Mitch
2.1K posts
@italianinvesto Mersen is not going under 30 again
Everything else is fair game
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Europoors are back to being poor, but many european beloved micro-caps are still expensive.
Here are my buy levels for some of the most followed:
$XFAB €6-7
$LPK €10
$P4O €7.5
$SOI €50
$ENSI £55
$ALKAL €5
$MRN €25
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@_MHequities @yutokanzakireal Yea because I'm using my brain dummy. You think slaves didn't drool at the first sign of a weak master? lmao please keep living like economics isn't just another form of war.
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It’s insane out here man; people are genuinely formulating cult like followings behind anonymous social media accounts and their followers throw their life savings blindly at their bags on a whim. They create retail momentum liquidity to sell right into then continue to fake optical bullishness to cover face. That serenity page is the most shameless pump and dumper I’ve ever seen, and lo and behold, I’ve been blocked😂
But right now just this overall wave of baseless bad news just has to be coordinated across the board. All the big accounts spamming the same fear mongering narratives without substantiation , they’ll come out in a couple weeks time to say it was all overblown, rinse and repeat
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@_MHequities Pursuing the same agenda in group chats I have observed very closely how it's done. If you call them out, it's a straight block so you can't be heard. I saw Michael's side of the pumpers got their badge, lol. Per se, I wasn't alone only referring to them earlier.
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Retail being played like a fiddle, some of my favorite pages I follow have been posting straight bullshit propaganda. Very sad to see. Then they’ll either retract it or correct themselves hours later, damage already done. You have thousands of followers and you didn’t corroborate shit before sharing? What is that? This feels coordinated through and through, with a cascade of artificially negative news (most of which does not hold to even basic scrutiny) clearly meant to elicit a sell off in the past week. If you know me, you know my mantra. I’ve been saying the market is wholly rigged, I’d be >50% cash by July 4, that they would induce an artificial equities crash for the sake of the bond markets yield stabilization and eventual justification for FED rate cuts should prices all come in line and sell side oil/energy inflation stabilize as it has been doing. But all I’ve learned today is I may have to stop following some people I had previously put my trust in. There’s a difference between being innocently wrong, and appearing to have ulterior motives. It’s not like the Trump admin has any degree of accountability in this realm, so what’s to lose
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@ThematicTrader Keep in mind they will never be GAAP profitable. It’s now or never for peak value dilution. Management just made things abundantly clear.
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$FCEL came out with an offering here in after hours.
I'm frankly upset and disappointed. They have ~$500M cash and they also have the 3 tranches of warrants for Fit Energy.
The balance sheet was positioned for them to be able to meet their expansion needs and get to EBITDA breakeven.
I've trimmed my $FCEL position down by a lot. Very disappointed in this.
Maybe there's good reason for this, but I promised myself that if they diluted after the warrants and given their cash position, I would size this down.
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Your hope is already priced in years in advance, even after the 60% drop. And you I and both don’t know who GFS might be working to qualify behind the scenes (again non-exclusive reference design-Sivers can merely hope this avenue is chosen), while no hyperscaler will permit itself to fully depend on a foreign cash burning dilutive micro cap. Again it is a reference design with no commercial floor, and is prospectively non-exclusive.
Then b/c Sivers has to outsource the heavy manufacturing lift, they risk losing major pricing power. In the semiconductor stack, the GFS and the packaging house capture most value. Sivers risks being squeezed into a lower-gross-margin IP and design provider rather than a high-margin chip vendor (regardless of WIN Semi) assuming this all materializes by 2028 (!!). I’d also be wary of insider lockups unloading July 16-27 (another >1 billion SEK) on top of ongoing dilution.
I’m not trying to fight you here. I just hope you’re not full porting this thing. Not to mention how ugly the macro conditions are in coming months, overvalued specs will continue getting slaughtered regardless of narrative.
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Lol… Non exclusive only matters when there is a second supplier.
Who exactly are they qualifying?
