THEDFX 📈

Psychology doesn’t create skill… it reveals it. If there’s no edge, mindset won’t save you. But if there is an edge, poor psychology will destroy it. Real traders work on both: Build competence → then build consistency.

@unusual_whales it’s a major chokepoint disruption with real implications for energy prices and global trade. I don't like where this is going to

Iran: The Strait of Hormuz is closed

@KobeissiLetter In modern conflict, the battlefield is digital as much as it is physical.

BREAKING: Iran-linked hackers were behind the hack of FBI Director Kash Patel's personal email, per Reuters. Details include: 1. Iran-linked Handala Hack ​Team has now publicly claimed ‌the breach 2. Hackers published photographs of Kash Patel and his purported ​resume 3. A sample of the material uploaded ‌by ⁠the hackers and reviewed by Reuters appears to show a mix of personal and work correspondence ​dating between ​2010 ⁠and 2019 4. The hackers published a statement saying that Patel "will now find his ​name among the list of successfully hacked victims" A DOJ official has said the material published by the hacker group "appears authentic."

@DeItaone In modern conflict, the battlefield is digital as much as it is physical.

DOJ OFFICIAL SAYS THAT KASH PATEL MATERIAL PUBLISHED BY IRAN-LINKED HACKER GROUP APPEARS AUTHENTIC

@DeItaone Cyberattacks at this level aren’t just intrusions — they’re psychological operations that aim to shake confidence and influence narratives

🚨 IRAN-LINKED HACKERS BREACH FBI DIRECTOR'S EMAIL Iran-linked group Handala Hack Team claims to have hacked FBI Director Kash Patel’s personal email, posting photos and his alleged resume online. A sample reviewed by Reuters shows emails from 2010–2019, mixing personal and work correspondence. A Justice Department official confirmed the breach, though details remain scarce. The FBI and the hackers have not commented further.

@KobeissiLetter Trump’s deal was meant to curb Russian oil flows… But market realities — pricing, demand, and geopolitics — often override agreements

BREAKING: Russia has agreed to further increase crude ​oil sales to India, now set to double from January's levels to 40%+ of India's total imports, per Reuters. Just 2 months ago, President Trump alleviated tariffs on India in a deal for the country to stop buying Russian oil. Today, the US is rolling back sanctions on Russian oil and India is set to buy more oil from Russia than ever. Asia is scrambling for oil and gas.

@DeItaone it underscores how cyber conflict is now part of geopolitical warfare, not just espionage

🚨 IRAN-LINKED HACKERS CLAIM BREACH OF FBI DIRECTOR'S EMAIL: RTRS

@BRICSinfo In times like this, traders aren’t just watching barrels… They’re watching geopolitics in motion.

JUST IN: 🇷🇺🇺🇦 Russian oil producers warn buyers of possible supply disruptions as Baltic ports face drone attacks from Ukraine.

@TKL_Adam They can’t control supply shocks, only demand. Hike now → risk labor market collapse. Hold off → inflation spirals.

The Fed's worst nightmare is materializing in front of our eyes. What is often overlooked is that the Fed primarily controls demand-side inflation, not supply-side inflation. In other words, it can influence how much people borrow and spend, but it cannot directly increase supply, like producing more oil. This means that in the case of a supply-shock, as we are seeing now with energy prices, the Fed often has to overcompensate on the demand-side to contain inflation, and vice-versa. During the pandemic in 2020, this meant effectively cutting interest rates to zero, as lockdowns triggered a sharp collapse in demand alongside widespread supply disruptions. With oil and gas prices skyrocketing, our models suggest US CPI inflation is set to rise toward 3.5%, or 150 basis points above the Fed's long-run target. In a vacuum chamber, this means the Fed should tighten policy and theoretically hike rates. However, the issue becomes the fact that the US labor market is objectively at its weakest point in years, and it has not improved despite recent Fed easing. Therefore, if the Fed hikes interest rates now, the US is positioning itself for a full-blown labor market crisis. On the flip side, if the Fed does not tighten its policy stance, US CPI inflation could potentially even exceed 4.0%, depending on how long the Iran War persists, and how long the post-war recovery takes. In a sudden turn of events, the Fed is now forced to pick between 3.5%+ inflation or 5.0%+ unemployment. The Fed is in a very bad spot.

