TCS

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TCS

TCS

@TCSCAP1TAL

Market Professional Buying Dips in Fundamental Uptrends since 2009

New York Katılım Nisan 2014
238 Takip Edilen616 Takipçiler
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TCS
TCS@TCSCAP1TAL·
My thesis for #uranium and nuclear power post 2022 when $nvda drove the AI narrative to the next level has a lot of similarities to the railroads being built in the 1800s at 1900s. One of the greatest wealth periods in history which created Titans of industry had very similar themes. The AI data center and semiconductor technological revolution will be a very similar investment cycle When you have such clear demand, it’s easy to have extreme conviction like the Vanderbilts did The uranium trade today is no different than investing in steel for the railroads It’s the most clear and obvious investment I’ve come across in my life. Those Titans built their fortunes by concentrating every penny they had into their highest conviction investments. They knew without any doubt the long-term direction of their investments. The uranium cycle works backwards and takes decades typically to build out. It is a slow process which requires more patience than brains. It’s easy to get distracted by day to day things like inflation reports or war in Iran but you must remember this is no different than investing in steel for the railroads in the 1800s “Buy Dips in Fundamental Uptrends™️” $ccj $nxe $ura $urnm
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Lepus
Lepus@LepusNox·
@Mr_Derivatives The only problem is the color. Make it red and it looks quite cool.
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$RACE -5% today tells you everything you need to know about the public perception of this $640k monstrosity:
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Uranium Insider
Uranium Insider@uraniuminsider·
UxC now joins TradeTech in reporting $93/lb. LT U3O8. This is the highest LT price since April 2008. Another +$3/lb. takes it to an ATH. Of course, inflation-adjusted ATH needs to breach $150/lb. That's coming this cycle.
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TCS
TCS@TCSCAP1TAL·
@SawyerMerritt I see why ferraris stock $race is down so much now
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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
Ferrari has just officially unveiled its first ever all-electric car, called the Ferrari Luce. • Starting price: $640,000 • Interior co-designed with Apple's former head of design, Jony Ive • Range: 280 miles (expected EPA) • Peak charging speed: 350kW • 122 kWh battery • 1,050 horsepower • 0-60mph: 2.4s • 800v • Four-door four-seater • Four electric motors • OLED screens • Weight: 4,982 lbs • Front motors spin to 30,000 rpm, rears hit 25,500 rpm • Car uses an accelerometer to capture real vibrations from the electric motors & rear chassis. An algorithm filters out unpleasant frequencies and amplifies only the more “musical” sounds. This can be heard inside and outside the car. • Paddle shifter on steering wheel changes how aggressively torque is delivered, with five different levels • The trunk has 21.1 cubic feet of space, the largest luggage capacity the company has ever offered • 197.6 inches long, about as long as a Tesla Model S U.S. deliveries start in Q2 2027. More photos in the thread below:
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MarraK
MarraK@0xmarrak·
@derrick_dao Being signed by whom? Who has signed a contract for this price? What duration? TIA
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Derrick Dao
Derrick Dao@derrick_dao·
Uranium term contracts are being signed at $150/lb. Spot is in the mid-$80s. That $65 gap is the price of a supply chain that isn’t built yet. Utilities aren’t overpaying — they’re paying what it costs to incentivize new mine development, and spot can’t clear that bar. The US produces less than 1% of global enrichment capacity while SMR power commitments to AI data centers have doubled from 25 GW to 45 GW in 18 months. You don’t solve an enrichment deficit with executive orders. You solve it with a decade of capital commitments. That window is now.
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TCS
TCS@TCSCAP1TAL·
Anyone who actually manages money knows the dollar amount generated in returns is far more significant than % return. Any idiot can start with $10 and claim 100% return that doesn’t mean anything Once the portfolio grows into multiple mms and billions its all about absolute return in dollars This might be the dumbest thing i’ve heard in 2026
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
I don't post dollar amounts because they don't matter. What matters is return %. Speaking of that... YTD: 3840.39%. I'm probably the only one in the world. Who called out multiple names that 10x'd in a short timeframe. Do you remember these thesis anon? 1. $AXTI 2. $SIVE 3. $AAOI 4. $LITE 5. $IQE 6. $AEHR 7. $CRCL 8. $EWY 9. Unimicron 10. Nitto Boseki 11. $OSS 12. $GDRZF 13. $RPI 14. $SOI 15. $ALRIB 16. $SNDK 17. $SIMO 18. $VPG 19. $TSEM 20. $ARM 21. $MRVL 22. $INTC 23. $LPK 24. $NBIS 25. $MU They're all up 100-1000%+, because... 1. I post a thesis. 2. People can see how the stock performs months later. 3. They turn out right (thesis validation) because they're up hundreds of percent + hold their returns. I really dislike the traditional X influencer who shows large dollar amounts or fancy watches/cars/private jets. Then use that to get more by selling expensive subscriptions rather than through market returns. So trying to set a new trend off pure information discovery/synthesis from free thesis posts and the results that follow in terms of return percentages. TLDR: Market returns in terms of percentages matter the most to validate a thesis. Not the dollar amount made.
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krasko@krasko1199362

