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@Z_Bob

Katılım Şubat 2009
443 Takip Edilen167 Takipçiler
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Z@Z_Bob·
@corymagana1 Nice explanation, good work.
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cory magana
cory magana@corymagana1·
Understanding Vol Trigger + Shared Walls Educational only. Not financial advice. Today we’re breaking down two concepts beginners must understand: • Vol Trigger above Call Wall • Call Wall = Put Wall (shared strike) 1️⃣ When Vol Trigger Is ABOVE Call Wall Example: Call Wall: 6850 Vol Trigger: 6910 What this means: 6850 is resistance — but NOT expansion. Vol Trigger (6910) is the level where dealer hedging flips and volatility expansion activates. So price can: ✔ Break 6850 ✔ Look strong ✔ Trap breakout traders But until 6910 is reclaimed and held, true expansion has NOT started. Teaching Version: Call Wall = first ceiling Vol Trigger = regime switch Breaking the ceiling doesn’t mean the engine is on. 2️⃣ When Call Wall AND Put Wall Are the SAME Strike Example: Call Wall: 685 Put Wall: 685 This creates a gamma magnet. Why? Largest call and put open interest sit at the same level. Dealers hedge both sides. That creates: • Compression • Chop • Pin behavior Price often gravitates back to this level unless strong momentum forces it away. Beginner Explanation: Think of it like a magnet pulling from both sides. 3️⃣ When BOTH Conditions Exist If: Call Wall = Put Wall AND Vol Trigger sits ABOVE You get: 🔹 High probability of chop at the shared wall 🔹 Fake breakouts above it 🔹 Expansion ONLY if Vol Trigger clears This is where many traders get chopped up. They mistake a wall break for a regime shift. How To Trade It Properly If price is stuck at shared wall: → Expect compression → Reduce size → Wait for acceptance If price clears Call Wall but NOT Vol Trigger: → Be cautious → Could be a trap If price clears and holds above Vol Trigger: → Expansion environment → Momentum trades have higher probability Summary Shared Wall = Magnet Call Wall = Ceiling Put Wall = Floor Vol Trigger = Regime Shift Understand structure first. Then trade it. Not financial advice. Manage risk accordingly.
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Z@Z_Bob·
@AdamMancini4 Absolutely beautiful, Adam! Got that sweep of 20 and nice recovery. Just hold the runner!
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Its the weekly Sunday gap down for #ES_F, 3 weeks in a row and everyone knows the drill from here. Always same. 6920 support per newsletter and just held exact. Bulls must recover 6940 now to see upside to 6949-52, 6963, 6970+. If 6920 fails, next leg down sees 6912, 6904, 6890
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

There's 6972 next target tagged. The 6935 Failed Breakdown/bear has paid over and over and I gave this in yesterday's newsletter and live 1hr ago. Targets were 6953-56 (hit), 6964 (hit), 6972 (hit). 6982, 6988, 7002 above. Just ride a small lotto runner now, work is done here

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Z@Z_Bob·
@AdamMancini4 very nice setup (90 reclaim) and commentary this morning, Adam! 75% scaled out and now riding the runners!
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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
6655 was next down support, and held exact in #ES_F for a 35 point pop right back to 6690. Bulls have plenty of work to do and sell bounces regime continues until previous breakdown shelves. 6690 remains 1st order of business, with 6712 above. To bottom, 6732 must reclaim
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

There's 6655 next down hit exact. The grind lower continues in #ES_F as warned the sell bounces regime continues until breakdown shelves recover, at which point we squeeze. 6690 1st order of business which takes us to 6712. 6732 must reclaim to bottom. 6638-42, 6608 next down

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Overnight #ES_F finally got a sell as posted. This is because it broke structure down (the cluster of Thurs,Fri,Monday daily lows at ~6857). Bulls need to backtest then recover No change: 6798-6803=support. ES must reclaim 6818 to see 6828, 6838-41, 6851+. 98 fails, dip 85, 77
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Note: Per newsletter the support here is a cluster at 6798-6803. Important bulls hold this and recover 6818. Otherwise we sell and next setup is not until the flush and recovery of the overnight low

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Z@Z_Bob·
@AdamMancini4 was acceptance, per criteria, in that 1:27pm area; or more in the 1:30 to 1:40 time range?
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
There's 6841-43 support tagged in #ES_F exact. Its been a slow, grinding session after yesterday's late/day overnight squeeze that got to 6916 target this morning. Good pop off 6841-43 so far. 6851 yesterday low must reclaim to see 6857, 6869-73+ 41 fails, we dip 6827
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Grinding, slow action in #ES_F (end of week, end of month). After a 50+ point squeeze off yesterday's 4pm 6869 Failed Breakdown, we've been retracing.6857 next support as posted, held exact. Bulls must reclaim 6874 now to rally. 6841-43 next down (watch traps of yesterdays low)

