Lenny
7.7K posts

Lenny retweetledi

STBL (@stbl_official), a decentralized, non-custodial stablecoin protocol, is making its RWA-backed stablecoin USST a Cross-Chain Token (CCT), enabling it to be natively transferable across BNB Chain & Ethereum, powered by Chainlink CCIP.
STBL is also integrating Chainlink Price Feeds to power secure markets around USST, leveraging tamper-proof market data & the same Chainlink infra that has enabled tens of trillions in transaction value.

English

gm
i have been silently observing everything the last few days and watching how the trend has shifted after 10/10, with majority calling a start of the bear market
while it could be true but i am still of the opinion that we are in a bull market and BTC will make another ATH this Q4
why?
*insert 1D EMA200 and 1D MA200 here*
i have been using these magic lines for a long time and safe to say, this has worked 7 out of 10 times and provided some great entries, especially for majors
right now, we are hovering around these lines on BTC, ETH and SOL, which makes me believe we are still very much bullish and this is not the start of a bear market
i am holding all my spot bags, patiently waiting for higher prices in the next few weeks
but..
what if this is really the start of a bear market?
well, as you can see in the 2nd chart below, the line is 1W MA50 and closing below it signals the start of a bear market so, until we close weekly below 101k, im gonna assume and play this as a bull market but if/when we close below it, it would be the start of a bear market and then the logical place to bid would be 1W MA200 (more on this later)
tl;dr ~ no bear market till we are above 101k
ready for one last ride in Q4 but you do you and as always,
goodluck, have fun and don’t get liquidated

English

BTC
2 scenarios here:
first, the bad one;
we lost our bullish structure and closed below $117.5k, which signals weakness in the market and likely will lead to chop-chop
maybe we retest the lows or not but i don't think we have topped yet until we close the weekly below 98k (if we do, it's genuinely lights out)
now, the good one;
we cleaned up all the lows and bounced off the 1D EMA200, which is actually a bullish sign because nothing is hanging over our head now
it might take a few days of choppy price action and some wicks here n there but after last night's incident, i think the last phase of the market has started and we are good to go higher
i'm not gonna lie, it hurts to see our bags down and being underwater but on the bright side, i'm glad i was in no leverage trade because it would have been a blunder
the last couple of times i experienced something like this were in may 2021 and ftx crash ~ i didn't do much but bought spot (as im gonna do today as well)
hope y'all are doing well
higher in Q4 🙏

English

🚨 WHY AM I STILL BUYING $ASTER AT $2? 👀
Analysts see 4–6x upside just to catch Hyperliquid, with a Binance listing rumored for October and @cz_binance’s backing adding extra firepower. Unlike $HYPE, which faces heavy token unlocks, $ASTER may have a cleaner path.
This cycle, some see 10–20x potential and the long-term upside could be unlimited. 🔥
👉 Watch the full breakdown here:
English
Lenny retweetledi

Trust + scale are already flowing into STBL! 🔥
We’re thrilled to announce a major partnership with Franklin Templeton, starting with $100M to mint $USST. And this is just the beginning, more big updates on the horizon.
Thanks @CoinDesk for the coverage 👉 coindesk.com/business/2025/…
English

september seasonality, blood moon, ghost month and FOMC
gm
i was away for a while as i was unwell but i am starting to get back to work this week
been hearing some chatter about some stuff, so decided to put down my thoughts about the markets
september seasonality: this is not a meme but has been turned into one because half of the people say it's a consensus, whereas the rest believe in it simply because it's been working out for the past few years. me? i am in the latter category but hey, hear me out!
blood moon: i don't trade moon cycles but i have seen my friends doing it and nailing some major moves. frankly and i'm not gonna lie, i consider it when it suits my bias, lol, so yeah, looking at the past performances after a blood moon, we have found our bottom (hoping for the same this time as well)
ghost month: this one gets misunderstood a lot. it's not strictly august or september but it’s a period and during this time, i've consistently seen pullbacks followed by bottom formations. this is my favorite time of the year because from the past 5-6 years, i have gotten entries that have set me up for Q4 and this year as well, i am expecting something similar, why? simply because it has been working for the past few years and my thesis hasn't been invalidated yet
if you've been following me for some time, you'd know im not a permabear, in fact i rarely bearpost because i hate bears but this is something i stick to (unless invalidated) because it works. this year, ghost month began on 23rd august ~ btc was at 117k and we have been down-only since then. does it mean we have found our bottom? maybe but i am still of the opinion that we retest 1D EMA200, which is currently at 104k, before putting in a bottom. what's my invalidation? a clean reclaim of our jackson hole top i.e 117500 ~ i think if we reclaim this, we are set for new highs but until that happens, im bearish
FOMC: not claiming to be an expert here but after the recent NFP data, it looks like the upcoming NFP could be a pivot point for what the next few months look like
rate cut = bullish
no rate cut = bearish?
pretty basic logic and i don’t know how it’ll play out but I’m genuinely curious to see what happens this time around
also, eth/btc hit my first macro target of 0.04 and i consolidated some position to cash but i still hold a majority of spot. i think we have all the ingredients for it to hit 0.055 in Q4, which is my second target. if/when it happens, i believe some altcoins will outperform bigly, so going forward, my main focus would be on altcoins that have a cult behind them (CEX and onchain)
tl:dr;
> bearish until we reclaim 117500
> if we reclaim, max long to new highs
> Q4 focus should be on selected altcoins
thanks for coming to my TED talk
good luck, have fun and don't get liquidated
English

🔴 2016 - You missed $ETH
🔴 2017 - You missed $ADA
🔴 2018 - You missed $BNB
🔴 2019 - You missed $LINK
🔴 2020 - You missed $DOT
🔴 2021 - You missed $SHIB
🔴 2022 - You missed $GMX
🔴 2023 - You missed $BONK
🔴 2024 - You missed $WIF
🟢 In 2025, don't miss $____
#1000x gem ♥️
English