@aleabitoreddit Notice there's no dollar amount attributed

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TCS
TCS@TCSCAP1TAL·
Decided to just sell call spreads instead of sell shares. Essentially wrote an iron condor around the uranium position to play for sideways to slightly down price action over the next 1-2 weeks
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TCS
TCS@TCSCAP1TAL·
@DietCoke82 Yup walk in the morning, take care of work. Brunch around 11, workout 12-1 Plenty of energy through the rest of the day
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Joe Christensen
Joe Christensen@DietCoke82·
Not sure why but I have a real urge to switch up my whole morning routine and start working out in the middle of the day!? Anyone out there do midday work out and like it?
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GSP
GSP@GlobalStockPick·
The SpaceX and potential OpenAI IPOs will drain an unprecedented amount of liquidity from the market, how will the markets react to this?
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TCS
TCS@TCSCAP1TAL·
I am beginning to have some concerns over the spacex ipo and ultimately the open ai ipo The absurd valuations will ultimately get dumped on retail and cause a massive liquidity drain on the overall market The same speculative investors who bet on ai infrastructure, high beta tech, and crypto will be forced to sell some of their positions to raise enough capital to trade the ipo’s Into today’s strength I am trimming $nbis $be $cifr and a few other high beta tech companies that have made tremendous gains this year I also do not like the price action in #uranium thus far this week, i expected a much more significant bounce with the rest of the tech names bouncing strong. I fear a lot of the same investors/traders in the sector are tied to the same speculative nature as crypto and the sectors i mentioned previously This could also drain liquidity from the U sector making it dead money until a major news catalyst catapults spot back above term pricing in the mid 90’s I did not anticipate this random pullback in the uranium mining sector, I don’t see the logic behind the selling at all personally but markets can stay illogical for long periods of time and id rather wait for new buying demand to show itself before allocating more capital Will update additional portfolio moves as i make them, for now im thinking of reducing some U exposure down from about 115% back to 85-90% so i have plenty of powder to buy the next dips much more aggressively The last two weeks took the year to date gains from 50% down to 37% and i don’t want to be over leveraged into these IPO’s Adjust your risk accordingly, just my 2c
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TCS
TCS@TCSCAP1TAL·
@Jason______A Look at the girl posting it, not rage bait 💀
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Jason Applebaum
Jason Applebaum@Jason______A·
I just dont believe asking a girl to split the bill on a date is a thing .... I read about it / hear about it but It has to be rage bait right?
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illuminati
illuminati@thmoneycircle·
Won't work. They are poor for a reason, and it's not taxes. It's financial education and spending habits. We would be better off taking their tax revenue and investing it in financial education for youth, or just poor people in general. If you don't change the habit, you don't change the outcome.
Jeff Bezos@JeffBezos

Thank you. The important part is zeroing out taxes on the bottom half. Best way to put money in someone’s pocket is to not take it out in the first place. Bottom half is only 3% of total tax revenue. But it’s very meaningful to that person. Zero it out.

