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@CarlaPysh @S_Surprenant You are mistaking an example for theory. It's hard to take you seriously.

@ThePunkHucker @S_Surprenant If the reasoning PP gave that printing money causes inflation and “look at lumber prices here at Home Depot” is his proof then yeah, he is lacking “proper” reasoning.

This is wrong and it's actually Poilièvre who is being arrogant, not the other way around. Let's address your comment about Poilièvre's performance. We cannot really evaluate how well Poilièvre did because saying that inflation will rise or be high is not a forecast. He gave us neither precise numbers for the growth rate of headline CPI, nor precise periods or time span. It's very hard to tell how close or not he was. Inflation peaked at around 8% in June 2022. If he expected something like 15% and not in June, he did much worse than most forecasters. The same is true if you prefer to talk about persistence. Inflation was above the 3% upperbound of the target range from Spring 2021 to Fall of 2023. Here, you can clearly see how organizations that produce forecasts did, but Poilièvre did not give you anything to work with here. You have to base yourself on the vibes of what news anchors were saying about inflation being transitory. I never liked that term, but that's besides the point. And even if we wanted to ignore all of this and just said, okay, Poilièvre outperformed most private and public forecasters, there is another, more serious problem. That's just one event. How can you tell if he's not just a broken clock that got stuck at the right time? You could if he was in a habit of systematically providing economic forecasts... which he isn't. Now, if it was just about Poilièvre, I wouldn't even bother to respond. But it's not about Poilièvre. It's about evaluating ideas. You can't just pick one variable and one event to do that. You'd like ideas that just work, reliably. That's not enough. In this particular case, it's especially problematic because the quantity theory is baked into all the New Keynesian models that central banks have been using for a decade. They all agree with Friedman, but you don't see it because those models make money redundant -- i.e., there's an equivalent way to say things that doesn't involve money. You'd know that if you did your homework. So, it can't even be that he saw something that others did not see. And the same models allow other things than monetary policy to matter. That's another big problem with this entire discussion. You're supposed to allow for more than one thing to matter and then estimate effects to see what dominated. You can't just ignore 99% of the dispute and claim victory. Next, when it comes to criticizing the decisions made by Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve, the same theory that underlies his argument would say that bringing in disinflation by raising rates is not free. I don't see a lot of people discussing the cost of an alternative course of action. Moreover, even if I suspect based on my current work that the demand side was more important than the supply side, I think there were substantial foreign supply shocks during the ramp up. That makes disinflation even costlier. So what did Poilièvre believe would have been the cost of raising rates much earlier? A recession? Just a bit of a slow down? I mean, if you're going to discuss monetary policy, you have to talk about the trade offs. You don't just get freely curb inflation, but that aspect is entirely missing from the conversation. The truth, Frank, is that trying to debate macroeconomics without having studied the topic, with no work experience and while not having read actual research about any of it is like trying to win the gold at a marathon when you're obese and out-of-shape. People like me have like a decade long head start or more thinking about which ideas work or not. You're not going to make up for it in an hour. Thinking otherwise is arrogance. The argument you raised here is statistically nonsensical in at least 3 ways (no metric, cherry picking, a sample size of one) as I explained above and you thought that was just a knock out punch... Come on.

@Human_Optimize Eat your chamko nabe!!

Japan has one of the lowest obesity rates on Earth. But they eat ramen, drink beer, and never fear carbs. I found out how. The 7 reasons I found destroyed my Western belief: 1. Everyone walks… Everywhere!

@MurielBlaivePhD The UK is so far gone

Freedom of speech will soon be a distant memory in Western democracies. And I say this as someone who couldn't disagree more with Putin and the Russian aggression in Ukraine. But my idea of convincing Putin supporters of how wrong they are is certainly not by stripping them of their passport. There used to be something called democracy in which we were allowed to have opinions differing from those of our government, and it was all solved in public debate and elections. This is truly terrifying.

@partiquebecois Moi je pourrais récupérer les dizaines de milliers que j'envoie à Québec et Ottawa en impôts pour me payer une ass. santé privée, l'école privée de mes enfants, une retraite qui sera pas dilapidée par les boomers? D'accord, merci!

Faire du Québec un pays, c’est récupérer les milliards de dollars qu’on envoie en impôts chaque année à Ottawa. Pour nos routes, pour nos hôpitaux, pour nos écoles. Il est temps que le Québec sorte de l’asphyxie fiscale que nous impose le gouvernement canadien.

@eltseak Criss ils ont envisagé nous exclure des épiceries... Peux-tu dire qu'ils voulaient nous tuer plus que ca? Nous empêcher de manger putain!

Devoir de mémoire... Un groupe de travail financé par nos taxes a sérieusement envisagé de limiter l'accès aux soins de santé pour les non-vaccinés.

@ThomasGerbet Le gouvernement s'appuie sur sa propre incompétence pour nuire à la transparence et éviter de rendre des comptes à la population... Et il s'en réjouit!

Les délais d'accès à l'information au fédéral sont incroyablement longs. J'ai reçu aujourd'hui une réponse à une demande faîte en juillet 2024 pour un document qui avait déjà été divulgué, donc ça ne nécessitait aucune recherche supplémentaire du côté du ministère.