$GFS can qualify a second supplier whenever they want. But there is no known alternative in their qualification pipeline right now.
InP DFB lasers at this spec and volume is one of the hardest things to manufacture in photonics.
Non exclusive only matters if a credible replacement exists.
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The $SIVE and $GFS partnership just started.
But it is already the kind of relationship that almost never gets undone.
$GFS spent years researching which laser supplier to embed into their SCALE platform. They are one of the largest foundries in the world. They do not make that decision casually. They ran the numbers, tested the technology, evaluated every alternative, and chose $SIVE.
That decision is now inside the blueprint.
Every company building on the SCALE platform inherits that choice automatically. They all build around the reference. Nobody deviates.
And if $GFS ever tried to swap $SIVE out, even with a technically superior alternative, the damage would be severe.
Re-qualifying the entire optical stack, finding an alternative supplier, running reliability testing, and getting every downstream customer to re-validate their programs takes anywhere from 12 months upward. And that assumes the alternative laser even exists at the performance level $SIVE delivers.
$GFS is not doing that.
They picked $SIVE because Sivers was the best fit. That pick is now embedded into the foundation of the only OCI MSA compliant CPO platform in existence, backed by $AMD, $NVDA, $AVGO, $META, $MSFT, and Open AI.
The revenue has not landed yet. But the lock-in already happened.
Once you are the reference laser for a foundry at this scale, you are not a vendor anymore.
You are infrastructure.
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@unusual_whales BREAKING: coordinated narrative convergence to induce a broad sell off; this page is no better
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BREAKING: Earnings, not just valuations, are flashing bubble warnings, per FT.
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@ausydau @twplsource Wow what a report. Let’s hope momentum can persist into market open
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@_MHequities @twplsource Nah I meant with
$PENG
! I dipped in before earnings and out of HPE right after
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If $PENG continues to run into earnings tomorrow ($75+) I will be out before market close (earnings after market close); sentiment now appears overly crowded, and insiders have been selling, despite the heightened guidance. Regardless, what a run from $18 a short couple months ago
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Oh you’re one of those virtue signaling “colonialism” freaks. You don’t get to superimpose your ridiculous worldview onto global finance functionality. The BOJ is literally working hand in hand with the US Treasury, both the US AND Japan depend on it, you simply have no idea what you’re talking about. Your profile name tells me all I need to know, go shill more XRP lmao (the sheer irony as well)
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@_MHequities @yutokanzakireal No they won't. Your opinions are based on that of a hopeful American. Not from the perspective of a country that has been colonized for centuries and sees a major weak point of said country. The 🌎 knows what it's doing. We are seeing them all form against US.
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Brilliant, but the market unfortunately doesn’t care right now. All specs getting thrashed. It’s still trading expensive by today’s metrics (even at ~$14), I hope it doesn’t fall below $12 but it appears likely. Golden opportunity forming for those that missed the initial catapult!
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The maritime macro tailwinds for $OSS are accelerating by the day. Following todays news on the P-8 expansion, the U.S. Navy’s Strategic Systems Programs (SSP) office has just launched the Next Generation Undersea Security Initiative (NG-USI).
This initiative focuses heavily on unmanned systems, autonomy, and protecting sea-based nuclear forces and strategic maritime assets. The Navy is bypassing standard procurement channels to create a "sphere of technological excellence" that will rapidly prototype solutions across 22 specific focus areas.
A look at the explicit focus areas reveals they match the technical competencies of $OSS:
🔹Automated Threat Recognition: Prototyping smart cameras and underwater sensors tailored to maritime conditions.
🔹Electronic Security & Sensor Fusion: Integrating massive data streams to defend against autonomous drone swarms and AI-driven intelligence threats.
🔹Persistent Patrol Robotics: Using commercial maritime drones and unmanned ground vehicles for perimeter screening.
🔹Computational Power: Enhancing fire control systems and tactical software networks.
