Vikrant Kumar

@VasuBhadja @swing_ka_sultan Sure , will go through this , Thanks

@VikrantK2000 @swing_ka_sultan Can you look at the comments of this tweet, I explained in detail there. Also you can refer to the help tab.

Do a scenario analysis, Akshay. Let your trading data tell you what the right approach is. To do this is to create different scenarios. For example, what if your stop loss was 2.5%, 3%, or 4%? Would the improvement in your win rate be significant enough to compensate for the smaller position size or the higher risk? Then do the opposite. What if your stop loss was 1.5% or even 1%? How much does your win rate drop? Does the larger position size on winners, or the reduced risk per trade, more than compensate for that decline? We use many such scenario analyses and exercises in @tradetm_org. The best way to learn and improve your approach is to let your own trading data tell you what to do, rather than relying on either your opinion or mine.

@VasuBhadja @swing_ka_sultan Hey Thank you so much , will go through this , this helps

@VikrantK2000 @swing_ka_sultan

@swing_ka_sultan Hi Sir , were Suven and PCJeweller reversal plays ? Or Suven required 1 more day of selling and PCJeweller was not in a eprfect straight momentum before the fall

These were the top trades on my #Reversals Watchlist today. #IOLCP was the best of the pack, but didn't give me an entry. However, since this was intended to be a holding trade, I'll look to reattempt it tomorrow as a #WickPlay setup. Both #BAJAJCONS and #MSTCLTD were weaker candidates and were considered primarily from an intraday perspective. While I'm less interested in #BAJAJCONS from here, I can still look to reattempt #MSTCLTD tomorrow as a #WickPlay. The rest will depend on how the final trading list comes out after scanning and shortlisting.

@VasuBhadja @swing_ka_sultan Hi Vasu , brilliant work , had few doubts . What does MFE , MFE+ , Heat +8%,sl->cost represent here in Trade Journal ? Also In Insights , mfe is shown , missed upside is shown average realized is shown , , sl to cost is shown as ok , na . Coudl you explain how to interpret please

@swing_ka_sultan Feeback loop is everything in trading, and a trade journal which truly encapsulates Chirag Sir's principles. All it takes is uploading a tradebook, and analysing the generated data on a weekend. This is the difference between success and failure.

@swing_ka_sultan Hi Sir , I am probably asking this again , could you pls clarify what do you mean by wick play if possible . Just a brief explanation if you can please .

#IKIO: This would've been a wonderful trade had the stock opened with a gap-up into the wick, creating a classic #WickPlay setup. However, given the current market conditions, the probability of a strong gap-up open is relatively low. Now ask yourself this: What other tradable conditions would still fulfill the same purpose, even if they don't satisfy the visual criteria of a #WickPlay? Think in terms of variations, not visual patterns. That's how you build an arsenal of setups. In such situations your edge will be too high as others continue to trade from visual memory alone.

@VVVStockAnalyst Got it , Thanks for the clarification

@VikrantK2000 I prefer to wait, because its just a matter of 5-10 good trades for me to be up 15-20%, done it so many times in a very short personally good env time.

@TheChartCrafter @tradetm_org @swing_ka_sultan Got it , that makes things clear , Thanks .

@VikrantK2000 @tradetm_org @swing_ka_sultan Yes H is not for entry, just to check the quality of breakout & decide trade management accordingly..you may reduce position on fade, or wait next day to see if it further fades or regains strength to turn out as wick play entry..and if D1 closes good,you may plan D2 pyramid..

THE REAL PURPOSE OF PRADEEP BONDE'S 4% BREAKOUT SCAN 🔥 #MomentumBurst #2LYNCH

@TheChartCrafter @tradetm_org @swing_ka_sultan What do you mean by H here , should the closing on that day be near highs ? We would already have taken position before that only correct ?

@tradetm_org @swing_ka_sultan As far as I remember 2: no 2 days up in a row, previous day should not be up more than 2% is a must L: Linear, Y: Young, N: No big rejection of 4% or more down bars, one is still ok, should not be 2 C: Consolidation quality, H: Close near high (at least 70% day’s gain retained)

@swing_ka_sultan @PradeepBonde Got it Sir , Thanks , will definitely go through it

@VikrantK2000 @PradeepBonde I'll post the stock selection video today. Go through the explanation of #BALAMINES and then look at today's chart. That's exactly what I was trying to explain. I'll also write a separate note on this topic, as it's one of the questions I get asked most often.

