Vogt WeatherWatcher

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Vogt WeatherWatcher

Vogt WeatherWatcher

@VWeatherWatcher

A weather service dedicated to the Poconos specializing in school predictions. Supported by an awesome community. Predictions are my own opinion. #InVogtWeTrust

Northeastern Pennsylvania Katılım Nisan 2013
937 Takip Edilen9.5K Takipçiler
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Vogt WeatherWatcher
Vogt WeatherWatcher@VWeatherWatcher·
With a winter storm on the way, this is a great time to sign up for Premium! ✅School predictions for all districts in PA. ✅Zip Code predictions with weather graphs. ✅County-level predictions for the Northeast USA. ✅The original NEPA-focused graphics. #_ga=2.201036331.481743964.1768958416-1388993842.1705888132" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">vogtweatherwatcher.memberful.com/checkout?plan=…
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Bobby Martrich | EPAWA
Bobby Martrich | EPAWA@epawawx·
A separate severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for areas farther to the east of the previous/existing watch (Central PA) This one is in effect until 9:00pm today with similar expectations. Damaging wind gusts are the primary concern.
NWS Severe Tstorm@NWSSevereTstorm

A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for parts of Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania until 9 PM EDT

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NWS Severe Tstorm
NWS Severe Tstorm@NWSSevereTstorm·
A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for parts of Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania until 9 PM EDT
NWS Severe Tstorm tweet media
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Vogt WeatherWatcher
Vogt WeatherWatcher@VWeatherWatcher·
@LI_Weather516 @Eweather13 Have to agree, it's performance has been extremely volatile from run to run. The other models were more consistent and steady. Have to admit, @eweather13 is the only voice I have heard so far in the weather community that is supportive of the RRFS.
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Vogt WeatherWatcher
Vogt WeatherWatcher@VWeatherWatcher·
@StormNetWx Not sure how comfortable you are with this idea, but have you thought about aligning the colors or risk level descriptions to that of the SPC? That way it would be easier to see the SPC equivalency.
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StormNet
StormNet@StormNetWx·
Helpful reminder about StormNet levels and their rough SPC categorical equivalent based on rarity. We haven’t seen any tornado probabilities >75% all year, which would be roughly equal to a SPC “high” risk. We’d expect to see that occur 0-4 times per year.
StormNet@StormNetWx

"What do these StormNet probabilities mean?" The probs displayed on the StormNet maps are explicitly output from the StormNet severe prediction system! Here is a helpful graphic for going from StormNet probabilities to known SPC risk levels based on our testing.

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East Stroudsburg Area School District
East Stroudsburg Area School District@esasdtweets·
ESASD Recognizes Administrative Professionals Day. Thank you to our Administrative Assistants, Administrative Services Staff, Business Office staff, Bus Aides, Bus Monitors, Front Desk Receptionists, Secretaries, and Information Technologists for all you do.
East Stroudsburg Area School District tweet media
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Peter
Peter@petermeteor·
Crops taken from this morning's Kanopus-V3 imagedump, LimeSDR forced @ 82 MSPS, handtracked, peak S/N 12.1 DB, 1.10 mtr offsetdish. location: Tell Rifa'at, Syria (36°28′N 37°05′E) (Aleppo district)
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NY NJ PA Weather
NY NJ PA Weather@nynjpaweather·
For our region, I don't see much threat for severe thunderstorms outside of maybe a weakening severe thunderstorm from central PA into eastern PA. Primary focus this evening will be on heavy downpours and occasional strong wind gusts.
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Northeast Regional Weather
Northeast Regional Weather@neusregionalwx·
Rain is transitioning to heavy snow as our front pushes through Pennsylvania. Snow reports out of Western Pennsylvania have been around 2-4”+. Comparing current observations to some of the mesoscale guidance, it appears that the transition to frozen precipitation is moving quicker than modeled. This is likely because of the abundant frontogenesis at 850-700mb, supporting more potent dynamic cooling as soon as the front passes through and temperatures plummet. We’ll likely see a brief period of moderate-heavy snow, perhaps as far east as Eastern PA, around or just after midnight. Any accumulation of snow that does fall will likely be on grassy surfaces up to 1”. #PAwx
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Northeast Regional Weather tweet media
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East Stroudsburg South Baseball
East Stroudsburg South Baseball@baseball_es·
Due to the threat of severe weather this afternoon, all after-school activities are canceled. Go home, and stay safe!
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NWS Mount Holly
NWS Mount Holly@NWS_MountHolly·
Severe Thunderstorm Warning including Lehighton PA, Palmerton PA and Jim Thorpe PA until 2:30 PM EDT
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NWS Mount Holly
NWS Mount Holly@NWS_MountHolly·
A tornado watch has been issued for parts of Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey and Pennsylvania until 7 PM EDT
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Northeast Regional Weather
Northeast Regional Weather@neusregionalwx·
WATCHING MONDAY... Confidence is increasing for some significant severe weather as a strong cold front with a negatively tilted trough moves through the region. Warm moist air will surge in from the south with abundant wind shear that will aid destabilization in the atmosphere, causing widespread, powerful thunderstorms to develop. The primary hazard looks to be damaging winds, with a QLCS/squall line looking probable, but hail and a few tornadoes cannot be ruled out and remain fully in play. #PAwx #NJwx #NYwx #MDwx #DEwx #VAwx #WVwx
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Vogt WeatherWatcher
Vogt WeatherWatcher@VWeatherWatcher·
@Eweather13 People also forget ENSO forecasts are not as accurate during the Spring months due to seasonal changes. El Niño coming? Sure, but not super, IMO.
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eweather
eweather@Eweather13·
💯 Modeling is suggesting we might see a strong niño. Yesterday I talked about what that could mean for summer, fall and winter…IF that happens. But modeling may not be right and can easily change. Warming in the equatorial Pacific is likely…but how much warming is still TBD. Weak niños have different and often more negligible impacts.
Western Mass Weather@DHTheWeatherNut

I get that it looks like a very strong El Nino is coming, but I also know that we were supposed to have a substantially stronger La Nina this winter, and we didn't, which is part of what helped develop a stronger New England winter. Let's slow down and see what happens...

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Wayne Highlands SD
Wayne Highlands SD@whsdk12·
Wayne Highlands School District is now CLOSED on Wednesday, March 4, 2026.
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Wayne Highlands SD
Wayne Highlands SD@whsdk12·
Wayne Highlands School District is operating on a two hour delay on, Wednesday, March 4, 2026.
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DVSD
DVSD@DVSD_Warriors·
DVSD tweet media
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Keşfet

@LI_Weather516 @Eweather13 @StormNetWx @petermeteor @FloridaTropics1 @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13