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I recently tried my luck with BTC Up or Down on PF.
pretty solid for a beginner I'd say.
if you wanna try too, here you go predict.fun/?ref=30DC4
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Idefix
1.4K posts
Idefix
@Team_Idefix
prediction market maxxing https://t.co/Q0xXXhxhd8 https://t.co/B5ClAv4vxz
Katılım Ağustos 2023
789 Takip Edilen1.6K Takipçiler
@Nanavo96 @rinneXBT @Polymarket Look at the first screenshot.
Up share costs over 70ern while current price is under the Price to beat.
Somebody was buying massive amounts of up shares at a point where BTC was in negatives, which makes absolutely no sense of he wouldn’t know that BtC would go up right after
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@rinneXBT @Polymarket This is far from being manipulation in this case; several seconds passed and the BTC moved normally. Aside from the fact that Chainlink uses prices from various CEX exchanges, this post makes no sense at all.
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perfect example of price manipulation on @Polymarket
it is no longer happening on just the 5 min predictions
below is 1 hr btc prediction 👇🏻
(1st pic) btc is below target price yet manipulators are buying "UP" shares from the orderbook
they wait till last 2 secs and sc#m pump btc in the last moment (2nd pic)
crazy ikr, but it's possible on low liquidity days like weekends
so why would I trade on a platform that allows scammers to thrive?
poly should look for culprit wallets and penalize them to preserve integrity
can't believe these same wallets will win 6-7 figures from poly airdrop
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@TheVeryLucky888 How do you gain an edge though if you cross the spread aka pay the extra amount since you are the taker?
Where is the advantage here over provincial the liquidity thus „profiting“ the spread?
Or did I mix up something here
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@Team_Idefix Simply put crossing the spread is just making a taker trade.
The spread is the difference between the best resting order on either side (if a market is 54@56 the spread is 2c).
Crossing means the price I pay involves taking on the extra buffer of the spread.
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The March Madness markets are interesting because theyre super liquid, but they're not nearly as efficient as other markets that are that liquid. Its attracted a lot of blind liquidity
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Typically, I make most of my money providing resting liquidity, but in these markets Im making more by crossing the spread.
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If ghostfill issues drove you away from Polymarket, whether up/down markets or any markets I completely understand. But please give it another shot. It’s now working better than ever, and if there’s anything in the UI that could make your experience even better, we want to hear it. We’re building the best defi prediction product user-first, one improvement at a time.
Josh@devjoshstevens
The release everyone was waiting for is now live. Ghost fills dropped from a peak of 30% to 0.17% with the rollout, and will continue trending toward 0% throughout the day. We know this issue was hurting everyone's experience and we're truly sorry for that but it should now be night and day. This was a significant core protocol change and we're incredibly proud of the whole team for executing it. We'll keep improving our systems, step by step, until we're the best exchange in the world.
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Idefix retweetledi
I recently tried my luck with BTC Up or Down on PF.
pretty solid for a beginner I'd say.
if you wanna try too, here you go predict.fun/?ref=30DC4
English
Idefix retweetledi
Predictions just got a whole lot more streamlined.
@chainlink now powers our high-speed, 15-minute markets.
Now live for BTC.
news.predict.fun/predict-fun-ad…
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@MintFlowXyz @PolymarketDevs this affects new users not existing ones
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@PolymarketDevs Bro all builders will move to hyperliquid if you still adding these unwanted changes
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Deposit Wallets launch tomorrow May 4, 12:30 UTC. Up to 30 min downtime to fix the ghost fills issues users have been experiencing
Things will get better and better throughout the day as the rollout spreads
⚠️ Devs: New API key orders now use ERC-1271, update payloads + clients
UI Users: nothing changes.
docs.polymarket.com/trading/deposi…
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@PolymarketDevs @Polymarket Is this a breaking change for existing API traders or just new? “New API key orders” could mean either… does the new refer to the the orders of the API keys
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Idefix retweetledi
saying "hello" to Claude on the Pro plan now costs 2% of your entire session usage
one message. "hello, how are you?" that's it.
this is why people are mass migrating to Codex right now because its literally impossible to reach limits
anthropic needs to fix this before they lose the crazy amount of developers they just gained
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@mahera777 @PolymarketTrade If he bets less than 1$ per position, how could there be a $48 -> 1020$ bet?
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Trader made over $1,000 by betting just $48 on the weather on Polymarket
He has 1,420 predictions with a total winnings of $25,700 with a good win rate
This trader is like a meteorologist who controls the weather because he bets every day
His strategy is simple:
- Buys YES only below 10-15c
- Buys NO only above 40-50c
- Still risks <$1 per position
The most successful bets:
- $48 -> $1020
- $127 -> $1221
- $107 -> $1327
Small bets + small price = positive profit over time
profile: @0xf2e346ab?via=mahera777" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xf2e346ab?vi…
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Idefix retweetledi
This is a GOP candidate simulating the execution-style killing of a bound migrant
JD Vance@JDVance
I call upon all of our supporters to stop the violence against innocent beer cans. And I call upon all left wing radicals to stop inciting violence against innocent people.
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Idefix retweetledi
A bulletproof vest could not have saved Charlie Kirk; he was shot in the neck.
The security he had did not save or protect him.
If he had a gun, it wouldn’t have mattered either, because the shot was reportedly from a sniper 200 yards away.
The only thing that could’ve helped Charlie Kirk was more gun regulation, an idea that he and his peers are vehemently against.
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White people are a rapidly diminishing minority of global population
RadioGenoa@RadioGenoa
In 1900 white population of world was 36%, today it is 8%.
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Just for those who may be a little confused: This is how an American president should treat Putin.
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How the fuck do you determine whose running a coin
Sometimes there is 5 CTO leads and they dont know each other lmao
Pump.fun@Pumpfun
eligibility all projects that are still on the bonding curve or have migrated to PumpSwap are potentially eligible for redirecting creator fees to other wallet addresses if your coin has migrated to Raydium (i.e., coins that migrated before March 20th 2025), your coin unfortunately isn’t eligible for redirecting Creator Fees as we do not have the necessary control over these smart contracts
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@realDonaldTrump We support every single decision you make President Trump.
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mfers always be thanking God before thanking their copytraders 😭
spuno@spunosounds
Finally crossed over 1M realized profit on the main wallet. I owe all my success to my unrelenting optimism, unwavering faith in myself, and God.
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