Vaul Tradeous

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Vaul Tradeous

Vaul Tradeous

@Vaul347

That Deathstar is layered over a high timeframe POC (point of control) that marked the top for the cvid drop. Up and coming Empire.

Katılım Kasım 2021
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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
Top 4 guys to follow for the ultimate foundation in trading. @ChartGuys for the higher highs and higher lows. Teaching us how to zoom out properly, to be able to better trade and snipe scalps when we zoom in. Start here if you are new, they will set you on a straight road. @Desi_Trade for the simplest level to level Options trading. He reinforces the macro to micro sniper like trading. And helps you slow down the zones you should not be executing in. @carminerosato_ similar style to Desi, but Futures based so much easier access for all levels of traders. Heavy focus on level 2, orderbook. So he will help you drill down into the numbers, which the biggest prop firms so is the most important aspect to trading. ~Highly recommend all newer traders use bookmap for at least a few weeks/months of their career to help visualize liquidity as it moves throughout the day and week. And finally, but arguably most importantly @ZeeContrarian1 ~The complete opposite of everyone else, a unique specialist. And one that shit's all over everyone elses idea's especially when it involves charts, but still 1000% worth studying everything he says. Spend some HOURS reading his feed and see the magic. He has opened my eyes to a new lifestyle in the trading verse since I found him. And as any portfolio manager would state, it's great to have a diversified portfolio. Which Is why I highly highly recommend having the Contrarian part of your trading feed. It'll change your life!
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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
@nic_carter Hate to say it but look at the 100% disabled vets. We hate our government enough to justify taking advantage of its resources and then bitch about how it's managed at the same time. Hard knock life's we live. Ain't no rest for the wicked.
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nic carter
nic carter@nic_carter·
it hasn't sunk in for most people. we already live in a post-scarcity society. UBI is already here. basic package: disability, medicaid, food stamps etc bonus package: literally getting paid for staying at home and hanging out with your relatives extra bonus: if you are willing to commit fraud, pretend your kids are autistic and get paid for that. get paid for watching your neighbor's kid. pretend you are taking care of your grandma. fake hospice clinic. fake rehab clinic. fake therapy clinic. giga bonus: during a time of crisis take advantage of PPP or CARES and open a fake business and get paid for existing people are shocked when they learn that defense is the FIFTH largest line item in the budget. ahead of defense: social security ($1.6T), interest on debt ($1.1T) medicare ($1T), medicaid + ACA ($1T), AND THEN defense ($0.9T) complain about defense all you like, but healthcare fraud is a way bigger factor. hundreds of billions per year. this is only going to get worse, because the fraud is a structural part of the system – payouts to client groups in exchange for votes (normally D). in the US, only 47% of the population actually works (fully 14% of the population is working age and does not work). retirees are 18% and children 22%. the system I described above subsidizes 50m non-working people absolute minimum, but really it's far more because people that are paid to stay home and take care of their relatives are considered "workers" of that 47% of "actual workers" maybe one third does real work, the rest are shuffling papers around or doing fake email jobs. so you have, rough math, 50 million actual workers supporting 300 million dependents. that's the nature of the economy today. it will only accelerate. eventually you will have 10 million using AI tools to do all the work and 340 million dependents. the reason no one roots out the fraud is because it's the system that keeps our extremely fragile polity intact. the fraud is the UBI. the purpose of the system is what it does. of course, it's a deeply unfair system, because you are allowed to commit fraud if you are a politically protected client group of the democrats. DOGE was killed faster than any government program ever, because it attempted to root out the fraud. if you are honest and unwilling to commit fraud, you are a huge loser in this system. your neighbor will have their mortgage subsidized by some government program. they will get favorable SBA loans due to DEI. they will open a fake hospice or autism clinic. they will get paid for taking care of their neighbor's kid and vice versa. the primary skill in the labor market is learning how to extract money from state and federal government programs, not gaining skills or making yourself employable. if you are just trying to work an ordinary wagie job you are a huge sucker. you are paying 40-50% effective all in taxes to everyone else who is a net taker. the sad part is because AI is such a substantial productivity boost, it will actually keep this system going for a while longer, and maybe in perpetuity. AI boosts the 15% of the population that is actually productive so much that the remaining 85% can coast by. no one in charge will change this because they can't think of anything else. the political costs of a real UBI program are too great and we don't have the money for it anyway. so we will keep this covert fraud-based UBI program running indefinitely. unfortunately, if you are an honest wagie, you lose.
Augustus Melmotte@EnriqueDiazAlva

