The Analyst

@StateDept How average iranians must be perceiving it after attack on civilian infrastructure: They would not be victims anymore under the same regime if the regime gives back uranium and goes on petro dollar equation and gives up its detterrance capabilities.

SECRETARY RUBIO: Our desire is not to hurt the people of Iran. Frankly, we wish the voices of the people of Iran were heard as opposed to having 40,000 of them murdered in the streets, inside of hospitals, and executed on a routine basis. They are victims of that regime.

@elonmusk *Keeping

@elonmusk When you are following both and the timeline is keep friends close! 😂

Calling him “Scam” Altman is accurate. This is very much worth reading.

@theobjectivist And you totally forgot that the damage to gulf would literally crash the oil infrastructure and hurt the petro dollar equation which is benefitting the US. Another global AI race for AGI is ongoing and US needs all the investments from the gulf countries to counter China.

@theobjectivist Firstly you can call this a strategy but it is difficult to conclusively say that it is objectivist strategy. Secondly the straits inherent narrowness gives lesser mobility to marine vessels and destroyers alike. While Iran will have the whole coastline with easy deterrance.(1/2)

This is why wars should be run by strategists, not deal makers. A deal maker looks for the exit. An objective strategist eliminates the need for one. Why the current approach fails and what should replace it: The fundamental problem is that Trump is trying to negotiate with a regime that has no incentive to negotiate honestly and every incentive to stall. The ceasefire benefits Iran exclusively. They were getting pounded for six weeks. The moment bombing stopped, they regrouped, are now meeting with Putin, and declared the US achieved "not a single" war goal. Bolton is right: you do not relieve pressure on a regime that was breaking apart. The political clock: Democrats could take the House in November 2026. If that happens, War Powers resolutions, funding restrictions, and impeachment threats become real constraints. Four similar measures already failed in March 2026 but only because Republicans held the majority. Trump has roughly six months of unimpeded executive action remaining. Every week of ceasefire is a week closer to losing that window. The Rational strategic objective: The goal is not a deal. The goal is the permanent elimination of the Iranian regime's ability to threaten American lives. This means the IRGC command structure, remaining missile capability (still 50% of launchers and 40% of drones per US intelligence), the Bushehr plutonium stockpile (enough for 200 weapons per Bolton's estimate), and the ideological apparatus that will rebuild everything the moment pressure lifts. Recommended strategy in four phases: Phase 1: End the ceasefire immediately and resume strikes (Week 1-2). Target remaining IRGC leadership systematically. The command structure has already been decapitated at the top level but replacement leaders are "just as radical" per Bolton. Continue down the chain. Target the underground tunnel infrastructure that protects 50% of remaining missile launchers. Deploy the B-2 bombers that created the "nuclear dust" from enrichment sites against the Bushehr reactor spent fuel before it can be processed for plutonium. Three carrier strike groups are already in position, the largest US naval deployment in the Middle East since 2003. Use them. Phase 2: Intensify the blockade while bombing (Week 2-4). The blockade is costing Iran $435 million per day. The IMF projects 69% inflation and 6.1% GDP contraction. Two million jobs already lost. Consumer prices up 40%. The rial is in freefall. Fortune reports hyperinflation may be imminent. Analysts project Iran has two to three months before oil storage forces production shutdowns. The economic pressure is real but it must be combined with military pressure, not substituted for it. The blockade alone gives Iran time to regroup militarily. Both of these simultaneously give them NO room. Phase 3: Destroy Hormuz threat capability (Week 2-6). The IRGC Navy, which operates 1,000-3,000 fast attack boats for swarm tactics, still controls 60% of its pre-war capability. These are the boats laying mines and attacking commercial shipping during the ceasefire. They operate from dispersed coastal positions. Systematically eliminate every IRGC naval base, every fast boat staging area, and every coastal facility. Clear the mines. Escort commercial shipping through the strait with naval convoys until the threat is eliminated. The USS George H.W. Bush carrier strike group just arrived, giving three carriers in theater. Use all three. Phase 4: Support internal opposition (Concurrent). Iran was already on the verge of collapse before the war. The January 2026 protests were the largest since 1979. The government massacred thousands of its own people. The economy was already broken. Seven million Iranians were going hungry before the first bomb fell. 57% were experiencing malnutrition. The blockade and continued strikes push this toward a breaking point. Provide covert support to opposition groups. Broadcast into Iran. Make clear that the war ends when the regime ends, not when a piece of paper is signed. Phase 5: Do not nation build. When the regime falls, leave. America's obligation ends when the threat ends. What Iranians build afterward is their responsibility. Do not occupy. Do not install a government. Do not spend a decade rebuilding what the regime destroyed. What this avoids: American ground troops. At no point does this strategy require boots on the ground in Iran. This is an air, naval, and economic campaign combined with internal pressure. It leverages the three carrier strike groups already deployed, the air dominance already achieved (the US is flying non-stealth B-1 bombers over Iranian airspace with impunity), and the economic devastation already underway. What the current strategy produces: A deal that leaves the regime intact. A pattern identical to every previous deal with Iran. A regime that rebuilds its capabilities over 5-10 years. A future president who faces this same threat with a regime that has learned from this round. And the American taxpayer funding the next war, which will be more expensive and more dangerous because Iran will have nuclear weapons next time. The bottom line: The political window is six months. The economic window on Iran is two to three months. The military assets are already in position. The regime is fractured, financially collapsing, and its people were already revolting before the war. Every condition for ending this regime exists right now. The only thing missing is the will to play our aces!

