Cymru Election Maps

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 All of Wales is up in this years' council elections, on new boundaries. Here's how the country voted in 2017 (by 1st placed candidate). 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Mae Cymru gyfan i fyny yn etholiadau cyngor eleni, ar ffiniau newydd. Dyma sut y pleidleisiodd y wlad yn 2017 (gan yr ymgeisydd 1af).

Current polling projected onto the Provisional 2023 Boundaries* LAB: 296 (+101) CON: 259 (-119) SNP: 55 (+7) LDM: 17 (+9) PLC: 4 (+2) GRN: 1 (=) Changes w/ notional 2019 result. *subject to several reviews and changes yet hence why they're not used in my regular projections

Rob Roberts, Alun Cairns, Jamie Wallis, Sarah Atherton, Virginia Crosbie, Simon Baynes, Robin Millar and James Davies are the MPs projected to lose their seats.

Seats: LAB - 30 (+8) CON - 6 (-8) PC - 4 (+0) Seat changes: Delyn - 🌳➡️🌹 Bridgend - 🌳➡️🌹 Clwyd South - 🌳➡️🌹 Vale of Clwyd - 🌳➡️🌹 Ynys Môn - 🌳➡️🌹 Wrexham - 🌳➡️🌹 Aberconwy - 🌳➡️🌹 Vale of Glamorgan - 🌳➡️🌹

Westminster voting intention: LAB - 39% (-2) CON - 26% (-10) PC - 13% (+3) REFUK - 7% (+2) GRN - 6% (+5) LD - 3% (-3) Via @YouGov, 13-16 Dec. Chgs. w/GE2019

Here they are in full, the first draft of the 2023 Boundaries for Great Britain: (2019 Equivalent Seat Projections from New Statesman for England, and Electoral Calculus for Scotland/Wales).

Who do you trust to make the right decisions on Covid-19? Mark Drakeford - 54% Boris Johnson - 28% via @YouGov, 13-16 September

Should there be a Welsh-specific public inquiry into the decisions taken during the pandemic? Yes - 43% No - 15% via @YouGov, 13-16 September

Thinking generally, do you prefer the approach to the pandemic that has been taken in Wales or the approach that has been taken in England? Wales 60% England 14% Neither / don’t know 26% via @YouGov, 13-16 September

@leighsus @ElectCalculus @FindoutnowUK Changes w/ GE2019

MRP Result (Wales): LAB: 30 (+8) PC: 5 (+1) CON: 5 (-9) Via @ElectCalculus & @FindoutnowUK, 6-8 Sep. Changes w/ GE2019

Initial proposals for the new Welsh constituencies has been leaked a day early by Guido, here's the first look at the new 32 seat Welsh electoral map (down from 40):

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: Don’t care - 38% Denmark - 38% England - 21% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: England - 66% Don’t care - 26% Denmark - 3%

⚽️🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Who will the Welsh be supporting in the England v Denmark game tonight? Don’t care - 50% England - 34% Denmark - 13% Via @YouGov

🤨🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿❓

What a performance Cymru❤️🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

@nikita_romanovs @PoliticsForAlI I’ll still do the poll stuff if I do decide to post news

South Wales police and crime commissioner result: R1 LAB - 41% (+0.1) CON - 23.7% (+5.8) PC - 19% (+1.1) IND - 8.6% (-8.5) LD - 4.6% (-1.6) PROPEL - 3.1% (+3.1) R2 LAB - 64% (-4.1) CON - 36% (+4.1) Labour HOLD

@BleddwganMiaren Abolish got 1.6% in the constituency vote, I don’t think they stood in any constituencies in 2016. UKIP got 13% of the regional vote in 2016 & 1.6% this time (-11.4)

@WalesMaps What about constituency vote? And what about UKIP?

Incredibly, despite appearing on the main BBC debate and being considered by many as one of the main parties, Abolish the Welsh Assembly’s regional vote share has gone DOWN from 2016. 2016 - 4.4% 2021 - 3.7%

Gwent police and crime commissioner result: R1 LAB - 41.8% (-4.6) CON - 28.8% (-2) PC - 16.2% (-6.7) IND - 7.5% (+7.5) LD - 4.2% (+4.2) GWLAD - 1.4% (+1.4) R2 LAB - 60.5% (-1.1) CON - 39.5% (+1.1) Labour HOLD