These numbers are extraordinary. NYC has lost jobs in almost every sector for the last 6 years except "health and social assistance", which is essentially old people putting their relatives on Medicaid's payroll.

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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
Took a 1992 jeep wrangler 1400 miles each way a few years ago. 240k miles. Awesome ski trip. Trustworthy when you take care of them. I'm not a daughter but I trusted my girlfriend at the time to drive a manual after teaching her a few days before. She did great and would do it again. She's a wife now.
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Jesse Peltan
Jesse Peltan@JessePeltan·
I don’t think people realize how affordable Teslas have gotten. A new Model Y is $530/month. (72 months)
Jesse Peltan tweet media
Troy@troy_berglund

@JessePeltan @elonmusk Remember when oil megacorps price gouged people to wishing they had a Tesla? The problem is that people who cant afford $5 gas cant afford an $1000+ a month payment for 84 months🤷‍♂️

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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
@smonter42 @JessePeltan Don't forget to mention that it is for an exceptional driving record. Any sort of recent hiccup could double that instantly.
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Tom M.
Tom M.@smonter42·
@JessePeltan $530 a month is not affordable. You could pick up a really nice used car for five grand and drive that for 3 to 5 years with minimal maintenance. It’s also not just 530 a month it’s also how much it cost to insure it. For a model Y that’s gonna be $225-250 a month
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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
To clear that up. Higher earners don't pay into SS because they don't use it. Or if they do use it, it's a much smaller %. SS benefits are % based on income and assets when people hit retirement age. Millionaires have plenty of this therefore don't need much SS. And those that are using SS have their assets tied up in trust or some manner that they can no longer access much of that wealth, and it is handed down to the family.
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Grok
Grok@grok·
The SS wage cap ($184.5k in 2026) limits both taxes paid *and* benefits calculated—high earners pay the fixed max tax and receive the max benefit (~$3,800+/mo at FRA, higher if delayed). Millionaires typically receive it but it's tiny % of their retirement (top income quintile: SS is 50%+ of income for only ~4%). They rely on investments/pensions instead. ~70M beneficiaries mostly lower/middle-income retirees: SS provides 50%+ of income for ~60%, 90%+ for many in lowest quintiles. Lower earners pay higher effective rate (12.4% on all wages up to cap) by design—it's social insurance for old-age security, not pure savings. High earners' extra income isn't taxed or credited for SS.
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
Murray: Is it true that people making under $184k pay a 12.4% Social Security tax rate? Dahl: Yes Murray: And the rate for someone making $1 million? Dahl: 2.2% Murray: So, a 12.4% tax for people making less than $184k, but 2.2% for a millionaire or .0002% for billionaires.
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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
@grok @mdnghtmss @unusual_whales @grok explain why this is a non issue considering millionaires typically don't use social security benefits and explain the population that does use them, and why they pay more into it.
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Grok
Grok@grok·
No worries! Simple version: Social Security tax is 12.4% on your pay—but only up to $184k/year. Over that? $0 SS tax. So folks under $184k pay 12.4% of *all* their income. A $1M earner pays 12.4% on just the first $184k (~2.2% of total pay). A billionaire pays the same tiny fixed amount—so basically 0.0002% of their income. The cap makes it hit average earners harder percentage-wise.
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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
Cons. It's too high to remain bullish without zooming inward to LTF's to get a better entry. Obviously, the great long was that 200ema. Could've stayed in higher timeframes to take that trade. Less stress, clear failure pattern to watch. Wider risk though. Pros. Sideways consolidation breaking bullish in the midst of wild volatility is very bullish. So taking that risk on the LTF's should cover your risk and pay nicely. 6/10 with late entry being the biggest issue. Multiple day holder. As of typing this, I can't think of any overnight risk that could send this down besides maybe a bomb in our backyard? Maybe if Elons factory went online tomorrow and started producing memory instantly?
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Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎
Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎@TheOneLanceB·
$SNDK DAILY CHART ANALYSIS! What are the pros and cons of this daily setup? Is it worth taking? How would you rate it? Why?
Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎 tweet media
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Vincent Desiano
Vincent Desiano@Desi_Trade·
Just another week that I’m excited to stay in my lane, mind my own business & trade my own capital…
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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
You can actually just go knock on someone's house and say you wanna buy it to move in. Go to the bank together. Because they have a notary. AI yourself a financing contract if you don't have the cash, make sure the seller is happy with it, and y'all sign it together at the bank with the notary. Old school+new school = super simple But nooooooo we have to have a middle man for everything.
Markets & Mayhem@Mayhem4Markets

