Tobias James Reily 🐂 (Orbitalnewt)

Exactly right Backer. This is what I left on his tweet: Sure. Because Ford was the only car manufacturer to exist, and they continued to lose market share to more superior products. Bitcoin will continue to lose market share to more superior products with a reason to not only survive but thrive in the coming decades.

Rational people rarely make statements like this for attention. Pomp founded ProCap Financial ($BRR), a Bitcoin Treasury in June 2025, purchasing $350 million+ of Bitcoin at ~$104,000 per BTC. The fund has incentive for you to believe the crypto market will die except Bitcoin.

@tonydunleavy Best of luck Tony! Seems like a great structure!

@TobyJReily That's the great thing about eToro. Everyone has a different approach. My portfolio: 35% Core defensive 40% High Quality growth/cyclical 25% Satellite higher risk. Designed to preserve capital, but also take advantage of any upsides.

Currently, 176 investors are copying my portfolio on eToro, representing over $282,000 in capital. This is how I’ve structured my portfolio to balance income, stability and long term growth: 👇👇👇 63% is allocated to global equities, with the remaining 37% in higher beta cryptocurrencies. The equity portion is built for balance. It is diversified across the US, Europe and Asia, with exposure to financials, industrials, real estate, consumer staples and a selective allocation to technology. This segment generates an average yield of around 3.5%, providing consistent income while maintaining relative stability. Within equities, the allocation is intentionally split between growth and income. Growth stocks represent approximately 20% of the total portfolio. This includes names such as Adobe, MercadoLibre, Nintendo, Samsung Electronics, Canadian Solar, eToro, Fortinet, Sony and NEL. These positions are focused on long term capital appreciation and are expected to drive meaningful portfolio growth over time. Around 45% of the total portfolio is allocated to dividend payers, real assets and more defensive businesses. This segment generates cash flow, reduces volatility and helps dampen drawdowns through diversification and generally lower beta exposure. The other side of the strategy is cryptocurrencies, where I see my edge and focus on capturing asymmetric upside. This allocation is intentionally higher risk, but also higher potential return. If it were to double on average, it would add roughly 37% to the total portfolio on its own. Overall, the structure is simple. A stable base of income-generating equities on one side, and a high growth, higher volatility allocation on the other. The goal is to generate income, remain diversified, and still retain the ability to achieve meaningful long term growth. I'm curious how others are structuring their portfolios in the current environment. (Not financial advice, just sharing my personal approach to portfolio construction.) #Investing #StockMarket #Portfolio #DividendInvesting #PassiveIncome #LongTermInvesting #Crypto #Bitcoin

@Peter_thoc Good lad, we admire your tenacity! We bottomed already players, strap your moonboots on and don't give any to Ben Cowen 🤪🤪🤪🤪🤪

THIS ALWAYS HAPPENS TO BITCOIN! Every single time in Bitcoin's history, when price broke previous all time highs (from previous cycle) price would then bottom 23 months later. When it bottomed it always hit Bitcoin production cost (purple line) Bitcoin first broke 2021's Bull market high in March 2024. 23 months after this was February 2026, when Bitcoin hit Production cost on 6th February wick down... Now.... for the 4 year cycle theory to be right ("Crypto bottoms Q4 in a midterm year"), this has to be wrong.... You see now?? Relying on ' it happened before ' doesn't work.. this is lazy TA.... In my mind, all the macro, sentiment, fear events in media, rising ISM, improving risk markers point to february 2026 being the bottom... and no, we dont have to go back there before moving higher..

@LarkDavis The most successful portfolios are those of the dead.

What's the simplest financial advice you've ever received that turned out to be the most powerful?

@APompliano Bitcoin is a joke. It is XRP Always has been.

@APompliano Sure. Because Ford was the only car manufacturer to exist, and they continued to lose market share to more superior products. Bitcoin will continue to lose market share to more superior products with a reason to not only survive but thrive in the coming decades.

Most of the crypto industry is dead and never coming back. Eventually people will realize it.

@CryptoMichNL This is my approach. Keeping the majority diversified and stable with some growth stocks, and then 37% crypto for the asymmetric upside! Good luck!

I'm not losing any 'faith' in my #Altcoin portfolio. Things require time and patience will be rewarded. Sometimes, the longer you remain patient, the better the reward will be. Regardless of that, I'm completely aware of the risk that I've been taking with it and I'm sure that not all of those #Altcoins will do well. Some will do, and they'll ultimately generate me the return that I've been looking for. What's next after that? Building a portfolio that consists of multiple assets, and way less allocations towards altcoins.

