Vribi 👑
1.5K posts





We backtested an Opening Range Breakout strategy adapted for Polymarket's BTC 5-minute markets. Across 4,389 trades, here's what we found. The strategy: When BTC moves past the price targets and the price is below the accuracy %, buy. - BTC moves $10 in first minute: 57% accuracy that side wins - BTC moves $10–25: 68% accuracy - BTC moves $50–100: 76% accuracy - BTC moves $100+: 99% accuracy The first 60 seconds of BTC price action predicts the 5-minute resolution quite accurately. If BTC moves up from the strike in the first minute → buy UP If BTC moves down → buy DOWN Hold to resolution. That's it. No indicators. No ML. Just momentum. When the market shows its hand early, it usually plays through. If you want to backtest your own strategies, PolyBackTest has subsecond historical data going back a month.

⚠️ MetaDAO x Hurupay Update The farming meta is dead. Unlike Ranger, this sale has NO refunds. Excess funds get locked in a Bid Wall. Whales now take a guaranteed ~15% loss just to fake volume. No farming = low volume. This raise will be tiny compared to the others. Short PM





First trade @Polymarket