Wow. This skit hits. It hits so hard it may've just murdered an industry. 💀

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TrendSpider
TrendSpider@TrendSpider·
The best trade of the last 20 years might surprise you. It wasn't tech. It wasn't software. And it wasn't $NVDA $10K invested in 2003, held to today: $MSFT → $220,000 $AMZN → $1,900,000 $NVDA → $11,000,000 $MNST → $25,000,000 It was an energy drink.
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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
While I admit this is a bit ...crude. They are getting with the times. The world runs on tik tok and tiktok style media. In other words, a dumbing down of Information. And to appeal to all future voting generations, you have to get with the times. Showing off your wins is a very normal thing in today's social media landscape.
Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎@TheOneLanceB

Every last shred of dignity is gone from our Presidential office. We deserve so much better.

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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
Easy comparison is to look at the roofing industry. Mass work available. Few successful companies with tenured experience. Even those individuals don't make 10 million a year. That's such an insane comparison. No amount of automation could sky rocket income that much unless the material cost also skyrocketed an insane %, of which destroys the economy anyhow.
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David Shapiro (L/0)
David Shapiro (L/0)@DaveShapi·
@ranman The difference is that there's not an infinite demand for plumbers. There is a satiety point for plumbing. Not every resources gets used more as it gets cheaper. There are natural limits.
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Glitch
Glitch@Glitch_Trades·
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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
@grok @DividendDrip @elonmusk We would need at least a few of these facilities across the North American continent to prevent or mitigate the Taiwan incident in the future right? At this point it's all but guaranteed it's going to happen. Preparation is underway. But will it be ready soon enough?
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Grok
Grok@grok·
The Terafab Project is Tesla's plan for a massive "TeraFab" semiconductor manufacturing facility. It will combine logic chip production, memory, and advanced packaging all in one huge domestic plant to hit enormous scale—potentially 100B+ chips per year—for AI demands in FSD, Optimus robots, Dojo supercomputers, and beyond. This avoids future supply bottlenecks from external foundries. Official launch details in 7 days! 🚀
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Terafab Project launches in 7 days
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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
That's the hard part for alot of traders, the inability to pivot. Especially coming into the market nowadays. Most of the marketing and advertising is towards trading futures and specifically the index futures. They don't get the opportunity soon enough to learn that momentum shifts and rotates through the market. That's been the most difficult thing to try and teach my brother. His feed has been futures traders and ES only gurus and more annoyingly the prop firm shenanigans. They have no idea what easy trading is on the back of sector momentum, and believe it doesn't exist.
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TheChartGuys
TheChartGuys@ChartGuys·
@James_Foresight Who says retail has to trade small caps? You just have to pivot to the market with opportunity. Crypto 2017, Canadian cannabis 2018, high short float or growth 2021, Uranium and quantum 2025, commodities 2026 and on and on
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Foresight Trader
Foresight Trader@James_Foresight·
AI has killed retail trading, by making small caps more like large caps, originally blowing out short sellers, now humans have left and what's left is a few hopeful people picking up scraps and machines. In my opinion, this is not a market cycle, its the end of retail day trader.
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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
This goes into depth explaining why you can't just be TA Trader. All those futures(only $ES) prop account traders are wrong, in the long run. TA is one thing you should learn yes. It's extremely useful yes..but don't stop there..once you get your TA strategy down. Once you have learned it. Its time to move on to the next learning avenue. Fundamentals. Maritime logistics. Material mining and manufacturing. Which defence companies are more entrenched. Insurance. ~ All different ways to make money in the market. Each of which are all effected by one or other like a spider web. Never. Stop. Learning.
Serenity@aleabitoreddit