#SA FIRST, THEN SETUPS When @PradeepBonde introduced the concept of #SituationalAwareness in trading, he emphasized two critical layers: a) What is the market doing, and what is likely to happen next? b) What does that mean for my trading objectives? Which setups are likely to have a higher probability of working in this environment? Most traders fail to connect these two layers. They may have a view on the market, but they never ask how that view should influence the setups they trade. The core reason is simple, they only know one setup. Every evening, they run the same two or three scans, go through every stock one by one, and try to match each chart against a visual template stored in their memory. Whatever matches gets shortlisted. If nothing matches, they simply sit out. That defeats the whole purpose. This is a technical flaw, and no amount of hard work can compensate for it. Instead, spend five minutes every evening asking yourself: a) What is happening in the market? b) What is the most probable outcome? c) If that outcome unfolds, which setups are most likely to work? Let me explain this with yesterday's example. Step 1 – What is happening in the market? Yesterday evening, the market sold off sharply following renewed Middle East tensions and Trump's comments about potentially cancelling the deal. The news triggered an abrupt decline. Step 2 – What can happen next? Before jumping to possible scenarios, ask yourself one more question: Does this issue still have the ability to significantly impact the market? In my view, the market has already largely discounted this issue. Therefore, the probability is much higher that such news will only trigger occasional knee-jerk reactions rather than a sustained decline. Whatever scenarios we consider should be viewed through this lens. Now, let's get into two broad possibilities: a) TACO - Tough Talks, No Action. The more probable outcome. If the market senses that the rhetoric won't translate into action, it is likely to recover quickly and open higher. b) An actual escalation – A much less probable outcome. It could trigger panic initially, but since this issue has largely lost its ability to exert sustained pressure on the market, even such a sell-off would likely be followed by a reversal. Step 3 – Which setups are most likely to work? Since the thesis is to play for a recovery, the highest-probability opportunities are likely to come from three types of setups: a) Momentum Suppression These are stocks that were showing excellent momentum before the news hit. The sudden market-wide sell-off abruptly interrupted their advance, creating an opportunity. My first priority is these stocks, with the objective of finding a Wick Play entry. If the market opens strong, the probability of a sharp recovery in these names is very high. Examples: #IOLCP, #BALAMINES One important point: don't settle for mediocre setups here. Find the absolute best momentum stocks and focus on those. These are my favorite setups in the event of a strong opening. b) Strong Closings These are the wild ones - stocks that remained largely unfazed by the market sell-off. Their momentum was so strong that even the broader market couldn't make much of a dent. Whether the market opens strong or weak, these can often be traded as D2 entries. A gap-down reversal offers the best risk-reward, as it provides an excellent entry while the underlying strength remains intact. Examples: #UNICHEMLAB, #SGMART c) Extended Declines These are stocks that were already in momentum but experienced a sharp, fast sell-off, leaving them looking stretched on the downside. They can work well in both scenarios. A gap-up open signals immediate recovery, while a market-wide gap-down followed by a reversal can create a powerful slingshot move. Examples: #IKIO, #QUADFUTURES, #HEXAGON, #IXIGO #KERNEX I hope this framework and these examples help you understand how I approach stock selection, especially on days when market conditions and news flow play an important role. Merging Situational Awareness with your setups - or better yet, identifying the SA first and then selecting the appropriate setups - can significantly improve the quality of your trades. Later today, I'll try to upload a video from yesterday's @tradetm_org workshop, where we went through the stock selection and prioritization process in real time. I hope that helps you see the live implementation of the framework explained above.

@stocksgeeks Any circuit filter indicator?

@PradeepBonde Hi Pradeep , wont more frequent trading lead to transaction cost eating up the gains ? How to manage this

If you see the Market Wizards, most smaller accounts that grow into large ones do so in two ways: either by taking on higher per-trade risk or by trading more frequently. More frequent trading with controlled risk is better.

@tradetm_org Is it like we need to take confirmation entries when it is very evident that others would be anticipating near tight areas and prob of shakeout increases there and anticipation entry is after the shakeout , or am I confusing things , would be really helpful if you can pls help

@tradetm_org Hi Sir , very nice video , clears many concepts , Thanks for sharing this , one question which I had was how do we understand where to take anticipation and where to take confirmation entries

BAR BY BAR REPLAY: WHAT PROS SEE THAT RETAIL TRADERS NEVER WILL First entry, stopped out. You brush it off, tell yourself you were early. Second entry, stopped out again. This time it hurts a little more. You start wondering if it's you, not the setup. So you move on. A few days later the stock is up 30% and somehow everyone around you saw it coming except you. This time we ran into that exact situation live, and showed exactly how we worked through it in real time. Watch here: youtu.be/15U7i2wwQlI

@iDavinderK Hi Sir , could you explain the reason as well , did not understand what you mean

Wicks across the board. A very positive day within an expansion today. #MarketEnvironment

@PradeepBonde Got it Pradeep , Thanks , another thing I wanted to ask was how do you manage late entry trades, I am doing a lot of late entry trades , how to get the feel that its late or the stock can continue more to upside after a strong start and consolidation in lower timeframe ?

I don’t hold more than 3 to 4 positions. So I am forced to prioritize

@PradeepBonde How do you manage overtrading when there are a lot of setups available ? And everything seems to be breaking out of a tight range ? Do you fix a daily limit on the no of stocks to be purchased or some amount of open risk is fixed ?

I use time stop. If the stock does not move, I close.

@iManasArora Hi Manas sir , just a question , I understand that you give the trade some room after bringing it to breakeven , considering the choppy conditions we are in , would booking partial profits make sense , given huge 1 day move or usual trailing works?

Closed #EXCIOM

#NewPosition - LONG in #EXICOM at 134.35 stop 2% Target: t.ly/_XCrz Disc: Not a buy recommendation. Do NOT copy and lose your capital because you are very likely to.

@StonkMike09 @VVVStockAnalyst Some post during live markets which is fine , but others post after the move has been made , I can get comments on you want to copy or something but posting after the stock has made the move doesnt make any sense unless if entries with proper charts and further analysis is done

@VVVStockAnalyst As if renowned handles are any better. Everyone apparently had exposure to all leaders. Everyone traded Rain, Paracables and Apollo micro system. India is full of Qualamaggies.