TickPick AI

markets up. markets down. don't give up. just automate.

@solflare 💪 we coming for you

GM Solana Testing something - drop a flex emoji 👇💪

you can get a better quant than that ~ automate

@YouKnowEno @pattiruss_ Food was great People even better ~ accelerate

i have seen 420 posts about this dinner @pattiruss_ what did you put in the food?

@cjhtech consider this how about a leveraged prediction market bet tool that directly integrates with the two market leaders? who wants to make a $100 bet for a $10 gain if they could make 100x sure risk comes in, but degens play?

survival guide for venture investors allocating to prediction markets supercycle: - if startup is pushing novel scoring rules or AMM designs, ie some derivative of LMSR, you can prob assume they're at least 6-8 months away from any kind of meaningful execution - user generated markets is a promising hypothesis on aggregate, but don't be led to believe creator monetization is solved here. the economics of forming liquidity for novel markets where a prediction market is the first point of price discovery are rough - prediction markets inherited a "subsidy" culture from academia. that is, a lot of academics intended for prediction markets to be a tool that ie companies could use to put up a bounty for keen forecasters to discover the aggregated outputs of their models. that means market creators (or initial liquidity providers to automated mechanisms) are incurring heavy losses. these automated mechanisms also produce a lot of one sided flow that couldn't be supported by orderbooks, and the value of the information produced by this flow certainly diminishes - on the other side, orderbooks are hard to bootstrap for these markets. this goes back to the prediction market being the first point of price discovery. this price discovery is extremely subjective. compare trying to put a price on if Trump is on the Epstein list with if BTC will be above $118k at the end of the trading day. for the latter you can simply use options for pricing & hedging - for more subjective markets, not only is it hard to price them initially, but it's hard to build models and bots for position & risk management, so it requires a lot of manual effort and attention to provide liquidity to those markets - this has gave rise to a class of prediction market makers, who are retail whales dedicated almost full time to trying to price these things & manually managing their orders. effectively the kind of super forecaster service provider academia always anticipated to play a role in prediction markets. due to design of LP rewards program used by Polymarket and manual management constraints, traders optimize for having their orders filled as less as possible and extracting maximum rewards instead of prioritizing healthy spreads and seamless order execution - now, what's the catch with service providers dreamt up by academia? well, you have to pay them handsomely of course. Polymarket is burning $600k per month in USDC on rewards with no fee, suggesting extraordinarily high expectations for how this pricing information will become valuable in future. it is arguable that this is a handsome premium being paid for the service provided - so, prediction markets are doomed? not exactly. I would break up prediction markets into sub categories, denominated by retail risk appetite. to us, the largest sources of retail risk appetite are options / perps / memecoins trading and sports betting. market makers paid $1.2B to retail brokers for retail options order flow in Q1. American consumer bet over $150B on sports in 2024 and monetization rate is very high (>$10B). these 2 buckets alone will wind up to be the most consequential in our opinion, and event contracts have a real opportunity to eat sports betting & traditional derivatives and even grow the pie. US election is a standout standalone season that can attract a lot of attention and volumes, but lacks fast and reoccurring nature retail love. there is also demand for global elections and war markets driven by information asymmetry, but I can't see them ever being regulated in the US. everything else is a philosophical crusade that is transferring wealth from venture capital to a small community of super forecasters in the form of liquidity subsidies with little thought on how the market can evolve or how valuable that service being provided actually is so, how to not only survive but thrive in the prediction markets supercycle? don't buy into stuffy failed infra founders AMM designs, they suck. don't join the crusade of paying for informational markets that don't have objective demand for their outputs. bet big on sports and options and teams that have high engagement, retention & demand with sustainable economics. don't chase shiny objects that are ultimately just a mirage. it is the simple & boring ideas that are most powerful with largest tam

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what it feels like when your AI quant analyst handles your trading signals

@TheDefiApe do we really need more agent tokens?

