Thoth Capital

1.7K posts

Thoth Capital

Thoth Capital

@ThothCapital

21 | 80% swing trading, 20% long-term | Diversification is for the weak | Manage 5 figure portfolio focusing on Fintech, AI, and Energy.

Katılım Nisan 2023
285 Takip Edilen141 Takipçiler
Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
So many companies I’m interested in report in 2 weeks. $VG, $MNDY, $KLAR, $WIX, $SE, and $DLO. I believe most of these should do well since they have been hit harshly over the past quarter.
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
If you want an energy play, $TOYO > $FSLR > $ENPH. $TOYO trading at 3.1x EV/EBITDA, $FSLR at 8x, and $ENPH at 13.3x. $TOYO is illiquid but $FSLR is much superior to $ENPH on all cylinders.
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
Drew Cohen lowkey the best finance youtuber. Honestly has fantastic insight on many companies.
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
Here’s my April performance. Could’ve been better but I was pretty conservative with selling some puts and shorting $CAR.
Thoth Capital tweet media
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
$FISV, $PGY, and $TTD charts look good for earnings.
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
@ContrarianCurse Seeing how he performs gives me confidence in my future career. If this guy can manage money, then I can too.
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SuspendedCap
SuspendedCap@ContrarianCurse·
I cannot fathom why anyone would follow this guy or why he has no sense of shame to ever open his mouth
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
@MartinShkreli Martin been on demon time recently and I love it, hope the streams start back up this summer.
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Martin Shkreli
Martin Shkreli@MartinShkreli·
Stanphyl -9% in April. S&P +10%. YTD -5% vs. S&P +6% ITD -14.% vs. S&P +606% bUt TeSlA iS sTiLl oVeRvAluEd
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
I think the $FISV options are mispriced. The $55 put seems like free premium since this company doesn’t move much and stock needs to drop 12% to be ITM. I’ll probably be selling these on Monday.
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
Earnings next week: $PLTR $AMD $IREN
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Sachin Sharma
Sachin Sharma@sachinvats·
$KLAR - can it do it?
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
@LongGameEquity Yeah, that's how I see it honestly. I'm long btw but I do like talking to other people about how they are valuing a company. Great to see different perspectives on a topic you are both passionate about, have a good one!
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LongGameEquity
LongGameEquity@LongGameEquity·
@ThothCapital Even with your model mine projects to 2031. $2.5 times 30 pe thats $75 not bad!! That’s a 4-5x
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LongGameEquity
LongGameEquity@LongGameEquity·
Everyone is focused on $NOW, $ADBE, and $PLTR, but $ZETA feels like the most interesting SaaS play right now. This is a classic high risk, high reward bet with a potential 60% CAGR if they execute. #VJNCaptial
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
@LongGameEquity Take a look at the model I sent. This is me being decently conservative just for what I'm thinking. Thank you for the convo. Regardless, I think $ZETA is a great long at current prices. Just have to wait to see how the market values it in the future.
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LongGameEquity
LongGameEquity@LongGameEquity·
@ThothCapital I mean saas use to easily command 40 pe with this growth but with sentiment and anthropic you might be right with 30 pe! Appreciate the feedback
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
@LongGameEquity This is what I got for comparison, much more conservative model since that's how I think.
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LongGameEquity
LongGameEquity@LongGameEquity·
@ThothCapital Its growing 50% revenue i put 35% eps for 5 years i thought i was being conservative for a company just hitting profitability
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
@LongGameEquity Your projection inputs have $ZETA trading at a 40x P/E, that's what I'm going off of. $4.26 EPS x 40 = $170.39 which is your projected 2030 share price.
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
@LongGameEquity I like $ZETA and think its undervalued. I just think you can defend your thesis better by being more conservative on growth and multiples. I think 2030 share price will be $50ish but not triple digits. It can hit triple digits but growth needs to CAGR at 30%+ which won't happen.
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LongGameEquity
LongGameEquity@LongGameEquity·
@ThothCapital You use forward pe for growth stocks not trailing. I made many posts about this i can send you if you want! 20 forward pe and it’s growing 50% dirt cheap. 3 price to sales!!
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
Serenity is going to post about $KOPN so I might buy some in case that happens
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Thoth Capital
Thoth Capital@ThothCapital·
@steve2bacon I’ve been charting like you recently and mine is starting to look like this, thanks for the lessons on charting.
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Realplayz
Realplayz@Realplay_Z·
I am basically swinging $LAC as a revenge trade for missing $INTC The US Govt owns this one, why would I fade those criminals?
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