Locksmiths Picks

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Locksmiths Picks

@_Locksmiths__

Just wanna see us all win together. To get all plays in one spot join here now ➡️ https://t.co/stt9JWxKxI

Katılım Kasım 2024
34 Takip Edilen34.1K Takipçiler
Locksmiths Picks
Locksmiths Picks@_Locksmiths__·
NBA 🏀 Lock #2 (May 4th) Joel Embiid o 25.5 Points (-135 FD) 75 PERCENT HIT RATE 💎‼️ ❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING Joel Embiid is coming off a dominant series against Boston where he averaged 28 points per game and cleared this line in 3 of 4 games. While his overall efficiency dipped due to struggles from three, his interior scoring remained strong, shooting 53% on two point attempts, which is very solid in a playoff setting. He has also continued to live at the free throw line, averaging 9 attempts per game and converting at an 84% rate, giving him a consistent scoring floor. The matchup against New York sets up well. The Knicks do not have a true one on one answer for Embiid. Mitchell Robinson could see more run, but he is prone to foul trouble, especially against a physical scorer like Embiid. He’s already had success in this matchup, putting up 26 and 38 points against the Knicks while shooting an efficient 61% from the field. From a scheme perspective, the Knicks are around league average defending key areas where Embiid thrives, including post ups, pick and roll as the roll man, and spot up situations. Even if New York prioritizes slowing him down, they cannot fully commit to constant double teams without exposing themselves elsewhere. Philadelphia has enough surrounding talent to punish that approach. 📊@HOFApp
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Locksmiths Picks@_Locksmiths__·
NBA 🏀 Lock #1 (May 4th) De’Aaron Fox o 5.5 Assists (-145 FD) 83 PERCENT HIT RATE 💎‼️ ❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING De'Aaron Fox has been a strong playmaker throughout this playoff run, averaging 7 assists per game and clearing this line in 4 of 5 games. He did that even in a tougher matchup in the first round, while still generating solid opportunity with around 11 potential assists per game. That opportunity should continue to rise as his minutes stay elevated in the playoffs. This matchup is also more favorable. Minnesota sits around league average in assists allowed to point guards, which is a step down in difficulty compared to what he faced previously. We have also seen opposing guards find success in this spot. Jamal Murray was able to consistently produce as a playmaker in this matchup, recording multiple games with 7 assists in that series. With consistent opportunity, increased minutes, and a more neutral matchup, Fox is in a strong position to clear this number. 📊@HOFApp
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Locksmiths Picks@_Locksmiths__·
NBA 🏀 Lock #2 (May 3rd) Scottie Barnes o 7.5 Assists (-110 MGM) ❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING Scottie Barnes has stepped into a primary playmaking role in this series with Immanuel Quickley out, taking on more of a point forward responsibility. That role has translated directly to production. In games without Quickley this season, Barnes averaged 9 assists per game, which is exactly what he is averaging in this series. The opportunity has been elite as well, with around 15 potential assists per game, giving him more than enough chances to clear this number. He has been creating in a variety of ways, finding spot up shooters off drive and kick situations, pushing in transition, and facilitating through perimeter ball movement. The matchup supports it. Cleveland has struggled to defend spot up shooting, ranking 23rd in that area, which plays directly into Barnes’ ability to generate open looks for teammates. With this being a Game 7, starters are expected to log heavy minutes, giving Barnes even more time on the ball to create. With elite opportunity, proven production in this role, and a favorable matchup, Barnes is in a great position to clear this number. 📊@HOFApp
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Locksmiths Picks@_Locksmiths__·
NBA 🏀 Lock #1 (May 3rd) Duncan Robinson o 2.5 3PTM (+105 Fanatics) 83 PERCENT HIT RATE 💎‼️ ❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING Duncan Robinson has been showcasing his elite shooting in this series against Orlando, hitting 41% from three while averaging 3 made threes on 7 attempts per game. He has cleared this line in 5 of 6 games, showing both consistency and strong volume. His role has continued to grow as well. His minutes saw a big jump last game due to game flow, but even here he should still see 30+ minutes with rotations tightening in a Game 7. The opportunity is there because of how the defense is playing. Cade Cunningham is drawing heavy attention, especially on drives and in pick and roll situations, which is leading to kick out passes to shooters. Robinson benefits directly from that. He is getting clean looks off ball movement, relocating around the perimeter, and finding space as the defense collapses. With strong efficiency, consistent volume, and a game environment that should maximize his minutes and opportunities, Robinson is in a great position to clear this number. 📊@HOFApp
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