Yan Gao

predictions for this year. 1. Mag 7 will drop by more than 20-30 % from current levels before rebounding; 2. Increased geopolitical tensions and semi/war flare ups leading to Gold and Silver going higher; 3. BTC will break below $70,000; 4. S&P 500 to retrace at least 10 percent this year; 5. We do not push past 7700 on S&P 500 before retracing more than 10% bring us back below current levels of $6900 6. The new best trade for this year will neither be AI related nor Gold nor Silver, it will be an entirely different sector (to find out what this is) 7. AI trade performance will be lackluster until q4 of 2026 or q1 of 2027. 8. $BTC resumes its bull market Q4 of this year (4 year cycle thesis still intact) 9. $AFK (africa index will pull back however continue to pump higher) 10. $MSTR still has another 50% downside minimum from current levels 11. $NVDIA to tag its 200 day sometime this year, possibly before continuation past all time highs 12. All high growth AI names will get slammed back down to the ground at least 40-70 percent downside. Some will never recover and will not resume their bull cycle once AI trade restarts again. 13. Silver will break $100 , Gold 5k

@Basssem666 Does spy pumping allow them to prolong the war ? If yes then no big sell offs until war ends. When the war durably ends… that’s when we should really be careful and all hell might break loose. No reason to keep propping up the market then.

$SPY just drop already. I’ve never seen a rally like this one while actively trading. Not even in the 2021 euphoria when I was new. Zero pull backs. wtf.

shorting $SOXL - 500 shares. Will add another 500 if we hit $90

spy three white solders on the weekly. clear change in trend, makes it hard to stay bearish and this looks like a continuation of the bull trend now.

$NVDA narrowly escaped death (for now). it had a clear head and shoulders however failed the measured move and rebounded to the upside. This looks like it's going for ATH.

Time to retire this list from January of this year. Let's see which ones high the mark and which didn't. 1. Check 2. Yes and then tanked so Check 3. Check 4. ALMOST, we technically retrace 9 percent but close enough. I'm going to call it a CHECK 5. check 6. Not sure what sector this is yet. so far SEMIs are still leading (possibly wrong on this one) 7. Wrong (AI still leading) 8. Yet to see 9. happening as we speak, reclaimed all key moving averages CHECK 10. CHECK 11. CHECK although the 200 day went up to meet NVDA's price but this still counts. 12. CHECK 13. CHECK 10/13 with 1 potentially still to play out.

predictions for this year. 1. Mag 7 will drop by more than 20-30 % from current levels before rebounding; 2. Increased geopolitical tensions and semi/war flare ups leading to Gold and Silver going higher; 3. BTC will break below $70,000; 4. S&P 500 to retrace at least 10 percent this year; 5. We do not push past 7700 on S&P 500 before retracing more than 10% bring us back below current levels of $6900 6. The new best trade for this year will neither be AI related nor Gold nor Silver, it will be an entirely different sector (to find out what this is) 7. AI trade performance will be lackluster until q4 of 2026 or q1 of 2027. 8. $BTC resumes its bull market Q4 of this year (4 year cycle thesis still intact) 9. $AFK (africa index will pull back however continue to pump higher) 10. $MSTR still has another 50% downside minimum from current levels 11. $NVDIA to tag its 200 day sometime this year, possibly before continuation past all time highs 12. All high growth AI names will get slammed back down to the ground at least 40-70 percent downside. Some will never recover and will not resume their bull cycle once AI trade restarts again. 13. Silver will break $100 , Gold 5k

It's also worth noting that in each of these instances 27 June 2016, October 2014, 29 June 2010, each of these following vix spikes to above 25 and 30, then a gap down. SPY went on to make all time highs, and then when vix finally went to refill the gap, we retested the alltime highs from above. Except August 2011 were we retraced past ATH.

It's worth noting there was one were we were high on vix above 30 which took four months to fill (look at 27 June 2016) and also October 2014 two two months to fill. 29 June 2010 took a whole year to fill. This is ONLY for instances were vix has spiked above 25 or 30 and then gapped down. This could be a possibility.

$SPY I’m seeing a lot of frustration and even personal insults (I have a skin that’s thicker than a crocodile so it doesn’t hurt me). I need to clarify a few things though because many of you need to understand the following. Drawdowns are a part of this business, like having multiple losing trades in a row. If you can’t survive a drawdown and blow up because of it, then go find a job and stop trading because it means you’re a gambler with terrible risk management. You don’t belong here. When I had a crazy winning streak from late December to March, in a very tough market environment by the way, I was giving out the trades for free, just like now, and people were banking and I never asked anything in return. I still kept telling people that this isn’t how it works. I kept saying to all those who were praising me and saying I’m the “goat” or “you never lose bro!” that I lost before and I will lose again. That’s just how it is. You need to have good risk management to make more when you’re right than what you lose when you’re wrong, and I’ve been doing just that and chilling through my recent drawdown. I survived multiple drawdowns before and always bounced back, just like I will with this one. Nothing new. I also don’t owe any of you here anything, with all due respect, I literally don’t need any of you for anything what so ever. The revenue sharing I get from X every two weeks is peanuts, I spend more on a night out with a girl or my boys. You don’t like me or my content, just fuck off, easy. I know there are real ones in my followers. The ones that are grateful for all the previous wins I gave for free, I know who you are and I love you all, we are going to get back to winning ways again, together!✌️

@Basssem666 I think the harder the vix spike, following a gap down the more time it takes to fill, (minimum 2 months based on past data, up to a year) The smaller vix spikes fill much more quickly. I guess it depends if this counts as a gap down from a bigger spike or a smaller one.