@unusual_whales When the market hears the same catalyst too many times, the reaction gets weaker — not because the risk is gone, but because positioning has already adjusted

"Trump put fading... due to headline fatigue," per Barclays

@KobeissiLetter When senior officials get compromised, the question shifts from “what was accessed?” to “what else is vulnerable?” In a digital world, security risks don’t stay isolated. They ripple into trust, policy, and market sentiment.

BREAKING: The DOJ says FBI Director Kash Patel’s personal email has been breached by hackers.

@DeItaone Oil near $100 isn’t just an inflation story — it’s a confidence drain on consumers, liquidity, and risk appetite

OIL SHOCK COULD TRIGGER 10% STOCK SELLOFF Guggenheim warns U.S. stocks could drop up to 10% if oil stays near $100 for several months. The bigger risk isn’t inflation but a hit to consumer and investor sentiment—potentially breaking the retail “buy-the-dip” habit that has supported markets. While oil may ease and stocks stabilize, elevated prices still tighten conditions and weigh on growth, leaving markets more fragile.

@DeItaone Markets don’t crash from fear alone… They reprice when uncertainty lasts longer than expected. 📉

CITI CUTS US STOCKS ON PROLONGED WAR RISK Citi is reducing exposure to U.S. equities, warning the Iran conflict is unlikely to end quickly and is raising downside risks. The bank cut its small-cap overweight to zero and moved overall equity allocation to neutral, citing oil shocks, weak macro signals, and tightening liquidity. Markets are already under pressure, with major indexes nearing correction territory, while Citi warns limited panic so far leaves room for further declines if tensions escalate.

@DeItaone When senior officials get compromised, the question shifts from “what was accessed?” to “what else is vulnerable?” In a digital world, security risks don’t stay isolated. They ripple into trust, policy, and market sentiment

DOJ OFFICIAL SAYS FBI DIRECTOR'S PERSONAL EMAIL WAS BREACHED BY HACKERS

@DeItaone The market doesn’t just move on data… It moves on what that data implies for the next move from policymakers

*UMICH MARCH 1-YR INFLATION EXPECTATIONS AT 3.8% VS PRELIM. 3.4% *UMICH FINAL MARCH CONSUMER SENTIMENT FALLS TO 53.3; EST. 54

@unusual_whales Higher long-term yields tighten financial conditions, pressure valuations, and force risk assets to reprice

Treasury 30-year yield rises to 4.986%

@BRICSinfo This isn’t just mockery — it’s psychological positioning.

JUST IN: 🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iranian parliament speaker mocks the United States, says it "can't even protect its own soldiers" in the region. How will it "protect them on our soil?"

@KobeissiLetter The war: already knew. Oil: already knew. Bonds: already knew. VIX: already knew. Polish PM: already knew. Chinese ships: already knew. The Nasdaq: just got the memo. Filed it officially. In correction. Thank you for your patience.

BREAKING: The Nasdaq 100 is now officially in correction territory, down -10% from its October 2025 high.

@DeItaone The target list is expanding. The definition of military objective is doing a lot of work right now.

IRAN SAYS STEEL PLANTS IN ISFAHAN TARGETED BY US-ISRAEL STRIKES

@unusual_whales One stock. Cars. Rockets. Satellites. Robots. AI. Solar. Internet. The last time one company controlled this many critical infrastructure layers we called it a government

Tesla, $TSLA, and SpaceX to merge by 2027, per Wedbush

@KobeissiLetter Bessent: not a choke point. Trump: suspend the gas tax. Savings: 18.4 cents per gallon. The global energy market is on fire. Literally. In three locations. Simultaneously.

BREAKING: Russian oil producers are warning buyers about possible "force majeure" on oil supplies as Baltic ports face new Ukrainian drone attacks. 40% of Russia's oil export capacity is about to come to a halt amid drone strikes. Asia's energy crisis is about to accelerate.