Fomotion

People keep holding on to the 4 year crypto cycle theory no matter what. But think about it.. The 4 years cycle: Marked 3 out of the 4 tops That's it. That's enough for people to call it a trend, a cycle, or even a certainty. Now look at what actually makes sense: the business cycle. First let's see how it makes (more) sense and than look at how is way more accurate than a broken theory. The ISM going up means businesses ordering products and goods because they and their customers have the money to pay for it. If they can't even affort a new toaster, they're not gonna pump your shitcoins. Now check the correlation. The business cycle: Marked 4 out of the 4 tops, Marked the 2012 Aug crash, Marked the 2013 April crash, Marked the 2016 June crash Marked the altcoin pump Q4 2024, Had a blow off top in 2011, like BTC Had a blow off top in 2013, like BTC Had a blow off top in 2017, like BTC Was in a distribution phase in 2021, like BTC, Is now moving slow but steady, like BTC, Etc, etc.. Yet, people call 3 times on BTC a trend, and a way more accurate correlation with the business cycle that also makes it make sense is a coincidence? Someone please find someone who might know someone who thinks this makes any sense. You could say the ISM will never go up again. This is an osccilator for 75 years. Yes. This will go up again. When? That's the question. From it's current level, it took an average of 8 months. So that might be Q3 2026. What about a bearmarket in the meantime? Worst case ~70k. Bitcoin only goes in bearmarkets when the ISM tanks. How will it tank from this point? So what makes it go up? Rats cuts, No QT. Check and check. So please stop stressing about a broken trend which means nothing on it's own and start looking at what actually drives this market, which is liquidity, not astrology. If you really still think the 4 year cycle is all there is, I guess it's a you problem

The risk wave started to flash green at the litteral low.

@R89Capital How terrible

I'm sorry but crypto is just utterly fucking pathetic in comparison to US equities No one is coming to trade your altcoins

Bitcoin Risk Wave sitting at 23%.

@TedPillows Leave some for me

Bought some $TAO. When the FUD clears the sky this will run since it's the leading AI project. Buy & hold.

I dont need to explain why this is funny😂

You don't lose money because you pick the wrong coin. You lose money because you don't have a plan for the right one

@FareaNFts Again?

altcoin is dead

I just released 'My Alpha' on thealphafactory.io You now have a complete personal hub that helps you with your portfolio, rotations and goaltracking for your crypto portfolio!

You know the market is boring with Ben Cowen starts arguing with a bunch of retards thinking the earth is flat. This is exactly the moment where you pay most attention. Why? Because nobody else is. That's where you position. That's the advantage.

@criptopaul Cool you can read calendars. What about TA?

Look at Q1 2018 or Q1 2022. Independently from macro or geopolitical events, we are in the same regime: tight bounces followed by continuation. This applies to both BTC and SP500. BTC bottom window will inevitably fall between July and October, in the $35-50K region, with recovery towards March-April 2027. If we want to look at macro and geopolitical events, the picture gets worse. A light stagflation regime, with unemployment at 4.3 and Core PCE at 3.0, zero rate cuts expected for 2026. This could precede a global recession. The ceasefire narrative is the only cushion holding markets up, now. If even that fades, there will be nothing left to support them. Despite Monday’s clumsy Taco trade attempts.

Me: "Analyze the problem, do NOT fix it, just research it" Claude: "Fixed it". (Didn't fix it as well btw)

When you overlay the three most similar patterns in Bitcoin's history to the current movements, you'll notice that these are all three bear market bottoms.

Me: "These API costs should not extend $5 per month per user". Claude: "Confirmed, $5 is the hard limit" 2 days later: $25 spend Claude: "Yes, the limit was never set, nothing we can do" So, any good Codex tutorials?

@0xAbhiP He's old enough for heart attacks and strokes by now. Let it happen already

A sitting U.S. president posting that ‘a whole civilization will die tonight’ and calling it ‘revolutionarily wonderful’ is a sentence that would’ve been unthinkable a decade ago

@benjamincowen This comment section is about to turn into a great retard filter

so many great pictures from Artemis II

@Kyuubi_eth Your the actual noob for not taking profits and being a reply todler

@TheFomoFactoryX You’re the noob here shilling launchpad and gaming coins that went to zero

For all the lose...Ahum, sorry. Puss... Ahuum, sorry again. Noob.. AHUM, excuse me man. Bears out there; Gaussian channel just turned red. And that's actually not a bearish sign. Here's the full backtest. I think we all wish we DCA'ed these zones in the past.

Production cost: Buy 200WMA: Buy Gaussian channel: Buy S2F: Buy Risk Wave: Buy Pi Cycle top: Buy Bi-weekly RSI: Buy Fear & Greed: Buy Macd: Buy MVRV: Buy Log regression: Buy Puell multiple: Buy Pi cycle bottom: Buy Realized price: Buy Your emotions: Sell (Which means buy)

🤷‍♂️

So you're saying, we had an alt season. Bitcoin topped on euphoria, the business cycle topped last year. Bitcoin versus gold didn't have a three-year cycle. Altcoins on their dollar pair did not have a three-year cycle. Top indicators, they all flashed last year. Or does 'this time' only apply to one asset on 1 pair on 1 timeframe only?

@TheFomoFactoryX This time is not different. We are in a bear market which is in line with the 4 year cycle. We'll see.

Every major cycle bottom indicator flashed when we bounced. Is the bottom in?