@TexasAbram @Basssem666 Well.. The biggest beneficiary to this war is.... Hedge funds and market makers are predominantly controlled by... It kind of makes sense to have a vested interest to making sure the markets stay buoyant to drag on this war.

@Basssem666 Hey Bassem, By still standing after 4 losses means you are sizing properly. I loved watching your winning streak and I have felt for you in every loss you took since then. Your TA was excellent but that hasn't helped much lately against the non-stop war news updates.

$SPY The rally this week is insane. Anyone with TA knowledge got punished. If you just chased you made money. That’s how it is sometimes, we have to accept it.

This exactly. You barely missed the run up. Stop looking at the indexes you still have the following stocks still at severe discounts from their ATH. Plenty of opportunities left. $PLTR: ~36.2% $MSFT: ~30.8% $HOOD: ~53.4% $TSLA: ~29.3% $BABA: ~33.6% $LMND: ~41.2% $SOFI: ~47.9% $GRAB: ~43.7% $IREN: ~44.0% $CRWD-33.1% $UNH-54.2% $META-27.7% $V-8.1% $SPGI-28.3% $BABA-60.1% $EFX-40.4% $NOW-51.1%

Stop crying and start buying! If you think you’ve missed out, I’ve got good news… You didn’t! SaaS, Cyber, and Fintech stocks are still at CRAZY prices. $HOOD $SOFI $NOW $MSFT Don’t get me started on $ZETA or $OSCR either. I’m probably missing plenty of other great deals too. DCA ing is your friend.

The guy who's holding cash is still going to get the following stocks at insane discounts from ATH even today and beat the people that "held through" the drawdown in one trade. $MSFT-31.4% $AMZN-7.2% $CRWD-33.1% $PLTR-37.0% $UNH-54.2% $META-27.7% $V-8.1% $SPGI-28.3% $BABA-60.1% $EFX-40.4% $NOW-51.1%

The guy that was 100% cash waiting for the market to dip another 3%

@matthughes13 This stock is going to rally hard.

How many more times do I have to convince everyone to be more bullish at support? $MSFT x.com/matthughes13/s…

@dannycheng2022 This stock is a steal imo for the next 20 years. Load up. Still cheap

$MSFT (April 9, 2026-weekly chart) If you understand my chart, you’ll probably feel excited about it. If not, no problem — feel free to pass by.

Do not let ANYONE guilt trip you into being bearish when you needed to be. They will tell you never to hold cash or to be conservative when it was obvious markets were going to draw down. This is just plain WRONG. If you still bought stocks TODAY. You would still be getting the following discounts from each of the stocks from ATH. There are reasons to start turning bullish again however you have plenty of opportunities still for example the following discounts from their at all highs. PLTR: ~36.2% MSFT: ~30.8% HOOD: ~53.4% COIN: ~60.8% TSLA: ~29.3% BABA: ~33.6% FUTU: ~22.8% LMND: ~41.2% SOFI: ~47.9% GRAB: ~43.7% IREN: ~44.0% I've personally allocated to safer stocks to longer term portfolio most of which have already had drawdowns from ATH and discounts as follows $MSFT-31.4% $AMZN-7.2% $CRWD-33.1% $PLTR-37.0% $UNH-54.2% $META-27.7% $V-8.1% $SPGI-28.3% $BABA-60.1% $EFX-40.4% $NOW-51.1%

Further adding to a small position of $AMZN today, 100 shares. $META 50 shares.

Adding a small position to $PLTR 50 shares

DCA up across various names today small size including 100 shares of $MSFT 100 shares of $UNH 100 shares of $V 25 $CRWD 50 $PANW 50 $BABA 25 $EFX 20 $SPGI 10 $COST The reason I chose these names specifically is because they are still on massive massive discount from 3-5 months ago and have less relative downside. They are also less exposed to the semis and AI trade. Some are diversified across or complement the AI trade but are not direct participants of it

@Basssem666 You could hedge with some longs for long term shares that’s what I’m going mainly msft

$SPY the head on shoulders on spy is invalid now that we broke above Friday’s high, even if price goes lower after it wouldn’t be a head and shoulders, to me at least. If we close above the resistance then we should tag 688-690 before a meaningful move down. I want to cut and add back higher but the $VIX staying green today is very suspicious and the volume today is very weak too. PPI is also tomorrow and most likely it’ll be hot, there is no reason for it to come cool. I don’t know my friends 🤔 If the vix closes red I can comfortably cut but if it doesn’t then it’s going to be tricky. I’m still thinking what’s the best way to manage this.

@grok @DeItaone @grok please answer

@grok @DeItaone @grok give stats what percentage calls of his are correct

MORGAN STANLEY: S&P 500 CORRECTION NEARLY OVER Morgan Stanley turns cautiously bullish, saying markets have largely priced in recent risks. Strategist Michael Wilson notes the S&P 500 has rebounded ~7% from lows and held key support, signaling the correction may be ending. Strong earnings (≈15% growth, 20% forward) support the outlook, with investors advised to buy dips. Positioning: favor cyclicals + quality growth; energy may have peaked.