$Billy on ₿itcoin 🐱

👀

@Peter_thoc Hi Timmy...

Bitcoin All At 200 week MA. Also hitting over sold for first time since Luna crash. Let's see if it holds.

@Peter_thoc Hi Timmy, How does this make you feel?

Bounce at 1.618 More bullish from lower prices. This is by no means an easy day in the markets! Build your conviction based on your research! avoid flip flopping based on the chart..

@Peter_thoc Hi Timmy, Can you say, "lower low"?

IS THE BOTTOM IN FOR CRYPTO?! I feel like it's either in or close to being in. This is my personal opinion. Opinions are like arseholes.. We all have one, if my opinion is different from yours, i'm ok with it. Here's my reasoning.... The whole timeline is screaming for $70k, $58k, $30k, this means most people have got out. Meanwhile we are going to see insane money printing coming this year. QE = liquidity = price go up. The theatre of the last few days... the coordination was spectacular.. to flush the last few out of crypto to create more liquidity for buyers at lows and push them to go to create more liquidity for sellers at highs.. The final shakeout was done by major exchanges offering access to gold and silver whilst precious metal prices were soaring.. + Conveniently telling the whole crypto market that USDT Tether was buying gold and not crypto just 48 hours before. I think we will look back on the last few days in a couple of months time and realise how simple it all was.. however it never feels like that in the moment!

@Peter_thoc Good for you, Timmy Ignorance is bliss Enjoy ;)

@TakeitLikeaMen Makes me smell opportunity. Like a freshly baked croissant on a frosty Sunday morning

PATIENCE is required. Zoom out. Crypto since its inception has gone up and down because of QE... not because of a halving, not because of a calendar, not because of news, not because of hype... Simply just liquidity. Add liquidity, crypto goes up, restrict liquidity it goes down..

@billydollarcat There is no 2nd $BILLY

The narrative remains... $BILLY to a Billy 🫡

@Peter_thoc Hi Timmy, Is this your pivot to self-help guru?

IMPORTANT If you have got a lot of time you are spending watching crypto charts, reading tweets and praying it will go back up Then STOP that right now!!! Because you are just procrastinating... The true path for success is to build your income.. You've made your investments in crypto, you're holding because you have conviction. Now you just need to wait for your egg to hatch in 2026, staring at it won't make it hatch faster.... For now if you really want to build your success, put that time to better use.. Think about how you can add extra income somehow... Maybe start creating content on X about what you've learned in crypto, maybe make youtube videos about how to fix cars (or whatever your skill is) .. How about e-commerce, or building ai agents, or learning new skills / trades offline, whatever it is. It doesn't really matter, but if you really want to change your luck you can! You just have to start. Take ownership, blame no one and get started!!! OR get offline and enjoy the christmas holidays for a week, then hit 2026 running!! it's yours for the taking! Tell me your goal down below and what you're doing / going to do to achieve it!

@Zero2HeroZombie To infinity and beyond

More than 2M $ICP has been minted yesterday which is the largest mint in the last year and a half. Disbursed Voting Rewards are rapidly increasing. Most likely, large whales/Seed Investors are claiming their rewards. This is the second large Mint this month. The spikes that you may see on the chart around the 13th/14th of the month are rewards being paid to Node Providers. Obviously, this could potentially add a lot more selling pressure on the Open Market. Data: @icterminal

@PierreSamaties UFWIJ IFYKY

Best place to get a Motoko Ghost?

Hey guys! No show today, see you all tomorrow.

@ZssBecker saylor is selling over

You are going to blink and crypto will suddenly be in a perma uptrend. The bottom will have been obvious. Your only worry being missing out on the next weekly runner. You'll be wondering why you didn't buy more and promise to next time. You'll see.

@Peter_thoc Hi Timmy, How does this make you feel?

When the markets are in fear it's much easier to get you to believe the bearish narrative that the bullish one.

@crypto_birb @tradingview that's basically where I'm at too

hear me out

@cryptomanran you said the bottom was $95k

@TedPillows Denial

Denial?

@astronomer_zero "Fear is everywhere. People talking about waiting out the price action, telling you the bull run is over, telling you to be on the sidelines." All the normie influencers are still bullish and they are always wrong. CT is overall still long despite bearish sentiment