Top 10 common fallacies I keep seeing again and again on X. And some of the most important things I look out for too when doing research: 1. Being in "crowded" names like $LITE or $COHR does not mean these names won't go higher. (Just look at Nvidia throughout 2022 -> 2026). 2. Don't conflate bottlenecks and critical companies in supply chains like SpaceX or Nvidia with stock market returns. What matters is how it translates to material operating income. The reason I mention $AXTI, is likely price hikes from being that bottleneck. 3. Insider Sales are the extreme noise. You will never see me quote that anywhere to derive projections and what the MC should be at. 4. Repeat after me. TA is only an indicator, not a bible. Please stop posting TAs underneath my Soitec posts to say "overextended!!!" without any reference to fundamentals, catalysts, or macro. TA's especially, mean nothing when there's extreme fundamental changes (eg. $6B in share dilution or upcoming IPO float lockup like $BULL, $CRCL). 5. DILUTION IS DIFFERENT. ATMs are different than convertible notes that are different than loans. It's extremely nuanced. Some lead to more equity returns than others that are more harmful (eg. $IREN $6B ATM). Float dynamics, ATM sizes relative to marketcap, and all others need to be accounted for. 6. Markets are forward looking. It's just a matter of how far in the future they look. Stop only posting previous revenue guidance only to justify valuations pricing in forward growth eg. $TSEM forward growth for photonics ramp. 7. Revenue/Gross Margins/Profit are extremely, extremely nuanced. Profit can be hid in tax writeoffs, and margins can be hid in other parts of the income statement like opex, or in depreciation. So posting "gross margins/profit" (eg. $IREN) and using that to justify it vs. other neoclouds means nothing if the accounting is not normalized 8. Net Income is not the same as GAAP Net Income. True profitability from companies like $SNAP are hid by things like stock-based compensation. When a company reports non-GAAP net income of $500 million to the media, their official SEC-filed GAAP net income could be a $150 million loss because of SBC. 9. Float Dynamics + Dilution are important. You can say "oh this company is $150M MC, 30m profit" but if you're forgetting there's a massive dilution overhead at X strike, then all your research gets thrown out the drain. 10. Make sure to factor in REVENUE GROWTH/TAM. You can grow a company 200% one year, but if TAM maxes out like in Fintech then revenue growth eventually falls off the cliff. Hence why $RKLB gets premiums for infinite Space TAM growth while other companies in fintech growing at 40% Y/Y don't.

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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
@ChartGuys Bounce would ideally be around the sweep of the doji candle lows from the move up. That should be close to the POC of that entire move highlighted within the screenshot.
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Vaul Tradeous
Vaul Tradeous@Vaul347·
@ChartGuys Lots of trading in the middle ~ indecision on the way down after a nice strong move up, bullish. Weak pullback so far. Looking for a strong bounce, not a weak bounce. Weak bounce or double/ multi tops on the bounce would indicate weak buying power waiting for some headlines.
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TheChartGuys
TheChartGuys@ChartGuys·
Are you bullish, bearish, or neutral this chart?
TheChartGuys tweet media
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