Uncle Investor

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Uncle Investor

Uncle Investor

@UncleInvest

I'm the wealthy uncle who is giving advice. Not a licensed investment professional.

Katılım Aralık 2020
84 Takip Edilen128 Takipçiler
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
I have been building income portfolios for 20 years. These portfolios use different types of investments that are suited for many goals. Here are some common goals. Retirees want to earn income on their cash as they spend. People who are saving for a home, car or vacation. Some cash you have that you don’t know what you want to do. I will talk about lots of different options some of which are not that common but provide good returns nonetheless. Examples are: Money Market Funds. Preferred Stocks. REITs and MLPs. Treasury Bonds. Municipal Bonds Income ETFs Cryptocurrencies Common Stocks. Option Income. I fully explain each investment and how a portfolio can benefit you, including the risks and return profile.
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
Consumer mindset: deposit money at the bank and hope you earn interest. Investor mindset: lend the bank money, say in corporate bonds or preferred stocks.
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
There is a lot of research on this from many people on X. Note the key words: "inflation and money supply". Even if inflation were zero, money supply increases due to economic growth. Both total about 6%/year. If your money isn't earnings 6%/year, or your income isn't increasing that amount, you are falling behind.
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Evan | Investments
Evan | Investments@NotA_Bull·
If someone asks why you're investing, save this post and show it to them… Simple as that.
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Uncle Investor retweetledi
Cigarette Nostalgia
Cigarette Nostalgia@CigsMake·
I think we’re going to look back at the 90s and realize it was the best era of tech for humanity. Computers were starting to make things more efficient, but smartphones didn’t exist yet, so work didn’t follow you home. No social media, no constant news cycle. When work was over, you were actually done.
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
@NotA_Bull Valuation matters. The stock had a P/E of 45. Not a buy. In 2022, you could have bought it for 25X and made money. Today, it trades for 22X.
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Evan | Investments
Evan | Investments@NotA_Bull·
POV: It’s 2026, $MSFT is up only 6% from 2021. You invested $10,000, and five years later, you're still basically at $10,000.
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
Don't be a hero. $ADBE the business has performed well. Recent earnings estimates for 2026 have been raised. And yet the stock dropped from over 40X to 13X. No disruption has occurred in their business. It's not about truth or evidence. It's the narrative. The market can force stocks much lower than you think is possible or warranted. Don't buy and be the hero.
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
How to make money in stocks long term... - Buy when attractive. - Never Sell. - Don't try to trade. I will use $MSFT as an example. Big picture, earnings are always increasing, like clockwork. What you need to do is to buy when it is attractively priced. Don't sell and don't trade. In 2022, $MSFT dropped 35%, P/E when to 22. Buy. In 2026, $MSFT has dropped 35%, P/E is 22. Buy. Note that the price went from $250 --> $356. Why? The earnings are up from 2022. So, over time, you pay higher prices because the earnings are always increasing. Ignore the narratives, buy when it is attractive. Right now.
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
It's interesting how narrative changes impact pricing in the short term. 6 months ago, everyone was talking about how $AAPL didn't have an A.I. strategy, or was behind or poorly executed. Today, this fact is now seen as an asset. They don't have the spend of everyone else. They just released information about how they will integrate many different LLMs into Siri. AAPL is now more valuable than everyone else except $NVDA.
Yahoo Finance@YahooFinance

Things aren't looking any better after market close today for the Mag 7. Keep up with the latest here: yhoo.it/4sBVKbe

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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
$MSFT is now less valuable than $XOM on a P/E basis. The market is inverting. MSFT: 23 XOM: 25 MSFT is a much higher quality business. The reason why XOM succeeds is that its size/scale help it to weather and profit from the cyclicality of the energy business. XOM is up 200% over 5 years, MSFT 50%. I own XOM, but I wouldn't buy it here. Now is the time to consider MSFT.
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
This is genius. Everyone needs a competitive advantage. $AAPL competitive advantage is "the most valuable real estate in the world": the iPhone screen. Lets others build the best AI system. Providers competing also lets them ahead of regulators.
Milk Road AI@MilkRoadAI

