Amit Chanda

408 posts

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Amit Chanda

Amit Chanda

@Tetha_Hunter

Full-time investor | Part-time option trader | Some-time scalper Licensed skydiver | Scuba diver | Freediver. It's not the mountains we conquer : but ourselves!

Hong Kong Katılım Eylül 2021
89 Takip Edilen69 Takipçiler
Cantonese Cat 🐱🐈
Cantonese Cat 🐱🐈@cantonmeow·
$BABA monthly Bullish formation Bullish back-test of 0.5 Bullish arrow pointing to support Bullish
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Amit Chanda
Amit Chanda@Tetha_Hunter·
@CEPE_IV Can I ask what made you go Long on Gold Futures today, technical indicator or hunch?
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Rajarshi Mukherjee
Rajarshi Mukherjee@CEPE_IV·
After 2 weeks of quiet patience, hopefully now, Crude gives up
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Irene Zhao
Irene Zhao@Irenezhao_·
Singapore is the best country in the world I like it all: 🇸🇬 Culture: Joining a 45-minute queue because "if there is a line, it must be good." 🇸🇬 People: Professional complainers who will still defend the country to the death if a tourist joins in. 🇸🇬 Hawker food: Sweating under a plastic fan to eat a $5 Michelin-starred chicken rice 🇸🇬 Safety: Using a $2,000 iPhone to reserve seat at a food court. 🇸🇬 Efficiency: Touching down at Changi and being home before the flight crew has even left the plane. Name a better country, I’ll wait
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Amit Chanda
Amit Chanda@Tetha_Hunter·
@BeijingDai How about putting extra port dues tariff on Panama flag vessels calling Chinese ports?😄
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DaiWW
DaiWW@BeijingDai·
China seems to have found an effective method to sanction Panama. The approach is to impose lengthy, repeated, and rigorous inspections on all ships registered in Panama when they call at Chinese ports. Considering that nine out of the world's top ten busiest ports are in China, the reach of this measure is substantial. The logic is simple: the cost and hassle of these inspections will likely drive ships to deregister from Panama and reflag elsewhere. For Panama, which relies heavily on ship registry fees, this exodus would translate into a massive and direct loss of fiscal revenue.
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Amit Chanda
Amit Chanda@Tetha_Hunter·
@BrianTycangco Either is fine. If it goes 190 I sell my holding and if touches 120 I buy more 😄
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Brian Tycangco 鄭彥渊
Brian Tycangco 鄭彥渊@BrianTycangco·
What crazy timing. Alibaba $BABA reports 3QFY26 results tomorrow before the US markets open. It's currently just below the 142.50 resistance and also below its 200d moving average. If the company gives us a very strong set of results tomorrow, this could go back to the top of that channel in a hurry (about 20% upside). If the miss and guide poorly, 'been nice knowing ya'll. 🤣
Brian Tycangco 鄭彥渊 tweet media
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Crazy Moments
Crazy Moments@Crazymoments01·
Everyone filming… then the giant ship rolls completely over
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
I've been saying for days Russia will use Iran to weaken the U.S., the same way the U.S. is using Ukraine to weaken Russia And here we are: Wapo is reporting that Russia is sharing critical intelligence with Iran to help them target American military assets. We live in a world of proxy wars. Why? Because of nuclear deterrence. The biggest losers? All countries that do not have nuclear weapons or a powerful military. They are now all pawns on this chessboard called Earth.
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Yuvraj Shah
Yuvraj Shah@YuvrajShah02·
If you’re an Indian equity investor, this is probably the worst time to panic and sell. Markets are reacting to global headlines, but many fundamentally strong companies are simply getting dragged down with the tide. These phases are where serious investors start building positions. This is where discipline starts to matter!
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Amit Chanda
Amit Chanda@Tetha_Hunter·
@OopsGuess China - Work hard in silence, let the success be the noise 😄
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𝘊𝘰𝘳𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘦
Everyone keeps asking why China isn’t “doing anything” while the US plunges half the world into chaos— Ukraine, Gaza, Venezuela, Iran… as if geopolitical power is measured by explosions per hour. But here’s the uncomfortable truth for the war-addicted West: China already made its move. It just didn’t need missiles to do it. While Washington performs regime change cosplay, Beijing is quietly: • building Belt and Road corridors across Eurasia, • settling trade in yuan, • expanding swaps with 40+ central banks, • becoming the largest trading partner of 154 countries, • holding 30% of global industrial capacity, • and now pushing the yuan to a record $200B in global funding. If a nation with China’s scale— 18% of global GDP, permanent UN Security Council seat, the world’s largest supply chain— weakens the foundations of the dollar system, that is not “not acting.” That is removing the firewood beneath the entire empire. America’s war influencers want fireworks. China is dismantling the powder room. Empires fall loudly. Successors rise quietly.
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Aplomb ₹1L → ₹1Cr (Options)
🚨 GIFT Nifty down ~2.5% amid Iran-Israel tensions & global sell-off — but Nifty won't crack easily! Put walls are one of the strongest "invisible floors" driven by dealer hedging mechanics — not magic, but math + flows. Use them for: 1) Buying dips near the wall. 2) Selling puts below it (collect premium expecting bounce). 3) Avoiding shorts below it unless breach confirmed. Reply with your March 10 expiry view! 📈 #Nifty #OptionsTrading #Nifty50 #Trading
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Amit Chanda
Amit Chanda@Tetha_Hunter·
@mitchpresnick These are very nicely put facts and other countries must take a note of it.
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Mitch Presnick 柏力
Mitch Presnick 柏力@mitchpresnick·
The United States tends to view China as its principal competitor because it interprets global power through a largely zero-sum lens. China, by contrast, does not primarily frame the United States as the central opponent. Its real competition is with its own historical constraints — its analog legacy, the risk of the middle-income trap, demographic headwinds, and the demands of the technological frontier in the digital age. In that sense, China competes less against a nation than against underdevelopment, inefficiency, and time itself. Its posture toward AI illustrates this clearly: it treats AI simultaneously as a destabilizing force that must be controlled and as an accelerant for industrial upgrading. That dual framing reflects a positive-sum orientation — the belief that technological transformation is the arena to be mastered, not merely a weapon in geopolitical rivalry.
Balaji@balajis

