Georgios koniossis

25 posts

Georgios koniossis

Georgios koniossis

@WrenchAndReason

Brooklyn, NY Katılım Kasım 2025
38 Takip Edilen8 Takipçiler
Georgios koniossis
Georgios koniossis@WrenchAndReason·
@DLewTrades It true.. here i am opening a 710 put contract today while my bank did an auto deposit into my IRA yesterday. As always. Appreciate the knowledge
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Darren (YieldBOSS)
Darren (YieldBOSS)@DLewTrades·
A lot of traders lose because they confuse two fundamentally different things: “Would I take a long right here?” vs “What actually drives markets higher over time?” Those are not the same conversation and that’s where people get tripped up. Most traders think in terms of discretionary flows; sentiment, opinions, “this feels extended”, “it needs a pullback now” But a large portion of the market today isn’t operating on opinion at all. It’s mechanical. Passive inflows, retirement contributions, buybacks, index rebalancing, systematic funds, CTAs… the whole 9 yards — they’re not asking “is this too high?” They just execute man. That constant underlying bid is a big reason markets can stay elevated and keep grinding higher way longer than most expect. You can think something is extended and still recognize that, structurally, there’s ongoing demand underneath it. That disconnect is where a lot of traders get caught fighting trend over and over again, attempting to call tops with every new high or catch knives with every new low. Most aren’t wrong about direction — they’re just early against something that doesn’t care about their opinion.
Darren (YieldBOSS)@DLewTrades

One of the wildest things that everyone knows but nobody talks about is that retail traders are predominantly prone to doom-thinking and constantly wanting to short the market. It's the psyche trap of the 90%. The market goes up roughly 60–70% of the time.. yet traders are deeply committed to looking for tops. Why you ask? Because somehow, fear feels smarter than optimism. Shorting makes you feel like you’re seeing something others don’t. Like you’re early, a contrarian, ahead of the crowd. Calling a crash feels more intelligent than riding a trend when in reality, you’re just fighting the natural upside bias of markets driven by inflation, growth, and general human progress. Most traders don’t lose because they’re bad at entries. They lose because their entire mindset is jaded against the one thing that the market does best: go up.

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Georgios koniossis retweetledi
Darren (YieldBOSS)
Darren (YieldBOSS)@DLewTrades·
One of the wildest things that everyone knows but nobody talks about is that retail traders are predominantly prone to doom-thinking and constantly wanting to short the market. It's the psyche trap of the 90%. The market goes up roughly 60–70% of the time.. yet traders are deeply committed to looking for tops. Why you ask? Because somehow, fear feels smarter than optimism. Shorting makes you feel like you’re seeing something others don’t. Like you’re early, a contrarian, ahead of the crowd. Calling a crash feels more intelligent than riding a trend when in reality, you’re just fighting the natural upside bias of markets driven by inflation, growth, and general human progress. Most traders don’t lose because they’re bad at entries. They lose because their entire mindset is jaded against the one thing that the market does best: go up.
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Nicholas A. Pantano
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_·
Lot of doom & gloom on my feed from "influencers." 📚🐮 I had dinner last night with the head of FX trading at SocGen. Hear it from two veterans: -SPX to 7400 regardless of midterms. -Can reach to 8000 in a year if Iran drama cools off. -Desk is positioned for a rangebound/grind up dollar, shorting the weak Euro w/ energy issues in Europe rising. -Short JPY as USD remains king of the petrodollar system. Yen carry still in play. -New FED chair will run it hot, multiple cuts priced in. -Short covering market wide, esp small caps. Oh one more> "Patent your POI system immediately." ✌️🏻Great weekend all. 🌤️
Nicholas A. Pantano tweet media
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_

six Eight five Two nine

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Darren (YieldBOSS)
Darren (YieldBOSS)@DLewTrades·
$SPY Is the bottom in, or is it just a rally? Let's keep it simple and be objective. 🌩️ BEAR CASE: Over the last 32 years, nearly every single time that the Gold Cloud has full-crossed under the Red Cloud; it has led to prolonged bearish conditions. Going back to 1994, the Gold Cloud has full-crossed below the Red Cloud 16 times on $SPY. Out of those 16 times: - It has led to bearish conditions for at least 2-3 months along with a new low 13 / 16 times. - It has led to an immediate upthrust full-cross 3 / 16 times. Upon a full-cross, odds would greatly favor bears (81%). Historically speaking.. this structure would make a decent total bottom, but when in bearish conditions, it's a picture-perfect rally. So what about the BULL CASE? The bull case is as simple as can be; if the full-cross is negated and the Gold Cloud entirely exits out of the Red Cloud to the upside during the "rally", you'll be on your way to new ATH in no time and wouldn't need to fear bearish conditions continuing 95% of the time. For now, the Gold Cloud remains comfortably seated within the Red Cloud awaiting a decision. Welcome to "limbo". You won't be here long. $SPY $SPX $QQQ
Darren (YieldBOSS) tweet media
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Leo
Leo@Leooweb3·
True
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Ali Hamza
Ali Hamza@hamzitron·
@_GlobeObserver for most of the viewers saying its fake. I have added a discalimer as well that it might be an AI slop. but the information is real.
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Globe Observer
Globe Observer@_GlobeObserver·
🚨 Trump on USS Gerald R. Ford: “Iran attacked from 17 directions. We fled to save our lives. It was all over.”
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Nicholas A. Pantano
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_·
⚡️ If you didn't watch my quoted Hormuz video, you need to. Futures gapped down 1.5%, it will catch in this range. Oil will test Super Macro supply, & more likely than not exceed it soon. 🛢️ Strap in. $spy $usoil
Nicholas A. Pantano tweet mediaNicholas A. Pantano tweet media
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Strait of Hormuz - Economic Implications: 1. Global Oil Impact 2. Yen Carry Trade Unwind 3. Inflation Repercussions 4. Asian Economies/Markets ⚡️ -YieldBoss Instagram (yieldbossofficial) -Youtube (npantano_) -TikTok (npantano) #HormuzStrait $spy $oil

