@atlanticesque Easy
morningside heights has rent control
Hyde park does not
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Tom Hirschfeld
2.1K posts
Tom Hirschfeld
@Tom_Hirschfeld
CTO/Co-founder @ProductWind, ex eng @Uber, @ParsableHQ
San Francisco Katılım Ekim 2019
609 Takip Edilen329 Takipçiler
University of Chicago: Placement of bright kids amidst a ghetto, produces future generations of central bankers, hardened against the lamentations of the lumpenproles
Columbia University: Placement of bright kids amidst a ghetto, mostly produces flaccid communists
What’s up
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@lymanstoneky I lost 90 lbs (310 -> 220) when I was 20 by eating only chicken and quinoa for 7 months. My problem as an addiction to food and the only way to break it was eating the same fairly bland meal for half a year.
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for many reasons i want this to be true but i notice it is self-reports of 112 people.
Max Lugavere@maxlugavere
Eating the same meals on repeat was associated with 40% greater weight loss.
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@thenanyu Does implementing this tool make linear more money or grow the user base faster? Likely no. It would be used a tiny fraction of the time compared to core flows so not much impact. No one is churning over this. No business impact here = no go.
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I think a lot more designers and engineers should consider becoming a PM.
Here's a litmus test. I stopped using this interview question. Any LLMs since gpt-4 give a better answer than 90% of PM candidates:
"Customers often request a 'send later' button in Linear issue comments, mostly because they're worried that they will bother their colleagues on weekends. Should we add this feature?"
Think through it and write your answer down. Then ask Claude or ChatGPT. If you think your answer is better or as good, you're in the top 10% of PMs
Lenny Rachitsky@lennysan
Narrative violation: Anthropic's Head of Growth says we'll need more PMs, not fewer. "While PMs and designers are getting leverage from AI, engineering is getting the most leverage right now. If you think about a default team with 5 engineers, 1 designer, 1 PM—with Claude Code, that five engineers is like 2 to 3x'd, and the PMs and designers have also increased, but now they're managing what is effectively a much larger group of engineers. So though the head count and the org structure hasn't changed, you're now just dealing with a situation of maybe 15-20 engineers, 2 PMs, and 2 designers across the board. We're feeling PM and design is just being squeezed. Just absolutely squeezed. We just need to actually hire a ton more PMs."
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@alt1na1 their whole life people have been telling them what to do, scheduling activities for them, clear next step in path
When they need to fill their own calendar everything in the world becomes illegible to the extent that they are functionally illiterate
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these adult “children” have probably never worked or struggled @ anything before I have zero sympathy people like this just refuse anything that isn’t as prestigious as attending their designer brand name uni made them feel
1. There r jobs
2. Go into software sales did u do zero internships
3. U went 2 fucking Stanford just join any stupid company that will hire u just cuz of the name Stanford & don’t be a complete idiot
A Pebble 🪨@WaterwornPebble
It's hard out there
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“What makes me believe”: 3000 unmatched residency slots out of 44000. These slots are either in rural hospitals that people don’t want to go to or highly selective programs for which no one met the bar to train.
I wouldn’t call 7% vacancy/not matched particularly tight but the two issues across the whole training funnel are that there aren’t enough capable and motivated people so slots go unfilled for lack of aptitude or qualification AND people who aren’t great don’t want to work in rural areas.
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@Tom_Hirschfeld @ouranometrian2 what makes you believe that given how tight so many stages of the funnel are? baumol effects certainly make sense as part of the explanation, but from first-principles i would expect supply constraints dominate
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People in the comments dont like how much doctors make but I dont know a doctor who only works 40 hours a week. Also 100s of thousands in debt from school.
Healthcare care costs are because of bureaucratic bloat not because the doctor gets paid.
Still astounded I discovered my ob/gyn makes what I make and she puts in 70-80 hours a week and probably has a ton of loan debt
Doctoring Differently | Naomi Lawrence-Reid, M.D.@DocDifferently
Kaiser LA wants to pay board-certified cardiologists $218.65/hr to work overnights and weekends. Don’t take this job. It’s hurts all of us.
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@CountryBrahmin @ouranometrian2 You need people who are 2 sigma in intelligence, conscientiousness, and grit to be able to perform complex specialties well. In the US people of this aptitude have alternative career paths like lawyer, f500 director, consultant etc, that could easily net them 250-500k reliably.
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@CountryBrahmin @ouranometrian2 Doctor pay is a weird issue and has way more to do with baumol effects than the AMA.
Specialists and surgeons in cities make 350-500k.
800k - 1m/year pay is mostly in rural medical centers that are hard to staff at any cost because the job is functionally on call 24/7/365.
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@CountryBrahmin @ouranometrian2 The ama doesn’t lobby for reduced residency slots and hasn’t for 20 years
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@ouranometrian2 this is true to an extent but doctors continue to be undersupplied due to the AMA lobbying for reduced residency slots; it ofc makes for doctors to paid well but for as long as they operate like a cartel it seems reasonable to criticize them for wanting more money
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Hes right about "marginal improvement on taste". Central and Mil in peru is the platonic ideal you can get of 'food lab', but the improvement they bring is in story and authenticity, not taste. A medium rare duck breast, whatever sauce, potatoes and a nice CdP is better than andes algea
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gf got me a copy of the noma fermentation book and its an education in how the take below is false
there are truly extraordinary chefs running what are basically culinary research labs for the love of the game and they’re doing things you would never imagine
gabe@allgarbled
My probably stupid opinion is that food kinda tops out at how good it can get and these places mostly get you marginal improvements. Really really fancy food is not actually that much better and it’s more like a social performance, the vibe, the ambiance, a certain refinement etc
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@jeff82874662 If it’s the jobs then why tf are the tutor perini shareholders getting hundreds of millions of skim off the top?
