Eric
3.9K posts
Just a little taste for the range of slabs…
Jeff@jtteaxasaggie
Slab sale tonight! Everything from Curry. To LeBron. To Jackie. To Luka. To Gretzky and Mantle and more. Shooting for an 8:30 kickoff. Turn those notifs on!
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Eric retweetledi
Eric retweetledi
Within the MLB regular season statistics thresholds, it's time for one last dump of the plays that I've made to date:
1. Trevor Rogers 170+ Ks (+425)
2. Gunnar Henderson 30+ SBs (+275)
3. Jackson Holliday 30+ SBs (+850)
4. Royce Lewis 30+ HR (+550)
5. Jac Caglianone 90+ RBI (+400)
6. Marcell Ozuna 90+ RBI (+400)
7. Christian Yelich 90+ RBI (+330)
8. Fernando Tatis Jr. 100+ RBI (+300)
Plenty has already said about Rogers within the posts tied to wins leader (+5000) and 14+ wins (+550) so we'll just keep it short and sweet. He not only finished '25 with a 1.81 ERA in 109.2 IP (3.41 xERA), but finished 34th in CSW (27.9%) and 23rd in SwStr% (12.5%) that fuelled his 24.3% K% (62nd PER). He went 6+ IP in 13 of 18 starts, so a healthy season within even a static K% should get him here pretty easily, let alone if he can build upon his success from '25.
Henderson (30 SB in '25) with his 79th PER sprint speed (28.5) along with Holliday (17 SB in '25) with his 82nd PER sprint speed (28.6) figure to continue running once they get on the bases. Henderson's crossed 20+ SBs twice now over his past two seasons so the key will be continuing to improve on his career .347 OBP to give himself extra opportunities, but the true value is Holliday here once he returns from his hand injury. Holliday's mediocre .242 AVG and .314 OBP still landed him with a solid total, and figuring to hit closer to the top of the order should have him plenty aggressive on the bases. The hope here is that things finally click for him and he threatens to be a .340-.350 OBP type of hitter in the Orioles lineup, which should be enough to get his SB attempts (28 in '25) high enough to where 30 is a very manageable total to reach.
In terms of Lewis, another setback injury wise might be upon us as the Twins sat him due to discomfort today, so approach this one with extreme caution. That said, these are his per 140 GP projected totals over his three seasons in the majors:
'23: 36 (15 in 58 GP)
'24: 27 (16 in 82 GP)
'25: 17 (13 in 106 GP)
Simply put, I'm willing to gamble on the 1st overall pick in 2017 figuring things out enough to stay semi-healthy for a single season which should land him close to this threshold.
On the RBI front, another reminder as highlighted in previous posts about the prevalence of totals in '25:
80+ RBI: 56
90+ RBI: 31
100+ RBI: 16
Caglianone struggled in his time in the majors in '25, yet still projects to hit near the middle of the order for the Royals where his 30-40 HR pop and potential breakthrough (.308/.377/.924, 22 HR in 95 GP in minors) should give him plenty of opportunities to reach a manageable threshold, especially hitting behind Maikel Garcia, Bobby Witt Jr., Sal Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino who should be on base plenty for him.
Yelich (103 RBI in '25) took significant dips in xBA (.240, 40th PER), xSLG (.439, 62nd PER), barrel % (10.3%, 62nd PER] and hard hit % (46.4%, 66th PER) from '24 and previous to that where he regularly sat in the 80th PER or higher. Yet, 29 HR along with a .795 OPS all still point to a very productive hitter and should his back troubles be a thing of the past, crossing this threshold is a very reasonable mark to achieve for him.
Similarly, Ozuna saw a dip in his bat speed at age 35 (72.9, 64th PER which is down from 74 in '24 and 75 in '23), leading to a disappointing .232/.355/.755 in '25 after two straight seasons of 39+ HR and .900+ OPS with the Braves. He might be long in the tooth, but he's also still a very good hitter who by default should find himself hitting in the middle of a much improved Pirates lineup that should give him an excellent shot at crossing this mark. There's concern that age is catching up to him here, but alas 25-30 HR from him in an advantageous spot in the lineup should easily have him threatening this mark.