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Z@ZeeContrarian1·
That’s why you don’t put 100% into one position. And that’s why I personally won’t go above 30% on any single idea. If I’m completely wrong, truly wrong I think my downside is around 20%. On a 30% position, that’s about a 6% hit to the portfolio, which I can live with on my highest-conviction idea. But if I’m right, I think the upside could be 200%, which would translate into roughly 60% upside on the portfolio. At least to me, that risk-reward makes sense.
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Z@ZeeContrarian1·
Go Big or Stay Average A few days ago I wrote about limiting beliefs. This is the year in my career where I actually become wealthy, where the returns are so insane that even for me, it’s hard to fully accept them. And because of that, I catch myself hedging, selling covered calls, trying to “manage” the upside. But if there’s one thing you can learn from Leopold, the 24-year-old kid who became a billionaire last year, and something I’m still learning myself, it’s this: When you have a high-conviction position that you understand better than anyone else, you go all in and you leave it alone. You let it run. 1% to 3% positions won’t change your life. You don’t put your best ideas at 2%, 3%, or 5% of your portfolio. If your conviction is real, you put at least 10% into it. Otherwise it’s almost a waste of time. But this only comes after proving to yourself, again and again, that your process works. That the logic you developed, the pattern recognition unique to you, consistently finds winners. That’s why it has to be your way. When I buy a stock I deeply understand, I now put 20% into that position, look at $ZIM, $URGN, $AMZN look at $STAA. In a new position I started this week I already put 30% of my portfolio, more on that on Monday. People who copy me put 1%, 2%, maybe 5%. And that’s the difference: Only when you’ve done the work yourself do you have the conviction to go big. As long as you genuinely believe your research is exceptional, and you’ve proven to yourself over and over again that you can identify winners better than the crowd, then let the position reach its full potential. Stop capping it with hedges. Stop selling away the upside with covered calls. Stop doing things that protect you emotionally but limit what the position can ultimately become.
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TCS
TCS@TCSCAP1TAL·
Sentiment in #uranium feeling uglier than it was in the lows of march Chart setups have now shifted from multiple failed breakouts to breakdowns Any short term uranium tourists have been flushed Only those with long term conviction and longer timeframes are holding here Combine that with massively improved fundamentals since march, and its generally a recipe for success Long term contracting made new aths again in april Just need 1 news catalyst to rocket us back into the short timeframe trends Unfortunately spot does need to make a move back above 90 this time before the morons running institutions and utilities wakeup to the reality that the deficit of 1.3b pounds into 2040 is actually now 2.5b into 2045 Add another 138m lbs to the current 200m lb replacement rate it is today and you have an average of 338m lbs per year that needs to be contracted in the next 9 years… Wake the hell up people
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TCS
TCS@TCSCAP1TAL·
Every month we get closer to 2029 the inevitable reality of secondary supply deficits grows larger. Market tends to price things 18/24 months in advance so we are getting closer by the week to the future becoming reality Buy when the sentiment is low, and prices are being sold for cheap relative to the guaranteed reality that prices will be at least double by 2028/29 We can confirm that reality with the prices microsoft and major companies are paying to lockup supply a decade+ at $150 contracts already Just think where term contracting will be in 2 years when the primary supply is all contracted out and new buyers wake up to the fact they were sold a lie of new mines like $nxe producing 29mm lbs before 2030 The investment requires immense patience and ignoring short term macro fluctuations, but i promise the majority are not bullish enough for whats coming
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Piotr Turek
Piotr Turek@rekurencja·
Don't be surprised if uranium equities keep bleeding in the coming months because any combination of the below: - "AI capex bubble pops" - NASDAQ pulls back heavily on failed/challenged trillion $ IPOs - FED fails to deliver rate cuts - summer doldrums in utility activity Uranium has always been and remains the story of utility contracting for years ~2029 and onward, combined with new supply underperformance. It is NOT an SMR or AI demand growth play. The problem is that utilities don't think they need to contract this year while too many people bought because of SMRs and/or AI.
GIF
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TCS
TCS@TCSCAP1TAL·
Todays adds, they feel shitty but capitulatory selling into memorial day is likely a decent add for the summer $urnm $urnj $ura $hood $sofi $tsla $nxe $dnn
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TCS@TCSCAP1TAL·
The market goes where it embarrasses the majority. If you are right know where that level is and why to anticipate what actions you need to take in advance if trading/investing on shorter timeframes If you are caught offsides, knowing where the most pain is likely for most is important to either add at that level when stops have been flushed out and selling pressure slows or/ Knowing where to define your risk and exit the position. Just understand the tax Implications of a short term adjustment for a long term investment I got caught slightly offsides on this recent pullback in uranium with the fake breakout i loaded up into… But my timeframe is many months to years so im only adding where i see the most value now without over leveraging that could force me to sell prematurely #Uranium fundamentals are improving every week, and i have no problem pushing my portfolio leverage from 110% allocation as it is now to 200%+ if the opportunity presents enough asymmetrical risk reward
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