Warren

112 posts

Warren

Warren

@WarrenSiebert

Helping deliver reality to the warfighter

New York, NY Katılım Ekim 2016
221 Takip Edilen15 Takipçiler
Jack Kuhr
Jack Kuhr@JackKuhr·
Apex's @IanCinnamon on lessons from Terran Orbital's rough ride as a publicly traded sat manufacturer. "The industry loves to talk about giant backlogs from customers that may or may not be funded. Frankly, to cut to the chase here, there's just a lot of bullshit." "There's a lot of trying to trick people. Trying to trick retail investors, and all that. We don't believe in that." "So when I started Apex, the very first pitch I ever gave was I want to create the first satellite bus vendor that people don't hate."
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Warren
Warren@WarrenSiebert·
@JackKuhr @IanCinnamon Apex is a joke of a company. Ruins the creditably if Payload to not acknowledge it.
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Jack Kuhr
Jack Kuhr@JackKuhr·
Apex CEO @IanCinnamon jumps on the show. "This industry has a hobby. And that hobby is to overpromise and underdeliver." We chat: - Are buses commoditized? - Founding goal: not to be hated - Terran Orbital 😱 - Payloads/application layer plans? - Sats per year - Apex differentiator - Anduril partnership - How hard is it to build a 100 kW sat? With @itsmoislam
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Warren
Warren@WarrenSiebert·
@rabois So glad it’s not the same outfit as the profile pic.
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Augustus Doricko
Augustus Doricko@ADoricko·
We’re going to save the Great Salt Lake and Colorado River from drought by making it rain and snow Thanks for coming by @GadiNBC !
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Beff (e/acc)
Beff (e/acc)@beffjezos·
Handing off one of our first XTR-0's to @AetheroSpace TSUs in space soon? 🤔🌌 One step closer to the Dyson swarm 🚀🔥
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Warren
Warren@WarrenSiebert·
@IanRountree Publicly supporting Apex is a bold move….
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ian
ian@IanRountree·
Vertically integrate or die.
Apex - Satellite Platforms 🛰@Apex_Satellites

We knew from day one that unlocking constellation-scale manufacturing would be more than just a hardware challenge. That's why we built Octopus — our proprietary operating system, developed in-house to handle the many complexities of rapidly scaling satellite manufacturing. Octopus provides an end-to-end source of truth, from first customer conversation to orbit, enabling streamlined traceability that ensures speed never comes at the expense of quality.  Octopus is built on @PalantirTech's Foundry and AIP platforms, which provide the underlying infrastructure to rapidly prototype and deploy custom applications across the entire company. By building Octopus on Palantir, we have unified scheduling, procurement, receiving, inspection, inventory management, and production into a single integrated workflow — enabling predictable and secure, constellation-scale production. Hear from Apex CEO, @IanCinnamon, and the rest of the team on how Apex's partnership with Palantir is unlocking rate production at Factory One, and laying the foundation for the next generation of satellite manufacturing.

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Warren
Warren@WarrenSiebert·
@ADoricko Little did that young man know the wool he’d eventually pull over people’s eyes
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Augustus Doricko
Augustus Doricko@ADoricko·
This young thug could not have imagined the blessings God has poured out in 2025 and every year since Pray and praise God for blessings in 2026
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Warren
Warren@WarrenSiebert·
@IanRountree Can you please stop tweeting like sf respects your opinions? It’s depressing and killing the vibe.
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ian
ian@IanRountree·
Spot on. I made the “fool’s gold” mistake a lot early in my career. Knowledge isn’t sufficient. In order to build a generational company you must also be able to abstract it to varying degrees, compelling broad and disparate audiences.
Sam Lehman@SPLehman