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@ashwagamma Good reaction off 66 as well - not a good sign for bears if ES gets bought back up there again!
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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
There's 6766 final target hit in #ES_F. Today's plan given at 8am is complete and tracked perfectly. 6719 was 1st support (zone to long from newsletter). Held exact. 6732 reclaim was long trigger. Targets were 6740 (hit), 6752 (hit), 6766 (hit). Just bonus now 6772, 6781 next
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Theres 6752 2nd target hit. Today's plan was given at 8am with explicit entries & targets. 6719 was 1st support in #ES_F (long zone from newsletter). 6732 reclaim was long trigger. Targets given were 6740 (hit), 6752 (hit), 6766, then bulls go to ATHs 0 to do now but ride runner

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Z@Z_Bob·
@AdamMancini4 @WinfredBarring2 its forcing users into the pro version so you can use "tweetdeck" to see posts, replies, and latest. Its the only way I see all of your responses and posts.
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@WinfredBarring2 Thanks! I believe X tweaked the algo recently - I've got many messages from people saying they don't see my posts anymore or get them in their feed
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Z@Z_Bob·
@AdamMancini4 nice test of 60, trap and recover 66; 72+ thank you for your valuable insights!
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Note: Volatility is obviously rock bottom here as we work the 6766 magnet - a big reversal from last weeks prime conditions where we were heavily spoiled with setups. Watch for tests of 6756-60 that trap 66. If 6756 fails, we can pickup a little finally and 6752, 6737 are below
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
After a 200+ point rally from Friday's low, #ES_F is now in its 1st consolidation. 6766, then 6782 were my targets since Friday & ES agrees: 6782 has been the high for 16hrs, with 6766 support all night. No change: 6756-60 to 6782=flag with 66 magnet. 92, 6801, 6812 next. Dip<56
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Yesterday 8am/Friday at 4pm in newsletter, I gave targets of 6766, then 6782 for next leg. #ES_F agrees: Price, we hit 6782 and spent 15hrs basing here. After a 200 point rally, ES needs to digest it Plan: 6756-60 to 6782=pure chop with 66 magnet. 92, 6801, 6812 next leg. Dip<56

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Z@Z_Bob·
@AdamMancini4 nice 84 reclaim with 88 tagged, 94, 99 targets above
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
These are dream markets for day traders in #ES_F. 6766 was my multi-day rally target to back-test the shelf we broke down last Friday. We hit it exact, sold 95 points. As warned, this is *the* chance for bears, and they are taking it 6684 reclaim now to pop. 6667, 6653-55 below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

We have sold 64 points in #ES_F from the 6766 back-test. This had been my target for days. Hit exact, sold. Its clear shelf from last Wed/Thursday that failed Friday. Now that we've back-tested. This is *the* chance for bears 6723 must recover now to rally. 6699, 6679-84 below

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Z@Z_Bob·
@AdamMancini4 When you say "need to recover 19 fast" can you provide additional context? In your experience, is that 15 minutes, more or less?
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Price has gone nowhere for nearly 20hrs in #ES_F. After the overnight pop, 6705 was 1st support below 6719 as posted. We hit 6706 and bounced. Bulls need to recover 6719 fast now to see 6731, 6740, then the 6745 back-test of yesterdays breakdown 6705-99 fails, sell 6691, 6674
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Yesterday saw the 1st needed mini dip in over a week for a #ES_F. 6702-6699 was support. I posted that 6711 reclaim targets 6719+. It took its time but we got it late day as usual. Hold runner. Plan today: 6719=support. 6731, 6740, 6745 backtest next. 18 fails, dip 6705-6699

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Z@Z_Bob·
@AdamMancini4 @ruiqiwt Do you now consider 6688 area somewhat of a (more significant) level since we've bounced 20+ points?
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@ruiqiwt I'd call that a level reclaim. The Failed BReakdown was overnight when we lost the 88 low. We didn't have a significant low here just that same old shelf I mentioned in newsletter
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
While it may be OPEX (worst day of the year to trade), lvls still respecting in #ES_F. I posted at 8am that 6693 was support, with 6704, 6708-14 targets. We hit both targets (2x actually), then 15mins ago touched 6693 exact & bounced 10 points Flagging for trend leg. No changes
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

OPEX day in full swing and as I've warned 3x since 8am - its not a normal day. Over-trade on OPEX in #ES_F, lose. I gave out 2 targets for today at 8am: 6704 (hit), and 6708-14 (hit). We hit both 2x since the open. Just hold runner now, do nothing. Flagging. 6719, 6725 bonus

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Z@Z_Bob·
@RaymanAlli If you like what u see on the Trader Bites, u should try the Stage 5 Brokerage!!! Unbelievable dedication! #FT71 $ES_F $$
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Z@Z_Bob·
@NCbeachtrader if you are in the st5 room, i just private messaged you
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Matt
Matt@treeee50·
#VanKar traders be sure and check the chat logs for the aftermaket chat #FT71 is on a roll right now
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Z@Z_Bob·
@TheLittleTrader ft71 is looking for you to answer your question
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Z@Z_Bob·
@FuturesTrader71 unless U find new cues & rewards the old pattern will unfold automatically. "
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Z@Z_Bob·
@morchocolat always room for more :D take your time and get things in order so you can focus
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Z@Z_Bob·
@TheLittleTrader nope... U know better :D throwing my support behind a genuine broker who has his client's success as his best interests!
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