@clubsgti @MichaelPBento super bullish for econ or some shit like dat 😭🤡
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SlainedRooster
386 posts
I understand I took some heavy losses today to adjust my positions.
Not many expected this rally.
But what I will say for those calling for $750..
We ripped 10% in two to three weeks…
You really think we keep ripping after that with no healthy pullback?
Let’s be reasonable, realistic and objective here is all.
There is a lot of people drinking some insane kool-aid on this app.
$SPY $SPX #SP500
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@MichaelPBento aight cool, in the meantime let us puts holders scream to our hearts content please after all that hard merciless pounding
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@JohnLoc18 Dude the switch up is crazy I remember you yelling “Fuck You” and “ Bitch” and talking crazy shit when you were up🤣🤣🤣 Your down fall is amazing to see. Karma never fails
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It’s time to protect your gains and size small or you will end up being like me.
⛤@ihytage
I haven’t had a loss in almost 2 weeks , the key is to not get greedy ! $SPY
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$SPY I’ll be doing a lot of chart work this evening and I’ll post thorough analysis of what I expect next. I’ll post later in the evening or tomorrow morning. My original thesis is completely invalid now and I owned it. This will be a brand new plan with brand new levels and targets.
I’m still short but it’s tactical only right now. I don’t have the same targets or thesis as last week. It’s done and dusted. Moving onwards✌️
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@TraderJonesy They gonna make sure it goes above 700 to make sure every retail bear balls is squeezed to bursting pressure. Fuckin regret going short at 673 using inverse 3x etf spxu. Still holding. But unfortunately they gonna liquidate all retail above 700 and take out all stoplosses. Then
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This is not about the war anymore.
This is about the market and the #SP500 specifically approaching a level where institutions start stepping in.
This entire move up caught everyone off guard due to the light volume. Institutions allowed the move up and did not participate.
Will they sell it on the herd and retail as they buy the top? I think so.
There aren't many bears left on this app. I can think of three. Three names I have great respect for.
All I am saying is this. Don't buy into something that has been rejected and sold from institutions over the last three months.
If the move up from 630 happened on heavy volume like in April of 2025? I would be inclined to thinking it was "true" and a expansion higher was near.
But this entire move up was on very light volume. Institutions did not participate.
I am down, but not out. #SPX #SPY
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@MichaelPBento found someone commented why market has been pumping incessantly & irrationally. basically usa counter manipulate higher to reduce iran leverage on negotiation.
wdy think ?
x.com/i/status/20444…
Yazid@yzidniz
@fit_businessman 2 weeks of confusion on $SPY might be coming to an end soon. theory is that they're propping this up ahead of negotiations since they caught whiff of Iranians using market weakness to leverage the US. once we're past this war. It's over
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Spot VIX being red on the day while the front month VX is green on the day and the VVIX is also green on the day while the term structure is flattening from the deeper contango we've had on this run up is a sign that the spot VIX has found a floor.
Coupled with the resilience of oil and Treasury yields rising again we are probably looking at a topping day for stocks. I don't call exact tops but between these factors as well as the exhaustion signals on stock at yesterday's close I would not be surprised at an afternoon sell and a red Thursday (as if tradition). It all depends on how we close today.
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@yzidniz @fit_businessman nice theory, manipulate to reduce Iran's negotiation leverage. where did u hear that first ?
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@fit_businessman 2 weeks of confusion on $SPY might be coming to an end soon. theory is that they're propping this up ahead of negotiations since they caught whiff of Iranians using market weakness to leverage the US. once we're past this war. It's over
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@Yam_Trades @OptionsDepth wdtm systematics join ? more fuel higher ?!?! 🍆💦💦
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$SPX
Mid-Day Update
How I saw the day
Don't forget a special #MDFS at 1245 EST
Positioning from @OptionsDepth
the grind higher is possible.
Want to short.... wait for Spot up, Vol up...... Call skew isn't at extremes yet....
Think this "Fraud" rally sucks now - wait until Systematics join in on the fun!
Cumulative gamma Surface from @ConvexValue
-Getting tired......
