Will MacHugh

Anthropic really don't like xAI.

The FSD miles have the bias of being corrected by humans. Are miles a good measure? Seems like decision for decision metrics would be more interesting. I have a model Y. I like it. It currently doesn’t handle gravel roads or various road conditions well. I wish we had a way to put the car into ‘training’ mode to show it behavior the driver wants instead of learned behavior. For example, on gravel, I prefer to stay centered in the road versus to the side as loose gravel can suck the car over into the ditch. When approaching large farm machinery with large equipment attached, it doesn’t always understand conventional behavior. When going over train tracks, it doesn’t understand that could be a giant jump, and has sent me airborne a couple times. (Can’t say I minded) Probably want to evaluate it. I’m one of the few farmers with a Tesla. We have .03 / kw energy. With diesel at $6.50, we could use a lot more Teslas.

Tesla AI self-driving will be >10X safer than human driving

@USDA And yet 95% of us mushrooms are actually Chinese origin…. Labeled as product of USA.

USDA is shielding American farmland from foreign adversaries, cyber attacks, and invasive pests to ensure our food supply remains secure for generations 💪 #NationalAgWeek

@heygurisingh @grok could this help write code?

@america You’re overusing the term ‘Common Sense’. If it was common everybody would agree. You’re just insulting people who don’t think the same.

“The SAVE America Act is a common sense piece of legislation that has now passed the House of Representatives to ensure that Voter ID is a requirement in the United States… This is a common sense policy that nearly 90% of the country agrees with.”

@MoonDevOnYT @grok is this real?