The actual big grift here was land owners, env lawyers and politicians working together on the alignment to fill pockets and create permanent donor funding sources
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I’ve come around to the idea that the point is just the jobs, and the political sway that comes with it. And it might actually be keeping society from fraying - high paying make work keeps people off the unemployment line and away from revolutionary sentiment
Hunter Ash@ArtemisConsort
It gives the game away when government projects brag about how many jobs they created. The point is (supposed to be) to build a train, not create jobs. In fact, creating fewer jobs would be better since it would mean the project is more efficient.
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@srsjeff @criticlthinkr @mattyglesias Huge majority of the homeless do not live in tents, the people in tents are mostly the addicts/mentally ill/anti social bums. Most of the homeless are homeless for less than 6 months, live in their car or at a friends place, they’re between jobs or dealing with domestic abuse.
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@criticlthinkr @mattyglesias I don't think "well-behaved" tent-dwellers get a pass. I think people object to the tents themselves, and don't want to see them at all.
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Endless rounds of misunderstanding are induced by the fact that when normal people talk about "homelessness" they mean something like "erratic or alarming behavior in public spaces" which is:
a) Genuinely bad
b) Not clearly related to housing status
slowboring.com/p/the-two-home…
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I usually try regional QSRs that are only available in that particular area:
Braum’s, Jack’s, Cook Out, INO, Runza, Culver’s, Del Taco, Milo’s, etc
Any that I missed & need to try?
Matty@MatfromBham
@McFranchisee you're on a long road trip and starving. You exit off the freeway to find every single chain restaurant but McDonald's. You have to eat somewhere. What is your personal choice.
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@MancerAI_ @growing_daniel That’s an L plane, not a U plane
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@growing_daniel Yeah and it's a bit ambiguous whether it'll be an Lufthansa or United plane. The ticket says United but it says "operated by Lufthansa". Heck I don't even know when they decide which airline supplies the plane
Ängelholm, Sverige 🇸🇪 English
@chriswithans @BrandonMONeal this is the opposite of that, this would make the ultra wealthy pay significantly less tax unless also coupled with reforms to make borrowing against assets to be a taxable event which is a whole other kettle of fish
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@BrandonMONeal I guess what I'm saying is that if we ever had to just get the wealth seizure people to back off, that's what the ultimate compromise would be. It would echo into the states too.
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The obvious wealth and inheritance tax compromise is to just eliminate the inheritance tax entirely and have heirs inherit the original cost basis for anything they inherit. You inherit a home that's now worth $3 million? You should inherit the original $300,000 (or whatever) cost basis.
In other words, let capital gains be uniform for everyone's assets.
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@vrexec having nearly everyone you interact with sycophantically agree with you at any and all times of day
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What can the wealthiest person on Earth physically experience that you cannot experience today? I’m talking about actual sensory or emotional experience.
You say “own a yacht or an island” OK but that’s just possession, not an experience.. anyone with reasonable means can experience being on a large boat drinking wine or swimming off an island.
There’s nothing a trillionaire can feel that you can’t feel. No emotion exclusive to the rich. No geographic landscape you can’t access. No thrill you can’t have. No food you can’t buy. No flight speed you can’t reach. No exclusive medical cures.
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@kyliebytes 4loko vs white claw is like crystal meth vs zyn
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i know the older generations had the original four loko but i was in college when white claws were invented which i would argue was more peak
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@financialsamura In SF specifically, I was considering buying a SFH south of 22nd in the mission in the 2016-2020 window and that hood went from getting nicer and nicer to hobo central, extreme grime, if I had bought there for 1.5-2m, Id' be at best treading water, but likely underwater 15%+
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yes and most of the deals now are terrible
rates are 2x+ but prices are stagnant and market is thin
buying a top 3% price SFH in an urban area is less risky because you own the land, but most people in cities are buying condos and those have little appreciation and tons of downside
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Here’s a fun example for those who think real estate is terrible investment.
You buy this San Francisco for $2,565,000 in 2016 with 20% down.
You spend $300,000 to remodel and open up the downstairs and create a 1/4 bathroom upstairs. I checked it out in person and it’s nice.
Total invested: $813,000
10 years later, you sell for $5,600,000. After commissions and transfer fees, and paying off the remaining mortgage, you walk away with ~$3,600,000 pre-tax.
That’s a 16% IRR and 4.43X multiple. The cost to own was negated by the cost to rent the house. There’s also $500,000 in tax-free profits you can take if married.
So not only did you live comfortably for free for 10 years, raise your children and create wonderful memories, you also made millions.
How is that a bad thing? Sure, on paper, you could have made more with the $813,000 investing in $VCX pre-listing, but let’s not get greedy or delusional now. You wouldn’t have had the guts to invest that much.
Homeownership is one of the few ways you actually get to enjoy your wealth. Stocks, crypto, etc? No utility. It’s all just funny money on a screen until you sell and spend it.
Anti real-estate crusaders, feel free to poke holes at my argument!
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@xPeaceLandBread and the 975 you'd pay in dallas would get you dogshit service compared to any top tier hotel in asia
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