Valuefinder01

@business why ??? less visibility... you are being forced more and more into passive investing

The SEC proposed replacing quarterly earnings reporting with a semi-annual schedule. Here's what to know bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

$nflx getting wrecked while index hitting ath... another mistake avoided

$spx $spy $nflx as i keep saying... the only real buy and hold is the sp 500. u cant, i repeat, u cant call cycle tops or real bottoms. short/ medium term rsi/ cmf are valid indicators but when "somone" decides to pull the plug on a name, then the plug is pulled! that stands

$spx $spy another ATH with a mere 43 pct of daily ave volume... cmf though showing very high level... question where is the volume ? the entire months of april has had one mabe 2 days of full 100 pct of daily ave volume...

but 027 should then be a outperformer of a year...

$spx $spy $ibit no one knows.. where this will land next... but the crash from its ath has indeed been hefty! still down ytd.. after 025 negative year also. chances for btc two have two back to back negative years have so far never happened. it can obviously very well be the case

The 30-Year Treasury yield closed above 5% today and it not far from its highest level in more than a decade. The stock market may be ignoring Iran and Inflation, but the bond market is not. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=sxYJrG…

The sooner we recognize this hard truth—that there’s no military solution to the conflict with Iran—the better off the United States will be. Sheer military force cannot reopen the Strait of Hormuz without escalating the war and sucking us into another endless, bloody quagmire that delivers zero benefit to our people. We can’t get rid of the emboldened government in Tehran, regardless of how many leaders we kill. If we try we will end up with a government or failed state, worse than what we have now. The inevitable reality is this: we will have to cut a deal with Iran. We can be pragmatic and do it now on our own terms, or we can keep listening to the same neocons and the Israeli government who got us into this mess, only to cut the same deal after we’ve lost even more. Recognizing that we have hit the point of diminishing returns and pulling out now is not weakness. It is strength—and it’s the right thing to do for the American people.

South Korean stocks have more than tripled over the last 16 months, trouncing every other country. $EWY

meantime you have overbought readings on the rsi.. there is nothing one can do.. you might as well plat roulette black or red.. 50/ 50 chance.

30 mins later denial...

$spy $spx basicly this... one / 2 days ago.. talks going well. big progress has been made or whatever.. next headline iran strikes 2 US vessels.. verified ? who the f knows.. short/ medium term anything is possible... you cant call it.

BRENT, U.S. WTI CRUDE FUTURES EXTEND GAINS, RISE ABOUT 4% AFTER IRAN REPORTS ATTACK ON US WARSHIP

S&P 500 E-MINI FUTURES DOWN 0.55%, DOW FUTURES DOWN 0.73%, NASDAQ 100 FUTURES DOWN 0.51%

IRAN'S FARS NEWS AGENCY SAYS TWO MISSILES HIT U.S. WARSHIP NEAR JASK ISLAND AFTER IT IGNORED IRAN WARNINGS

In previewing the Mag7 results last Sunday, I wrote about my concerns given the large rally coming into earnings but that Google was my favorite long-term. In looking at the results, Google did in fact perform the best and gained 12% last week while the S&P gained 1% and the other four Mag7 names that reported declined 2% on average. Estimates for AI capex growth for 2026 for the five biggest spenders which started the year close to 30%, which moved to 60% post Q4 results are now at 70% following the guidance this past week on earnings results. A quick summary of how to think of hyperscaler results were if ROIC was good, then the stock did well. In other words, if capex went then operating income estimates had to as well for the stock to be fine. $GOOGL increased capex but Google Cloud revenue accelerated from 48% y/y growth in Q4 to 63% growth y/y in Q1. They clearly had the best ROIC of the group with a solid revenue beat and even bigger EPS beat with forward estimates going up. The stock was up 10% in reaction on Thursday. $AMZN maintained capex but AWS growth “only” accelerated from 24% to 28% & they guided slightly below consensus for operating profit for the June quarter though guided revenue above. As a result, it is not surprising that the stock was up 1% in reaction on Thursday. $MSFT guided June qtr revenue below the street despite guiding capex above what investors expected. Azure growth only increased from 38% growth to 39% growth. In addition they talked about a transition underway from per-seat to hybrid seat-plus-usage business models, impacting future commercial bookings. This feeds into the “AI eating software” narrative. As a result, the stock declined 4% in reaction on Thursday. $META guided revenues inline for Q2 but raised capex guidance. Investors worry about them overspending given they do not have a leading LLM or a public cloud model like the big three hyperscalers above . They also reported the first decline in Daily Active Users sequentially for their entire family of apps in history. This did occur for just the Facebook app in Q4 of 2021 but this was following the ramp during Covid. As a result, it is not surprising the stock declined 9% in reaction on Thursday. $AAPL had upside to the March quarter and guided revenues to grow 14-17% y/y for the June quarter versus consensus of 9% growth. Gross margins which were a big concern due to rising memory prices were only guided about a half a percent below consensus for June. The two notable changes are the company dramatically increased R&D (+34% y/y) to help them catch up in AI and 2) they will no longer be net cash neutral which will reduce returns to shareholders. But this may not be a bad thing if they use the extra cash to make acquisitions that enable them to catch up on a technological basis. As a result, the stock rose 3% in reaction on Friday. Looking forward, Google remains my favorite name of the Magnificent 7 given they have the full AI stack and good ROIC on their AI spend. A foldable iPhone with AI enhanced Siri capabilities could drive a nice Apple upgrade cycle in 2027. Finally Amazon benefits from AI & robotics increasing the value of their massive physical infrastructure and should help increase the growth rate of AWS. From a bigger picture perspective, I wrote on March 31st, "History may not repeat itself but it often does Rhyme." I was bullish despite the S&P decline on the Iran war because following the macro scares in 1997/98 which led to a 11% and 19% intra-year decline in the S&P, the years ultimately finished up 31% and 27% respectively, driven by years 3/4 of the internet buildout. I felt 2026 would follow the same path because the Iran war was man made and with the US mid-terms coming up, the desire would be not to have this last too long. Much like in 1997/98 with the internet buildout, the underlying economy could remain strong in 2026 due to the advent of Agentic driving the AI buildout while a new chairman of the Fed was picked largely because he wanted to cut rates. With the S&P now at all-time record highs, despite risks of a small near-term correction due to the overbought technical nature of the market, I still see easy money and AI being the dual drivers of this market over the longer-term with the Iran war closer to the end than the beginning. Best of luck in the week ahead.

@business its everywhere... record government tax revenue, yet countries as broke as never before.. how ???

The vast majority of British families would cut back spending on domestic vacations if the government pushes ahead with a proposed tourism tax, according to a survey, as consumers grapple with a rise in the cost of living bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

You might be wondering why this chart appears to be flipping you the bird. Well, that’s the stock market for you. While it's averaged 10% over long periods of time, it doesn't do it in a nice, linear, stress-free way.