Unhedged Capital

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Unhedged Capital

Unhedged Capital

@UnhedgedC

Ex-hedge fund | Independent Research. Macro & Micro

Katılım Nisan 2026
5 Takip Edilen22 Takipçiler
Unhedged Capital
Unhedged Capital@UnhedgedC·
I think Trump will re-escalate and attack Iran within the end of next week once he leaves Beijing
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Unhedged Capital
Unhedged Capital@UnhedgedC·
10Y: 4.50% 30Y: 5.05% Hot CPI Extremely Hot PPI Oil comfortably sitting > $100
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Unhedged Capital retweetledi
The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: April PPI Inflation surges to 6.0%, well above expectations of 4.9% and the highest level since January 2023. Core PPI Inflation rose to 5.2%, above expectations of 4.3%. Both CPI and PPI Inflation are now officially at 3+ year highs. Odds of rate HIKES are rising.
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Unhedged Capital
Unhedged Capital@UnhedgedC·
For everyone trying to blindly short this rally, just know a bubble can always become a bigger bubble #SPX #SPY
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*Walter Bloomberg
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone·
IRAN’S 10-POINT MESSAGE ON THE PERSIAN GULF & STRAIT OF HORMUZ 🔹 US military presence is described as the main source of instability. 🔹 American bases are portrayed as unable to secure themselves. 🔹 Iran says the Gulf’s future should be free from US influence. 🔹 Tehran emphasizes a “shared destiny” with Gulf neighbors. 🔹 Foreign powers are declared unwelcome in the Persian Gulf. 🔹 Iran frames its growing influence as part of a new regional order. 🔹 Control of the Strait of Hormuz is presented as key to security. 🔹 Iran says it wants to end “hostile exploitation” of the Strait. 🔹 New rules and management are promised to boost regional prosperity. 🔹 Tehran says the strategy would also benefit the Iranian economy.
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Unhedged Capital
Unhedged Capital@UnhedgedC·
Anyone still trying to trade based off macro views or the war right now is wasting their time. We are now officially on the AI bubble hype train, and the train’s already left the station, full steam ahead. Macro will matter again, and when it does, it’ll be extremely violent and ugly.
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Unhedged Capital
Unhedged Capital@UnhedgedC·
@VolumeLeaders What’s crazy and still baffles me is the 4-5 month of distribution only for a 9-10% correction is kind of silly
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VolumeLeaders
VolumeLeaders@VolumeLeaders·
Issue 90 of Market Momentum is out. The tape is broadening beneath the surface - and institutions are no longer hiding exclusively in mega-cap safety. Here's what's moving the market this week: • Semis, power infrastructure, aerospace, and industrials continue attracting aggressive institutional flow while software quietly stabilizes after months of AI doom narrative. • CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, and Jobless Claims all hit this week - inflation cooling with resilient growth keeps the soft-landing trade alive. Hot inflation or weak consumption changes everything. • SPY, QQQ, and IWM all continue holding above major institutional positioning zones while breadth and participation quietly improve under the hood. • Dark-pool flow stayed concentrated in SPY, QQQ, AAPL, NVDA, and MSFT, but sweeps expanded aggressively into credit, small caps, energy, and cyclicals. • Utilities, grid modernization, nuclear, logistics, and defense names are becoming persistent leadership groups as the market prices in an "AI needs power" world. • Sentiment is no longer washed out. Fear has largely reset back toward greed, which means failed breakouts matter much more from here. Completely free. Leave a like to keep it that way 🤝
VolumeLeaders tweet media
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Unhedged Capital
Unhedged Capital@UnhedgedC·
Starting world war 3 and now alien footages just to distract us from the Epstein files
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Unhedged Capital
Unhedged Capital@UnhedgedC·
SARS 2002 Swine Flu 2008 Ebola 2014 COVID 2020 Hantavirus 2026 Are we actually in a simulation?
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Unhedged Capital
Unhedged Capital@UnhedgedC·
If the Hantavirus is confirmed to have mutated to the Andes variant (human to human transmission), then my worst fears are coming true. I fear markets will overlook the risk until it’s too late, and the end result will make the 2020 crash look like an appetizer. #SPY #SPX #NQ
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WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧
WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧@WarMonitor3·
This ceasefire is in absolute ruin escalation is only going to occur from here on.
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Alex Stephens
Alex Stephens@AlexStepherylh·
Our oil reserves were lower when we started this war than they were in 1973. We’re still a net importer of crude oil. We’re even more dependent on global trade than we were in 1973. Trump was emboldened to go down this path because Netanyahu and his Israeli donors convinced him he could go in and kill everyone and leave.
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Cem Karsan 🥐
Cem Karsan 🥐@jam_croissant·
“The war in Iran was never about Iran. It was about saving the US dollar 💵 . America's 🇺🇸 empire runs on the petrodollar 🛢️where every country must use dollars 💵 to buy 🛢️ . But when America froze $200 billion in Russian assets after Ukraine, it told the world 🌍 the dollar 💵 is a political weapon. So Russia, China, & Iran started building a trade bloc to ditch the dollar 💵 entirely.”
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Ricardo@Ric_RTP

