Trading Apologist

Iran ceasefire confirmed, indices back above the 200DMA on volume. The charts were already pointing higher — the news just confirmed it. youtu.be/-0tJksK6W-0

BREAKING: Japan’s stock market surges over +5% in its initial reaction to the US-Iran ceasefire.

BREAKING: The two-week ceasefire plan between the Iran and the US allows Iran and Oman to charge fees on ships transiting through the Strait of Hormuz, per CNN. A regional official said this money would be used for the reconstruction of Iran. Iran has been recently charging $2 million for a one-way voyage through the Strait of Hormuz.

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ISRAEL UNHAPPY WITH CEASEFIRE PLAN BUT TRUMP MAKING THE DECISIONS - ISRAEL CHANNEL 12

That didn’t last long…

The market's reaction is very telling. Amid the news of a two-week ceasefire, the S&P 500 is now nearing 6,800, trading just ~3.5% away from a new record high. Gold prices are soaring toward $4,900/oz, Bitcoin is above $72,000, and silver is nearing $77/oz. The reality is that in the background of the Iran War's headlines and volatility, the AI Revolution has been rapidly expanding and inflation expectations have risen. Magnificent 7 companies are investing over $600 BILLION in AI CapEx this year alone, and that has not changed. On top of this, we have seen exposure to equities drop sharply due to the volatility, now at the lowest level since May 2025, with this capital eager to re-enter the market. So now, we have one of the biggest technological revolutions in history coupled with higher inflation, which investors need to hedge against, and trillions of dollars of sidelined capital. We have been saying it for months and will continue to say it now: Own assets or be left behind.

Can we not get at least one hour without crazy news coming through…? 😅

BREAKING: Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi says safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz "will be possible via coordination with Iran’s Armed Forces and with due consideration of technical limitations." "If attacks against Iran are halted, our Powerful Armed Forces will cease their defensive operations," he says.

Checking in on futures here. 👀 US indices bid. WTI crude is down 14.87%, but Brent is only down 0.46%. Metals surging. Gold up 3.26%, silver up 6.45% and platinum up 4.34%.

@DaRetardio @KobeissiLetter They just agreed to the terms and said they are for two weeks.

@KobeissiLetter @TradeApologist Iran isn’t going to open the strait lmao

BREAKING: We have received the full details on the US-Iran 2-week ceasefire announced by President Trump: Details include: 1. The 2-week pause is subject to Iran agreeing to the "complete, immediate, and safe opening" of the Strait of Hormuz 2. Trump describes this as a "double sided ceasefire" brokered by Pakistan 3. Trump says the US has "already met and exceeded all military objectives" 4. Trump says the US and Iran are "far along with a definitive agreement for long-term peace" 5. Trump says Iran's 10-point proposal is a "workable basis" and this two-week period will allow an agreement to be finalized We now await comment from Iran.

Iran: 10-point proposal included controlled transit through the Strait of Hormuz coordinated with Iranian armed forces, ending war against Iran and allied groups, withdrawal of US combat forces from all regional bases. Talks with US do not mean end of war - Iranian media

JUST IN: FDIC approves proposal to implement the requirements and standards for US stablecoins under the GENIUS Act 🇺🇸

BREAKING: A deal is "expected to be closed" between the US and Iran tonight, per CNN. Details include: 1. A "regional source" has informed CNN that "some good news is expected from both sides soon" 2. Discussions are being steered directly by Pakistan’s army chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir 3. The White House said that Trump has been made aware of Pakistan's proposed ceasefire and that "a response will come" Oil prices are falling on the news and US stock market futures are now green. We expect to receive more details shortly.

BREAKING: Massive strike on Iranian Aluminium Company in Arak, the biggest aluminium producer in the country.

BREAKING: Reports of potential ceasefire between US and Iran to be closed tonight, according to CNN report.

Out of the 27 trading days since the war started, bitcoin has seen the least amount of down days (14). Down Days TLT: 69% S&P 500: 58% Gold: 56% Bitcoin futures: 52%

BREAKING: Iran's military says it has added Saudi Arabia's Aramco, its east-west pipeline, as well as the UAE's pipeline to a list of targets if Trump attacks Iranian power plants

Iran is now saying it is closing all diplomatic and indirect channels of contact with the US. This comes ahead of tonight's 8:00 pm deadline. Suggesting we could still see further escalation from here.