可言

1.9K posts

可言

可言

@XKYY177

Katılım Ekim 2023
1.6K Takip Edilen93 Takipçiler
可言
可言@XKYY177·
@ThaoVyTP @dimqtdl 女儿红,状元红,有20年的,寓意女儿出嫁孩子中科举拿出来喝,中国古代都喝黄酒。
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Thảo Vy
Thảo Vy@ThaoVyTP·
@dimqtdl Thế thì còn gì bằng nữa, chỉ thiếu mỗi tri âm, kkk
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0xww
0xww@dimqtdl·
Rượu chín năm tuổi mời anh em thưởng thức
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決算グラフ化芸人|統計を学んでいたはずの化学系技術者
世界最大の半導体装置メーカーAMATと中国最大のNAURAの売り上げ比較。 AMATが横ばいに対してNAURAは着々と成長を続けてます。まだ差はあるものの、中国勢がどこまで伸び続けるか非常に気になる...
決算グラフ化芸人|統計を学んでいたはずの化学系技術者 tweet media
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Luca Greco
Luca Greco@lucagrecoita·
Tuopu Group ordered 6 Gigacasting machines but only 1 was installed so far. Neta Auto ordered a 20,000-ton machine. It was never installed 🏭 This is not a story about manufacturing delays. This is a story about business models built on EV startup demand that never materialised - and the machines that were ordered to serve it. Most industry coverage still treats order announcements as production evidence. The gap tells a different story. Here is what the verified data shows: -> Tuopu Group: 6 machines ordered. 1 installed. -> Ruili Group: 3 machines ordered across three sizes. 0 installed. -> Wencan: two 12,000-ton machine orders. Both cancelled. -> Neta Auto: 20,000-ton machine ordered. Never installed. Some of these investments were based on overoptimistic forecasts of Gigacasting adoption. Others were based on agreements with EV startups that lacked the demand to justify running a single machine. China has installed more 6,000+ ton die casting machines than Europe, North America, Japan, and Korea combined. And the gap between what has been announced and what is actually on the factory floor is staggering. I tracked every verified installation worldwide and put together a scorecard that shows the full picture - region by region, OEM by OEM, cancelled orders in between. -> Region-by-region installation counts: China vs Europe vs North America vs Asia-Pacific -> Which OEMs have machines running vs just announcements -> Cancelled and postponed orders that never made the headlines -> Top suppliers and their verified customer relationships Verified installations. Not estimations. Not press releases. Want the Gigacasting Machine Scorecard? 1. Connect with me 2. Comment "SCORECARD" I'll send it to you.
Luca Greco tweet media
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酒本正夫
酒本正夫@SakemotoMasao·
円安おばさん、2回目介入もほぼ全戻し。またやも失敗。1回目5兆円、2回目も含めて外貨準備金ドル資産、9兆円ぐらい溶かした。皆が円安で困ると言った時は無視を決め込み、造船が円安大打撃で原材料高になり日本の1人負けになった。慌てて為替介入。大失敗。この人には為替や経済は無理。
酒本正夫 tweet media
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田中 秀治 / Shuji Tanaka
安川電機は筑豊御三家(麻生、貝島、安川)の一角、炭鉱王・安川敬一郎の興した安川財閥の企業。同社は明治鉱業の傘下で大正4年に創業され、元々、炭鉱で用いる電気機器を製造していた。黒崎播磨、明治安田生命なども兄弟企業だ。この写真は安川電機のルーツ、明治炭鉱第一坑の地に今も残る炭鉱住宅。
田中 秀治 / Shuji Tanaka tweet media
かわのじょーじ/松永製作所in福岡@joh_mtng_ss

FAの技術を「魅せる」ことに使った展示は圧巻でした!さすが世界の安川電機!

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もふもふころころわんこちゃん𝕏
凝った車出そうとする割には数も出ないし、価格もつかないし、差別化とか棲み分けをしようともしないから、まじでチキンレース。。。
ロイエンタール新領土総督@6QhdTQGwiXXAlxb

✅中国EV新興勢の「R&D投資効率の壁」が浮き彫りに 零跑汽車(Leapmotor/リープモーター)の朱江明会長 「最も経済的な方法を使っても、新型モデルの開発には「最低10億元(約200億円)」の投資が必要」 NIOの李斌会長は 「新型車の開発費用は10億元だったが、その寿命は6ヶ月未満だった」と述べています。 しかも深刻なのは量の問題も加わり 「年間1万台の生産能力を計画していても、実際に生産・販売が5,000台にとどまり、工場が半分空いたまま、2交代制から1交代制に縮小され、研究開発費+生産能力コストが1台あたりに分散され、極めて高額になってしまう」 まさに、R&D版ICOR(限界資本産出比率)の悪化そのものとなっています。 追加の巨額投資(ΔK)に対して、売上増加(ΔY)が追いつかない。 技術難易度が非線形に跳ね上がり(L2→L3自動運転、SDV、車載半導体内製化など)中で、規模の経済が効きにくい新興勢は固定費回収のジレンマに苦しんでいます。 Leapmotor自身は2025年に新興メーカー販売台数トップクラス(約60万台)と急成長中ですが、それでも会長が自らこのリスクを公言している点が象徴的と言えます。