One of the hardest things to learn as a young investor is what a true top percentile founder looks like. Things get particularly more challenging when you are non-technical investing in technical sectors. Over time, I've come up with rough categorizations of founders that have made it much easier for me to evaluate people. Generally, there are three kinds of folks you will meet building companies. Figuring out which type of founder you are talking to is critical, but it takes time: 1. Not Top Tier: This is both the easiest class of founder to identify and also the most common. Truly exceptional technical founders are not easy to come by. Therefore, most people you meet will not be truly exceptional. These founders will present with only surface level understanding of their field. They might have pivoted into a hot space because their last idea didn't work out. They'll dance around probing follow-up questions that invite them to explain things at a deeper level. They'll offer to have you speak with their CTO or founding engineer if you'd like to learn more. You don't want to invest in these people! 2. Fool's Gold Founders: This is the real trap category. These are founders that are deeply technical but are not hyper-fluent. They can talk at you for hours about what they're building at a depth that is overwhelming. For young investors who can't match the level of technical expertise, you'll walk away from this call thinking to yourself, "Oh my god this person is brilliant! They know so much about this field, I know so little - they must be a genius!" This is a very normal reaction to have but one you must learn to fight against. Just because someone can talk about the deepest technical intricacies of a field does not mean they are the best in the world at building that company (I'll explain more about why this is in the third category). For young investors, the work is to learn to identify the line between baseline info you should probably know going into a call (i.e. did you do your homework on the industry?) and information a founder should be able teach to you regardless of your level of familiarity. 3. The Hyper-Fluent: As described below, these are the founders that can "scaffold their language" in accordance with their audience. If you're non-technical, you'll take a meeting with this type of founder and walk away with the experience of understanding something at a level you've never been able to before. Concepts will "click." They'll make you feel part of the conversation regardless of your technical ability, and then you'll listen to them speak to an engineer and see them go 100 levels deeper. These are the folks you want to invest in! Why? Founders are constantly having to code switch -- one minute they're speaking to an investor, the next a new technical hire, then a potential customer. As such, they need to be able to quickly identify the depth of knowledge of their audience and adapt their speech accordingly. People with this hyper-fluency are the ones with both the deep knowledge and theory of mind to be able to adapt to and speak the language of their audience. It's sort of like the Wired "Explained at 5 Levels of Difficulty" videos. You need a founder who can just as easily explain something to a 5 year-old as they can a PhD. If a founder needs to be speaking to a world expert for their points to land, how do you think they'll fair trying to raise from generalist VCs or talking to diverse shareholders as the head of public company? -- In reality, the boundaries between these categories are much blurrier than they might appear. Someone in the first category might look like the third if you can't quickly identify how deep their knowledge really is. So, in my view, the only way to start to build better instincts around this is to take as many meetings as possible. You simply have to get the reps in meeting many, many founders to start to understand what true hyper-fluent greatness looks like.

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Austen Allred
Austen Allred@Austen·
Men, what’s stopping you from dressing like this?
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Warren
Warren@WarrenSiebert·
@0xRohitz @InternetH0F Should have researched that a baby develops down in the uterus and not up in the stomach before making the video.
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RohitZ
RohitZ@0xRohitz·
@InternetH0F What's the problem of that guy with pregnant lady ?
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Warren
Warren@WarrenSiebert·
@ADoricko @VP You killed a bunch of children the last time you tried that. I’d sit this one out, Chief.
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Warren
Warren@WarrenSiebert·
@pitdesi I wish people would stop thinking Keith isn’t anything other than lucky for meeting Peter at the right time and is actually just a loud-mouthed moron?
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Sheel Mohnot
Sheel Mohnot@pitdesi·
Update- they are just focusing on Jack Archer, raising at $50M (down from $1B). Sounds like they got a winner in that brand that they bought for $1M, just a very different type of business.
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Sheel Mohnot@pitdesi

Is @OpenStore done? Site redirects to Jack Archer, maybe the last brand left in the portfolio? Feels like the end of the Shopify/Amazon rollup wave. Are any of the Thrasio-style models still around? $10s of B's of $$ went up in smoke chasing this playbook

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Warren
Warren@WarrenSiebert·
@zebulgar Did you guys both crush addy before this pic? Yikes.
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delian
delian@zebulgar·
Mr President Of the Greatest Country on Earth 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
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Warren
Warren@WarrenSiebert·
@rabois Just took my short position. Should be a nice profit at the drop.
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Keith Rabois
Keith Rabois@rabois·
$open: New Fed Chairman and new CEO: Winning.
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ian
ian@IanRountree·
We’re not going to “win” unless this changes.
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delian
delian@zebulgar·
In a world of fake acquisitions by the Mag 7 that break the fundamental social contract of the Valley & are lame as fuck Cognition is doing the RIGHT & SMART thing by taking over Windsurf, treating the employees right AND now you have the best AI-coding team all in one place!!
Cognition@cognition

Cognition has signed a definitive agreement to acquire Windsurf. The acquisition includes Windsurf’s IP, product, trademark and brand, and strong business. Above all, it includes Windsurf’s world-class people, whom we’re privileged to welcome to our team. We are also honoring their talent and hard work in building Windsurf into the great business it is today. This transaction is structured so that 100% of Windsurf employees will participate financially. They will also have all vesting cliffs waived and will receive fully accelerated vesting for their work to date. At Cognition we have focused on developing robust and secure autonomous agents, while Windsurf has pioneered the agentic IDE. Devin + Windsurf are a powerful combination for the developers we serve. Working side by side, we’ll soon enable you to plan tasks in an IDE powered by Devin’s codebase understanding, delegate chunks of work to multiple Devins in parallel, complete the highest-leverage parts yourself with the help of autocomplete, and stitch it all back together in the same IDE. Cognition and Windsurf are united behind a shared vision for the future of software engineering, and there’s never been a better time to build. Welcome to our new colleagues from Windsurf!

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