SuperCoachRealm

Rugby league runs on hearsay, received wisdom and half-truths. So I spent 6 months building a model to work out what actually correlates with winning. Some of the answers surprised me. Today it launches (and punters should read to the end...) 👇 mikemeehallwood.substack.com/p/what-stats-a…

NRL SUPERCOACH REVIEW - ROUND 9 📉 Only just realised I hadn’t posted for round 9 so my apologies for the lateness. Last week turned out to be a bit rough, Lemuelu purchased didn’t race out of the barrier with a banger of a score but can’t determine if it’s a success or failure until the bye period scores come. Along with that Mooney outscoring Hau by 100 points was annoying as my NPR but that’s just what happens. Looking forward I need to find an option for Hau, not set on whether I go up or down yet. Latrell will be a hold for me this week with Faeamani out to a Newcastle option, I can go to Marzhew, Lucas, or Sharpe. #nrlsupercoach #supercoach #supercoachnrl

NRL SUPERCOACH TEAM UPDATE - Round 9 Tough decisions this week. The first trade was between Duncan and Isaako but with Bostock moving to the centres it became an easy choice. Missing the big one for Duncan sucks but he was averaging well in his 80 minute role so he is still value at the price. Second trade was much tougher, it was between Lemuelu/Wong/Willison/Fainu. I ultimately landed on Lemuelu for a few reasons. Firstly, the bye coverage is extraordinary for Lemuelu and as I’m low on trades getting in the best coverage is handy. Secondly, Lemuelu is known as an attacking second rower but this year he is only at 1 try scored but still averaging 64.7, I’m banking on him finding that attack again soon and pushing the 70 average mark. Captaincy is currently on Cleary but it’s realistically undecided between Cleary, Hynes, Latrell. Using the @BallrNRL team picker to showcase the side + rating 🔥 #nrlsupercoach #supercoach #supercoachnrl

NRL SUPERCOACH REVIEW - ROUND 8 📉 Out of the top 1k slightly but not at panic stations yet because I only had 17 players after trades last week. Was saved by my Sharks guns and Roosters purchases. Have had some regrets over recent purchases, Preston over Duncan turned out to be a big stinker 2 weeks ago and now I wish I held Kini for the matchup this week. Looking ahead, my numbers for the byes are solid except for Rd 13 and 18. Looking to move on Hudson Young and Joe Chan this round. Tallis Duncan the leading candidate along with potentially going pod with my second choice 👀 #nrlsupercoach #supercoach #supercoachnrl

Score polls from @SuperCoach_Hub and @scplaybook1

Top 20-man league averages: 3rd - 1434 4th - 1440 8th - 1436 Top 10-man league average: 1st - 1440 #NRLSuperCoach

Welcome, Drinky! ⚡️

@SuperCoachRealm Good luck this week coach!

NRL SUPERCOACH TEAM UPDATE - Round 8 All out Roosters attack this week (excluding Marky Mark). I said after last week I’ll continue to target my side so I can at least feel some happiness with the outcomes and this week is no different. I heavily considered two alternative options which were Kini to Koula and Young to May but ultimately landed on the Walker trade. No boosts left so getting Walker in means I not only have a goalkicking HFB on a good run but means I have money in the kitty for next week. The extra benefit of bringing in Walker is the flexibility to move Cleary on in round 12 to anyone via the flex position. Ultimately it’s a weak 18 this round with the likes of Hudson, Sasagi, Hau, and Lisati out meaning the guns of Going and Flegler fame get a run. Need the pods to step up big time. Using the @BallrNRL team picker to showcase the side + rating 🔥 #nrlsupercoach #supercoach #supercoachnrl

@TomSangsterSC @TedMan12p At that point may as well add FD, IT, TS, KD, SS

@TedMan12p We include missed tackles, penalties conceded and errors in base. It's a much more reliable guide of what a player will score without any attacking stats.

Cool new features added to SuperCoach Plus.

@Waynebotlord Missed tackles have always been apart of base and B+P, penalties and errors haven’t

@SuperCoachRealm I’ve always thought base and B+P has and should include the negative stats as well. You can’t ignore missed tackles when counting a players base

Okay so for the first time in history, base and B+P include penalties and errors. The actual SuperCoach team doesn’t know how base and B+P has been tracked the entire time

Feature would be good if they could get the stats right. First few players I checked all had incorrect stats for both base and B+P

Dean Young revealed he personally delivered the news of Kade Reed’s debut after being appointed Dragons interim coach, driving to the young playmaker’s house to tell him he’d be starting at halfback on Anzac Day. “I got told by Tim and Andrew last night around 5.30 that I’m going to be head coach for the remainder of the season,” Young said. “From there, I went home to tell my wife to buckle up. I apologised to my three kids about what’s gonna happen next, and then I got into the car and drove over to Kade Reed’s house and told him that he’s about to make his debut.”

NRL SUPERCOACH REVIEW - ROUND 7 📈 I’ve made my bed and now I’m lying in it. I used my final boost when Noah Martin was benched, sold him to Preston thinking he could go 120+ in the Parramatta matchup. Obviously things didn’t go that way and Martin would’ve been a great hold now than Hudson is out for the foreseeable future but that’s just how SuperCoach goes sometimes. New purchase Latrell was enormous as C, then tons from Herbie, Sasagi, Fa’alogo, and Cleary helped me crack 1500 and move up a handful of spots. Going early on Lisati last week and already holding Couchman means I can turn my attention to guns this week and I will be doing the same tactic that worked well for me last week: buy players who are playing against the Dragons. #nrlsupercoach #supercoach #supercoachnrl

Top 20-man league averages: 2nd - 1471 3rd - 1483 4th - 1457 9th - 1501 10th - 1492 Top 10-man league average: 1st - 1530 #NRLSuperCoach

I might’ve boosted 👀

NRL SUPERCOACH TEAM UPDATE - Round 7 The Trbojevic injury solidified my trades this week. Originally was locked in on Holmes to Trell but was unsure which direction I wanted to go with the second, but now that I need to move on Turbo next week I wanted to get a head start by getting Lisati. That way my 2nd/3rd trade next week is open and I’m not forced into a Lisati move missing out elsewhere in my squad. Was very tempted to use my last boost but decided to just hold Joe Chan, although if he is benched/out then I will boost him to Preston, KPP, or Duncan. Using the @BallrNRL team picker to showcase the side + rating 🔥 #nrlsupercoach #supercoach #supercoachnrl