$BTC - There is a 91% chance the weekly bottom is in (plus or minus a sweep). In other words, 91% chance there will be no weekly closes below the current low. Fear is everywhere. People talking about waiting out the price action, telling you the bull run is over, telling you to be on the sidelines. This post is not saying new ATH's are guaranteed to come. For that, I will provide other analysis. We first need to call the bottom before even thinking about new ATH's. Yes, I do promise new ATH's. But this post is not about that. This post is about not selling, about not falling for the sentiment that the "bull run is over" and about instead getting excited about these prices. Because, the fear is all just a narrative. One that didn't arise at 125k, one that didn't even arise when we were at 110k and kept dropping. None of that was called for, and here it is, the sentiment in full swing, suddenly, and at the worst time. So this post isn't only to silence the "it's over" or "be careful" or "wait for the trend" posts (whether subtly or loudly), but also to, if the bear market indeed started, to prevent you from selling now (nfa) at the worst time. Because once we do get the move I keep on calling and calling and calling, the narrative will change again. "The bull run is back", "The trend has shifted", and all other quotes that promote you to buy high, sell higher, or more frequently : panic sell lower. Indeed, this post is telling you to NOT wait for the trend change. Because that will just sucker you in on the next local high. Selling now, is going with the sentiment, and waiting for the trend to change is also going with the sentiment. So no matter where you entered or are yet to enter, I have good news, because one of my core chart elements tells me there will be no weekly closes anymore below the current low, before seeing 112k and + (118k) with a 91% chance. So forget about waiting for the "trend", or being careful, or fearing your hold in essence from reading the in-between-the-lines of almost every post out there. I have an analysis telling you the exact opposite, to help you get in before the trend. (Buy before the trend, sell into the trend). The analysis It's one of my favorite types of analyses, the one of capitulation volume. "True capitulation" is where high volume sells, and gets absorbed by even higher volume. The extraction of large funds and companies (the whale degens i.e. the victims) by liquidity generating whales (the winners) So how do we find capitulation volume? It's again the rule of three, which is everywhere in trading markets. For those reasons, this rule is also often abused and overused. Trading isn't as simple as "just use the rule of three". So I like to do my own approach called "the layered rule of three", layered underneath an effective trait of markets. Here, the layer is the volume of weekly (=bull-bear cycle core timeframe) candles. So the essence here of the layered rule of three is simple: if three candles in a row go red with respectable volume peaking above all else, that's capitulation and a bottom. The complexity of this analysis goes beyond it, and it's a bit more nuanced (two small candles could add to large ones, and small green volume candles or retests do not reset the three-in-a-row red streak) But other than that, in simple terms: that's it. I always encourage you to back test and crosscheck for yourself what the action looked like in history. Never believe anything randomly without getting the feel and nature of it yourself first. So for your own reference, I'm giving you the weekly candles where it happened before according to my calibration (with local order flow verification, just as confirmation, not relevant here): 31 March 2025 2 Sep 2024 17 Jan 2022 21 Jun 2021 9 March 2020 18 Nov 2019 26 March 2018 17 Aug 2015 11 Aug 2014 2 more dates prior, not given They all give the pre-historic capitulation volume (on aggregated spot volume BTC:INDEX charts). And from the closes of these candles, price moved either ➡️At least 35% before continuing the bear market (would lead us to 118k) (2 out of 11 times) when ignoring the covid crash which was just a short term shakeout) ➡️Or new ATH's, continuing the bull run (8 out of 11 times) ➡️Or kept going down (1 out of 11 times) So that also answers from one statistical angle that the bull run is not over with a probability of 75%. Add that on top of the 112k is 99% certainly coming, as you know I am very confident in that level. And 118k (the 35% move), has a 91% chance of coming, as per analysis here (10/11 = 91%). Summary So that's it. A very strong and daring call to tell you the bottom is close, no new weekly closes below the current weekly low (a small wick below is possible, who cares), before 112k with a 99% chance, 118k with a 91% chance (this analysis), and the bull run continuing with a chance of 75% chance (new ath's). That is just 1 statistic. There is way, way more to it. I spend 12 hours a day (re)fin(d)ing these. Here is just another big one to give you a strong idea, continuing the theses, despite my mistake of closing the last long. Analysis still holds, execution mistakes are always possible, the sized and fresh large capital from selling other type of assets is reopened on spot instead and is the current one being run in the journey of trades. Hope this clears up the timeline of all the "trend shift waiters" or bear market believers. Enjoy.

@Peter_thoc All the normie influencers are still bullish Normie influencers always send the pigs to slaughter There are no exceptions This is the circle of life Thanks for playing

I think people will be calling deadcat bounce all the way up to $100k+ I think a correction is possible on way back towards highs... But the deadcat bounce will be fake and many will then fomo one BTC hits $115k + This means most took maximum losses selling into last week and will wait to buy once recovery has been completed..

@cryptomanran you longed at $105k, he shorted who's laughing now?

🤣

@joshistrading personally aiming for $37.8k

I'll be bullish again at $30,000 Everything else is just for trading.

@DaoKingdom how low will $ICP go in the bear market?

If this is a bear market the best projects you can buy are ones like $ICP with real products and real technology. If this is a setup for a real alt season, ICP will still outperform the massive pump alts will get. Either way I don’t see a better place to invest.