Over 170 investors are currently copying my portfolio on eToro, representing more than $280,000 in capital. This is how I’ve structured it to balance income, stability and long term growth: 🟦 63% in global equities 🟪 37% in higher beta crypto The equity side is built for balance. Diversified across the US, Europe and Asia, with exposure to financials, industrials, real estate, consumer staples and selective tech. This portion yields ~3.5%, providing consistent income while remaining relatively stable. Within equities, the allocation is intentionally split between growth and income. Growth stocks represent ~20% of the total portfolio. This includes Adobe, MercadoLibre, Nintendo, Samsung Electronics, Canadian Solar, eToro, Fortinet, Sony and NEL. This is where long term capital growth is expected to come from. Around 45% of the total portfolio is in dividend payers, real assets and more defensive businesses. This segment generates cash flow, reduces volatility and helps dampen drawdowns through diversification and generally lower beta exposure. Then there is the other side of the strategy, where I see my edge. 🟪 37% in crypto This is the high risk, high upside sleeve focused on asymmetric returns. If this allocation were to double on average, it would add roughly +37% to the entire portfolio. Overall, the structure is simple. Stable, income-producing equities on one side. High beta growth on the other. The goal is to generate income, stay diversified and still have enough upside to move the portfolio meaningfully over time. Not financial advice, just sharing my personal approach

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump says "I made the USA 45 billion dollars in 8 months."

Over 170 investors are currently copying my portfolio on eToro, representing more than $280,000 in capital. This is how I’ve structured it to balance income, stability and long term growth: 🟦 63% in global equities 🟪 37% in higher beta crypto The equity side is built for balance. Diversified across the US, Europe and Asia, with exposure to financials, industrials, real estate, consumer staples and selective tech. This portion yields ~3.5%, providing consistent income while remaining relatively stable. Within equities, the allocation is intentionally split between growth and income. Growth stocks represent ~20% of the total portfolio. This includes Adobe, MercadoLibre, Nintendo, Samsung Electronics, Canadian Solar, eToro, Fortinet, Sony and NEL. This is where long term capital growth is expected to come from. Around 45% of the total portfolio is in dividend payers, real assets and more defensive businesses. This segment generates cash flow, reduces volatility and helps dampen drawdowns through diversification and generally lower beta exposure. Then there is the other side of the strategy, where I see my edge. 🟪 37% in crypto This is the high risk, high upside sleeve focused on asymmetric returns. If this allocation were to double on average, it would add roughly +37% to the entire portfolio. Overall, the structure is simple. Stable, income-producing equities on one side. High beta growth on the other. The goal is to generate income, stay diversified and still have enough upside to move the portfolio meaningfully over time. Not financial advice, just sharing my personal approach

Every bear market in crypto has rallies that feel like the real thing. 2018 had multiple. 2022 had multiple. Every one of them made people FOMO in just in time to get rekt. Don't get emotional. Stay cautious.

Over 170 investors are currently copying my portfolio on eToro, representing more than $280,000 in capital. This is how I’ve structured it to balance income, stability and long term growth: 🟦 63% in global equities 🟪 37% in higher beta crypto The equity side is built for balance. Diversified across the US, Europe and Asia, with exposure to financials, industrials, real estate, consumer staples and selective tech. This portion yields ~3.5%, providing consistent income while remaining relatively stable. Within equities, the allocation is intentionally split between growth and income. Growth stocks represent ~20% of the total portfolio. This includes Adobe, MercadoLibre, Nintendo, Samsung Electronics, Canadian Solar, eToro, Fortinet, Sony and NEL. This is where long term capital growth is expected to come from. Around 45% of the total portfolio is in dividend payers, real assets and more defensive businesses. This segment generates cash flow, reduces volatility and helps dampen drawdowns through diversification and generally lower beta exposure. Then there is the other side of the strategy, where I see my edge. 🟪 37% in crypto This is the high risk, high upside sleeve focused on asymmetric returns. If this allocation were to double on average, it would add roughly +37% to the entire portfolio. Overall, the structure is simple. Stable, income-producing equities on one side. High beta growth on the other. The goal is to generate income, stay diversified and still have enough upside to move the portfolio meaningfully over time. Not financial advice, just sharing my personal approach

A textbook #bitcoin bear flag. Is this rally one huge bull trap?

