Tim Milosch

I generally find the "what's the objective?" narrative on the Iran war irritating because the policy objectives of @POTUS on his foreign policy team have been abundantly clear, even if the public messaging have been less so.

Media noise =/= credibility.

Gross. Commodifying war and profiting on human suffering is morally degrading and dehumanizing.

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In case you missed it… Last night, anti-communist protesters stormed the local headquarters of the communist party in Morón, Cuba and set the building on fire. The Cuban people has had enough

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Thoroughly enjoyed this discussion with @TimMilosch on the importance of interpreting the New Testament through the lens of the Old Testament for political theology. Also, how the Vietnam War is the most pivotal event for political theology we have all forgotten about.

@AnthropicAI @DeptofWar @TheJusticeDept If you'd like to read more, please check out Tim Talks Politics on Substack where I post weekly on world events, cutting through the noise, and helping you make sense of the world. timtalkspolitics.substack.com

Also, followup notes on @AnthropicAI conflict with @DeptofWar and @TheJusticeDept makes headway against a major drug cartel.

The war with Iran is not just a bombing campaign, but has moved into the economic, information, and asymmetric domains as well. Also in this week's essay: #Iran #MiddleEast #foreignpolicy

New podcast out today discussing updated data on Christian nationalism in America with the guy who wrote the (best) book on the subject, @MDH_GFU open.substack.com/pub/timtalkspo…

@EvansRyan202 💯

*whispers* He was never an isolationist and neither are the people constantly accused of being isolationists

@DanBurmawy @DanBurmawy I’d be interested in what level of probability you’d give each of these (low, medium, high).

Ten Potential Scenarios for the War with Iran 1: The Venezuela Scenario: The same regime remains in power but ultimately survives by submitting to U.S. and Israeli conditions, similar to how the Venezuelan regime endured international pressure without collapsing.   2. The Reformist Takeover: Internal reformists take control. These reformists are still part of the regime and continue to believe in Wilayat al-Faqih, but they are less radicalized. So far, however, reformists have shown little real political weight inside the system.   3. Minority Revolt and Balkanization: Iran’s ethnic minorities revolt, leading to civil war and potential fragmentation of the state. Persians constitute roughly 60% of Iran’s population, while the rest consists of diverse minorities. If these groups become heavily armed and coordinated, the country could fracture along ethnic lines.   4. Immediate Regime Collapse: Some studies suggest that strong ideological supporters of the Ayatollahs may represent no more than 20% of the population. If the regime collapses under military pressure, millions could turn against regime officials and security forces, triggering widespread revenge and internal chaos.   5. Massive Infrastructure Destruction with Regime Survival: Having learned from the Iran–Iraq War, the regime has decentralized its military infrastructure. As a result, a military campaign could escalate into massive destruction across the country without necessarily eliminating the regime itself.   6. War of Attrition: Iran succeeds in dragging the United States into a prolonged war involving boots on the ground. This scenario could become worse than the Iraq War and would represent the most dangerous outcome for the United States.   7. “If I Go Down, Everyone Goes Down” Scenario: This was the will of  Khamenei before his death: destroy everything if survival becomes impossible. The goal would be to expand the conflict regionally, or even globally, by dragging neighboring states, Europe, and possibly major powers into the war.   8. The La Vie en Rose Scenario: The regime suddenly collapses, Reza Pahlavi returns, and Iran enters a transitional period that eventually leads to a secular, pro-Western government.   9. The Nightmare Scenario: The regime absorbs the war and appoints a new Supreme Leader as radicalized as Khamenei. The United States eventually halts military operations, leaving the regime weakened but still intact.   10. The Catastrophic Scenario: Iran attacks Israel’s Dimona nuclear reactor. The United States and Israel respond with overwhelming force designed to compel Iran’s surrender, similar to the strategy used against Japan in World War II.

Yep.

Since its founding, the Islamic Republic of Iran has spent decades attacking the United States and its ally Israel. Trump’s strikes on Iran are therefore justified under the jus ad bellum criteria of just war theory. providencemag.com/2026/03/trumps…

This week, I explore Operation Epic Fury. Overviewing the complex interplay in #Iran and the Middle East's geopolitical scene. open.substack.com/pub/timtalkspo… #Geopolitics

OSINT map has been updated. It now reflects: All major attacks that we are aware of. It only includes attacks that made contact with their target. The corresponding timeline has also been updated to map out a chronology of events. Follow for updates Iranbattlemap.com

Amen.

U.S. officials have confirmed to Fox News that a “thousands of Iraqi Kurds have launched a ground offensive in Iran.”