@IvStlaurent RadCan, l'information fiable!

19 + 12 = 29 ! Un gouvernement de comptables !!!

@ardan_michel1 @PastorinoNando @Ian_Senechal @frankdedomiseur Je ne crois pas qu'ils soient fédéralistes mais le modèle proposé par les souverainistes ne va assurément pas dans la direction qu'ils préconisent.

@PastorinoNando @Ian_Senechal @frankdedomiseur Ah, parce que Ian et François se seraient convertis au souverainisme, ils seraient dorénavant des indépendantistes. Quand en ont-ils donc fait l'annonce ?

Je viens d'écouter @Ian_Senechal et @frankdedomiseur qui me répondaient à la vidéo où je les "accusais" de jouer au gardien du temple avec la droite. À la fin, j'ai décidé de m'abonner à leur Patreon et voici pourquoi. D'abord, ce qu'ils font depuis des années, je trouve que c'est positif pour la démocratie québécoise. Je sais que beaucoup de gens se sont politisés grâce à eux, plusieurs m'en parlent sur mes Directs. Je pense que c'est un modèle pour les créateurs de contenu québécois qui s'intéressent à la politique. Ils ont réussi à bâtir un modèle d'affaires qui fonctionne, qui paye des salaires, qui créent de la richesse. C'est vrai qu'on ne se comprend pas toujours. Je ne sais pas si je suis de droite ( mon Stream est unanime sur le sujet), mais je sais que je défends certaines valeurs. Je suis démocrate, je fais vite, mais je pense qu'in fine, la démocratie à la primauté sur le droit. Je suis décentralisateur, je pense que l'état devrait permettre aux citoyens de s'organiser pour livrer des services publics. Je suis anthropologiquement conservateur. Je ne crois pas qu'on puisse dépasser la condition humaine avec un "homme nouveau" et je crois que cette idée est même dangereuse, à certains égards. Mais je ne suis pas utilitariste. Je ne suis pas convaincu que l'efficacité soit à poursuivre en toutes circonstances et, par conséquent, je ne pense pas que le marché puisse tout résoudre. Comme à dit DeGaulle : Du point de vue de l'humain, le capitalisme n'offre pas une solution satisfaisante. C'est le meilleur modèle social et anthropologique quand il s'agit de sélection des élites, mais c'est un modèle aliénant, qui, quand il est laissé libre, tend vers une réification qui me dégoûte. Je voulais prendre le temps de poser certaines bases d'une discussion qui, je l'espère, aura toute sa place dans les prochains mois et qui mérite vraiment qu'on s'assoie et qu'on creuse. C'est comme ça qu'on crée des ponts et qu'on fait évoluer notre société. Bravo à vous d'avoir pris le temps, j'espère vous avoir rendu la pareille. PS: Abonnez-vous à leur Patreon, ce n’est pas cher et c'est toujours intéressant ;)

Reminds me of a university friend. He was from Burundy, had witnessed the Rwanda genocide. He called humanitarians "carreerists".

@ewarren Now do Biden?

Reports indicate Elon Musk controls a secretive network of over 90 companies and entities so he can hide how he spends his money. No wonder he wanted the Trump admin to “look into” the Corporate Transparency Act, which would have regulated those companies.

@MurielBlaivePhD @BeReasonable01 They might not have back then, but they certainly learned how "security" is the best Trojan horse.

@BeReasonable01 I don't think they planned it, bit it certainly served to show them how much the public can take.

I’m still trying to cope with how unsettling it was to see “science” weaponized by so many social scientists during Covid to rationalize prioritizing their own survival at the expense of others 😥

@CTVNews I mean... Canada is not a serious country!

Network of YouTube channels pushing U.S. annexation and Alberta secession narrative, report finds ctvnews.ca/canada/article…

@RadioCanadaInfo Allo les fausse plaintes après séparation!!! Putain de mauvaise idée encore

Neuf féminicides en quatre mois : Ruba Ghazal demande une loi dans une lettre ouverte rc.ca/TS8JM0

@StephDemet @Pat77432407 Pourquoi t'as pas mis Graphene sur ton Pixel?

@Pat77432407 Je t'écris de mon pixel dégooglisé sur LineageOS lineageos.org et je suis en dualboot win11 et Linux Mint. Avec ça ils ne peuvent rien faire. Il y a aussi Motorola qui tire encore plus loin avec GrapheneOS motorolanews.com/motorola-three…