Over 170 investors are currently copying my portfolio on eToro, representing more than $280,000 in capital. This is how I’ve structured it to balance income, stability and long term growth: 🟦 63% in global equities 🟪 37% in higher beta crypto The equity side is built for balance. Diversified across the US, Europe and Asia, with exposure to financials, industrials, real estate, consumer staples and selective tech. This portion yields ~3.5%, providing consistent income while remaining relatively stable. Within equities, the allocation is intentionally split between growth and income. Growth stocks represent ~20% of the total portfolio. This includes Adobe, MercadoLibre, Nintendo, Samsung Electronics, Canadian Solar, eToro, Fortinet, Sony and NEL. This is where long term capital growth is expected to come from. Around 45% of the total portfolio is in dividend payers, real assets and more defensive businesses. This segment generates cash flow, reduces volatility and helps dampen drawdowns through diversification and generally lower beta exposure. Then there is the other side of the strategy, where I see my edge. 🟪 37% in crypto This is the high risk, high upside sleeve focused on asymmetric returns. If this allocation were to double on average, it would add roughly +37% to the entire portfolio. Overall, the structure is simple. Stable, income-producing equities on one side. High beta growth on the other. The goal is to generate income, stay diversified and still have enough upside to move the portfolio meaningfully over time. Not financial advice, just sharing my personal approach.

BREAKING: President Trump says Fed Chair Powell is a "disaster for America" and that interest rates are "too high." The 10Y Note Yield is nearing 4.50% with the average rate for a new 30Y mortgage now above 6.5%.

@Cointelegraph x.com/CryptosBirthda… My Clarity Cake thesis is spot on! 🔥 Over 2 months of intense hard work, a massive thesis, and hundreds of documented proofs. King Zen, we observe🪄🍒

A year ago Raoul Pal told everyone the debt cycle was elongated because interest rates were left higher for longer — he said liquidity would likely peak around Q2 of 2026, not knowing the Iran War was coming. “Bitcoin will have a -35% drop and everyone will say is it over? — and you’ll definitely be sure it’s over and everyone on Twitter will tell you it’s over — and it won’t be over.”

The reality is people love simple shit. It makes things “easy” to understand and when people feel like they understand it makes them feel good. “Bitcoin has always been down in mid term years during X, Y and Z months so expect the same, don’t overcomplicate it” “Bitcoin always has its major run after the halving, every 4 years, don’t overcomplicate it” “Bitcoins last cycle was X days, so the fact we topped after X days this time too means the cycle is over, don’t overcomplicate it” “Sell in may and go away, don’t overcomplicate it” “Bitcoin always performs poorly in Q2, so expect a dip in X month, don’t overcomplicate it” The reality is markets are anything but simple and often quite complicated and nuanced- but if you try explaining this to the average person it’s going to confuse them and/or make them feel in over their heads- you won’t resonate with many except for those that actually employ critical thinking and have the ability (and will) to try and understand the nuance. A global market like this has 1000 factors affecting it every day- the month of the year we are in is likely not going to be the primary determinant as to whether the market is “up” or “down”. Yes there may be some things that happen during specific months of the year that *might* have *some* effect on global markets consistently, year after year, but this is often impossible to quantify and it ignores the reality which is that at any given time there are a 100 other factors also at play, many of which probably have a more measurable effect on these markets than the time of year that it is. Markets are complicated but trying to explain this to the masses doesn’t get views and engagement- so many find success in oversimplifying it. This is also why you often see those global market news channel segments on TV where the host is drawing a simple trend line (with the occasional head and shoulders thrown in) on their charts to demonstrate why they expect price to go up or down - because they know if they try to explain liquidity, order flow, open interest and leverage it’s going to go over their audiences’ heads and they will lose them. So instead, you get “August is typically a bad month for Bitcoin, expect a big drop” and when we coincidentally do have a bearish August (because of some totally unrelated reason) people think that there is now some truth to this idea that Bitcoin doesn’t like the month of August and so the oversimplified logic being used becomes something the average person latches on to even more. Yes, it’s important to sometimes try and “keep things simple” but there is a difference between that and oversimplifying things in what is a very complicated and nuanced world.