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海外工作说
海外工作说@sekay2016·
推荐所有对日本教育感兴趣的人以及家长,看看日本中小学课程内幕。很多人比较排斥日本,但日本的学校教育,确实不错。如果想送孩子来日本上学。 孩子来日本上学,有两种方式 一是办理可带家属的签证,比如工作签证或者经营签证 二是在国内直接申请,让孩子来日本读初中,高中和大学
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Carrie 台灣 Tea
Carrie 台灣 Tea@ChenCarrie6·
寧夏夜市 ,我發現近期日本觀光客超級多, 攤位老板幾乎都會簡單的日語會話。
Carrie 台灣 Tea tweet mediaCarrie 台灣 Tea tweet mediaCarrie 台灣 Tea tweet mediaCarrie 台灣 Tea tweet media
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Gaurab Chakrabarti
America stopped making titanium sponge in 2020. China and Russia produce 75% of the world's supply. Two Japanese companies, Toho Titanium and Osaka Titanium, supply 70% of America's imports. Sponge is the porous metallic form that every titanium part starts as. In 2018, Titanium Metals Corporation warned regulators that without tariffs the US military would depend on geopolitically risky countries for titanium. No tariffs came. Two years later their plant closed. This month the Air Force announced an $8.4 million program to 3D-print titanium aerostructures. The sponge still comes from overseas. I manufacture chemicals. The same molecular structure that lets titanium survive the most corrosive reactors in our industry is the structure that punishes you when you try to shape it. It conducts heat 30 times slower than aluminum. Machine it and three problems feed each other. The heat stays at the tool tip. The metal bonds to the cutting tool. The surface hardens the moment the tool touches it. Each cut hits a tougher surface than the one before. Aerospace-grade titanium has no substitute. Nothing else matches its strength-to-weight at jet-engine temperatures. Every F-35, Falcon 9, and chlorine plant depends on a metal the US imports.
Gaurab Chakrabarti tweet mediaGaurab Chakrabarti tweet media
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ロイエンタール新領土総督
BYDが8ヶ月連続で前年比販売減少📉 ✅2026年4月販売台数:314,100台(前年比-15.7%) → 8ヶ月連続マイナス 中国国内:186,581台(前年比-38%) 海外:約13万台超(前年比+70%↑) 国内は大幅減速が続いている、一方で海外輸出では完全なカバーは難しい状況が続いています。 中国国内市場の競争激化と需要軟化が鮮明になった形です。 詳細月次データとBYD販売推移チャートは画像参照↓ #BYD #中国EV #新能源汽车 #EV販売
ロイエンタール新領土総督 tweet mediaロイエンタール新領土総督 tweet media
ロイエンタール新領土総督@6QhdTQGwiXXAlxb

BYD 2026年Q1決算から読み解く 「大きすぎて倒れない」から「大きすぎて立て直せない」へ 2026年Q1決算が示す構造的転換点 ※長文になります

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Matt Loszak
Matt Loszak@MattLoszak·
Turbines for nuclear are easier to buy than turbines for gas plants. We bought our first one a few months ago, and it's arriving later this year. Nuclear plants use *steam* turbines, which operate at lower temperatures than combusting gas. Turbine blades are nowhere near as big a bottleneck for nuclear & steam. A modern gas turbine inlet runs at 1,500 C. Light water reactor steam turbine inlets run at 285 C. Aalo's steam turbines will run closer to 400 C. At 285 - 400 C, you can use more common metal alloys and manufacturing techniques. No single crystals, no vacuum furnaces, no 90-week grow times. 3 companies on Earth can cast a hot-section gas blade, while over 10 companies can forge a steam turbine rotor, for the smaller turbines used by smaller nuclear reactors like Aalo-1. Steam turbines (esp <= 50 MWe) are a more mature commodity. There's more to this story though, and a fascinating history... going to post a follow up soon.
Gaurab Chakrabarti@Gaurab

You cannot buy a new gas turbine until 2030. Order books at GE, Siemens, and Mitsubishi stretch to 2029. Turbine prices have nearly tripled since 2019. Every AI data center needs power and every gas plant needs a turbine. And every turbine has one part that bottlenecks the entire industry: The blade. It has to survive in gas 500°C above the melting point of the metal it's made from and spin at up to 20,000 RPM under 10,000 g of centrifugal force. Each blade is grown as a single crystal of nickel superalloy, pulled through a vacuum furnace at 3 mm per minute. A set of blades costs $600,000 and takes 90 weeks to grow. The same metallurgy powers modern jet engines. Only 3 companies on Earth can build one. China spent $42 billion trying to catch up. They bought a Russian fighter engine, took it apart, and copied every part. Their copy ran 30 hours between overhauls versus 400 for the original. Modern Western engines run 4,000. You can reverse engineer the shape of a turbine blade. You cannot reverse engineer 60 years of metallurgy.