Why Opus 4.6 Is The Final Boss Of Algorithmic Trading (Full Bot Build) the day of the human trader is officially over and most people are still staring at charts like it is 1995. wall street is terrified because the barrier to entry just got deleted by a piece of software that can outthink a stanford graduate in seconds. they want you to believe that you need a multi million dollar education to compete with the big banks. they want you to stay stuck in the cycle of emotional trading and leverage because that is how they pay for their hamptons houses. but there is a specific reason why every retail trader is about to become obsolete unless they pivot right now. i am going to show you exactly why your current strategy is a mathematical death trap and how a single jump in technology just changed the game forever every time you sit down at your computer to draw lines on a chart you are entering a gunfight with a toothpick. the institutions have been using high frequency algorithms for decades while you are trying to guess which way the candle is going to move based on a feeling in your gut. it is not a fair fight and it was never intended to be. last year we were looking at models that could barely handle basic logic but now the intelligence has scaled to a point where the machines are finding edges we did not even know existed. there is a ghost in the machine that is pulling out strategies with sharp ratios so high they look like typos. if you do not understand how to harness this power you are essentially donating your capital to the people who already have too much of it i spent hundreds of thousands of dollars on developers because i was too scared to learn how to code myself. i thought that being the idea guy was enough and that i could just hire people from upwork to build my dreams. i got rinsed for years paying for apps and bots that did not work because i did not have my hands on the wheel. it took losing a massive amount of money through liquidations and over trading to realize that nobody was coming to save me. i had to become the person who could build the systems or i was going to be another statistic in the graveyard of traders who thought they were smarter than the math. once i finally sat down and forced myself to understand the syntax everything shifted and the world became a giant playground of data the truth is that code is the great equalizer because it does not care where you came from or what school you went to. i got held back in seventh grade and my teacher told me i would not make it around here. that kind of talk is meant to keep you in your place but the computer does not have a bias. if you can write the logic the system will execute it exactly as told regardless of your background. we are living in a time where a kid in a basement can build a system that rivals a hedge fund because the big tech companies are subsidizing our intelligence. they are spending hundreds of billions of dollars on infrastructure and we are the ones who get to reap the rewards of their competition most people fail in this game because they fall in love with a single idea and refuse to let it go even when it is burning their account to the ground. they spend months or years trying to make one indicator work when the data clearly shows it is trash. you have to drop the ego and realize that your intuition is probably your biggest liability. the secret to winning is iterating to success by testing a hundred ideas until you find the one that actually sticks. i call it the rbi system which stands for research backtest and implement. if you skip any of these steps you are just gambling with extra steps and the house always wins in the end research is where most traders get lazy because they just want a magic bot that prints money while they sleep. they go to youtube and find some guy promising a ninety percent win rate with a rsi crossover. that is not research that is falling for marketing fluff designed to sell you a dream. real research happens when you dive into white papers and study what the quants are actually doing on wall street. you look for market inefficiencies like liquidation clusters and cross exchange discrepancies that are hidden in plain sight. by the time you finish this process you should have a list of ideas that are grounded in reality instead of wishful thinking backtesting is the filter that saves you from losing your life savings on a bad hunch. most people use tools that repaint or give them false confidence because the data is not being handled correctly. if you are using a basic charting platform to see if your strategy works you are likely seeing a version of history that does not exist. you need to use raw python libraries like backtesting py to see the cold hard truth of how your logic would have performed. when you see a drawdown of thirty percent on paper you realize that using ten times leverage would have deleted your account five times over. the math does not lie and it is the only thing that can protect you from your own greed the most dangerous drug in the world is leverage because it makes you feel like a genius right before it makes you a pauper. i have watched two billion dollars get liquidated in a single day because people thought they could predict the bottom with fifty times leverage. the exchanges can see exactly where your liquidation price is and they have every incentive to push the price there to hunt your liquidity. you are playing in a casino where the house can see your cards and they are actively trying to take them from you. the only way to win is to stop playing their game and start using limit orders to save on the fees that are slowly bleeding you dry it is funny how much money people will spend on food and entertainment but they will hesitate to invest in their own education. they will spend a thousand dollars on a weekend out but will not put that same money into learning a skill that could provide for them for the rest of their lives. money is just a tool of exchange and it always replenishes if you are providing value to the world. if you spend your capital on knowledge you are buying back your time and your freedom. i decided to live my life on youtube and build in public because i wanted to show people that a regular guy could do this. now i have fully automated systems trading for me while i sleep and i never have to worry about getting licked by a sudden market move again chasing the greats like jim simons is not about the money it is about the mastery of the system. he ran up a net worth of over thirty billion dollars by doing exactly what we are talking about here. he did not stare at charts all day and hope for the best he built models that exploited the mathematical laws of the market. he was a scientist first and a trader second and that is the mindset you need to adopt. if you are not approaching this quantitatively you are just a gambler who happens to be sitting at a computer. the goal is to become a quant researcher who happens to have robots executing their findings the transition from hand trader to automated builder is the most liberating thing you can do for your mental health. you go from waking up in a cold sweat checking your phone to waking up and checking your logs to see how the system performed. even if the day was red you have data that tells you why and you can use that to make the system better tomorrow. it is a process of constant improvement and refinement that never really ends. you are building a legacy of code that will continue to work for you as long as the electricity is running. i am not afraid to die on a treadmill because i know that i will outwork anyone who is just looking for a shortcut if you are still on the fence about whether or not you can do this just remember that i was exactly where you are. i was losing money and feeling like the market was rigged against me because it actually was. i had to decide that i was going to change my environment and take control of my own destiny. you have the same opportunity right now to pivot and start building your own automated future. the models are getting better every single day and the barrier to entry is lower than it has ever been in human history. you just have to decide to lock in and do the work for a thousand days until you become undeniable there is no better feeling than finding a strategy that has a sharp ratio over ten and knowing that you built it with your own two hands. it is a moment of pure clarity where you realize that you are no longer a victim of the market. you are the architect of your own financial reality and the possibilities are literally endless. i am going to keep sharing everything i find because i believe that we can take on wall street together. as long as i am breathing i will be stepping on the gas and pushing the boundaries of what is possible with code. welcome to the family and let's get after it because the machines are already running and they are not waiting for anyone

@elonmusk Disgusting

🤨

@elonmusk Sounds like the Mormon church

Good question

I pay $830.22 / month for ‘health insurance’. The insurance covers doctor visits with a co-pay of $35. I’ve went twice. Had I paid cash, it would have been around $150. The insurance won’t cover labs or prescriptions unless I’ve met the $8,000 deductible. I’ve had 2 lab bills, both billed at about $2,172. I paid them out of pocket. When I asked them about different options, they said I wasn’t eligible because I have insurance. I just called one of my doctors and asked them to put it in as if I didnt have insurance. Same tests, new price, $150.75. So for the year, I pay $9968.64 in insurance, $4,344.00 in labs and other scripts… let’s call it $15k. Cash price, labs $301.72, doc visits $300, and Amazon pharmacy is under $100 for the year. Total, $701.72. So…. I pay 21X for the insurance / traditional model.