The Yale professor who accurately predicted the entire Iran war just said World War III is about to start with 90% certainty. He explained exactly how it starts, who triggers it, and why NOBODY can stop it. Professor Jiang made 3 predictions in 2024 that all came true: 1. Trump would win the election 2. He would start a war with Iran 3. The US would lose that war Now he has made 8 NEW predictions and every single one is terrifying... The war in Iran was never about Iran. It was about saving the US dollar. America's empire runs on the petrodollar where every country must use dollars to buy oil. But when America froze $200 billion in Russian assets after Ukraine, it told the world the dollar is a political weapon. So Russia, China, and Iran started building a trade bloc to ditch the dollar entirely. These 3 countries cover the entire Asian continent and can build railways connecting their economies while cutting America out. Trump's plan was to bomb Iran's leadership and watch them surrender like Venezuela did in January. But Iran is a mountain fortress with 92 million people and 31 independent armies across 31 provinces each designed so no single strike can wipe them out. 6 weeks in, decapitation failed. Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, attacked US bases across the Gulf, and started charging ships $2 million per crossing to fund their war. And here's where it becomes a world war... Russia's grand strategy is the Third Rome doctrine. If Iran falls, Russia's southern border is exposed and both Russia's trade corridor and China's Belt and Road run directly through Iranian territory. Losing Iran means permanently losing access to the Middle East and Africa. So Russia enters the war. When Russia enters, China follows. They reinforce Tehran from east and north, provide financing, and Russia puts Iran under its nuclear umbrella taking tactical nukes completely off the table. Professor Jiang put the probability at 80 to 90%. And while the world watches the Middle East, North Korea is making its move: The US pulled THAAD missile defense out of South Korea for Iran operations. Seoul sits 20 minutes of artillery from the North Korean border with 25 million people exposed. North Korea doesn't even NEED to attack. They just threaten. South Koreans are rich with everything to lose. North Koreans have nothing to lose. Simple extortion. Nobody is coming to help because America is stuck in the Middle East. But the prediction that will BREAK the internet is this one: Trump gets a THIRD term. Professor Jiang laid out two constitutional loopholes. First is Trump runs as VP under Don Jr. or Vance, they win, the president steps down, Trump takes over through succession. The 22nd Amendment bans being elected president more than twice but says nothing about becoming president through succession. The second option is even simpler: By 2028 America is at war on multiple fronts with a draft in effect so Trump invokes emergency war powers and delays the election just like Zelensky did in Ukraine. And the draft is already real. Automatic registration starts in December. Males 18 to 24 are entered into the system automatically. The Department of War literally PUBLISHED the playbook online: - Secure the Western Hemisphere as US territory which explains Greenland, Canada, Venezuela, Cuba, Panama - Force NATO to fight Russia - Strangle China through maritime choke points - Convert civilian factories into weapons production (the Pentagon already told Ford and GM to prepare to STOP making cars and start making munitions) His final advice was genuinely one of the realest things I've heard all year: We will need leaders. Not politicians or billionaires. Average people who knock on their neighbor's door during a blackout and say let us figure this out together. Because when empires collapse, and he believes America's collapses within 10 years, the people who survive built community before they needed it.

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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$QQQ Daily RSI 81. Highest since June 2024. $SPY Daily RSI 76. Highest since July 2024.
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