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LadyValor
LadyValor@lady_valor_07·
Based on the entirety of this photograph, what is your best estimation of the year it was taken?
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Nicholas A. Pantano
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_·
📸🚨 STATE OF THE UNION - 6 Statistics on Trump's Accuracy: 1. Market Gains, 401k's, Housing Affordability 2. Inflation 3. GDP 4. Immigration 5. Tariffs 6. Labor Market ⚡️ -YieldBoss Instagram (yieldbossofficial) -Youtube (npantano_) -TikTok (npantano)
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Strait of Hormuz - Economic Implications: 1. Global Oil Impact 2. Yen Carry Trade Unwind 3. Inflation Repercussions 4. Asian Economies/Markets ⚡️ -YieldBoss Instagram (yieldbossofficial) -Youtube (npantano_) -TikTok (npantano) #HormuzStrait $spy $oil

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Nicholas A. Pantano
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_·
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Strait of Hormuz - Economic Implications: 1. Global Oil Impact 2. Yen Carry Trade Unwind 3. Inflation Repercussions 4. Asian Economies/Markets ⚡️ -YieldBoss Instagram (yieldbossofficial) -Youtube (npantano_) -TikTok (npantano) #HormuzStrait $spy $oil
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_

Fam the Hormuz Strait is not fully closed. Tune that out. 🛢️🔥 Oil futures would hit $130. SPY would get murdered & the Yen Carry would partially unwind. If USD/JPY breaks $161, market dumps. JPY will sell their UST holdings to offset the loss of strength in their CCY (as Oil is denominated in USD). youtu.be/04Hk41tosm4

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Nicholas A. Pantano
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_·
📉 0.8% gap down on S&P Futures, 7.5% on Oil Futes, absolutely nothing to worry about. $spy #oil 📸 Video review of the Strait of Hormuz coming tomorrow at lunch time (12pm EST)! 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇮🇷
Nicholas A. Pantano tweet mediaNicholas A. Pantano tweet media
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Nicholas A. Pantano
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_·
📈📉 The worst S&P500 sequence I've ever witnessed. 0dte gamma, exaggerated delta hedging, & violent micro POI's have this thing whipping back & forth in uncontrolled fashion. $spy Constant intra-day reversals, just not fun to analyze, test demand & get the fractal over with ffs.
Nicholas A. Pantano tweet media
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_

I want to once again, emphasize that today is impossible without the irrationality behind dealer delta hedging in in a positive gamma environment (buy dips sell rips). 📰 $SPY was 682.9 last night in overnight trading down over 1.5% on the back of: -Commodity sell-off -Crypto liquidation -Partial Government Shutdown -Potential America attacking Iran news -New FED Chair choice (hawkish) ❗️ Now, on seemingly zero news backed narrative, SPY bounced off that 682 level in pre-market, and is now up 2% today. How? The BLS also is not releasing employment data this Friday. 🔧 Mechanically in Real-time: >As price falls during Sunday night futures, firms begin chasing the drop by buying puts. >Dealers delta hedge this PA by shorting the underlying (SPY) even further. Price waterfalls downward. >Once the institutional put premiums reach their maximum delta (-1.0) the trade loses steam. Volatility spike subsides, and is now suppressed. -Dealers that over delta-hedged to the downside now buy back their shares shorted, causing the first move off the bottom (usually a wick) to be explosive upward. -As price bounces upward, delta on the puts bought (if profit wasn't taken) now lose value. This creates a feedback loop where dealers buy back even more shares, as their side of the trade (puts written-positive delta) are gaining value. **And this^ is why no one knows what the fuck is going on. Join YieldBoss and you will.

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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: MicroStrategy's, $MSTR, Bitcoin position officially turns red as Bitcoin falls below $76,000.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet mediaThe Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Georgios koniossis retweetledi
Darren (YieldBOSS)
Darren (YieldBOSS)@DLewTrades·
And I regret nothing. Locking-in during my early 20s was the best career decision I ever made. A mistake most aspiring traders make is they underestimate the relentless work-ethic of a handful % of their retail peers. You may be smarter than me. You will never outwork me. ⚔️
༒︎@offprozac

accidentally isolated myself for years

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