Tim Josling

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Tim Josling

Tim Josling

@TimJosling

Do not follow me

Australia Katılım Haziran 2011
470 Takip Edilen262 Takipçiler
Tim Josling retweetledi
Qarmatian
Qarmatian@Phantom_Blooper·
Liberal Jewish scientist gets into genetics for medical research to help African-Americans and Latinos but ends up proving the Aryan race is real. Kind of mind-blowing.
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Tim Josling
Tim Josling@TimJosling·
@littlemykonos Albanese is just another case of multi-genrational sponging off the taxpayers.
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V@littlemykonos·
I don’t want somebody who’s mum was on a pension and grew up in public housing I want somebody who builds, creates, employs and is self sufficient.
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AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️
I'm old enough to remember when everyone thought AI solving ONE novel math problem would be a front page story around the world Today, AI solved not one, but NINE open problems - some 50 years old. AND proved ***44*** out of 492 open OEIS conjectures. Zero media coverage.
Przemek Chojecki | PC@prz_chojecki

Another 9 open Erdos problems solved, this time by DeepMind team. Interesting loop of LLM - Lean agents working autonomously, and only after it's verified formally, going through human review.

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Tim Josling
Tim Josling@TimJosling·
@chadwickfinkel @AISafetyMemes > Computers being good at math is surprising to no one. It is not surprising to some that human chuckleheads don't understand that math and arithmetic are not the same thing
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Fink
Fink@chadwickfinkel·
@AISafetyMemes Why should we care? Computers being good at math is surprising to no one.
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Tim Josling
Tim Josling@TimJosling·
@AlanKohler @abcnews In the article you don't seem to actually jstify your claim at all. There are just some figures and then a bare assertion.
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Alan Kohler
Alan Kohler@AlanKohler·
This week's column for @abcnews in which I explain why Angus Taylor's immigration/housing policy would not result in a cut to immigration and suggest that migration should be run by an independent body like the Reserve Bank. abc.net.au/news/2026-05-2…
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Tim Josling
Tim Josling@TimJosling·
> Eighty years after Calwell's plans came into effect, Opposition Leader Angus Taylor has proposed a return to full immigration targeting — sort of "depopulate or perish" — with the number to be based on houses built. It seems also to be aimed at depopulating One Nation's vote, so the Liberal Party doesn't perish.
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Financial Review
Financial Review@FinancialReview·
Opposition Leader Angus Taylor and about 60 per cent of Australians believe immigrants are contributing to the housing crisis, but as these charts show, that isn't necessarily the case. ebx.sh/AC3Cmr
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Moira Deeming MP
Moira Deeming MP@MoiraDeemingMP·
To all the self satisfied “modern men” who think themselves superior for NOT protecting women & children from men who transgress our boundaries- You are garden variety cowards- and will be remembered as such. To all the *actual* men, who make it their business to stand up FOR us & WITH us- thank you 💜🙏
Moira Deeming MP tweet media
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Tim Josling
Tim Josling@TimJosling·
The lies have started already > But through very little work of their own, they've seen a significant increase in the asset’s value,” he said. So what are we supposed to do? Sell the place? I bought my house becuase I could not find a place to rent. What do they want us to do - sleep in the street? inb4 you should downsize.... trouble is that it costs a lot of money, time and energy to move and it is very risky. My cousin lost $100k in a failed downsizing attempt. Sell then buy - what is the market goes up? Buy then sell - what if you c an't sell? What does it matter if the asset value goes up but you can't sell it? The only effect is that your council rates go up. > Currently the family home is not included in the Age Pension asset test. The assets test is much more stringent and the limits are lower for home owners. So yes it is incorporated into the assets test. servicesaustralia.gov.au/assets-test-fo…
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Tim Josling
Tim Josling@TimJosling·
@DaveSharma > Gambling is tax-free The reason for this is that most punters lose. So it would cost the government money to tax gambling (including allowing gambling losses to offset other profits or income).
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Dave Sharma
Dave Sharma@DaveSharma·
Under Labor’s new tax: — You can walk into a casino, come out $1000 ahead, and pay $0 tax — but if you make $1000 on shares/ETFs, you will pay $300-470 in tax — if you build & sell a business, the ATO now takes 30-47% of your gain Gambling is tax-free. Investing is punished.
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Robin Dods
Robin Dods@toy59496·