What makes this a compelling narrative for OSS is that the SSP explicitly stated they want to prototype devices, software, and raw computational power to enhance these systems. Furthermore, they are emphasizing commercial robotics to scale security operations quickly.
With OSS already having a footprint with the Navy via the P-8 Poseidon and the recent launch of their immersion-cooled "Oceanside" server, a centralized, fast-tracked initiative targeting maritime sensor fusion and edge compute is a highly relevant development to monitor.
Just my fundamental thoughts on how the Navy's strategic shifting priorities continue to align with the ruggedized compute ecosystem.
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@mr_will_m @SushantJos39350 @Libertymama888 @NiohBerg @Goldenannt Way to prove my point bucko
You sound deranged
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@_MHequities @SushantJos39350 @Libertymama888 @NiohBerg @Goldenannt “Anti - a small country halfway across the world - from Americans is such a virus! I wish they would just keel over and accept the life we shape for them! That’s what you sound like rn man
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It must piss off the race communist Left so badly that the greatest football player right now is also the blondest, whitest man on the planet.
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@ausydau @twplsource Hahaha I misread
That’s the hope!!!
At this point , it might not matter how good the call is, though I’m still holding. This overall selloff has not been kind; be ready to sell at market open if it does jump
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This could be major cope. But the yen carry trade is not full obsolete as everyone is spamming on this platform. The FED cannot afford prolonged positive real interest rates in our current debt environment. I can see a situation whereby, (1) BOJ incrementally raises rates another 25 basis points, (2) markets continue to nuke into summer in anticipation of FED rate hikes, (3) Warsh removed all forward guidance upon stepping in, he will react to markets rather than vice versa, (4) if energy inflation retains stability, CPI comes in sub 3%, and natural bond market yields are stabilized, there may be a surprise 25 basis point cut just in time for midterms (still a couple hundred basis points of room to accommodate the carry trade), followed by prolonged maintenance into 2027. I can imagine this is what Bessent is going for, but all pieces have to fall perfectly into place. Regardless, the next couple months, as I keep reiterating, will likely be ugly, choppy at best
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lol I bought some more calls (that’s just a small high risk high reward bet) up to you if you wanna go passive with indices overall, I just think there’s much better opps out there, not to mention the exorbitant capex that continues to ramp up and destroy their free/operating cash flows. This is all narrative based right now. Nothing we’re hearing rn holds to scrutiny. Just follow the money
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@XRPLeak @yutokanzakireal As in they will choose to save debt markets over the yen. It’s a clusterfuck of all clusterfucks and a lose lose situation
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@XRPLeak @yutokanzakireal They’ll just print more currency to buy that debt. Hyper inflation is upon us. Japan will ultimately have to choose between yen debasement and debt market implosion. They will go for the latter.
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@ausydau @twplsource HPE is a great long term hold, but it’ll likely see $30’s again. But I’m praying for you lol
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@_MHequities @twplsource Pray we pull an $HPE earnings call miracle and gap up like 40%
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Narrative collusion converging into the past week. Bullshit headline after bullshit headline. Smart money needed a rotation, and once prices are low enough, they will flip course vice versa.
The yen carry trade unwind, the BOJ having to incrementally raise their baseline rates, is making any chance of a FED rate cut this year appear exceedingly unlikely. Now pricing in a 85% chance of rate hikes this summer. Markets getting ahead of cheap liquidity unwind and destroying overly speculative names
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Someone remind me again why the markets are tanking.
Does anyone even know at this point.
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@memyselfn_I_ @_Ric_Ya @doomernat22 @IfindRetards Riiight😂😂😂😂 proof is in the pudding I’m sitting pretty up there
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@_MHequities @_Ric_Ya @doomernat22 @IfindRetards A certified bitch like you? I couldn’t even lose sleep over
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imagine being such an unpopular country you have to make AI edits of real life events for your own propaganda
Israel War Room@IsraelWarRoom
Finally, a banner drop we can get behind
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