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tphuang
tphuang@tphuang·
China's Tungsten export down 22.65% in Q1. Biggest drop was APT, just 2t (down 98.37% YoY). Yellow Tungsten Oxide fell 81.84%. Tungsten powder dropped by 61.16% YoY. China has become a net importer of Tungsten w/ scrap import rising sharply. Due to its dual nature, Chinese export to Japan down big time, leading to px surge in numerous cutting tools & materials. Tungsten itself is not that rare, but many of the refined product & downstream product are. That's where the export controls are really hitting hard.
tphuang tweet mediatphuang tweet media
MINING.COM@mining

China’s tightening grip on tungsten is reshaping the global market. Ammonium paratungstate (APT), the key intermediate used in tungsten production, has surged more than 200% year-to-date, crossing $3,000 per metric ton in Rotterdam as supply conditions tighten across the value chain. The drivers: ▪️China, which accounts for the majority of global tungsten output, has restricted 2026–2027 exports to 15 authorized firms and tightened controls on certain dual-use materials. ▪️Defence demand is rising ~8% annually, with tungsten used in aerospace and military applications. Outside China, supply remains thin. The US currently has no active tungsten mines, increasing reliance on foreign supply chains. In South Korea, Almonty’s Sangdong mine began production in March — one of the most significant new non-China sources in recent years. #Tungsten #Mining #CriticalMinerals #SupplyChain mining.com/web/tungsten-b…

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First Principles Investing
First Principles Investing@RahulRao_1992·
You've seen this image do the rounds. The story goes Gas turbines blades - 5 years booked - single crystal blade technology - only 3 companies etc. Yes & No. Here's a no nonsense, first principles breakdown: Firstly, Single crystal blades are used in a gas turbines (power) or a jet engines SPECIFICALLY where temperatures exceed 1,600°C A single crystal blade is a piece of metal made of one continuous grain of nickel superalloy. No grain boundaries, no weak seams. That is why it can survive 1,600°C gas at 10,000 g of centrifugal force for 30 years. But SC blades for Jet engines vs power turbines are very different. Same process but very different. In a jet engine, the single-crystal blade is the Stage 1 rotor of the high-pressure turbine. It is roughly 10 centimetres long and weighs a few hundred grams. It spins at 15,000 to 20,000 RPM. It runs in cycles, takeoff to landing, ten times a day. What kills a jet blade is fatigue i.e - The slow weakening of metal under repeated cycles of stress and temperature change. A power turbine Stage 1 blade is roughly 20 to 30 centimetres long, including the root and shank. It weighs 1.5 to 5 kilograms It spins at a steady 3,000 to 3,600 RPM. It does not cycle, it sits in 1,600°C gas continuously for months. What kills a power turbine blade is creep i.e - The slow stretching of metal under continuous heat and centrifugal force, year after year. Different killer = different alloy. Power turbine blades carry more rhenium for creep resistance. AND Different size means different physics. Growing a defect-free single grain through a 30 cm volume is multiple times harder than through a 10 cm one. Casting yields are lower. That's WHY the number of facilities that can do IGT-grade SC reliably is much smaller than the number that can do aero-grade. EVEN Within gas turbines we have F-class, H-class, J-class and theese Gas turbines for power generation are sorted by firing temperature. Meaning, higher firing temperature means higher efficiency, which means more electricity per cubic metre of gas. 1. F-class (mature, 1990s onwards) fire at around 1,300°C with combined-cycle efficiency of 58 to 60%. 2. H-class / HA-class (2000s onwards) fire at 1,450 to 1,500°C with combined-cycle efficiency of 60 to 63%. 3. J-class / JAC-class fire at around 1,600°C with combined-cycle efficiency of 63 to 64%, using rhenium-rich alloys at the absolute limit of metallurgy. As firing temperature rises, the metallurgy gets harder. The reason customers want H and J, not F is that each generation jump cuts fuel cost by 5 to 8% per MWh. For a 1 GW base-load plant, that is over ~₹1,000 crore in fuel savings every year. Every utility, hyperscaler, and LNG developer specifying new capacity wants H-class or J-class, not F. WHERE IS THE BOTTLENECK TODAY FOR GAS TURBINES? F-class capacity has plenty of headroom. Customers do not want F. H-class and J-class capacity are the constrained ones. Howmet's IGT-grade Stage 1 single-crystal line for H and J class is sold out. The in-house casting lines at GE Auburn, Siemens Berlin, and MHI Takasago are sold out. WHO CAN ACTUALLY MAKE THEM? For aero, capable countries number about 8. For heavy-duty power turbines, the commercial club drops to 3 as far as ROW is concerned. GE Vernova in the US, Siemens Energy in Germany, Mitsubishi Power in Japan + China & Russia have turbines that perform with varying performance parameters. Hope this was insightful. If you're still reading. follow and repost. Tc.
First Principles Investing tweet mediaFirst Principles Investing tweet mediaFirst Principles Investing tweet media
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可言
可言@XKYY177·
@HexagonScrew 哈哈哈,东亚地区普通打工人都是这样
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可言@XKYY177·
@HexagonScrew 最近中日关系太差了,中国政府可能会杯葛。
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