Tyler Lovingood, CMT
3.1K posts
Tyler Lovingood, CMT
@Tyler_Lovingood
UGA Alum | B.B.A Finance
Athens, GA Katılım Mart 2020
447 Takip Edilen906 Takipçiler
Managed futures funds YTD (top 5 by AUM):
$AQMIX at +12.1%
$AHLIX at +11.9%
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Managed futures ETFs sorted by YTD performance:
$TFPN leading the way at +22.17%
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@Ksidiii I’d have thought it would be an obvious observation that the best of all time love the game and are more obsessed with it than others.
This applies to sports and any other industry for that matter.
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I absolutely love the reception and the pushback this tweet is getting.
All from exactly who you would think it would be, on both sides of the coin.
Kris Sidial🇺🇸@Ksidiii
This game has transformed my life, my family’s life, my friends’ lives, and even the lives of my future grandchildren. For that, I am eternally grateful to God for the success He has given me. At the same time, make no mistake, this game is one of the most cancerous and dangerous in the world. It can ruin and cripple you financially, socially, psychologically, and emotionally in ways you cannot imagine. If you are playing this game at the highest level, not casually investing, you have to be willing and aching to answer its call at every second of the day. And honestly, monetary advancement alone is not enough to keep you in it. Something has to be socially wrong with you to be obsessed in a way that is difficult to even characterize. You have to be obsessed with solving this puzzle every single day. If that is not you, it is probably a better choice to avoid it entirely. Very similar to mishandling an AK-47, small mistakes in this game can be life altering. For my fellow lunatics, another day, and into the fray we go. Blessings and love your way 🫡
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@Ksidiii The most bifurcated comment section ever. People are too easily offended 😂
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This game has transformed my life, my family’s life, my friends’ lives, and even the lives of my future grandchildren. For that, I am eternally grateful to God for the success He has given me.
At the same time, make no mistake, this game is one of the most cancerous and dangerous in the world. It can ruin and cripple you financially, socially, psychologically, and emotionally in ways you cannot imagine.
If you are playing this game at the highest level, not casually investing, you have to be willing and aching to answer its call at every second of the day. And honestly, monetary advancement alone is not enough to keep you in it. Something has to be socially wrong with you to be obsessed in a way that is difficult to even characterize. You have to be obsessed with solving this puzzle every single day.
If that is not you, it is probably a better choice to avoid it entirely. Very similar to mishandling an AK-47, small mistakes in this game can be life altering.
For my fellow lunatics, another day, and into the fray we go. Blessings and love your way 🫡
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@SJD10304 @Timberwolves Ant man 🔥. Got to watch every home game live for his year at UGA
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@Timberwolves on the -ML right now for all of the money in the universe again.
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It’s @okcthunder on the -ML right now for all the money in the universe.
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@moritzheiden What’s most impressive to me is (from what I’ve heard) the amount of his personal capital in the fund. Amazing risk tolerance.
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@Tyler_Lovingood Trust the process, but definitely not for the faint hearted😎
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I doubt there's another fund as fun to track than Mulvaney's. Already at the HWM after a ~61% drawdown last year.
Source: RCM Alternatives
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The risk–return trade-off is one of the most widely cited ideas in investing, but it’s often misunderstood.
The real lesson isn’t that more risk guarantees higher returns.
It’s that meaningful returns only exist where uncertainty exists—and the intelligent investor’s task is to structure that uncertainty asymmetrically.
shell-capital.com/asymmetry-obse…
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When liquidity tightens or risk appetite shifts, many assets that previously seemed independent suddenly begin to trend together. Correlations converge.
The portfolio that once looked diversified reveals a single dominant driver...
Equity beta.
shell-capital.com/asymmetry-obse…
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Markets rarely break because of the headline everyone is watching.
They tend to correct when valuations are stretched, liquidity tightens, and investors are positioned for the best outcome.
That combination creates a fragile environment where downside risk expands faster than upside potential.
shell-capital.com/asymmetry-obse…
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Measurement doesn’t just track performance—it defines behavior.
In portfolio management, what you measure becomes the incentive system driving risk, exposure, and outcomes.
shell-capital.com/asymmetry-obse…
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William Eckhardt’s warning is simple: people who don’t feel the pain of loss often lose everything.
The real edge in investing isn’t starting with more capital.
It’s building a process that defines downside before the market does.
shell-capital.com/asymmetry-obse…
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Tyler Lovingood, CMT retweetledi
S&P 500: Where Asymmetric Risk Accelerates.
shell-capital.com/asymmetry-obse…
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Markets constantly move between regimes.
- Growth-driven regimes
- Inflation-driven regimes
- Liquidity-driven regimes
The relationships between assets change with them.
Managing capital in that environment requires more than static diversification. It requires actively monitoring trends, volatility, liquidity, and correlations — and adjusting exposures when the regime shifts.
shell-capital.com/asymmetry-obse…
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Tyler Lovingood, CMT retweetledi
William Eckhardt: “I know of a few millionaires who started trading with inherited wealth. In each case, they lost it all because they didn’t feel the pain when they were losing. In those formative first years of trading, they felt they could afford to lose. You’re much better off going into the market on a shoestring, feeling that you can’t afford to lose. I’d rather bet on somebody starting out with a few thousand dollars than on somebody who came in with millions….This is one of the few industries where you can still engineer a rags-to-riches story. Richard Dennis started out with only hundreds of dollars and ended up making hundreds of millions in less than two decades – that’s quite motivating.” HT: @Covel
trendfollowing.com/capital/
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"At elevated valuation levels, the margin of error narrows. You are paying more today for the same stream of future cash flows.
That reduces expected forward returns as a mathematical function, not as an opinion."
shell-capital.com/asymmetry-obse…
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Tyler Lovingood, CMT retweetledi
One of the requirements to win big at investing: to think about investing all the time. A drive deep within yourself.
Maybe it's not even that you want to think about this game all day. It's that you just do it automatically, without even thinking about it. You can't help but do much else, and even when you are, investing is still on your mind. It's a sickness.
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The misconception is that portfolio management is about owning the “right mix.” The first-principles reality is that it’s about engineering asymmetric risk/reward across the entire portfolio.
"Heads I win, tails I don’t lose much” means you don’t need to predict every macro outcome. You need to structure exposure so that when you’re right, upside expands, and when you’re wrong, capital impairment is contained.
shell-capital.com/asymmetry-obse…
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