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No Need To Hide
@Steph_Chrstn
FAirF ret et 30 years + OPEX Vet ! Expert Faucheurs et gros matous à pales côté 🤫…Fan d’Audiard et autres Tontons ! Mastodon @[email protected]




Leuk, le chien héros du commando Kieffer. En mars 2019, il a été déployé au Sahel aux côtés de son maître « Forest », où ses actions ont permis de sauver la vie de nombreux commandos marine à plusieurs reprises.


BREAKING: Qatar just told four countries their gas is not coming. For up to five years. QatarEnergy declared force majeure on long-term LNG contracts with Italy, Belgium, South Korea, and China on March 24. This is not a temporary disruption notice. This is the world’s largest LNG supplier telling major industrial economies that contractual obligations are suspended indefinitely because Iranian missiles destroyed the infrastructure required to fulfill them. The specifics matter. Iranian strikes on March 18 and 19 hit LNG Trains 4 and 6 at Ras Laffan Industrial City. Combined capacity: 12.8 million tonnes per annum. That is 17% of Qatar’s total LNG export capacity. QatarEnergy CEO Saad al-Kaabi told Reuters the damage will take three to five years to repair. Estimated annual revenue loss: $20 billion. ExxonMobil holds a 34% stake in Train S4 and 30% in Train S6. Shell is a partner in the damaged Pearl GTL facility, which will take approximately one year to repair. Train S4 supplied Italy’s Edison and Belgium’s EDFT. Train S6 supplied South Korea’s KOGAS, EDFT, and Shell’s operations in China. Those are not abstract numbers. Edison heats Italian homes. KOGAS powers South Korean industry. Shell’s China volumes feed the world’s largest energy importer. All of them just received force majeure notices with a repair timeline measured in years, not months. Al-Kaabi’s quote to Reuters is worth reading in full: “I never in my wildest dreams would have thought that Qatar would be in such an attack, especially from a brotherly Muslim country in the month of Ramadan, attacking us in this way.” Qatar accounts for roughly 20% of global LNG production. Approximately 80% of that went to Asia before the war. The country was in the middle of a $30 billion expansion to increase capacity from 77 MTPA to 142 MTPA by 2030. Al-Kaabi said the scale of the damage has set the region back 10 to 20 years. Now connect this to the rest of the matrix. Beyond LNG, QatarEnergy confirmed “materially reduced output” of condensate, LPG, helium, naphtha, and sulfur. Qatar produces one-third of the world’s helium. South Korea imports 64.7% of its helium from Qatar. Samsung and SK Hynix hold roughly six months of semiconductor-grade helium inventory. Helium spot prices have doubled. Even undamaged trains cannot export through a Strait of Hormuz where traffic has collapsed 95%, where 2,000 vessels are stranded, and where Iran is operating a selective vetting and toll system near Larak Island with at least two confirmed yuan-settled payments per Lloyd’s List. This force majeure is not a blip. It is three to five years of lost production compounding with a naval blockade, an insurance market that has priced itself out of the corridor, and a toll regime that Iran’s parliament is actively legislating into permanent law. Kuwait and Bahrain have also invoked force majeure. The dominoes are falling in sequence, not in parallel. The market is pricing a temporary oil shock. The molecule map says this is a multi-year structural reordering of global energy, semiconductors, and fertilizer supply chains running through a single contested waterway. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…


BREAKING: Afghanistan announces they will use suicide bomber battalions.


Iran just fired missiles at five countries simultaneously. Here is what actually happened to each of them. Bahrain. Confirmed hit on the US Navy Fifth Fleet headquarters. Bahrain’s own state news agency reported the strike. No casualty figures released yet. This is the command center for every American naval operation in the Persian Gulf. It was struck. UAE. Multiple missiles intercepted by Emirati air defenses. One civilian killed in Abu Dhabi from falling debris. The UAE defense ministry confirmed the intercepts. The Emirates just absorbed an act of war on its sovereign territory from a country it shares a maritime border with. Qatar. Missile intercepted. Zero damage. The Qatari Interior Ministry confirmed. The same country Iran just attacked is the country that hosted Al Udeid for twenty years as a gesture of regional balance. That balance ended this morning. Kuwait. KUNA state news agency confirmed missiles were “dealt with” in Kuwaiti airspace. No reported damage. Kuwait, which stayed neutral through every Gulf crisis since 1991, just had Iranian ballistic missiles flying over its cities. Jordan. Two Iranian ballistic missiles shot down by Jordanian military. Confirmed by the Jordanian armed forces directly. Jordan intercepted Iranian missiles in June 2025 as well. That was in defense of Israel. This time Iran targeted Jordan itself. Saudi Arabia. Fars News claims strikes. No confirmation from any Saudi source. No Tier 1 or Tier 2 verification. Either it did not happen or Riyadh is not yet ready to say it did. Both possibilities carry enormous implications. Now understand what Iran just accomplished strategically. In attempting to retaliate against Israel and America, the IRGC fired missiles at six sovereign nations in a single morning. Not one of those nations attacked Iran. Bahrain did not bomb Tehran. The UAE did not launch strikes on Isfahan. Qatar hosted diplomatic back channels. Kuwait maintained neutrality for three decades. Jordan was mediating. Iran just converted every neutral and semi-neutral state in the Gulf into a potential co-belligerent. Every nation whose airspace was violated, whose civilians were killed, whose sovereignty was breached now has legal and political justification to join whatever coalition forms next. And the damage tells the real story. One civilian dead from debris. Intercepts across four countries. No confirmed destruction of any US military asset. No reported American casualties among 40,000 troops in theater. Iran fired at the entire Gulf and the Gulf caught almost everything. Compare this to what Israel did to Tehran this morning. Precision strikes on the IRGC Intelligence Directorate. Explosions near the Supreme Leader’s office. Three detonations in central Tehran confirmed by Iranian state media itself. One side hit what it aimed at. The other side hit one civilian with debris. This is the asymmetry that will define the next 72 hours. Iran demonstrated intent to strike everywhere and capability to hit almost nothing. The Gulf states demonstrated they can defend themselves. And now those states must decide whether the country that just fired ballistic missiles across their borders gets to do it again. They will not let it happen again. Watch for the joint statement. Watch for airspace coordination between Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, Manama, and Kuwait City. Watch for the coalition that Iran just built against itself with a single salvo. Iran did not retaliate against Israel this morning. Iran gave every country in the Middle East a reason to retaliate against Iran.

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