Apple just declared war on every AI company and handed them all the keys to the iPhone. For years, Apple kept Siri locked down like a fortress, one partner, one deal, and everyone else left outside the gates but that exclusivity just died. But first, understand why Apple had to do this. While Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Meta have been spending tens of billions every quarter building AI infrastructure, Apple has been spending almost nothing. Amazon's capex is up 42% year over year, Microsoft is up 89%, Alphabet up 95% and Meta up 48%. Meanwhile, Apple? Down 19%. Apple is not in the AI infrastructure arms race and it refuses to be and that gap in spending is now showing up as a gap in capability. So Apple chose a different move entirely. It is building something called extensions inside iOS 27. A new system that lets any AI chatbot, Claude, Gemini, Grok, Perplexity, Copilot plug directly into Siri. Users open their Settings, see a menu of every AI service they have installed, toggle them on, and suddenly Siri becomes a front door to every major AI in the world. Apple isn’t choosing a winner, it’s turning Siri into the marketplace where everyone competes. Here’s the genius part, Apple can’t outspend Amazon on data centers or Microsoft on model training so it’s not even trying. But Instead, it is letting those companies spend the billions and then charging them rent to reach iPhone users. Think about what this means financially, Apple already takes a cut of ChatGPT subscriptions when users sign up through the App Store. Now multiply that by every AI company on the planet competing for iPhone users. Apple loses nothing while it collects from everyone. Apple is also separately building a new version of Siri powered by Google Gemini's underlying models, a deeper technical arrangement. The Extensions system does not replace that deal but rather lives alongside it. So Apple's full strategy looks like this, build its own AI. Power Siri with Google's models behind the scenes. Let every other AI compete in an open marketplace it controls and take a cut of every subscription. What a Genius move.

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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
The cost of money in a market system would impact the demand. For example, if a new car loan is 7% instead of 3%, you might buy a cheaper car or a used one. High rates would mean less lending. In the case of government debt, those market forces are not at play. The spending needed over the coming decades is pretty much on autopilot. This means that they will borrow the money regardless of what the interest rate is.
Milk Road@MilkRoad

Why do rising bond yields terrify governments? It's markets voting with real money. "It's the way of the market telling the government with its capital that we don't like what you're doing" "We don't think it's sustainable. It's a way of voting with your capital."

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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
Valuation of stocks can be trying, markets are finicky about valuation. For example: $FISV trades at a P/E of 7. $COST trades at a P/E of 51. FISV should not be that cheap because a majority of their revenue is consistent, subscription based, similar to COST. COST could drop 30% and it could still be considered highly valued. The major software stocks, represented well by ETF $IGV are down a lot. These stocks have gotten premium valuation due to high quality business metrics. In the age of A.I., it could be that these stocks going forward will just have consistently lower valuations. We will see.
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
Inflation in real life... Forever postage stamps were introduced in 2007, at $0.41. They now cost $0.78. You could have earned a 3.6% yearly return holding these stamps. The CPI quoted inflation as being only 2.6% over that timeframe.
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
This is an epic battle between banks and innovators. Who will win? $CRCL, $COIN Banks don't want competitors to their monopoly. Banks make money by collecting deposits, paying as little interest as possible, and lending. Stablecoins are better technology because it offers more frictionless payments and by its ownership, yield underneath. The ironic aspect of this legislation is that it has the potential to make stablecoin operators more profitable. It will allow them to function more like the banks of today. COIN and CRCL sold off on this news, but I see it as bullish. finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto…
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
Payments is a sector woefully out of date and needing disruption. Payments are too slow and friction makes small payments too expensive. The article below talks about stablecoins and the new tech to enable micro payments from Circle $CRCL. One industry that could use better payments is journalism. But that is just the beginning. There are all sorts of services that people could make businesses with more efficient payments.
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Dividend Diplomats
Dividend Diplomats@DvdndDiplomats·
Finally did it 🔥 Grabbed 3 shares of $MSFT at $373.52. Will plan on adding more Microsoft over time to get to at least 10 shares.
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
$MSFT is now below $3T. Its dividend yield is approaching 1%. That 1% dividend is a total payment of $27B. The earnings estimates for MSFT have recently been moved up, not down. I am looking to buy shares as gifts. I've had the good luck to wait during the market turmoil. At some point I will buy shares.
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Uncle Investor
Uncle Investor@UncleInvest·
@FinanceJack44 I looked at the last 10 years of history. Investors traded FICO down to 25X multiple times. This is the floor, $675.
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Finance Jack
Finance Jack@FinanceJack44·
$FICO dipped under $1000 today for the first time since November 2023 and is now down 58% from all time highs. Even with this being the case, I hesitate to call it undervalued. The earnings multiple still sits in the high 30s, giving $FICO a monopolistic premium even while the moat has been under attack (to what extent is up for debate). Forward looking EPS growth is also inflated due to debt funded buybacks, which are obviously not sustainable long term. Even with that being said the actual fundamentals still look strong. Revenue is growing in the mid to high teens and margins remain elite. I'm not buying... for now.
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