Garcia retweetledi
Garcia
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Garcia retweetledi
Garcia retweetledi
Garcia retweetledi

Garcia retweetledi

ALTCOINS MAY HAVE ALREADY BOTTOMED AGAINST BITCOIN.
After 12+ months of downside, broken charts, and collapsing sentiment, the structure under the Altcoin market is starting to shift.
The Others Dominance chart which tracks how altcoins perform relative to Bitcoin is flashing early signs of recovery.
Here’s what’s happening right now:
Others dominance has already reclaimed the levels we saw before the October 10th crash.
But, Bitcoin is still trading roughly 42% below its highs from that same period.
So while BTC is still structurally weak, Altcoins are already stabilizing and gaining relative strength. This divergence usually signals seller exhaustion.
If alts were still in heavy distribution, dominance would keep falling.
But it isn’t.
Instead, it has risen 17% in just the last two months which means the forced selling phase in alts may already be behind us.
We saw a similar setup in 2019-2020.
When the Fed ended QE, Bitcoin continued correcting for months. But the Others dominance bottomed and never revisited those lows again, not even during the March 2020 crash.
That marked the start of a multi year alt uptrend. Now add more bullish signals on top:
• RSI on Others dominance has crossed above its moving average for the first time since July 2023, historically this crossover has preceded alt strength phases.
• Russell 2000 just broke its highs after a delayed cycle, small caps often lead liquidity rotation before altcoins move.
• ISM has climbed to 52, highest in 40 months. A move above 55 historically aligns with strong performance in high-beta assets like alts.
• Core inflation just printed a 5-year low which could increase the odds of more Fed easing.
• Gold and Silver rallies are cooling and often this leads to a rotation from hard assets to risk assets.
Structurally, the market is reset:
Most altcoins are still down 80–90%. Leverage has been flushed. Sentiment is near cycle lows. Positioning is extremely light.
Historically, mid-term election year has been bearish for the crypto market, so it's possible that we could see more sideways accumulation until Q3/Q4 before a reversal.

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Garcia retweetledi
Garcia retweetledi
Garcia retweetledi

Clawdbot: A personal AI assistant you run on your own devices.
GitHub: github.com/clawdbot/clawd…
Clawdbot answers you on the channels you already use (WhatsApp, Telegram, Slack, Discord, Google Chat, Signal, iMessage, Microsoft Teams, WebChat), plus extension channels like BlueBubbles, Matrix, Zalo, and Zalo Personal. It can speak and listen on macOS/iOS/Android, and can render a live Canvas you control.

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Garcia retweetledi
Garcia retweetledi

Garcia retweetledi

We can see how reactive #JASMY has been this last week.
If we see the general #Crypto environment improve (as is expected) then $Jasmy would be a major beneficiary although we should expect some minor correction at least from such over bought RSI.
I dont hold Jasmy but I do believe it could be a big winner if the broader market continues to improve.

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Garcia retweetledi

Countries with 0% Crypto Tax:
🇦🇪 UAE — 0% tax
🇨🇾 Cyprus — 0% tax
🇵🇹 Portugal — 0% tax
🇵🇦 Panama — 0% tax
🇸🇬 Singapore — 0% tax
🇲🇹 Malta — 0% tax
🇧🇧 Barbados — 0% tax
🇧🇲 Bermuda — 0% tax
🇰🇾 Cayman Islands — 0% tax
🇭🇰 Hong Kong — 0% tax
🇲🇺 Mauritius — 0% tax
🇻🇺 Vanuatu — 0% tax
🇬🇮 Gibraltar — 0% tax
🇱🇮 Liechtenstein — 0% tax
🇸🇰 Slovenia — 0% tax
🇨🇭 Switzerland — 0% tax
🇺🇾 Uruguay — 0% tax
🇸🇻 El Salvador — 0% tax
🇵🇷 Puerto Rico — 0% tax
Bookmark 🔖 this tweet to come back later.