Small Cap Investing is Dead with a 77% spike in Tax Collection I have run 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations of portfolios of 20 Small Cap Stocks with the New Inflation Corrected CGT model versus the existing 50% CGT discount model. The results are devastating. The bottom line is that small caps are highly asymmetric bets where your small number of winners are meant to compensate you for your many losers. Mining companies are a good example of this situation and are a fundamental pillar of our national wealth. However if you tax those few winners at 47% with the trivial relative inflation correction you effectively wipe out the ability to offset your losses. This is because the tax drag on your few multi baggers is so high that it changes the entire logic of the investment process. It's become a loser's game. 1. ​The Moonshot Tax Penalty: Because Australian small caps rely heavily on a right-skewed distribution (a few massive winners offsetting many losers), the Indexation framework introduces a devastating tax penalty. For a stock that goes from $50,000 to $400,000, a 3% inflation adjustment on the original $50,000 cost basis is completely negligible. Under Indexation, you forfeit the 50% discount and pay a flat 47% on nearly the entire gain. 2. ​The Turnover Trap: With a 15% annual turnover, small-cap portfolios realize taxes continuously. Under the current system, every partial sale triggers a flat 23.5% effective tax rate, leaving more money inside the portfolio to compound. Under indexation, those early wins are hit at a full 47% clip, severely dampening the portfolio's forward compounding engine. 3. The Asymmetric Loss Failure: in small-cap investing, a stock can only ever lose 100% of its value, but explosive winners have unlimited compounding upside. The government’s asymmetric tax system completely devastates this dynamic: by replacing the flat 50% CGT discount with inflation-indexing for winners only, it leaves your nominal losses capped and completely unable to counteract the massive tax hike on your multi-baggers. Because a 3% inflation buffer barely dents a 400% moonshot gain, you end up paying a brutal, un-discounted 47% tax rate on the very winners that drive a small-cap portfolio's success, causing a 77% spike in total government tax take overall. Even in investing we see the socialist government wants us all to be the same. Communists. (Technical notes: Model executed using Gemini Pro with 1,000 portfolios of 20 stocks each with the volatility and median return typical of this class of small cap stocks over the last 10 years, using a geometric mean process to step forward each portfolio each year).
Robin Dods tweet mediaRobin Dods tweet media
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Tim Josling
Tim Josling@TimJosling·
@Michael94858047 Second order effects: not really a thing that the left seem to understand. I think it is associated with a highly verbal brain, the kind of person who is just a good talker.
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MichaelinMelbourne
MichaelinMelbourne@Michael94858047·
The new CGT Laws will ensure young Australians WILL NEVER OWN A HOME. Investors are NOW buying NEW BUILDS to rent out and LOCKING OUT YOUNG HOME BUYERS. The DOCTOR DIDNT THINK THAT ONE THROUGH!
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Tim Josling retweetledi
Dekka
Dekka@DerekFranc90653·
Could you all pease circulate this Claude analysis: it is deeply worrying for Australian stock market efficiency. claude.ai/share/6e9bcb47…
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Tim Josling
Tim Josling@TimJosling·
@ona_nky > disciplined kids w/o being really strict - how? Natural consequences. Let them bear the consequences of their actions.
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Ona 𐙚
Ona 𐙚@ona_nky·
Do you guys know those parents who aren’t strict but somehow have really disciplined kids? 😩 What’s the science behind that?
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Tim Josling
Tim Josling@TimJosling·
@allegiantfaith > Guardian angel whispered in her ear Of all the things on the internet that didn't happen, this didn't happen the most. #PiousFraud
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𝕮𝖔𝖚𝖗𝖆𝖌𝖊𝖔𝖚𝖘 𝕮𝖍𝖗𝖎𝖘 ✝️ 🇺🇸
About a 8 years ago, my wife and I were leaving my grandparents house. Parked parallel. About to pull out. Just us two in the car. My wife forgot to check the side mirror. I was waving bye to my family. Looking the other way. My wife felt a hand on her shoulder and heard a whisper in her ear from behind her. “Wait.” A second later, a giant SUV flew past. If my wife had turned into the street, she would’ve died. I might have too. That moment haunted my wife for weeks after, and we still both remember it to this day. Atheists are too quick to dismiss the supernatural. I’m sure the comments will soon be filled with “Hallucination” “She imagine it” “You made that up” And other similar responses. But my wife was one of the biggest skeptics of spirits until that event. It changed her. Guardian angels are real. Jesus sends them to protect and defend from darkness. His plans are higher than our ways and thoughts higher than our thoughts. So many people out there have stories just like ours. I don’t have enough faith to be an atheist.
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Tim Josling
Tim Josling@TimJosling·
@ausstockchick They might drop the 30% minimum. They always put something totally unresonable in that they can then negotiate away.
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that stock chick
that stock chick@ausstockchick·
Do you think CGT and negative gearing changes will actually go through? #auspol
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Tim Josling retweetledi
Brucemeboy
Brucemeboy@Mowerman1Poole·
Brucemeboy tweet media
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Tim Josling
Tim Josling@TimJosling·
@toy59496 > by replacing the flat 50% CGT discount with inflation-indexing for winners only, Is that right? If so, this is catastrophic. I am starting to think about leaving the country.
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