Yamco@Yam_Trades
$SPX Market Data from @ConvexValue -Volatility expectations (Term structure) remains at the lows -GX surface -6770 gamma flip as of yesterday; Surface is very restrictive for additional upside. -Overnight straddle is~37 points giving us an ON straddle range of [6927, 7004] -Morning straddle is 28 and using spot 6965 gives us a range of [6937,6993] -Weekly Straddle remains [6707, 6925] -Overnight Volumes are average; equal put and call volumes; 7000 calls and 6900 puts highest volume nodes overnight. -Premarket POLR to 6980 Net Exposure from @OptionsDepth $SPX -Pivot is 6955 -Over pivot is 6970, 6985, 6995, 7005, 7020, 7025 -Under Pivot is 6945, 6930, 6915, 6900 Thoughts -Big Picture, we remain in a dip buying environment -Strength likely persists for 2 more weeks before a hiccup can occur (early May is my read) -We've reclaimed the POC from 12/17 lows ; logic says we should retrace part of this, but positioning indicates a move higher is possible - do not fight the trend! -Dispersion back at February highs and likely goes to a relative high into earnings season - This is a stock pickers market.
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@MichaelPBento at least i got until may 15 for my put condors 🥹
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When memes start flying, that’s usually a very bad sign for the rally
Cheddar Flow@CheddarFlow
"Efficient Markets"
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Given how close we are to the prior ATH I would not be surprised if we touch it today before a turn. Volume is completely gone and we are levitating right now.
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@TraderJonesy who were the 3 bers you respect? so i can folllow thrm too
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@Andrs63892935 @JohnLoc18 Wendy's always welcome diamond hands 🥹
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@JohnLoc18 Bruh but you got fired from your last job it’ll be tough to find a full time today I’m even struggling to find one in Ny
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Hello,
I’ll quit for a while and stack my money by working full time if the market doesn’t go red the rest of this week. And I still posting about $SPY on here but stop trading.
My mental health has been unstable lately, it’s been fun and I love every moment on here.
Loc
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@shujianzhai @Basssem666 sometimes i wish i was as retarded as call buyers during that first gap up 😭
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@Basssem666 a 10% pump within 10 days. when I looked at SPX daily chart, it is a 75 degree triangle. Scaring. I am not going to say pullback is warrented but whoever buy calls here, good luck to you. Do not forget fundamentals did not change if not worsened.
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@Yam_Trades @ConvexValue why u see potential hiccup in may ?
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$SPX
Market Data from @ConvexValue
-Volatility expectations (Term structure) remains at the lows
-GX surface -6770 gamma flip as of yesterday; Surface is very restrictive for additional upside.
-Overnight straddle is~37 points giving us an ON straddle range of [6927, 7004]
-Morning straddle is 28 and using spot 6965 gives us a range of [6937,6993]
-Weekly Straddle remains [6707, 6925]
-Overnight Volumes are average; equal put and call volumes; 7000 calls and 6900 puts highest volume nodes overnight.
-Premarket POLR to 6980
Net Exposure from @OptionsDepth
$SPX
-Pivot is 6955
-Over pivot is 6970, 6985, 6995, 7005, 7020, 7025
-Under Pivot is 6945, 6930, 6915, 6900
Thoughts
-Big Picture, we remain in a dip buying environment
-Strength likely persists for 2 more weeks before a hiccup can occur (early May is my read)
-We've reclaimed the POC from 12/17 lows ; logic says we should retrace part of this, but positioning indicates a move higher is possible - do not fight the trend!
-Dispersion back at February highs and likely goes to a relative high into earnings season - This is a stock pickers market.
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@saltydocEM eli5. im challenged. long term higher oil prices started to get priced in ?
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Tail end of the oil futures term structure for this year is not behaving the same way as last week.
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@in_Fidel_ @JohnLoc18 well deserved 100%. hopefully in the next hot streak he will be much humbler
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@JohnLoc18 You had your five minutes-just like every other trader,but you didn't make the most of it, just like 95% of them. As the saying goes: pride goes before a fall. When the big money came u post ferrari pictures and other bullshit about your former manager etc, Karma is a bitch bro.
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