I disagree. Yes, Congressional Democrats do want to stop AI, because it disrupts blue jobs. And Republicans do want a military-friendly AI. But China wants to open source AI, because the Chinese make money from AI-enabled hardware instead. The rest of the world wants open source models as well. That’s likely where things land up, once model capabilities top out. America is essentially serving as the bootloader for AI, spending billions to give the world one last incredible gift before turning the lights out on Silicon Valley. Because with wealth taxes and visa restrictions, one can no longer easily concentrate talent and capital in Silicon Valley. That’s why Zuck, Page, Brin, Thiel, and Elon got out. We have one last round of IPOs, and then the seed corn is gone. Moreover, once spread to the four winds, the Silicon Valley network effect is up for grabs. And the anti-tech sentiment isn’t localized to California. There is building bipartisan animus in America towards technologists as a class. So: neither Blue America, nor Red America, nor Tech America is going to control AI in the long run. It’s just going to decentralize. Indeed, the first wave of AI decentralization is already here.

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Sunanda Vashisht
Sunanda Vashisht@sunandavashisht·
Not one bit surprising. This is what colonization does. When Shams ud din Araqi entered Kashmir from Iran in 1481, there were no Shia Muslims in Kashmir. Of course before that, up until 1339, there were no Muslims at all in Kashmir. Anyway, according to the biographers of Araqi ‘none had the honour of breaking so many idols and destroying so many temples as Araqi had for the sake of propagating, and strengthening prosperity of Islam. Only he was blessed to eradicate lock, stock and barrel the dark and depraved customs of the community of darkness, their rituals, laws and beliefs. No Sultan, Badshah, Governor or noble could claim credit for an achievement like that” So the faces you see today are all victims of genocide who upon consolidation of Genocide, have become one with their perpetrator.
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Amit Chanda
Amit Chanda@Tetha_Hunter·
@SquintNeon And here is the correct one form my home!! Irony is that her display wall map is located in Mumbai, India, whereas mine is located in Hongkong, China 🤣🤷‍♂️. -Unapologetically Bhartiya!
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Squint Neon
Squint Neon@SquintNeon·
Btw she's (Riva Arora) the child artist who performed in a URI movie. Her house has a wrong map of India.
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Amit Chanda
Amit Chanda@Tetha_Hunter·
@divya_gandotra And here is the correct one form my home!! Irony is that her display wall map is located in Mumbai, India, whereas mine is located in Hongkong, China 🤣🤷‍♂️
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Divya Gandotra Tandon
Divya Gandotra Tandon@divya_gandotra·
Started watching a home tour video casually but this wall immediately caught my attention. The world map displayed here shows Aksai Chin and parts of Ladakh inside China. This isn’t just décor or an aesthetic choice, maps carry geopolitical meaning and national integrity matters. Normalising incorrect borders, even unintentionally, reflects ignorance at best and irresponsibility at worst. Indian territory is not open to artistic interpretation. Creators and brands must be more careful about what they showcase to millions. Geography isn’t a vibe, it’s sovereignty.
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Amit Chanda
Amit Chanda@Tetha_Hunter·
@Mr_Husky1 And he is waiting on the road for the responses on X so he can decide accordingly 🤣🙈
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Amit Chanda
Amit Chanda@Tetha_Hunter·
@SriniVega Indeed a difficult day for option sellers. Crazy budget day fall played with the psychology
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Srinivasan
Srinivasan@SriniVega·
Tough day right from the morning. It felt like starting with an earthquake and ending with a tsunami. Had to exit positions under very difficult circumstances. Booked a loss of ₹64 lakhs. It will likely take a couple of months to recover. if you are in similar situation as that of mine, Take the evening to step back, reset, and come back stronger. #Srinivega #OptionsTrading
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Alok Jain ⚡
Alok Jain ⚡@WeekendInvestng·
Very well written Manu Bhai. I have been investing in Gold for more than 25yrs and these moves do not make any change in my thought process. I beleive people who have a thesis on the changing world order and monetary system should not be trading but seeing this only as allocation. There are enough stocks available for trading.
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Manu Rishi Guptha
Manu Rishi Guptha@manurishiguptha·