@theobjectivist Now the question arises: Why would a second gamble go right if the first didnt? And what if it goes wrong too? I don't think saner minds would want to go for it. It would therefore suit the US to get a good win-win deal with no enrichment to weapons grade with IAEA monitoring.

@theobjectivist What you are forgetting here is, unlike Iran, USA has a reputation to keep. Even a 20% proportionate damage to US ships or aerial assets from Iranian drones and coastal attacks would immensely damage US defence outlook. US needs massive victory, Iran only needs not to lose.

@DougTenNapel What a turn of tables. Wokes getting criticism. Leftists getting grilled. For the first time in centuries there is a trend away from leftists. Neo liberalism is correcting itself !

...When a violent left wing lunatic's manifesto reads exactly like your Democrat friend's Facebook feeds.

@AsadAToor @Matiullahjan919 It takes insane grit to be a maverick in field of journalism. Accepting to be persistently disliked.

🚨🚨 One of the most respectable name, a journalist with unmatchable integrity @Matiullahjan919 has been terminated by Neo News. Thank you Afzal Butt group you guys are once again successfully used to stab your fellow journalist and later under pressure of your masters Mati bhai again sent home. He was jobless in #PTI tenure and today forced jobless under #PMLN.

@XFreeze I think he should sue to get his shares as they went against rules to convert it into for profit.

Interesting how it works Elon puts up his own money, rounds up the absolute best AI talent on the planet, leverages every connection he has to secure serious resources, and launches OpenAI in 2015 as a pure non-profit explicitly created to develop AI for the benefit of humanity, with zero profit motive and open research Then the “team” decides they want the bag They push Elon out, take control, and quietly flip the entire thing into a for-profit machine All while preaching the same sanctimonious lines on repeat: “We’re still mission-driven!” “AI for the good of humanity!” “We’d never abandon our principles!” The ultimate betrayal: Elon got zero equity. Not a single share. He funded it. He built the foundation. He got nothing while they turned his non-profit into their personal cash cow This is the level of betrayal and hypocrisy we’re dealing with And for the record.... this lawsuit doesn’t put a single penny in Elon’s pocket. Any win goes straight back to the non-profit to restore the exact mission he founded

@elonmusk It is strange how a non-profit gets converted to for profit.

This is why OpenAI was created

@sama Too generic!

Our Principles: Democratization, Empowerment, Universal Prosperity, Resilience, and Adaptability openai.com/index/our-prin…

@MohUmair87 @iqrarulhassan Flag lazmi change karain. Ye Turkiye ka lgta hai

اقرار الحسن صاحب آپ نے پہلے ایف آئی اے افسر پر گالی دینے کا جھوٹا الزام لگایا، میں نے تب بھی لکھا تھا کہ یہ الزام جھوٹا ہے۔ اور اب آپ نے ویڈیو میں تسلیم کیا کہ گالی نہیں دی گئی۔ آپ اب ایک جماعت کے سربراہ ہیں سر عام جھوٹ الزامات سے پرہیز کیا کریں۔ @iqrarulhassan

@joekent16jan19 *reflex

@joekent16jan19 Probably orchestrated attempts to bring the worst out of the President. To make him choose an unwise option. Getting a relfex response out of him which he might not opt for when in sane mind.

There have now been 3 assassination attempts against President Trump and multiple breeches of his security perimeter—how and why does this keep happening? Dismissing it as sheer incompetence can only explain so much. The purpose of any system is what it does. We need to be asking: what is the purpose of this system?

@JonasCord1961 @theobjectivist What should we replace them with??

@theobjectivist Sympathy and empathy are what got us here in the first fucking place!

If you woke up angry then you should be angry at yourself for being part of the problem. It is not surprising that you don't know how to climb out of this. The mountain you are climbing is Everest and you are headed in the wrong direction. The only way out is philosophy. Not policy. Not candidates. Not anger. A culture that has spent generations dismantling reason as the standard of truth and man's only means of knowledge, and a country that no longer recognizes individual rights as an absolute, will produce endless men like Cole Allen. That is not a coincidence. It is the logical end of the premises held by most men on Earth, including you @mattvanswol. Rebuilding requires enough men willing to choose reason over revelation, thought over feeling, individual rights over collective grievance, and the judgment that no political end justifies the destruction of a single innocent life. Do not expect it to be simple. You seem to think otherwise. Do not expect it in your lifetime. Depending on how many men choose reason over tribe, this could take centuries. Or longer. Civilizations are not saved by outrage. They are saved, if and when they are saved, by philosophy. And right now, the world is very far from following one worthy of the name.

@theobjectivist The whole world or do you think there are some states where it is being pursued relatively more vigorously ?

@thesiriusreport Not only nations, any human or group of humans.

Nations seek to destroy only those that they fear.

@TheRabbitHole Left is going more left. Right is going more right. Urgent moderation required.

“The left has become the party of hate and violence.” — Elon Musk

@iqrarulhassan Lets give him some time to phase from Sare Aam to a politician mindset. He has been contributing a lot through Sar e Aam. Habits take some time to change. Change is always difficult and there must be a lot of pressure on him.

اخے یونیفارم والے نے کچھ کہہ دیا تھا تو اقرارالحسن کو برداشت کرنا چاہئے تھا۔۔۔ تو پھر یونیفارم والے آپ کو جو کچھ کہہ رہے ہیں آپ بھی برداشت کریں، چیختے کیوں ہیں؟