Sure Thing WA

4/4 to cap off a ripper golden slipper day Takes it to +13.85U profit for the day after scratchings 🍫🍫

@RadzisBets thanks mate you too 🍻

@SureThingWA Go well mate!

Huge day of racing tomorrow, plays at Ascot: R3: Oscar’s Fortune 2U @ $2.60 R5: Aurum Belle 2.5U @ $2.05 R9: Bonjoy 1.75U @ $3.60 R10: Mallatier 2U @ $3.60 GL punters 🍫🚀

@PunterNcolector a slowly run very ellegant as well is not the ideal platform for sir delius to come off first up compared to his first up run last prep, he will improve no doubt but so will aeliena ready to peak and it’s very hard to see that 3.4L gap closing enough to turn the tables

The narrative of Aeliana only starting sub $3 once in her career and winning 4 from 16 as a negative to her chances on winning this Saturday is the most stupid point you can possibly make. She’s taken on the best of the best in the Via Sistina era last prep as a 3yo filly and clearly she’s come back a much better horse. Sir Delius was only a pass mark 1st up for me while Aeliana was going at the best horse in the country now gets out to a suitable trip 3rd up J Mac, gate 4, wet track not an issue she’s flying! If she’s not winning on Saturday then we can start talking about her being a ‘nonny’ and what not. Best bet on Saturday. 🔒💰

@ScottWeaver1970 @harro1102 scary how short i can mark it given its 1.85 still

@harro1102 @SureThingWA $1.35 for me, and marked the others generously 🤪

R9 Caulf One of the better bets of the month if not year (tropicus, in the oakleigh plate only thing trumping that). The current $1.90 looks tremendous value. If this was a handicap he would have to give single choice 10kgs and roulette king 17.5kg. Please PR. Max bet 🤑🙏🤞

@Racing_Previews @NicMcqualter @julesvbet What was bots stride frequency trying to get down to the tab when he saw $3 observer opening price

Big news punters. @NicMcqualter is holding @julesvbet to his bi-yearly ‘contract’ and he’s roped him in again for tonight’s podcast! 🎙️🎧 We’ll be chatting all things Caulfield with the William Reid and 5 Group 1s at Rosehill Gardens. Send in any questions below 👇🏼

@MitchellBazley the opening price of $3 vs autumn boy $2.10 was disrespectful

🚨𝐑𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐡𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐆𝐮𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐚𝐬 𝐓𝐢𝐩🚨 Observer is the bet in this year’s Guineas. 4 straight wins, dual G1 winner, and the only runner already proven not only beyond a mile, but 2000m. This horse is a winning machine. Barrier 2 lands him in the perfect spot in what looks a tactical race. He won’t give away a start, and he won’t be chasing. He absorbs pressure better than anything here - that wins him this.

@harro1102 might just be an outlier, jumped clean and first in last 2 runs before that, even if moderate away id say they will kick up and you’d think baraqiel would be happy to take a sit in the 1-1

@SureThingWA If you watch the overhead replay from the oakleigh plate tropicus half misses it. Any concern? Opens the door for baraquiel to cross tropicus too.

Jimmystar's Map If jigsaw gets the sole lead then he probs gets to 3 back the fence making his $2.30 quite skinny. If they boot up with tropicus who holds out jigsaw then he probs gets one back the fence. Headache. I think option 2 more lilkey then therefore bet. Thoughts?

@Racing_Previews basically $2.60 for zahra to find a gap good betting 🤞

@SureThingWA My thoughts are if he gets clear at any stage he pisses in, so $1.90-$2 is the right price. Good speed in the race, field strings out, MZ goes whack at the 200.

Best of the day btw. $2.60 boosted available Bet365

@mugspunting getting some very nice odds for this would be wary with jimmy in a multi though given the barrier, would probably rather throw like observer top 2 in there or even the win

Treasurethe Moment Plant Red Jimmysstar Aeliana Autumn Glow Is this not the easiest Favs multi of the year so far?

@realRick_AUS @FootyfanRoberto @mugspunting agree it’s not a race with huge early speed but tropicus and charm stone should definitely settle in front of him, and jigsaw may even cross to lead them all so could have 2 or 3 in front of him

@FootyfanRoberto @mugspunting No way. He can be ridden more forward than that

@MattLsAlot @FootyfanRoberto @Racing_Previews autumn boy wouldn’t have caught observer if he had any luck

@FootyfanRoberto @Racing_Previews Because all you need to do is watch the Caulfield Guineas

Price discrepancies that seem too big, going off max available: Ranvet Stakes Aeliana $1.65 Sir Delius $3.40 Rosehill Guineas Autumn Boy $2.15 Observer $2.90

@TravTurf @TheRacingShow is autumn boy running in the rosehill guineas?

Small field expected for Saturday's Ranvet Stakes at Rosehill Gardens. Sir Delius (C Williams), Aeliana (J McDonald), Lindermann (N Rawiller), Trinity College, and Stefi Magnetica, the horses confirmed to be running. @TheRacingShow

@Racing_Previews just to get beat up by autumn glow in the george ryder and sheza in the doncaster or even AG again. doesn’t make much sense when the rosehill guineas is there for the taking

Add Attica to a long list of horses looking for 2000m+ and not being afforded the opportunity. #placement

@punnterrrr @CheyPotier @Page1991Adam think the main reason is because it’s been lumped with 58kg

@CheyPotier @Page1991Adam lazzura will be more suited to this distance and savvy hallie and cinsuit will be less suited vernoa rose will improve they will be the two main hopes imo

Understandable given what happened last Saturday, but the J Mac is ripe this Saturday: Jambalaya R1 $4.40f (should be $10+) Lazzura R8 $4.60f (should be $7+) Militarize R9 $3.50f (should be at least double) Captain Furai R10 $3.50f (should be at least double)

@Racing_Previews saved you from a donation 😉

No MBLs for Sydney metro racing before race day is an absolute stain on the sport 😂

@richieplz @Racing_Previews oh still shows soft 6 for me and says 15mm rain expected on the day but didn’t look into it too much

@SureThingWA @Racing_Previews I don’t disagree with what you have said but RANDWICK will be a Good 4

Giga Kick’s one and only win at 1000m from five attempts came at his second start way back in 2022. Such an interesting proposition at $2.50 this weekend. Panels on them from a class perspective, but you’d think he’s looking for further now.