner, but I think the most compelling blue button argument is that I've never seen a poll that was under 30% blue
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cometsthatfall ☭
cometsthatfall ☭@cometsthatfall·
@Spleenface If polls are to be trusted you can choose red and trust the blue voters save themselves
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@DTrain_94 Not saying I endorse that view 100%, but I was confidently on team red until I realized how many people I knew were on team blue, even after I explained the point you made... now I'm genuinely unsure
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@DTrain_94 It's a strictly dominant strategy in a world of game theory, but we don't live in that world. The position for picking blue is: Enough people will misunderstand the question or believe they are acting the saviour that it's worth risking my life to save them from themselves
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Dan
Dan@DTrain_94·
The results of this are pretty troubling concerning the general population’s understanding of logic and game theory. Choosing red is a strictly dominant strategy yet more than 50% of respondents at the time of me posting this have chosen blue.
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy

Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?

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crazy lekiwi
crazy lekiwi@crazy_lekiwi·
@PolitiReality Robots bro, robots. Nonexistent robots are where it's really at. Tesla is leading the world in products that don't exist. It's not even close.
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Political Reality
Political Reality@PolitiReality·
if you want to know why Musk sucks at running a car company...and should be fired... $TSLA
Political Reality tweet media
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@CynzGodzchild2 @TheTNHoller He said he told Republicans: "Don't make any deal on anything" TSA Funding would typically fall in the category of "a thing" and thus would be part of the set of "anything" on which Trump has suggested the Republicans not make deals. Hope this helps...
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The Tennessee Holler
The Tennessee Holler@TheTNHoller·
In MEMPHIS — Trump says he told Republicans not to make any deal for TSA funding until he gets his voter suppression bill passed… then in the next breath says Dems are to blame for long airport lines 🤔
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@BradenMTG I am. Any statement that begins with "Donald Trump thinks" is hard to believe
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@Naozymandias Therefore the chance that an AGI breakthrough happens in the next X years is not substantially changed from 3 years ago. (For clarity the two premises are positions I ~sort of~ hold, but not fully. I could defend them more thoroughly, but not in 280 characters)
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@Naozymandias A hyperbolic statement, but the argument would be: 1. AGI will be achieved through a large breakthrough, not incremental improvements 2. Work that could lead to that breakthrough has slowed as we focus on LLMs, which are not a functional foundation for true AGI
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@newenglandtake @ChrisRGun Glad to hear it. A little crazy that it took until Tuesday to confirm, but at least they are doing the right thing now. As the article points out, it was Bovino, not Noem who said they would continue to work out of state on Sunday
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@newenglandtake @ChrisRGun Maybe it's changed, last I saw Noem said they were still working, just outside Minnesota. If it's changed, I'd guess it's because of pressure and backlash
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New England Take
New England Take@newenglandtake·
@ChrisRGun The ones in the Pretti shooting are on administrative leave during the investigation, just like any other police involved shooting. Lemon also was not arrested until charges were brought.
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@matt_grenier @Ryan_on_cEDH This a story about a person who doesn't normally lie, lied once, but wants to be seen as a person who won't lie in the future, but outsiders without context assume it's a more morally weighted discussion than it actually is, which seems silly (as you say, lying in games is fine)
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@matt_grenier @Ryan_on_cEDH A) Thank you for seeking understanding rather than just making assumptions and trying to dunk B) The reason people care is because there is a lot of value in being trusted to not lie, and the community is small enough that stories like this one spread
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Ryan
Ryan@Ryan_on_cEDH·
Serious question: why is it bad to lie in cEDH? It’s a competitive game, and in tournaments we’re playing for money. It’s explicitly allowed by the rules, and top players do it all the time. Open to discussion on it.
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@Flayertheplaya @caro_irl So true. The cEDH community getting exactly one ban in like 8 years of talking with the RC is definitely them "driving the ban list"
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Carolyn Wang 凯伦
Carolyn Wang 凯伦@caro_irl·
why is it whenever theres drama on mtg twitter it's always cedh. what's in the water over there
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@OurOldDad @freganmitts It's nice to know when I'm interacting with someone that I'm talking to THEM and not Mr Flattery, the Always Wrong bot. It's also nice to feel like I don't have to choose between using it and being at a disadvantage compared to my peers
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Our Old Dad
Our Old Dad@OurOldDad·
People like this blow my mind. No one was forcing them to use anything and they could have not been using AI this whole time. But they are relieved when someone makes decisions for them. Whether I wanted to use it or not, I'd be more bothered that you are dictating how I learn to me.
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Megan Fritts
Megan Fritts@freganmitts·
The first day of class, as I always do, I discussed my syllabi, with special attention paid to my (strict ban) AI policy. I expected this to be a hard sell, esp to my large intro ethics class. Instead, I saw students high-fiving each other, whispers of "Yes!" around the room.
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@IanNolWriter @DarkMatter2525 @Rightanglenews Weird how the response to "This is a tragedy and our LEOs must do better" is different than the response to "This woman was a trained domestic terrorist who totally had it coming"
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Right Angle News Network
Right Angle News Network@Rightanglenews·
BREAKING - This man is going viral after revealing that the last woman shot by Minneapolis police was a White woman named Justine Damond, who was killed by a Somali officer after she called for help, and not a single Democrat spoke out or protested.
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
random("BREAKING", "JUST IN", "ALERT!") [ADMIN_LIAR] just announced that [ABSURD_CLAIM]! Looks like the [ACCURATE_CLAIM] narrative is FALLING APART! Elon plz gib $10,000 ty
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Spleenface
Spleenface@Spleenface·
@hyalophage I've never seen anyone put it quite so succinctly, thank you.
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Harper
Harper@_autophage·
watching it in theaters felt like a waking dream. i felt as though every actor in the movie was playing a prank on me in particular. theres nothing else like it.b
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Keşfet

@gfodor @cometsthatfall @DTrain_94 @crazy_lekiwi @PolitiReality @CynzGodzchild2 @TheTNHoller @BradenMTG