Deniz retweetledi
Before the war vs. now:
Before the war, Iran’s power projection was more limited. Now it is targeting U.S. allies across the region and shows no sign of stopping.
Before the war, Iranian oil was under sanctions. Now Washington is easing “limited” restrictions on Iranian oil sales while assuring everyone that, yes, Tehran may still get the money, but somehow it will be “difficult.”
Before the war, Iran did not control the Strait of Hormuz. Now it is shaping access to the strait in practice, while U.S. partners such as India and Japan are seeking, and receiving, Tehran’s approval for their ships to pass. That is real political leverage.
Before the war, regime change was still part of the conversation. Now even reports from inside the U.S. administration suggest it is nowhere close.
Before the war, gas prices were lower and “forever wars” were supposed to be behind us. Today, do I even need to say it?
From the U.S. administration’s perspective: “winning?”
That does not mean the United States cannot still prevail in this war. But at what cost, and toward what end? Innocent lives are now trapped between an unclear strategy and a terror regime.
This is a war that will not be decided kinetically by either side. In the end, it will be decided by diplomacy alone.
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