INTERDICTION DES RÉSEAUX SOCIAUX AU MOINS DE 16 ANS, LE CHEVAL DE TROIE DU SYSTÈME DE SURVEILLANCE POUR TOUS Une dérive autoritaire qui infantilise les parents et sature l'espace public d'une censure inquiétante. C'est aux parents, et non à l'État, de décider de l'éducation numérique de leurs enfants. En imposant une loi pour tous, on retire aux familles leur souveraineté et leur capacité à juger de la maturité de leurs propres adolescents. Pour bloquer les moins de 16 ans, l'État devra forcer chaque citoyen (adultes inclus) à prouver son âge via la reconnaissance faciale ou le partage de documents officiels. C'est un cheval de Troie pour la fin de l'anonymat en ligne et la mise en place d'un système de surveillance généralisée. Mais pire, 75% des canadiens appuient la mesure, peuple d’innocents. Radio-Canada- Carney étudie actuellement très sérieusement la possibilité d'interdire l'accès aux réseaux sociaux (comme Instagram, Snapchat et TikTok) pour les jeunes de moins de 16 ans. Les experts et le gouvernement s'inquiètent des effets dévastateurs des algorithmes sur la santé mentale des adolescents : cyberdépendance, troubles de l'image corporelle, anxiété et dépression. Un sondage récent indique que près de 75 % des Canadiens seraient en faveur d'une telle mesure drastique pour protéger les mineurs. Le grand obstacle reste la vérification de l'âge. Ottawa explore des solutions comme la reconnaissance faciale ou des méthodes d'analyse algorithmique, mais l'application concrète pose des questions de vie privée. Le ministre Marc Miller a confirmé que le gouvernement attend les recommandations finales des experts avant de déposer un projet de loi officiel. Le Canada suit ici les traces de l'Australie, qui a déjà mis en place des restrictions similaires à la fin de 2025. ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/22462…

@WalkMontreal Great spot for skateboarding though!

Viger Square....no words.

@MasterMadman1er @frankdedomiseur "Canada oublier très vite" ca marche en criss

@ThePunkHucker @frankdedomiseur Y’ont remplacé ça par « Canada détruire classe moyenne »

Peut-être parce qu’un conger de taxe n’est pas une subvention. Tout simplement.

@RadioCanadaInfo Droits de mutation... Pas une taxe mais un paiement pour le droit de se loger... Je sais pas ce qui est le pire... Quelle novlangue!

Québec paiera les droits de mutation des premiers acheteurs jusqu’à concurrence de 5875 $ rc.ca/TS5Nk4

@beniduboss "the only real democracy in the world" ❤

I am so tired of the “Switzerland is just evil bankers hiding elite money” narrative Banking is only about 5% of Swiss GDP Pharma is bigger, at 5.8%, fyi we account for 10.5% of global pharmaceutical exports Manufacturing is around 24% We also rank #1 in innovation world wide Oh and we also have the only real democracy in the world The issue is that the foreigners view of Switzerland and its economy is plagued by it’s image… No sorry but it isn’t just Zurich and Geneva carrying a country of cows and ski chalets where inhabitants produce chocolate and expensive watches Zurich canton, aka the state of Zurich, produces roughly 18% of Swiss GDP with about 18% of the population Geneva produces about 8% of GDP with only 5.9% of the population The reality is that the country is full of small towns with industrial and service bases that employ people locally and sustain entire regions Take Monthey, where I grew up. It’s a city of around 15,000 people, yet it holds one of the largest contiguous chemical site in Europe: 2,000 people on site daily, with names like Ciba, BASF, Huntsman, Sun Chemical, and Syngenta. For Syngenta, largest crop protection producer in the world, Monthey is a globally important production hub That site is also where the world famous Ferrari red pigment was invented That’s the real Switzerland Small places quietly making world-class things, and the system works: My father grew up on a rural farm, couldn’t get a higher education. To give my family a better life he got a job at Syngenta working night shifts as a factory worker. 20y later he still works there, but now he moved up to a coordinator role in charge of a part of manufacturing where he leads a team of 20. There aren’t many places where you can leave school at 14, spend your whole life as an employee, never invest a cent beyond your retirement savings, and still work your way from the lower class into a very comfortable middle-class life 2 months ago, I took the day off to join my dad as he picked up his Porsche Taycan 4S. Sure, it was secondhand and around 120k off sticker, but for someone who grew up waking up at 4:30 to milk cows before school, then back to work again after class, and never had a vacation until he met my mom in his mid-20s, it’s an extraordinary milestone The state covered my healthcare until I was 20, and it quite literally saved my life, I would not be here otherwise Swiss taxpayers spent roughly CHF 18 million keeping me alive, and a big part of what drives me is the desire to repay that debt by becoming a net positive for my country And yes, of course Switzerland made real moral compromises during WWII, but for the love of god consider the situation it was in Judging those choices without looking at a map is deeply unserious: by 1940 Switzerland was effectively surrounded by Axis-controlled territory, so neutrality was a survival strategy under extreme pressure, not some claim to moral purity lol. So yes, the Swiss National Bank bought gold from Nazi Germany. The real question is not whether compromises happened, but if survival ended and complicity began. It’s very easy to moralize about clean choices once the war is over and someone else had to live through the alternatives… If you are going to criticize Switzerland, do it where criticism is deserved Lastly, before calling Switzerland cowardly for neutrality, remember that Pope Julius II founded the Swiss Guard in 1506 because Swiss mercenaries were the best in the world and had a reputation for loyalty and military effectiveness. Five centuries later we are still protecting the Pope btw Next time instead of taking about our big bad banks, talk about: our factories, our labs, our medicines, our engineering, or the diplomacy, the humanitarian work and so on Oh and look at your own countries actions before having the audacity to criticize others…