
Victor
32 posts


@CredibleCrypto If you had to guess, would you say CVX will start making significant moves in 2026 or will it wait until 2027?
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On month 19 of consolidation in this bottom range.
Very confident that at some point we will break out and close the 600% gap above us- when exactly that will happen is harder to say.
At current price of around $2, that would coincide with a move to around $15+ which is exactly where our HTF supply zone starts- so it lines up nicely.
Just a waiting game for now.

Crispy McChicken@Crytal420
@CredibleCrypto Thoughts on CVX / BTC?
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@CredibleCrypto Is the 10:1 price ratio a linear relationship? If CRV goes to $20, will CVX be around $200?
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I do not deny it.
My timings for my overall thesis were off and we dropped lower than I anticipated.
I have spent the entire weekend on the charts, checking every single part of the macro and technical side of this situation 100% objectively, reviewing my overall thesis...
And I cannot see anything different that what it has always been.
That we are in the total opposite situation to any other bear market and I do not see this playing out in the same way as before.
Anyone being totally objective would have to agree with me.
The foundational basis of the global markets are all signalling continued expansion.
Today, Japans government won a majority decision and they are engaging in massive fiscal stimulus this year... which is highly bullish for risk assets.
This chart tells a very strong picture of the macro and liquidity backdrop we now find ourselves in.
At the top we have the NIKKEI, japans stock market... and it is exploding.
Japan act as a liquidity provider for the world, and with their government taking full power and engaging in record breaking stimulus, the NIKKEI is surging, and that is very risk on for global markets.
Next, at the bottom, we have IWM/SPY. This is the small cap stocks vs the S&P500. Whenever this breaks out and runs higher, it signals that small caps are outperforming large caps...
Something that only happens in risk on environments
In addition ISM/PMI has broken into true expansion for the first time in 3 years, and is not slowing down.
If it was just one sector showing this, fine. Maybe its wrong.
But it is every single macro chart that matters showing it.
Then, we have Bitcoin.
It has performed differently this cycle to any others before it, and right now, this correction I believe will finish different to any others before it.
These macro tailwinds are so much greater than Bitcoin.
We have just had a record breaking Technical reset on Bitcoin in the shortest period of time ever.
The chart has now completed a total expanded flat pattern and is looking to form a macro low.
The whole time the global situation looks as I have pictured here, I am not positioning myself for a traditional bear market and another 6 months of downside.
Timing wise, the depth of this correction has prolonged new highs coming somewhat, but not invalidated that outcome.
I was too early with my prediction on this playing out, but being as honest and as objective as i can to myself and to you all, I do not think it is wrong.
This is what I know for sure...
We are not in a macro bear market here.
This is what I believe and what I will continue to position for...
That we are not in a traditional Bitcoin bear market and we will not complete a 75%, 300 day correction, and we will instead bottom around these levels and make new highs this year.

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@CredibleCrypto If BTC takes out these longs around $85k-$90k, what would the implication be for CVX, CRV, TRAC, etc.?
Any change in cycle outcome?

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"Why so optimistic right now?"
Fam we made new all time highs on #Bitcoin literally 8 days ago, and we are currently only 14% below them.
The question should be, why are so many so pessimistic right now?
$BTC
Facuu Cripto@FacuB_FB
@CredibleCrypto Is it possible that 120k wasn't the ceiling and the bear market has already “begun”? Why so optimistic right now?
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@CredibleCrypto If BTC takes out these longs around $85k-$90k, what would the implication be for CVX, CRV, TRAC, etc.?
Any change in cycle outcome?

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If you hold $CRV, $XRP, $HBAR, $BTC, $ETH, $TRAC and you haven’t seen my newest YouTube vid you are missing out 👀
Link is in my pinned tweet!
Rambo@YieldVibe
@CredibleCrypto Can’t think of a better way to spend my time. this video was packed with insights from every angle. The way you broke down the charts, the logic, and the clarity in your analysis was top-notch. Always appreciate the effort and depth you bring, easily one of your best yet!
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I hear so many people say things like "Just give up on California."
"Let it sink into the ocean."
40% of Californians voted for Trump in 2024.
Millions and millions of people want to fix this place.
10% isn't a large percentage considering how rigged California elections are.
It is possible to flip California.
We need a massive effort to unrig the system, which is already under way.
Voter roles are being scrubbed.
A push for voter ID is in full swing.
We need to get rid of mail in ballots and ballot harvesting, etc.
We also need to have rational conversations with people, and convince 11% of voters why voting for Democrats has destroyed California.
We also need to do this without being assholes.
I know it's hard after the way conservatives have been treated, especially those who refused the shot, but we need to make an effort.
Not everyone here is insane.
Most people are - politically - somewhere in the middle, but they keep quiet.
The extremely loud leftist maniacs, and the psychopaths controlling the government make it seem far worse than it actually is.
They are a minority, and the margin is much closer than people realize.
If you're not willing to fight to save one of the most beautiful places on earth, that produces a massive amount of food, has a giant economy, has extremely important ports and strategic military bases, then you're lazy.
What happens in California ultimately spreads to the rest of the country.
If you give up on California, then you give up on America as well.
Make California Great Again!

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@tate_terminal Reality to the second degree is radically subjective.
You’re overlooking the first degree.
It is more meta than what you’re implying.
Base reality is entirely objective.
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reality is RELATIVE; epistemological libertarianism anticipates temporal variability, ergo...
R = radically subjective
E = eternally shifting
A = asymptotically approached
L = locally approximated
I = infinitely regressing
T = temporally dependent
Y = yokai-haunted
bon appetit, mes calamars.
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