@crypto_birb @Coinvo The bear flag is so obvious. Biggest bulltrap ever

@CredibleCrypto @GeoMetric_9 @Peter_thoc @DigPerspectives @digitalassetbuy

𝐏𝐞𝐨𝐩𝐥𝐞 𝐰𝐡𝐨 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐤 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐜𝐫𝐲𝐩𝐭𝐨 𝐢𝐬 𝐠𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐨 𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐬𝐢𝐠𝐧𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐥𝐲 𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐬𝐞 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐛𝐚𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐢𝐭 𝐨𝐧 𝐣𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝐨𝐧𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠: 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐝𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐨 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐜𝐲𝐜𝐥𝐞. That’s all well and good — it’s worked so far, and maybe it will again. But there are very real fundamental reasons why I (and many respected analysts) believe that Bitcoin and the wider crypto market could go much higher from here, even while most are counting it out: 🔹 Global liquidity is starting to rise again More money in the system = more capital flowing into risk assets like crypto 🔹 Quantitative tightening has ended The Federal Reserve is no longer draining liquidity. This major headwind has been removed 🔹 Liquidity conditions are easing (even without full QE) Not 2020 style money printing, but enough to shift market direction 📈 This is historically what kicks off bull runs The 2020–2021 rally began when liquidity reversed and we’re seeing similar early signs 🔹 Economic data is improving Manufacturing (PMI) back above 50 which signals expansion, not contraction 🔹 Risk appetite is returning across markets Small caps (Russell 2000) rising Large caps (S&P 500) near highs Capital is rotating into higher-risk assets 📈 Equities at/near all time highs historically align with strong crypto periods When indices like the Russell 2000 and NASDAQ Composite are breaking out, crypto typically runs hot alongside them, sometimes with a lag 🔹 Markets are pricing growth, not fear Industrial commodities are outperforming safe havens which signals expansion 🔹 Stablecoin supply is at record highs Huge amounts of capital sitting on the sidelines, ready to deploy 🔹 New structural demand didn’t exist in past cycles Spot ETFs (led by firms like BlackRock) are bringing in institutional capital at scale 📈 ETF demand is absorbing supply At times, inflows are outpacing newly mined BTC, a major shift in market structure 🔹 This cycle is institutionally driven, not retail driven Companies like MicroStrategy and governments are accumulating 🔹 Altcoins haven’t had a true macro-driven bull run yet They’ve lagged due to tight liquidity, not because they’re “dead” 🔹 Market positioning is still skeptical Heavy short interest = fuel for upside if momentum continues 🔹 Short-term holders are selling, long-term holders are accumulating ~290K BTC sold by short-term holders ~300K+ BTC absorbed by long-term holders Classic early bull market behaviour 🔹 Debt cycle is forcing more money printing Governments delayed debt repayments which have been pushed into this year, implying more liquidity injection is coming, not less 🔹 Cash is becoming an unattractive asset Inflation + money printing = declining purchasing power Large institutions must allocate capital somewhere 📈 Traditional assets already fully priced Stocks, gold, commodities near highs Crypto remains one of the few major asset classes not at extreme highs 🔹 Structural institutional access (this did not exist before) Spot ETFs have fundamentally changed access to Bitcoin Pension funds, wealth managers, and institutions can now allocate easily No custody, no wallets, no operational risk 📈 In prior bear markets (2018, 2022), this demand did not exist at all 🔹 Regulatory clarity is improving (not deteriorating) Progress toward clearer frameworks (e.g. US CLARITY Act) 📈 Previous bear markets: 2018 was regulatory fear 2022 was collapse + distrust (FTX era) Now: Crypto is moving toward legitimisation, not rejection 🔹 Most key technical indicators are aligning with previous market bottoms: RSI at historically low/reset levels Crypto Fear & Greed Index has been in max fear territory A large portion of short term holders sitting in loss These are conditions that have consistently marked accumulation zones in past cycles To conclude: Yes, prices may go lower, and some alts will probably not do that well — but things look VERY different to previous bear markets We also have the Iran/Middle East risk narrative, Hormuz disruption fears, and elevated oil prices Yet prices remain resilient after dropping significantly from the highs I believe we had our capitulation, and I am optimistic for a strong recovery in crypto by 2027 (preferably sooner) In light of all of this, I hope I convey why I remain positioned #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #Altcoins #Macro #Investing #Liquidity #Markets #Ethereum #Finance Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I may hold positions in the assets mentioned. Do your own research.

@AltcoinMami 💯 I thought the “4 year halving cycle” narrative would finally be put to rest when that happened but everyone seems to have conveniently forgotten about it already 😂