Finally, we reach Tatis who is now penciled in as the San Diego Padres cleanup hitter behind the likes of Xander Bogaerts (.328 OBP), Jackson Merrill (.317 OBP) and Manny Machado (.335 OBP), which should drastically improve his opportunities to build upon his 71 RBI in 155 GP in '25. He's still an expected numbers darling via .272 xBA (85th PER), .488 xSLG (84th PER), 93.3 AVG EV (95th PER) and 51.8% hard hit % (93rd PER), so a change of roles to be more of a run producer from the heart of the order should allow him to threaten his career mark of 97 RBI set in '21. No one is certain whether we'll ever see the 40+ HR pop from him circa '19-21 again, but he's still a superstar hitter now in a role that should have him stumbling into runs batted in.
#gambitgemfutures
#gamblingtwitter
Uncut Gambit Gems@UncutGambitGems
Within the MLB regular season pitcher threshold markets, three more that I've added here are: 1. Trevor Rogers to record 14+ wins (+550) 2. Logan Gilbert to record 200+ strikeouts (+300) 3. Shota Imanaga to record 12+ wins (+250) Rogers was recently highlighted as a long shot for regular season wins leader (+5000) after a superb season via 9-3, 1.81 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and 103 K in 109.2 IP for the Baltimore Orioles in '25. Those numbers are a tad inflated considering that his xERA (3.41, 77th PER), xBA (.225, 72nd PER), K% (24.3%, 62nd PER) and BB% (6.9%, 69th PER) point to a good but not great starter, but it's still hard to argue that going 6+ IP in 13 of 18 starts with three plus pitches at his disposal isn't a good starting point for a wins accumulator. With Pete Alonso, Taylor Ward and Samuel Basallo joining a fully healthy Gunnar Henderson among others in a lineup that now projects to be an above average one, pushing for the reasonable 14 win threshold which 11 pitchers reached in '25 is something Rogers should be able to achieve, assuming he sustains his performance quality year over year. Gilbert crossing the 200 strikeout threshold mostly comes down to health, as his 11.89 K/9 among pitchers to throw 120+ IP was tops in all of baseball. His excellent xERA (3.09, 86th PER) and xBA (.206, 85th PER) coupled with elite 93rd PER or higher in whiff % (32.9%) and K% (32.3%) due to his filthy splitter (.099 xBA, 50.4% whiff %) and avoidance of the free pass (5.8%, 86th PER) rightfully point to a workhorse innings eater (185 IP or more between '22 and '24) that should easily have him crossing this threshold in 150-160 IP. Finally, Imanaga is a bit of a forgotten man in Chicago, but 9-8, 3.73 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 117 K in 144.2 IP is nothing to sneeze at when you have an offense that was 5th in runs (793), 6th in HR (223), 13th in AVG (.249) and 7th in OPS (.751). He won 15 games two season ago with very similar numbers and despite the downturn in expected numbers due to a lost fastball (which has flashed at 93 MPH this spring after sitting 90.8 MPH in '25) still had a good splitter (.217 xBA, 32.4% whiff %) and sweeper (.219 xBA, 35.4% whiff %) that give him a great floor as a starter. If he can stay healthy and even possibly improve due to a regained fastball velocity, achieving this reasonable wins number that 28 starters reached feels like a certainty. #gamblingtwitter #gambitgemfutures
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Me: Spurs -3.5
2025: Knicks +3.5
Rob Perez@WorldWideWob
One of the nastiest beats of the season. Spurs -3.5
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Props to my dude @collin1 Released his early numbers on the Cotton Bowl, caught a TON of flack, and still stood by his numbers. #Respect #CanesFootball
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Eric retweetledi
Eric retweetledi
Eric retweetledi
Josh Allen has gone from 53% to 94% to win the MVP in the last hour on Polymarket…
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Rebels 20th in the Middle 8
Jonathan Von Tobel@meJVT
UNLV gets the ball to start the second half. Why isn’t Odom using his timeouts here?
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My favorite part of the Shohei Ohtani run is remembering I opted for a pandemic @ToppsNFTs Inception Legendary /7 ($0) than a 2018 Panini Flawless ($75K)
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First Quarter Notre Dame-TAMU: 6 points
First Quarter USC-LSU: 0 points
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Eric retweetledi
🚨STOLEN CARDS🚨
Yesterday, a vintage baseball card collection was stolen at the Dallas Card Show, which included six Mickey Mantle rookie cards.
The total lot is estimated to be valued at $2 million.
Ashish Jai (@cardzzzzz4u) is the owner of the cards and has shared a video of the stolen cards as well as photos.
If you have any leads, please reach out to him.
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