TravelBluez@TravelBluez
Where to Travel this summer given the War/s?
Worried about how the current 2026 geopolitical energy crisis and the Strait of Hormuz blockade will impact your travel plans?
Here is a deep dive into how this compares to the 1973 and 1991 crises, shifting global supply chains and the safest destinations right now.
History Check 1: The 1973 Oil Crisis
This is the closest parallel to today - The Oil Crisis during the Yom Kippur War, when OAPEC imposed an oil embargo. Oil prices quadrupled overnight, leading to massive gas lines, license plate rationing and a national 55 mph speed limit in the US.
While the 2026 supply cut is technically larger by volume, we are better insulated today: the global economy requires ~60% less oil per dollar of GDP than it did 50 years ago.
History Check 2: The 1991 Gulf War
When Iraq invaded Kuwait, oil prices doubled. But that 1991 shock was short-lived because military forces quickly secured the fields and emergency reserves were tapped. 2026 is vastly more complex because a critical maritime chokepoint is physically blockaded, stranding millions of barrels at sea.
Is today worse than 1973/1991? Yes and no.
In terms of raw volume, 2026 is the largest supply disruption in history (an estimated 10M barrels/day cut). However, the global economy is actually less vulnerable today than it was 50 years ago.
Here is why we aren't at a total standstill:
1️⃣ Reserves: Countries are releasing millions of barrels from Strategic Petroleum Reserves.
2️⃣ Efficiency: The global economy needs ~60% less oil per dollar of GDP than in 1973.
3️⃣ Renewables: Solar, wind and non-Middle Eastern oil (like US shale) act as massive safety nets.
How major countries are surviving right now:
🇺🇸 US: Highly insulated. Pumping record domestic oil and importing from Canada.
🇨🇳 China: Opportunistic. Buying discounted Russian crude and stockpiling heavily.
The Travel Impact:
We are seeing flight reroutes to avoid conflict airspace, spiking aviation fuel prices and localized crises. Several highly dependent countries in South and Southeast Asia are enforcing fuel rationing, military-guarded depots or 4-day work weeks.
The BIG Question that we face multiple times every day now - Where is safe to travel?
Long-Haul Havens:
If you want zero stress about power grids or local fuel:
🇮🇸 Iceland & 🇳🇴 Norway: Running almost entirely on renewables/hydropower. Completely insulated.
🇳🇿 New Zealand & 🇯🇵 Japan: Safe flight routes heading East, plus highly electrified transit - Japan flight cost from India has already risen 40-50% over the past 2 weeks ☹️
Closer to Home in Asia
🇲🇾 Malaysia: A net oil exporter. Highly stable and insulated from regional shortages.
🇮🇩 Indonesia: Strong domestic energy security.
🇱🇰 Sri Lanka: Fuel is pricier but they have the reserves to keep pumps open and tourist routes active.
TL;DR: Key Takeaway -
Thanks to massive strategic reserve releases and renewable energy, we aren't at a 1970s-style global standstill. But your travel experience relies entirely on your destination's energy independence. Choose countries that produce their own power!