Similar product to that of Virtuals and other agent platforms, with 3 millions agents. Virtuals is at $2b FDV, $OBI is sitting currently at just $2m FDV. $OBI is also the trading pair and main currency for all the agents on our platform. It's the easiest way in crypto to create functional and tradable agents in crypto. orbofi.com

@nehalzzzz1 either you automate or you follow a great trader like you you can sell your signals here as well and make your strategies a tokenized asset in itself

If you're still trading, you're a Legend. It's safe to say that 90% of people give up in their first year. They'll go on the rest of their life believing that the stock market is a scam, sad! Be Proud to yourself

@Route2FI what minimum APY for stables that can be withdrawn any time from a smart contract woild you be looking for to say it is competitive? no IL

Finally looking into some exciting DeFi strategies for stablecoins again. Might actually post something helpful like I used to in 2021.

@razzaer @MeteoraAG now automate the signals generation from these wallets and tokenize access to your strategy ~automate

I scaled this copy trading wallet from 28 Solana to 44 Sol in 1 month on @MeteoraAG . But the reality? Most people lose copy trading. Find green wallet > start copying > red streak > balance gone I've seen this story many times. This is how to replicate exactly what I did 👇

@askRoger_AI great news looking forward to our integration

The RogerAI website is now live. One place to explore everything we’ve built — from tools for traders and analysts, to APIs for builders and Web3 projects. and more to come Start here → askroger.ai

@zinceth we coming for you

market is so hungry for a new ai agent/tech narrative wow need goat 2 to drop (organically/with a good narra) pls

@cryptopunk7213 @Polymarket what if we could leveraged bets on prediction markets?

the Grok 4 @Polymarket integration is such an underrated feature prediction markets are simply a better tool for sourcing truth than polls, but they’ve failed to scale because of low participation (low volume, low liquidity) But now polymarket gets used directly by Grok to highlight how a decision, event or vote might conclude This now gets fed to the 100Ms of users on X but that’s not even the coolest part, I’m betting X’s crypto and payments team soon enable users to bet on polymarket directly via X (embedded wallets + stablecoins) Scroll the feed, see the odds, place a bet They’re invested in seeing polymarket succeed - if it does, it makes X the number one source of truth. massive win for a crypto app.

@0xNairolf what about leveraged prediction markets? coming

think prediction markets were cool? wait for permissionless prediction markets

@RyanWatkins_ will make it happen

Whoever cracks prediction markets with leverage, and finds a way to embed it into a Twitter-like social feed, will likely create a generational businesses. One of the biggest opportunities in SocialFi.

while you enjoy the $BTC ATH your ai analyst is loading up for the next trade ~automate

did you get your analyst set up in time?

@brian_armstrong @perplexity_ai lets take this up another notch and automate decision making. set up your AI quant analyst with us and get signals 24/7 ~automate

Exciting update: Coinbase has partnered with @perplexity_ai to help traders get access to real-time trusted crypto data/info for better decision making. The first stage is going live today, and there's more to come: Phase 1 (now): Perplexity is now ingesting our market data, including COIN50, and using it to power market analysis. Users can double click into price moves to help make better informed trade decisions. The demo below shows what it looks like on Comet, Perplexity’s new browser. Also, the Perplexity team shared that just as many users are looking up crypto as equities, which is a cool stat. Crypto is going mainstream. Phase 2 (soon): Coinbase’s market data will be used in Perplexity’s responses to user queries. Traders will be able to monitor market activity, screen for trade ideas, and analyze token-specific moves in an AI-powered conversational interface. This integration was made seamless by our @CoinbaseDev platform. Love to see more use cases here! I expect enhanced crypto functionality will be a catalyst for AI to achieve another 10x unlock. Personally I’m most excited to see crypto wallets fully integrated into LLMs one day. That will be a huge step towards a permissionless, digital economy. And today, this new access to reliable real-time data via increasingly intelligent LLMs will help lots more people make smart, informed decisions about crypto. It’s a great step forward! @AravSrinivas and the team at Perplexity are amazing - I’m excited to be starting this journey with them.

built a trading analyst that prints? sell access. scale it. sleep. your alpha is great, but hoarding it is dead leverage. let others subscribe. stream it. multiply your edge. in 2025, the smartest traders won’t just trade. they’ll rent their ai minds to the market like infrastructure.

don’t burn out on trading. let your personal AI quant handle the daily grind and give you signals 24/7 while you’re out to touch some grass ~ automate