Is it the end of the Road for Silver and Gold? Conviction is tested only in drawdowns but never in rallies. And that forms the bedrock of the cliched statement - Buy when there is blood on the street, but the blood better not be yours. I've been investing in precious metals since 2021. It took me six months of reading, tracking mine production, annual supply degrowth, and rising demand before I built my first real position on the 6th September 2021. Since then, I've followed the data closely every day. My rule is simple: Only take positions where your conviction is so strong that you could possibly go all-in. If it's not, you're just gambling, no matter how much you call it - "diversification." Yesterday, Silver was down about 30% and gold 10% from recent highs. Here's the psychology everyone faces: We all dream of buying assets 30-40% cheaper. But deep down, we want prices to stay high forever. We crave the dip to buy low, and expect prices move up from the day we bought. That's human nature. Gold and silver have been used as money and a store of value for over 6,000 years. Fiat currencies, on the other hand, are experiments backed by debt. The US moved away from the gold standard in 1933 domestically and 1971 internationally, because infinite debt could not coexist with monetary discipline. And therefore, the petrodollar came into being. History is very clear on one thing: Every Fiat currency eventually collapses. (Ray Dalio’s take makes it very clear in one of his now very famous videos) The only uncertainty is timing, whether the Fiat currencies will collapse slowly or suddenly. And whether we are at the end of the Fiat system today or not - maybe not yet. But are we moving towards it faster than ever before - Definitely Yes!! So decisions to buy, hold, or sell precious metals should not be driven by daily price moves, but by your understanding of history, monetary systems, and your own temperament. Retail investors can't slam prices like this. Over the last 10 years, big banks paid $1.3 billion in fines for spoofing Silver (data is all online). Yesterday, with China closed and late LME trading, the "Big Boys" likely dumped to spook you out, clearing shorts or loading longs. Its pertinent to ask a question: When LME trading was thin and China was shut, who really slammed the price? It wasn’t retail. Price shocks often serve one purpose: scare weak hands, so that large players can exit shorts and quietly build long positions. This fact is worth noting: For every ounce of physical Silver available, there are about 400 ounces traded on paper. For Gold, it's around 200 paper ounces per physical one. Inventories at metal exchanges around the world are depleting fast. Those recent exchange outages? They're not about power failures or server cooling issues, but it's about the exchanges struggling to meet contractual obligations as paper contract holders are starting to demand physical delivery, and the system can't keep up with that. Can prices fall more? Sure, they can. Position size is personal, tied to your conviction and biases. But fast-forward 10 years: Gold at $10K, $15K, or $20K? Silver at $300 or $500? and y0u'll kick yourself for getting shaken out by “The Pros” who do this for a living. Or keep buying the dip on Nvidia, Google, Amazon, Zomato, Trent, Polycab, all at unsustainable earnings (PE) ratios. Eventually, your fortune will be the sum total of the choices you make today. Fun Fact: Respectively, Silver and Gold are still up 270% and 140% in the last 2 years. Silver Gold Nifty BankNifty Nasdaq DowJones
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NoLimit
NoLimit@NoLimitGains·
🚨 SOMETHING CRAZY WILL HAPPEN ON MONDAY I’m looking at the spreads on precious metals right now and they make zero sense. Gold Price Gap: Mumbai vs. NYC = ~$283 Silver Price Gap: Hong Kong vs. London = ~$13 In a normal market, algorithms destroy these spreads in microseconds. Free money doesn't just sit on the table… Unless the table is broken. The fact that these gaps remain open proves one thing: Liquidity is drying up. The paper price (fake price) you see on screens is detaching from the physical price (real price) needed to settle. This is a massive systemic red flag. When metals, the ultimate collateral, start behaving like this, it means that something is broken. Forced selling is typically next. Btw, I called every market top and bottom of the last 10 years, and when I make a new move I’ll mention it here like I always do. A lot of people will wish they followed me sooner.
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Amit Chanda
Amit Chanda@Tetha_Hunter·
@JacobCanfield Have you considered going long-form 76.5? With a target range of 103?
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Jacob Canfield
Jacob Canfield@JacobCanfield·
$SILVER - Hit almost exact to our 1.618 downside target. Currently up 10% from the $76.5 zone. Usually, a good high side target is the .618 of the move from high to low, which would be around $103. This was a short term trade on my trading account, so I'm taking some profits here and I'll observe how this looks over the next few hours. I was looking mostly for a mean reversion from the liquidation wick for a quick profit. (these are my favorite trade setups to take during volatility.)
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Jacob Canfield@JacobCanfield

$SILVER - Bought some silver at $76.5 in my buy zone. Looking for a 15% bounce to lock in profit. Will cut below $75 Extreme volatility so use caution and manage your risk.

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