@karpathy All of AT&T services are outsourced to India. And your spam calls come from ??? They have no motivation to make it hard for their cousins to offer you viagra at a ‘really good price’

I get ~10 spam calls per day (various automated voicemails, "loan pre-approval" etc) and ~5 spam messages per day (usually phishing). - I have AT&T Active Armor, all of the above still slips through. - All of the above is always from new, unique numbers so blocking doesn't work. - I am on all Do Not Call lists. - I have iOS "Silence Unknown Callers" on, but even if it catches & silences them I still get the notifications. Not sure if other people are seeing something similar or figured out anything that works

@SecRollins @USDA There are more crops than corn, wheat, soybeans and cows, pigs, chicken. Please give them some focus

Today, I signed the August WASDE report. ✍️   The record breaking corn and soybean yields released in today’s WASDE further underscores the NEED for new trade deals and increased market access across the globe for American agriculture products! 🌎   With facts at the forefront, we’re committed to putting American farmers and ranchers FIRST!🇺🇸

Why do we care about new markets when the ones we have are being destroyed by foreign inports? You’re spending all of your time in the Midwest talking to beef, corn, and soybean farmers. I don’t see any focus specialty crops. Starting to think Brook Rollins cares more about getting her picture taken than actually digging in to see the rest of the farms and what’s hitting us.

As @POTUS is securing FAIR trade deals for our American farmers on the world stage, we will see smaller family farms thrive with more market access. Americans WANT healthy options and they WANT locally grown products. But it is also a national security threat we must address head on — and President Trump is all in. At @USDA, we are committed to helping our farmers, ranchers, and producers as we MAKE AMERICAN AGRICULTURE GREAT AGAIN! 🇺🇸 #farmsecurityisnationalsecurity

@Tesla Can we have Grok do the kit voice in the car? And get the lights to do the back and forth thing?

KITT is now real You’re welcome

Who’s getting more frustrated with Hotels.com? I booked a night oat the Hyatt Regency in Milwaukee last night for 2 rooms with 2 people each. They offered breakfast for $28 which sounded expensive but it’s a nice hotel and we had limited time. When I went to breakfast this morning I went to restaurant and they said they didn’t see me in their system. I went to the front desk and was told my reservation includes a ‘coffee’ and they gave me a single coupon for a Starbucks coffee. I had to text their Indian customer service and after 5 mins with a support agent that was kept asking me to send proof and documentation I gave up. #hyatt #hotels.com #expedia

@conquistadorof1 @WallStreetApes We don’t always use pesticides. There are IPM strategies that don’t use pesticides but may use things like lady bugs to control other insects. We have many tools at our disposal to grow but it depends on the intended market

@WallStreetApes This is why producers use pesticides

American got fresh cherries She was told to soak them in container of vinegar and ice. When you do this, apparently all the larva and worms come out of the cherries It worked….

@mihai_truta3 @WallStreetApes Actually the tolerances for fruit fly in commercial cherries are much closer to .00000001%. You are quite safe to eat cherries from a commercial grower.

@WallStreetApes This is why I avoid cherries completely. Even a 0.1% chance that one contains a worm is unacceptable. I only eat fruit where it is easy to assess infestation status by a careful external examination.

@fromCommifornia @WallStreetApes Not true. The Japanese currency is 1/2 of the dollar, making the cost prohibitive in Japan. Most domestic cherries are sold in the US and Canada. There was a significant amount going to China but tariffs slowed that down this year.

@WallStreetApes All of the real big fresh cherries get sold to Japan mostly. I know this because I worked with a guy that organized illegal labor to pick cherries. The real cherries are the size of a small plum. Japan buys most of them them. Americans get the shit cherries.

Actually some of the big retailers in the season stopped buying early for a couple days in the season to back up the supply chain. It forced many farms and pack houses to sell less than cost, the retailers sold at max margins and bought for below cost. I know of several farmers that will go broke this year because of what they did.

@WallStreetApes Few weeks ago, a 3lbs bag of cherries that normally cost about $12 at Jewel Osco was on sale for $1.99, I wonder why.

@RobertHunterFL @WallStreetApes We don’t use the tarps but I know farmers who do. We live in a desert so it’s far less of an issue. If we have a heavy rain we actually fly a helicopter over them to dry them out.

@WMachugh @WallStreetApes Hey, I have a question for you, do you ever use rain tarps over your trees and if so, do you have a good source for them?