𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒

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𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒

𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒

@TheIndexKiller

Un portafolio, cero analistas || Algoritmo Quant Value || ⚠️ Not Advice & No vendo nada ||

. Katılım Temmuz 2022
146 Takip Edilen2.4K Takipçiler
𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒
𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒@TheIndexKiller·
@NeelMacro @NoLimitGains Refining outages are 1% of global capacity, so not the core issue. Japan’s 80Mb SPR release is gradual. The real risk, pre Hormuz tankers run out this week, forcing Korea, Japan and China refineries to compete for cargoes.
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Neel
Neel@NeelMacro·
Oil price could hit $150 to $200. Here is the crisis nobody is talking about. The Refineries Are Dark And Cannot Restart Quickly Drone and missile strikes hit refineries across six countries in less than one week. Saudi Arabia's Ras Tanura processing 550,000 barrels per day is offline. Qatar's Ras Laffan the world's largest LNG facility declared force majeure. UAE, Bahrain and Kuwait refineries all dark. In normal peacetime a planned shutdown takes 1 to 2 weeks to restart. A missile attack is completely different. Structural damage to pipes, valves and storage tanks requires full physical inspection. Safety certifications reissued. Insurance renegotiated from scratch. Workers returning to a site recently under attack. Conservative restart timeline: 3 to 6 months. Severe damage: 6 to 12 months. Even if Hormuz reopens tomorrow these refineries cannot produce immediately. The clock on repairs started the moment the first missile landed. Emergency Reserves Are Buying Weeks Not Months The IEA released 400 million barrels. The largest coordinated emergency release in history. Japan alone released 80 million barrels. Germany, Austria and the EU all tapping reserves simultaneously. At 15 million barrels per day of lost supply that release buys exactly 26 days. Less than one month. The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is already depleted after record releases in 2022. The buffer is thinner than it looks on paper. Iran's IRGC sent Washington a direct message this week. "If you can tolerate oil above $200 per barrel. Continue this game." The Bottom Line Three compounding problems happening simultaneously. Hormuz closed. Six countries of refineries dark with 3 to 12 month restart timelines. Emergency reserves lasting weeks not months. The market priced in a quick resolution. Refinery damage does not care about ceasefires. It cares about engineering timelines. That is the part the oil price chart is not showing you yet.
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NoLimit
NoLimit@NoLimitGains·
🚨 The futures market is LYING to you WTI futures: $100/bbl Dubai physical swaps: $138/bbl $38 gap between paper oil and REAL barrels. You know what that means…
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𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒
𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒@TheIndexKiller·
It looks like oil could go parabolic to new highs next week, with a peak around March 19–20… Let’s see what happens. Long $USO $UCO $XOP
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𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒
𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒@TheIndexKiller·
• Hormuz remains closed, with rumors of naval mining. If confirmed, reopening becomes difficult • The last pre-war cargoes already in transit from the Gulf finish arriving around March 18–20 • There is a logistical lag between the IEA announcement and barrels hitting the mkt
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DarkHorse
DarkHorse@StocksPursuit·
One-third of globally traded fertilizer nutrients just went offline at the worst possible moment in the agricultural calendar. Analysis and Impact on Fertilizer industry and Stocks Substack - buff.ly/kdDH6hY Open access #Stocks #IranUSwar #Epicfury #Hormuz $CF $NTR $MOS $LXU $IPI $UAN $ASIX
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marcelo navarrete
marcelo navarrete@M_Navarrete_S·
@TheIndexKiller Cuando podremos seguirlos en una App? Ya sea para hacer tracking por día (tradingview) o para copy-trade…
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𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒 retweetledi
𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒
𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒@TheIndexKiller·
+151.21%
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SmallCap Discoveries
SmallCap Discoveries@smallcapdisc·
Another "10 bagger" for a lot of our members. $URL.CN $URLOF
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𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒 retweetledi
Mark Minervini
Mark Minervini@markminervini·
For those fortunate enough to own $SLV, it’s time to start selling into strength. Could it go higher? Maybe. But it’s clearly gone parabolic and is entering a climax run. That’s your best opportunity to sell into strength and avoid the sharp volatility that always follows.
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𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒
𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒@TheIndexKiller·
@Maragume3 No hay noticias negativas (que yo sepa), ni hechos esenciales, ni ventas de insiders que manejan el 70% de Abc. Veo dos cosas relevantes fuera. Las cifras de desempleo, golpea el negocio financiero y sube la incobrabilidad. La quiebra de Corona. Paciencia. ⤴️
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Maragume
Maragume@Maragume3·
ABC: Este papel le está pegando a mi cartera... Afortunadamente mi estrategia de diversificación me mantiene bien...
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𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒
𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒@TheIndexKiller·
@M_Navarrete_S jaja no, siempre el mismo.. Por ahora es los viernes. Puede cambiar en el futuro.
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𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒
𝚒𝚗𝚔𝚒@TheIndexKiller·
Retorno Acumulado | 11 Febreo · inki · + 134.72 % 🚀 $SPY + 55.5 %
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marcelo navarrete
marcelo navarrete@M_Navarrete_S·
@TheIndexKiller Y en promedio... cuantas veces por mes, semana o día realizan una actualización de las posiciones? Según veo en la web, no se puede identificar o inferir esto.
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