Filipino
Garcia retweetledi

🚨SILVER IS BEING MANIPULATED AGAIN.
Silver crashed -15.75% in 24 hours and wiped out nearly $600 billion from its market cap on 29th Dec 2025.
What we are seeing in silver right now follows a familiar institutional playbook.
First, silver rallied aggressively as real demand picked up and physical supply tightened. Then, almost immediately, the paper market stepped in and crushed price momentum.
This is how it works.
Silver trades in two very different markets:
• Paper silver on COMEX (futures and derivatives)
• Physical silver in real world markets
On COMEX, silver is priced around $70–$73 per ounce.
But physical silver prices tell a very different story:
• Japan : $130/ounce
• UAE : $115/ounce
• India : $110/ounce
• Shanghai : $80-85/ounce
These are premiums of $10 to $60 per ounce over COMEX paper prices. This gap should not exist in a normal market.
The reason it exists is because the paper silver market is massively leveraged.
For every 1 ounce of real silver, there are 400+ ounces of paper contracts.
That means prices can be controlled by paper selling, even when physical silver is scarce.
When silver started pumping too fast, margin requirements on silver futures were raised sharply twice in just a few days. This forced leveraged traders to either add cash or sell.
This does not change the physical supply problem. It only suppresses price temporarily.
And we have seen this in the past.
In 2008-2016, JP Morgan traders were caught manipulating gold and silver futures using spoofing. This was proven in court.
Here's how they did it:
• Large fake buy or sell orders were placed to move price
• Real orders were executed on the opposite side
• Fake orders were canceled before filling
• Other traders reacted to false signals
• JP Morgan captured the spread repeatedly
This went on for years.
In 2020, JP Morgan paid $920 million in fines for manipulating precious metals markets.
That case showed one thing clearly:
Large banks have used the paper market before to control metal prices.
We saw a very similar playbook recently with $MSTR , where paper pressure was used to push price down despite strong underlying demand.
We broke that down in detail here 👇
x.com/bulltheoryio/s…
Today, there is no confirmed proof that JP Morgan itself is doing this again. But what we do know is this:
• Large banks still hold massive paper positions
• Paper leverage is even higher than it was in 2011
• Physical silver inventories are much lower
That tells us the system is fragile. This is not about one bank.
This is about a market structure where paper claims vastly exceed real metal, and price is managed to protect those paper positions.
Every major silver rally in history followed the same sequence:
• Rapid upside driven by real demand
• Paper leverage builds
• Margin pressure is introduced
• Forced liquidation hits price
• Price is suppressed
What we are seeing now is the same exact pattern.
And just like in the past, big banks will get away with billions in profit while retail will be left holding their bags for years.

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Garcia retweetledi

🚨 WHY IS BITCOIN DOWN -30% FROM ITS PEAK WHILE GOLD AND SILVER ARE GOING PARABOLIC?
Because Gold and Silver tops first, then Bitcoin starts its rally.
Here is what happened last time 👇
After the March 2020 crash, the Fed injected massive liquidity into the system. The first assets to react were gold and silver.
- Gold rallied from around $1,450 to $2,075 by August 2020.
- Silver rallied from around $12 to $29 in the same period.
During this entire move, Bitcoin did almost nothing. BTC stayed stuck around $9,000-$12,000 for 5 months.
This was also after a major liquidation event which happened in March 2020 due to COVID.
Gold and silver peaked in August 2020 and money started rotating into risk assets.
This is when Bitcoin started moving.
From August 2020 to May 2021:
- Bitcoin went from $12,000 to $64,800 (nearly 5.5x).
- Total crypto market cap went up almost 8x by mid-2021.
Now look at today.
- Gold is again near record highs, around $4,550.
- Silver has surged to around $80.
Both are clearly moving first.
Bitcoin meanwhile is mostly moving sideways. Just like it was in mid-2020.
We also had another large liquidation event recently on October 10th, similar to March 2020. And once again, Bitcoin has spent months moving slowly after that.
The difference this time is important.
In 2020, liquidity from the Fed was the main catalyst.
In 2026, there are multiple catalysts lining up at the same time:
- The Fed has already started injecting liquidity again.
- Rate cuts are expected to continue.
- Banks may get SLR exemptions, allowing more leverage.
- Crypto regulation clarity is improving.
- The Trump administration is planning for dividend cheques.
- More spot crypto ETFs, especially altcoin ETFs, are expected.
- Large asset managers now have easy crypto access.
- A new Pro Crypto Fed Chair is coming, and markets will front-run policy changes.
Last cycle, Bitcoin rallied mainly because of liquidity. This time, liquidity plus structure is coming together.
The setup looks very similar, but with more fuel. Gold and silver moving first is not bearish for crypto.
Historically, it has been the early signal.
If this pattern repeats, Bitcoin and crypto markets do not lead first. They move after the metals pause.
That is why the current sideways action in BTC is not the start of the bear market, but rather a calm before the storm.

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Garcia retweetledi
Garcia retweetledi

What does this actually mean for crypto?
The simple version 👇
~ Less drain on the markets
The Fed had been shrinking its balance sheet without reinvestment (removing liquidity).
By ending QT, the Fed is stopping that passive “drain.” Liquidity that was being gradually pulled out will instead remain in the financial system.
~ Crypto expectations
Crypto tends to react positively when liquidity improves and risk appetite grows.
Many now see the end of QT as the start of a broader crypto rally especially for altcoins.
However (truth over bias sadly) ending QT doesn’t mean the Fed is injecting new liquidity. It means the withdrawal stops.
Basically if the Fed cuts QT but keeps rates high, or if global economic risks rise, crypto will still be volatile (not up-only).
There's also more than just liquidity that drives the market actually (way more).
~ So what now?
The end of QT is still a net positive. It's a start.
But objectively speaking and unbiased it isn't a magic button that many make you believe. There's no liquidity injection yet.
If the fed follows up with rate cuts or even moves toward fresh easing/QE then we'll be getting somewhere.
This is not the only catalyst that will dictate all btw but it's nonetheless an important one that does influence the markets.
Again, it's a start and still a net positive overall though
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve officially ends quantitative tightening.
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